#USDCAD: 550+ Pips Buying Opportunity! Do not miss out! FX:USDCAD
Price has started rebound from the area that we had previously had anticipated. However, we will now wait for price to breakthrough the inducement. The news on Thursday and NFP on Friday will be crucial for future of the pair.
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USDCAD Rally towards 1.3695We can see a clear price run for the upside in the USDCAD pair after running Sellstops. i am expecting price to reach above the retail resistane above 1.3690 level in the short term.
Entry is around @ current market price @ 1.3650 with a stoploss at 1.3620 with a ultimate of 1.3690+
audusd 1h outlook for the dayI got a wadge in this pair but it is trading in the middle of this range now i am waiting to break any of this like I have drawn.....after breaking this line the execution opportunity will come ....keep in mind anything can happen so risk management is the key of profitability
USDCAD Trade IdeaMarket Analysis: USDCAD on the Daily Time Frame
The USDCAD currency pair has exhibited a notable upward trend on the daily time frame. This trend is characterized by a consistent pattern of higher highs and higher lows, indicating bullish momentum. Additionally, there is a clear breakout (BoS) to the upside, further supporting the bullish bias.
As we anticipate a retracement in price, it’s essential to consider the impact of upcoming calendar events throughout the week. These events can introduce volatility and potentially influence the pair’s movement.
Given the technical context, my bias leans strongly toward a bullish entry near the fifty percent Fibonacci retracement level. I recommend placing a wide stop-loss at 1.34400 to allow for market fluctuations. Our target should align with the previous highs as we capitalize on the ongoing bullish trend.
Remember to monitor the economic calendar closely and adjust your strategy accordingly. Happy trading!
USD/CAD could be nearing the end of its retracementA double top formed this month around a 50% retracement level on the daily charts ahead of its latest pullback. And it is interesting to note that the market tends to react around the 50% level.
The double top could actually be part of a 3-wave retracement, and that retracement could be nearing completion.
We saw a strong rally into the January high, hence the bias for an eventual continuation of that move. Bulls could look for a swing low to form around 1.3350 - which is near a high-volume node and another 50% level, and initially target the January highs - a break of which brings 1.36 into focus.
Trade idea: Canadian inflation data tomorrow On Tuesday, February 20, Canada will unveil the latest inflation data. It is anticipated that headline annual inflation will decrease to 3.2%, marking its first deceleration since October 2023, compared to December's figure of 3.4%. Bear in mind, the Bank of Canada's previously indicated that they expected inflation to persist near 3.5% until mid-2024. The forecasts obviously suggest a slight easing.
Various commercial banks offer a range of forecasts too. ING predicts 3.1%, Wells Fargo anticipates 3.2%, National Bank Financial (NBF) estimates 3.3 to 3.4%, CIBC forecasts 3.3%, and Citi expects 3.4%.
On the chart. the USDCAD faces challenges breaching the 1.3500 resistance line, but it currently hovers just above a supply zone and right on the threshold of its bullish trend line.
The next potential targets are in the range of 1.3530 to 1.3550, with December high at 1.3620, just above this.
It's worth noting that both Canada and the US observe bank holidays on Monday, which could lead to reduced trading volumes.
USDCAD Pair : USDCAD ( U.S Dollar / Canadian Dollar )
Description :
Completed " 1234 " Impulsive Waves and Rejection from Daily Demand Zone or Fibonacci Level - 50.0%. Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame with the Breakout of the Lower Trend Line. Strong Divergence in RSI and Break of Structure
USDCAD Trade IdeaThe USDCAD has reached a pivotal juncture,reaching into a critical resistance level. While the larger trend remains firmly bullish, I anticipate a temporary pullback before seeking an optimal entry point.
1D Balance Area: As you can see on the attached chart, price has formed a significant balance area on the daily timeframe at the accumulation phase. A Fibonacci retracement drawn from the low to the high reveals a confluence zone around the 61.8% level potentially offering a high-probability entry point for opportunistic longs. Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only, and I'm not dispensing financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence before making any trading decisions.
USDCAD: New Year 2024, New Outlook! Merry Christmas Everyone,
Dear Traders,
This week we waited USD to reverse and show some strong bullish momentum though it did not, however, this week we may see some bullish price movement. It is advisable that we may see uncertain price action due to low liquidity and low volume which is result of holidays worldwide.
Good Luck and Trade Safe.
USDCAD SELL ON REJECTION !!HELLO TRADERS!!
As i can see after a big downtrend on USDCAD now a retrace done and its showing rejection here at this level again also you can see it is unable to break the trend line and US $ weakness is the ongoing.. Wars ahead around the middle east escalating more and more which is not good for US $ friends charts are clear like diamond our risk and reward ratio is great on this given analysis lets see what markets bring to us its just and trade idea share ur thoughts with us and for more updates Stay tuned
USDCAD Looking BullishIn the existing downtrend of the USDCAD currency pair, there is a distinct possibility that the exchange rate may approach and test the support level at 1.31142, unless there is a significant breakthrough in market dynamics. The technical analysis of the market structure points towards a potential pullback, implying a temporary reversal in the prevailing downward movement.
This setup could be viewed as an opportunity for traders to consider initiating buy positions. Buying at the support level involves anticipating a rebound or a corrective move in the exchange rate. Traders often look for confirmation signals, such as candlestick patterns or other technical indicators, to strengthen the rationale for entering a trade.
It's important to note that trading decisions should be made based on a comprehensive analysis of various factors, including technical, fundamental, and market sentiment indicators. Additionally, risk management strategies should be employed to mitigate potential losses in case the market does not behave as anticipated.
USDCAD Technical Analysis And Trade Idea Recently, the USDCAD has demonstrated a strong downward trend, touching a significant support level on both daily and weekly charts. In the accompanying video, a detailed examination of this trend is presented, carefully analysing price movements and identifying possible trading opportunities through a thorough analysis across multiple timeframes, ranging from weekly to as short as 15 minutes. Anticipate a comprehensive review covering price variations, market trends, trend evaluations, and crucial technical analysis components. It's crucial to emphasize that the information shared here is purely for educational purposes and should not be considered as financial advice.
7 Dimension Analysis For USDCAD🕛 TOPDOWN - Anticipating a Bullish Breakout in a Super Consolidation Phase
Overview: The market has been in a super consolidation phase from 2016 to 2023, forming a yearly flag, signaling a potential continuation. Monthly and weekly scenarios reveal a ranging market, seemingly dull, but with indications of a change. The Wyckoff spring on the weekly chart signals a shift from a downtrend to a pre-breakout buildup, suggesting upcoming momentum and volatility.
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: Daily
1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bullish to sideways
🟢 Structure Behavior: Break of Structure (BoS)
🟢 Swing Move: Impulsive sideways buildup
🟢 Inducement: Done, inside low confirmed.
🟢 Pull Back 1st: Strong, with the mitigation of the 1st Order Block (OB), a robust bull signal.
🟢 Internal Structure: Sideways bullish. Confluence across daily, weekly, monthly, yearly time frames.
🟢 Support/Demand Area: An imminent buy area. Trendline marked for a bullish breakout.
2️⃣ Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS
Reversal: Potential rounding patterns; internal round may form at the support level of 1.3520.
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS
Key Considerations:
Observing candle behavior at the forthcoming support area.
3️⃣ Volume: At 1.3572, significant buy volume, marking a potent Point of Interest (POI) for bullish entry.
4️⃣ Momentum RSI:
🟢 Momentum State: Sideways zone.
🟢 Range Shift: Bullish to sideways.
🟢 Overbought Rejections: Count of 2.
5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands:
🟢 Middle band below the price, a preferable position.
🟢 Commencement of a squeeze.
🟢 Completion of a head fake, indicating potential bullish movement.
🟢 Puncher pin at the lower band, a bullish signal.
6️⃣ Strength: USD is stronger than CAD at this point.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: Daily
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bullish
☑️ Current Move: Corrective move is done, and a churn in H1 (Hourly) suggests potential momentum.
✔ Support/Resistance Base: Daily demand area.
☑️ Candles Behavior: RSC, Long wicks, Doji, Momentum.
☑️ FIB Trigger Event: Confirmed.
☑️ Final Comments: Buy Now.
💡 Decision: BUY.
🚀 Entry: 1.3620
✋ Stop Loss: 1.3540
🎯 Take Profit: 1.4049
2nd Exit if Internal Structure Changes, 3rd Trendline Breakout, FOMO.
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:5
🕛 Expected Duration: 30 DAYS
SUMMARY: The analysis strongly suggests a bullish breakout in a market transitioning from super consolidation. With confluence across various time frames and supportive indicators like the Wyckoff spring, there's a comprehensive bullish bias. Key focus areas include a significant demand zone, observable candle behavior, and the completion of a head fake in the Bollinger Bands. The strategy involves a confident buy entry with clear risk management and exit criteria.
USDCAD: UPDATE 25/11/2023! Dear Traders,
Our last idea on USDCAD, was a successful one it rejected at our area and dropped 160 pip; with this setup we anticipating price to do a retracement before it drop further. With accurate stop loss and risk management we can successfully achieve our target on this idea.
what do you think of USDCAD?
USD/CAD Drop to 1.35000? This is An Optimal Short Setup!USD/CAD is forming a Head and Shoulders reversal pattern, potentially signaling the end of this bull channel. The price action has begun to stall and oscillate around the 1.37000 level and is now falling below the 200EMA. We are now faced with a reversal signal in a bull channel.
How do we trade this?
The probability of profit is greater longing in a bull channel because there are more bull bars than bear bars. We are faced with a potential reversal pattern, the head and shoulders, which negates our bias to long. Should we short?
If you're looking to swing trade, yes! Swing trading involves lower win rates because you're trading the reversal of a pattern. In other words, you bet against the trend, which means your probability of profit is low, but your reward is *much* higher as a result.
A decent short here would have been to enter around 1.38000. Since that price is behind us, I would short here and set a protective stop loss above the right shoulder at 1.38000, take profit with half your position just below the bull channel at 1.36000, and the rest just above the 200EMA at 1.35300. Once the first take profit is hit, move your stop up to the entry price or just above it to lock in profits.
Key Points
1. Bull Channel with a reversal pattern.
2. Potential Head and Shoulders Forming.
3. Gap down to 200EMA, reasonable profit target.
4. RSI has Room to Fall
You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk!
Let us know what you think in the comment section below!
USDCAD: The US dollar faces a weekly decline as inflation easesThe US dollar faces its biggest weekly decline in months against the euro, yen and franc. This comes after investors began selling in anticipation of a near 100 basis point interest rate cut in the United States expected next year.
By Friday, the dollar had fallen 1.6% from a week earlier, trading at $1.0854 against the euro, its steepest decline since mid-July. For the week, it fell 1.6% to CHF 0.8882, and against the yen it fell 0.6% to CHF 150.53.
Oil prices hit a four-month low on Thursday, and Walmart (NYSE:WMT) also announced price cuts, adding to deflationary pressures. This week's data showed U.S. consumer prices stabilizing, convincing investors that inflation is falling and the days of rising interest rates are over.
Weak US economic data released on Thursday also supported this view. Futures markets are currently pricing in a 98 basis point (bp) rate cut by the Federal Reserve next year, up from 73 basis points a week ago.
Peter Dragicevic, strategist at cross-border payment company Copay, comments on the situation. He said the degree of mitigation being considered looked positive, but the direction was correct. He added that the momentum of US inflation is changing and the negative effects of past monetary tightening are beginning to show.
With the Fed's next easing cycle looming, Dragicevic expects the US dollar to weaken gradually over the next few quarters as US yields fall and US growth recovers.
USDCAD is still continuing its upward momentumSpeaking on Tuesday, a number of hardline Fed members hinted that the economy may be weaker as a result of the tightening of financial conditions since July, which has seen a rise in 10-year Treasury yields of more than 100 basis points. However, it will take more time to determine if this effect is sustained.
"Inflation has decreased somewhat, but it is still too high," Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan stated at a Kansas City conference. The fundamental query, in my opinion, is whether the current fiscal constraints are stringent enough to quickly and sustainably raise inflation to 2%.
In a speech in St. Louis, Fed board of governors member Christopher Waller referred to the rate move as a “shock” to the bond market, while Michelle Bowman, another
USD/CAD Daily Analysis - Long at 1.36? Bull Channel ContinuesUSD/CAD has had a hard rejection at the top of the Daily Bull channel. Unfortunately, we did not close the gap between 1.39 and 1.40. Instead, we fall back down to the 1.36500 area and still have some room to fall. I would start longing around 1.36, look for entries on the 1hr or 4hr chart and hold a position until the top of the bull channel.
Key Points:
1. We're in a Bull Channel which means we have a better chance of profit longing.
2. Buy in the 1.36 area or lower.
3. Wait for a bull signal and confirmation bar closing on or near its high.
4. We still have a gap to fill up to 1.40. I would look for a long and hold at least some of your position to just under that level.
5. RSI has room to fall before a bounce. Use as a weak indicator supporting the first 4.
As always, trade at your own risk, you are responsible for your trades. I hope this analysis was insightful and useful.
Trade wisely and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
USDCAD: Amidst a slowdown in interest rate increases, US marketsU.S. stocks are on track to post their biggest weekly gain this year as investors express optimism that U.S. interest rate hikes will be halted. This also led to higher bond prices and a weaker dollar. The focus now shifts to the US jobs report, which will be released later today.
The Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates on hold on Wednesday, combined with Chairman Jerome Powell's assertion that risks to the interest rate outlook are balanced, led to a rise in bond yields. The benchmark 10-year Treasury note fell more than 20 basis points in two sessions.