Usdcadforecast
#USDCAD 1DAYUSDCAD Daily Analysis: Uptrend and Buy Opportunity
The USDCAD currency pair is currently displaying a strong upward trend, characterized by a series of higher highs and higher lows. Recent price action indicates that the pair is gaining momentum, driven by positive economic data from the U.S. and supportive factors from the Canadian economy.
Key Indicators:
Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is positioned above the 200-day moving average, confirming the bullish trend.
RSI: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trending upwards but remains below the overbought threshold, suggesting room for further gains.
Support Levels: Recent pullbacks have respected key support levels, providing a solid foundation for potential upward movement.
Market Sentiment:
Investor sentiment is leaning towards bullishness, with increased demand for the U.S. dollar amid a stable economic outlook. Additionally, any shifts in oil prices can influence the CAD, but currently, the technical setup favors a continued upward trajectory.
Buy Opportunity:
Traders looking to capitalize on this uptrend should consider entering long positions on pullbacks to key support levels, ideally in conjunction with positive market news or economic releases. Targeting previous resistance levels can provide a favorable risk-reward ratio.
Overall, the USDCAD pair presents a promising buy opportunity for traders looking to align with the prevailing uptrend.
#USDCAD 1HSell Opportunity: USDCAD 1H Chart
Pattern: Rectangle Resistance
Description:
On the 1-hour chart for USDCAD, the currency pair is showing a classic rectangle pattern at the resistance level. This pattern is characterized by a consolidation phase where the price oscillates between well-defined support and resistance lines, forming a horizontal channel.
Currently, the price is approaching the upper boundary of this rectangle pattern, which acts as a resistance level. This is a typical sell opportunity as the market is expected to face selling pressure upon hitting this resistance.
Traders should consider entering a sell position as the price tests this resistance area, with the expectation of a potential reversal or pullback. The ideal strategy would be to set a stop-loss just above the resistance level to manage risk, and look for a target within the rectangle's support range.
Keep an eye on additional confirmation signals, such as bearish candlestick patterns or momentum indicators, to validate the sell setup and increase the probability of a successful trade.
USDCADOn the monthly and weekly charts, we have bearish price action.. After a strong bearish run in 2021, the price sought to correct previous imbalance that is about to come to an end. Presently (22.04.2024), we expect price to make one final push higher, thereafter we will be looking for reversal signs.
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Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 1H timeframe
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USDCAD have potential for pullback"Pendent order" wait for 1.35261 to go long if we broke it for upside.
Traders should not use my plans as signals; they are meant to share my market perspective based on price reactions to key levels. Relying on others' signals limits your learning and causes insecurity. Instead, use my plans to enhance your strategy. Perform your own analysis and risk management first, then consult my plans to identify the best trading zones, the best levels to buy or to sell. Learning from others is important, but copying them won't make you a professional. Developing your own strategy and critical analysis skills is crucial for long-term success. Always trust your judgment and focus on continuous learning to improve your skills.
Your trading is your responsibility. Choose a good risk management.
USDCAD possible long for 1.37241.3570-50 strong trendline support area. 22nd August daily key reversal bar, made a new low closed off the high dictation for strength coming in usdcad for next coming days. Buying demand levels are 1.3595 and next one buying level 1.3550. stop loss is 1.3535, target: 1.3724.
1.3668 initial resistance level before target 1.3724. need to break and close above 1.3668 to reach the target 1.3724.
1:10 RISK TO REWARD SELL SETUP FOR USDCADCore Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts
Here’s a detailed breakdown of the analysis based on the Smart Money Concepts methodology:
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: 15M
Swing Structure:
The structure is currently bearish, with multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirming the downtrend. The price has mitigated Inducement and is now undergoing a corrective swing move.
Only the extreme Sell Order Block (SOB) is identified as the Point of Interest (POI) in the Premier zone, making this area highly attractive for sellers.
This area has also served as a Resistance or Demand zone for sellers in the past, adding to its significance.
Pattern:
🟢 Chart Patterns:
To be assessed once the price reaches the POI.
🟢 Candle Patterns:
Will be updated upon the price reaching the POI.
Volume:
🟢 Significant volume is observed in the selling areas, indicating strong selling interest.
Momentum RSI:
🟢 The RSI is in the super-sell zone, indicating strong bearish momentum. Although there is an attempt at a range shift, it’s not confirmed yet, and the bearish sentiment still dominates.
Volatility Bollinger Bands:
🟢 The volatile move is about to conclude, and the market may require some time to cool down before the next significant movement.
Strength ADX:
The ADX indicates that sellers are firmly in control, supporting the bearish outlook.
Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4 Stars)
Probability: 60%
The setup shows a moderate-to-high probability, but confirmation from patterns and additional indicators could increase this further.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: 15M
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bearish
☑️ POI: Extreme unmitigated OB
💡 Decision: Sell Limit
🚀 Entry: 1.3678
✋ Stop loss: 1.3686
🎯 Take profit: 1.3602
😊 Risk to reward Ratio: 10 RR
🕛 Expected Duration: 2 Days
SUMMARY:
The analysis suggests a strong selling opportunity on the 15-minute timeframe, with a sell limit entry at 1.3678. The stop loss is tightly set at 1.3686, providing a high risk-to-reward ratio of 10:1, with a take-profit target at 1.3602. This setup is favored by the current bearish market structure and the significant volume observed in selling zones. While the momentum is still bearish, the upcoming price action near the POI will be crucial in confirming this trade's potential. Monitoring the formation of chart and candle patterns at the POI will be essential for executing this setup effectively.
USDCAD: 800+ Pips Move, Do not Miss Out! Dear Traders,
As we stated in our last analysis that price will bounce from our designated buying zone, for us that area remain a key level as price is likely to retrace from the area. Following our last idea, price did rise up higher than that we expected, however, it has almost reached our area of buying.
Good Luck and trade safe.
USDCAD top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
11 RR Sell Setup for USDCADCore Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts
Based on the Smart Money Concepts methodology, we have identified a strong demand zone on the daily timeframe, which has once again given a strong rejection, changing the price character from bullish to bearish on the H1 timeframe.
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: H1
Swing Structure:
Bearish CHoCH from higher timeframe zone rejection.
Took inducement and now ready for a corrective swing move with its 1st pullback.
Internal structure turned bullish for a correction towards extreme and decisional POI (Order Flow or Order Block).
Preferred POI: Order Flow in the Premier zone of the swing.
Entry Model: Regular SMC.
Daily Resistance: Supply zone where sellers still have full control, with the 3rd breakout attempt failure.
Pattern:
🟢 Chart Patterns:
Reversal: Head and Shoulders pattern is clearly visible and completed.
🟢 Candle Patterns:
Observed multiple reversal candlestick patterns on the daily timeframe, including Doji, Long Wick, Engulfing, and Dark Clouds. These patterns indicate strong bearish momentum at the level.
Volume:
🟢 Very massive volume observed on the daily timeframe right before and after rejection, with the price reacting bearish. This is a strong indication for a sell position.
Momentum RSI:
🟢 Price is in the bullish zone yet, but strange things are noted in terms of momentum on the daily timeframe.
🟢 Strongest 3-candle divergence and loud moves.
According to Andrew Cardwell's method (used for momentum analysis with RSI), loud moves are almost 90% confirmed moves.
Volatility Bollinger Bands:
🟢 After one of the longest contraction phases, the breakout to the upper side was unable to give the expected move and was rejected after a squeeze breakout.
🟢 Walking on the band took a rejection with a head fake, indicating strong bearish control here.
Strength ADX: Neutral
Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Entry Time Frame: H1
Entry TF Structure: Bearish CHoCH
POI: Waiting for mitigation
Decision: Sell limit order with extreme risk (as per my money management strategy).
🚀 Entry: 1.3855
✋ Stop loss: 1.3955
🎯 Take profit: 1.2818
😊 Risk to reward Ratio: 11 RR
🕛 Expected Duration: 45 Days
SUMMARY:
Based on the comprehensive analysis using Smart Money Concepts, a sell limit order at 1.3855 with a stop loss at 1.3955 and a take profit at 1.2818 is recommended. The setup shows strong bearish indications across various parameters, making it a high-probability trade. The expected duration for this trade is 45 days with a risk to reward ratio of 11 RR.
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USDCAD Scalping signalsUSD/CAD holds below 1.3900 on dovish Fed bets, eyes on US PMI data
USD/CAD trades with mild gains 1.3880 in Monday’s early European session. The uptick of the pair is bolstered by the risk-off sentiment. Traders expect one more 25 bps rate cut by the BoC in its September meeting.
BUY USDCAD now zone 0.38700-0.38500
↠ Stoploss 0.38300
→ Take Profit 1 0.39000
→ Take Profit 2 0.39700