USDCAD: Price Approaching Buying Zone, Will DXY Bounce Back? The USDCAD pair has dropped significantly in recent times, particularly as the DXY index has plummeted. The extremely bearish nature of the DXY suggests that the price of USDCAD is melting. Both fundamental and technical indicators indicate a potential bullish price reversal for this pair, which could potentially hit our first take-profit area. This is a swing analysis, so please give time for the trade to get activated and for it to work out in our favour.
Please note that this analysis does not guarantee that the price will move as suggested. Before trading, it’s essential to conduct your own research.
If you’d like to assist us, we encourage you to consider the following actions:
- Like our ideas
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- Share our ideas
Kind regards,
Team Setupsfx_
Much love ❤️🚀
Usdcadforecast
PERHAPS... USDCAD LONG FORECAST Q2 W21 D23 Y25PERHAPS... A REVERSAL BACK TO THE HTF 50EMA's
USDCAD LONG FORECAST Q2 W21 D23 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order Block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅15' order block identified
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅Daily 50 EMA
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USD/CAD Rate Drops Towards Yearly LowsUSD/CAD Rate Drops Towards Yearly Lows
The USD/CAD chart is currently showing clear signs of a bearish trend, characterised by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows (A→B→C→D→E→F→G).
This week’s decline suggests the downward structure may continue to develop, putting the current yearly low around the 1.3770 level at risk.
Why Is USD/CAD Falling?
On one hand, the US dollar remains under pressure:
→ Following last week’s downgrade of US debt ratings by Moody’s, investor attention has shifted to the country’s $36 trillion debt burden.
→ A tax bill backed by Donald Trump — recently passed in the Republican-controlled House of Representatives — could add trillions more to the national debt. Market participants may be increasingly concerned about the US’s fiscal outlook, prompting a shift towards safe-haven assets.
On the other hand, the Canadian dollar has strengthened this week relative to other major currencies. Tuesday’s CPI figures from Canada came in above analysts’ expectations and may be seen as a sign that the inflation surge could delay any potential rate cuts by the Bank of Canada.
USD/CAD Technical Analysis
In early May, we outlined a descending channel on the USD/CAD chart — a structure that remains relevant today.
The current price is hovering near the channel’s median line, which could indicate a temporary balance between supply and demand. However, with Canadian retail sales data due at 15:30 GMT+3 today, the risk of increased volatility remains high. A new weekly low cannot be ruled out.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
XAUUSD and USDCAD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D20 Y25USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D20 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Intraday breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅15' order block identified
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅Daily 50 EMA
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D16 Y25USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D16 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Intraday breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅15' order block identified
✅4 Hour order block
✅4 Hour 50 EMA
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USDCAD Analysis⚠️ Market shift alert!
Due to the new trade agreements with China, the USD may strengthen 💪
Our previous short idea from this level was invalidated as price broke without a signal ❌
Now we’re waiting for a pullback to go long from the new support zone 📈
For detailed entry points, trade management, and high-probability setups, follow the channel:
ForexCSP
AUDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D12 Y25AUDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D12 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅ Weekly order block
✅Intraday 15 order block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure to be confirmed
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Canadians Are DustedEssentially they have given their nation to communism and will suffer the consequences of poor economic performance especially when compared to the US. Over the long term CAD has only gotten weaker, and if you go back to 2007-2008 you see a massive dollar rally.
Due to future economic turmoil I see again the dollar outperforming similar to 07-08 and making new all time highs. We have already seen a retracement of all the gains USD made against CAD this year, in my opinion was expedited due to Trumps tariff tweets, now we shall begin the trend towards new highs.
While that is the macro view, my short term trade is that USD will see buys to 1.40. Only at that level is the potential for further downside possible. But till then we will see price move towards 1.40 after a retracement to 1.383
Note my chart is inverted
Just to be clear, first we will see shorts to 1.383, then we will see buys to 1.40. So a retracement then a continuation of the bullish dollar.
USDCAD – Reversal Setup Ahead of FOMC DecisionUSD/CAD has bounced off strong support near 1.3770, forming a clean bullish structure into a pivotal week dominated by the FOMC meeting. Price action shows higher lows and a tightening range, signaling a potential breakout. With the Fed expected to hold rates but maintain a hawkish tone, the USD may regain strength — especially against the CAD, which remains under pressure from trade risks and weak oil prices.
🔹 Technical Setup:
Structure: Rejection at 1.3770 support with ascending trendline developing.
Pattern: Bullish flag breakout (visible on 2H chart).
Momentum: Recovery candles suggest buyers regaining control ahead of resistance.
Key Levels:
Support: 1.3770 – 1.3780
Resistance:
TP1: 1.3852 (Fib 61.8%)
TP2: 1.3891 (swing high zone)
TP3: 1.3950 (major breakout target)
Invalidation: Below 1.3760
🧠 Fundamental View:
USD Outlook:
The Fed is widely expected to hold interest rates steady on May 7, but officials are pushing back against early rate-cut expectations. Chair Powell is likely to emphasize inflation risks and signal no imminent easing. This stance supports USD resilience, especially if the Fed reiterates “higher for longer” messaging.
CAD Outlook:
The Canadian economy continues to face export challenges from U.S. tariffs, weakening business sentiment. Meanwhile, softening oil prices reduce support for the CAD. With the Bank of Canada having already delivered several rate cuts, it remains more dovish than the Fed — creating a widening policy divergence.
💡 Trade Idea:
Bias: Bullish above 1.3780
Entry Zone: 1.3800–1.3820
Target 1: 1.3852
Target 2: 1.3891
Target 3: 1.3950
Stop Loss: Below 1.3760
📌 Watch for volatility during and after the FOMC statement and Powell’s press conference. A hawkish surprise could fuel a sharp move toward 1.39+.
Bearish Pressure Builds on USDCAD - 1D to 15m Sell Setup!Currently eyeing USDCAD 👀 — the pair has been under consistent downward pressure 📉. Volatility remains elevated ⚡, so be prepared for potential sharp moves.
The daily timeframe shows a clear bearish structure, aligning with my short bias 🐻. I’ve drilled down to the 4H, 1H, and 15min charts to refine my entry 🎯.
The 15-minute chart began showing signs of bearish momentum, and I’ve taken a short position based on that lower-timeframe confirmation ⏱️🔥.
As always, not financial advice – just sharing my view and execution logic 💼⚠️.
USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D7 Y25USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D7 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Intraday breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅15' order block identified
✅ inconclusive regarding 15' mitigated, therefore 5' order block identified after potential 15' mitigation
✅4 Hour order block
✅4 Hour 50 EMA
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D6 Y25USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D6 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Intraday breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅15' order block identified
✅ inconclusive regarding 15' mitigated, therefore 5' order block identified after potential 15' mitigation
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
#USDCAD: Two Major Buying Zones, Patience Pays! As previously analysed, USDCAD is expected to decline towards our predetermined entry point. We anticipate a bearish US Dollar for the remainder of the week, which will ultimately lead USDCAD to reach the entry zone. Three distinct target areas exist, collectively worth over 1100 pips. Each entry point, stop loss, and take profit is clearly defined.
We wish you the best of luck and safe trading.
Thank you for your support.
If you wish to assist us, we encourage you to consider the following actions:
- Like our ideas
- Provide comments on our ideas
- Share our ideas
Kind Regards,
Team Setupsfx_
Much Love ❤️🚀
USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D5 Y25USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D5 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Intraday breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅15' order block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USD/CAD: Time to Go Long?On the monthly chart, USD/CAD has found strong support, signaling a potential bullish continuation. With anticipated USD strength in the coming weeks, there’s a clear opportunity for the pair to move higher.
We are targeting 1.40180 as the first objective, with the potential to extend towards 1.41500 if momentum continues.
On the daily chart, the price is showing signs of weakness but also bullish intent, suggesting a possible retracement before a move higher. Ideally, a pullback into the 1.38490 – 1.38450 zone would offer a high-probability long entry.
USDCAD LONG POSSIBILITY SIGNALUnder current market conditions, the area near 1.3821 has been identified as a critical support zone, where the AI model detects a high-probability trade setup.
From a technical perspective, the AI algorithm has recognized a clear directional bias based on recent price action patterns. Suppose the market demonstrates increased volume and price stability above key moving averages in the 1.3821 area. In that case, traders are advised to monitor for trend-continuation entry opportunities in alignment with the prevailing momentum.
Profit targets are defined at 1.3855 and 1.3904, corresponding to logical technical resistance zones. These levels are designed for staged profit-taking across different trade management styles. Stop-loss should be strictly enforced at the designated level; once breached, the strategy is considered invalidated in order to limit potential downside.
Market Analysis: USD/CAD DipsMarket Analysis: USD/CAD Dips
USD/CAD declined and now consolidates below the 1.3850 level.
Important Takeaways for USD/CAD Analysis Today
- USD/CAD started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the 1.3900 resistance.
- There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.3815 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
USD/CAD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/CAD at FXOpen, the pair climbed toward the 1.4000 resistance zone before the bears appeared. The US Dollar formed a swing high near 1.3890 and recently declined below the 1.3850 support against the Canadian Dollar.
There was also a close below the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.3820. The bulls are now active near the 1.3770 level. The pair is now consolidating losses below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3892 swing high to the 1.3768 low.
If there is a fresh increase, the pair could face resistance near the 1.3800 level. The next key resistance on the USD/CAD chart is near the 1.3815 level.
There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.3815. If there is an upside break above 1.3815, the pair could rise toward the 1.3845 resistance or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3892 swing high to the 1.3768 low.
The next major resistance is near the 1.3890 zone, above which it could rise steadily toward the 1.3950 resistance zone. Immediate support is near the 1.3770 level.
The first major support is near 1.3720. A close below the 1.3720 level might trigger a strong decline. In the stated case, USD/CAD might test 1.3640. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a drop toward the 1.3550 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USDCAD LONG FORECAST Q2 W18 D30 Y25 USDCAD LONG FORECAST Q2 W18 D30 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅Daily low rejection
✅1' order block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USDCAD SHORT IDEAUnder current market conditions, the area near 1.3849 has been identified as a critical resistance zone, where the AI model detects a high-probability trade setup.
From a technical perspective, a clear directional bias based on recent price action patterns. Suppose the market demonstrates increased volume and price stability above key moving averages in the 1.3849 area. In that case, traders are advised to monitor for trend-continuation entry opportunities in alignment with the prevailing momentum.
Profit targets are defined at 1.3819 and 1.3785, corresponding to logical technical support zones. These levels are designed for staged profit-taking across different trade management styles. Stop-loss should be strictly enforced at the designated level; once breached, the strategy is considered invalidated in order to limit potential downside.
#USDCAD 1HUSDCAD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price has broken above a key resistance level and is currently showing signs of a retest. A successful retest of the broken resistance as support indicates that buyers are maintaining control, suggesting potential for further upward movement.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity can be considered if the price confirms the retest and starts to show bullish momentum, supporting the continuation of the breakout move.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Look for buying signals around the retest area of the previous resistance turned support.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the retest support zone to manage downside risk.
- Take Profit: Aim for higher resistance zones or key Fibonacci extension levels as potential targets.
Market Sentiment:
The breakout followed by a retest suggests a shift toward bullish sentiment. However, proper confirmation through bullish candlestick patterns or momentum indicators is advised before entering the trade.
USD/CAD ConsolidatesUSD/CAD Consolidates
In the second half of April, the USD/CAD chart has shown a decline in volatility following significant spikes observed since February.
The Canadian dollar has stabilised against the US dollar within the 1.390–1.380 range over the past week, as market participants assess what a fair USD/CAD rate might be, given the evolving news backdrop:
→ The US dollar gained upward momentum on hopes of easing trade tensions between the US and China, although the information remains conflicting — Trump claims negotiations are ongoing, while Beijing denies this.
→ Oil prices — a key Canadian export — have recovered by more than 10% from their April lows, providing support for the Canadian dollar.
→ Economic data published this week suggests a cooling in the Canadian economy: employment is declining, and the pace of average wage growth has slowed to 5.4%.
→ Although an important political event — the Canadian Parliamentary elections — is set to take place this weekend, it appears to have had little impact on the USD/CAD exchange rate so far. Trade tariffs between the US and Canada likely remain the dominant concern.
Technical Analysis of the USD/CAD Chart
Price fluctuations have formed a descending channel that originated in March.
From a bearish perspective, resistance may be encountered at:
→ the median line of the channel;
→ the psychological level of 1.400.
From a bullish perspective:
→ the price has formed a rounding bottom pattern near the 1.380 level;
→ the lower boundary of the channel is acting as significant support.
It is possible that the weekend will bring key developments that could act as catalysts, breaking the established range between 1.390 and 1.380.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USDCAD accumulation phase for long 1.4050-60usdcad stopped making further lower low in daily time frame. 23rd April daily candle made a higher low, indication for strength for coming days. demand zone for long is 1.3840-3800, stop loss: 1.3780, target: 1.4050-50. even weekly trend is down. reversal/counter trend trade. use lower risk please.