Usdcadforecast
Massive Reversal Incoming? USDCAD Showing Exhaustion Signals!(Apologies if the video is hard to understand—I bit my tongue during boxing sparring this morning!)
USDCAD has been on an incredible 17-week rally, but the price now appears extremely overextended and is showing signs of exhaustion.
Yesterday's NFP report brought a huge upside surprise, fueling a strong USD rally against all major currencies. While EURUSD, GBPUSD, NZDUSD, and AUDUSD all hit multi-year lows, USDCAD initially spiked higher but then sold off sharply, closing the day just above 1.44.
This marks the first clear sign of buying exhaustion—despite USD strength across the board, USDCAD failed to make new highs.
Additionally, this week’s candle formation caught my eye. It looks like a classic hanging man pattern, which typically appears at the top of a move, signaling an imminent reversal.
Zooming into the daily charts, we can see a clear distribution range forming, with sideways price action after a strong rally. The MACD is showing divergence, and recent price increases have been accompanied by negative volume—another strong indicator of a potential reversal.
As explained in the video, I see two likely scenarios for entering this trade:
False Breakout: A spike above the distribution range, potentially towards or just above 1.45, followed by a sharp sell-off. This would be my preferred entry.
Big Red Candle: A strong bearish candle early next week, signaling it’s time to enter short.
For this position, my first target is the previous monthly resistance at 1.405, and my second target—more likely—is 1.385, which is now a support level.
While I expect some bounce at these levels, I believe the longer-term move will see USDCAD fall back into its range, with a potential drop toward 1.32 very much on the cards.
Let me know your thoughts below!
USDCAD Possible LongW1 : Bullish
D1 : Bullish
4H : Bullish Market Structure
1H : Currently Bearish
Narrative : Price is currently Coming out of weekly IMB by sweeping Previously weekly low > We had a Daily IMB in the way that got violated by 4H PA and retracing back to the 4H OB after tapping into 4H Area of struggle > 1H is currently Bearish
Entry Pattern : Currently Hourly Price action is bearish retracing back to 4H OB, after coming inside the OB we can look for some sort bullish sign to enter long position. First context target can be simply 1:2RR / Weak High. Eventually Price can attack Realtive Equal Highs on Top since there are no AOS upside.
USDCAD - ShortUSDCAD Analysis - SHORT 👆
In this Chart USDCAD DAILY Timeframe: By Nii_Billions.
❤️This Chart is for USDCAD market analysis.
❤️Entry, SL, and Target is based off our Strategy.
This chart analysis uses multiple timeframes to analyze the market and to help see the bigger picture on the charts.
The strategy uses technical and fundamental factors, and market sentiment to predict a BEARISH trend in USDCAD, with well-defined entry, stop loss, and take profit levels for risk management.
🟢This idea is purely for educational purposes.🟢
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USDCAD Scenario 1.1.2025In this market, I only see that if we maintain the monthly level around the price level of 1.43 and if the price wants to head towards this level, we will watch the sfp below the low and there a possible entry into long at the price where the next monthly level is located at the price of 1.45800.
USDCAD, Is 1.47 available ?Hello Traders, Happy new year in advance, I Hope you have a great year ahead with your family.
let's go for USDCAD analysis:
for upcoming weeks, we'll probably see a downward correction to Specified level at first and then it will start another Rally. so with a proper trigger we can open a short position at first and after that a long position with TP around 1.4700.
And finally tell me what do you think ? UP or DOWN ? leave your comment below this post.
If this post was helpful to you, please like it and share it with your friend.
THANKS.
USD/CAD Bull Flag: Is 1.4500 the Next Stop?The USD/CAD 6-hour chart shows a bull flag pattern, a continuation setup that typically signals the resumption of the prior bullish trend.
Following a strong upward rally, the price has consolidated in a downward-sloping channel, characteristic of a bull flag.
A breakout above the resistance (~1.4410) would confirm the pattern, potentially driving the price higher toward the next target of 1.4500 or beyond.
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however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 1.46500
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USDCAD OUTLOOKOn the 12 months chart, price shows an impulsive bearish move that took 6 years to complete. In tandem with price action, the bullish correction that is currently active has taken 14 years. Price is yet to contact a fresh long-term supply sitting at 1.544.
On the monthly and weekly charts, the structure is still the same. Price is seeking to contact a short term fresh supply at 1.44.
Once this region is contacted, we are likely to see bearish order flow setting in
USDCAD - Long after filling the imbalances !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCAD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. My point of interest is if price fills the imbalance lower and then rejects from bullish OB.
Fundamental news: On Tuesday (GMT+2) we will see results of CPI on CAD and on Wednesday Interest Rate on USD, followed by FOMC Conference.
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Flag It or Miss It...ChatGPT
🚩 Flags Don’t Lie 🚩
🔥 Traders, here’s the deal: The market loves patterns, and this chart is waving more flags than the Olympics. Bullish, bearish, they’re all here—clear as day if you know where to look. Let me break it down George-style:
1️⃣ The Bullish Flags:
See those upward rockets followed by tiny breathers? That’s the market catching its breath before sprinting again. Every breakout screams, “Get on or get left behind.” Smart traders saw these setups and printed their wins. Did you?
2️⃣ The Bearish Flags:
Now for the nosedives. The market didn’t just fall; it crashed, paused, and said, “Hang on, let me make it even worse.” Those bear flags aren’t just patterns—they’re market whispers, saying, “The pain’s not over yet.”
3️⃣ The Current Breakout:
This isn’t just any breakout; this is the market screaming, “Up, up, and away!” That bullish flag just snapped, and if you’re not riding this move, you’re watching history from the sidelines.
⚠️ Lesson? Flags are your friends, but only if you know how to read them. They’re the market’s way of leaving breadcrumbs for the pros and traps for the tourists.
💡 Stop guessing. Start seeing. Because while you’re overthinking, someone else is cashing in.
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P.S.: Next time you see a flag, ask yourself: Am I waving it or winning with it? 💥
How High Can USD-CAD Go? USD - CAD has been going up and is in a strong bullish trend according to Ichimoku signals.
Ichimoku:
-Tenkan Sen is avove Kijun Sen and pointing up
-Kumo is up, thick and Senkou Span A and B are pointing up
-Chikou Span is above the candles and has no resistance in the future
-Price broke Yellow focus lines to the upside
Price action:
-broke big inside bar to upside
-broke couple doj at resistance level
-broke resistance level
Price Target:
-Price reached n-target but could get tot V and E, because there are no signals of slowing down.
Weekly is also strong bullish.
*im a beginner trader and learning. I make these analyses for myself. Please comment on my analysis because i want to learn.
www.tradingview.com
USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex Market Heist Plan on Bullish SideHola! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
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Entry 📈 : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Low Point take entry should be in pullback.
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2H timeframe
Attention for Scalpers : Focus to scalp only on Long side, If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
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USDCAD scalp short on exhaustion reversal
As always, we like to keep it clean and simple, with technicals and analysis that's easy to see and understand. Let's get into it:
1. Wave 5 exhaustion on mult timeframes
2. Overbought 30m/1h/1D
3. Shooting star candle printed on 1h
Analysts note that USDCAD is trading within a rising channel since late September, recently peaking at 1.4178. The bullish momentum suggests potential for further gains, but short-term corrections (ie. why we're scalping) are common as traders take profits and reassess positions.
Market Sentiment and Data Releases: With key U.S. and Canadian employment data released recently, markets may experience volatility as traders digest the information. This can often lead to short-term corrections as the market adjusts to new economic indicators.
Be Alert.
Trade Green.
Does the Canadian dollar have a bullish surprise up its sleeve?This is the question I am asking myself as we head into 2025. CAD has been the weakest major for some time now based on the BOC's easing cycle, and we saw a record level of net-short exposure against it in August, and another surge of shorts in November. This strikes me as a stale trade that is vulnerable to a shakeout, and it might not require a particularly large catalyst for CAD bears to capitulate and send USD/CAD lower.
MS
USDCAD - Look for a long !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCAD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. I want price to continue the retracement to fill that huge imbalance and then to reject from bullish OB + institutional big figure 1.40000.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
USDCAD Potentially BullishOANDA:USDCAD Broke out of a major zone @1.39531 retested it and at the moment forming a double bottom around the zone. This point looks good for an entry, however, I will rather wait for price to break out of the double bottom neckline (to allow for a break in pattern of the lower lows and lower highs seen on H4) and its retest before going long.
Waiting is the name of the game! Fingers crossed and eyes on the ball
Past results does not guarantee future results, employ proper risk management on all your trades and do your analysis
#USDCAD
USDCAD Buying IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart Usdcad HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today USDCAD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (USDCAD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDCAD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Channel
USDCAD Pattern FormationThis price has been forming a ranging market for the past few years, until it broke out of the channel 2 weeks ago.
I anticipate that this pair might retest the support zone before proceeding with the bullish run.
An analysis will follow using a shorter time frame to confirm our entry.