USDCADThe US dollar has pulled back a bit during the trading session on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 50 basis points. This was widely expected, so that was knocking to move the needle much. That being said, the market is likely to continue to see a lot of questions asked as to where we are going to go in the future, but I think at this point we are more likely than not going to continue to see more of the same back-and-forth that we have over the last several months. Quite frankly, not much has changed as the 1.29 level has held quite significantly.
Underneath, the 1.25 level is massive support, so the fact that we are at the top of the range should not surprise people in the sense that it has turned things around. If we were to break above the 1.29 level, then it would be very bullish for the US dollar, but it should be noted that the crude oil market was very strong during the day, and therefore I think it is very likely that we drift lower from here. I would not necessarily suggest some type of meltdown, just a continuation of the overall range-bound trading that we had seen. In other words, I think is going to be more of the same.
Keep in mind that this pair does tend to be very choppy as the two countries do so many cross-border transactions, but if you are a range-bound trader this might be the best place to be right now. We have clearly defined levels that we can pay close attention to, and as long as that is going to be the case I see no reason to fight what could be a very lucrative market. You need to be a bit cautious about overextending yourself because we do get the occasional violent move, but at this point, it is obvious that there are buyers and sellers at very distinct points on this chart, which is part of what makes it so interesting. I do not see this market breaking out, but if we were to clear the 1.30 handle, then we could start moving to the upside, in a very dangerous “risk-off” type of situation. You would probably see the oil markets under serious pressure at the same time.
Usdcadforecast
USDCAD top-down analysis, UPDATEDHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDCAD - FUNDAMENTAS WITH TECHNICAL LEVELS- A very important event took place yesterday. The US Federal Reserve raised their rates by .50%. Before that there was some talk among the traders about it. So after raising their rates, the US dollar weakened. This is because the USD has been BUY in the past due to the sentiment of traders on the rates they are raising. Other economic indicator data released yesterday also remained weak. Although the Canadian dollar does not have any special news for today, their employment data reports are due to be released tomorrow.
- DXY is currently at 102.816 LEVEL. USD has become STRONG with RATE HIKE SENTIMENT in the last few days. Also, the CAD FEATURE is slightly up to 0.7850 LEVEL. However, CAD is a bit WEAK compared to DXY.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is RISK ON. STOCKS is currently displaying a GREEN SIDE BIAS. But American STOCKS are going down a bit. And VOLATILITY is DOWN. Also COMMODITIES still shows a UP SIDE BIAS. Currently there is only one RISK ON BIAS on the market. Therefore, in the future, all currencies such as NZD CAD AUD can definitely be UP. Also JPY CHF can be DOWN.
- USDCAD PRICE can be DOWN to 1.2664 LEVEL before re-UP. Then the USDCAD PRICE can be UP again up to 1.2963 LEVEL. The USD is slightly WEAK at this time due to the MARKET SENTIMENT. But over time, that is likely to change. The OIL PRICE applies to USDCAD, and the decisions made at OPEC MEETING will have the greatest impact on USDCAD. It could be DXY CORRECTION in the future because it has been BUY for the last few days. So stay tuned for that.
USDCAD top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
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USDCAD top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDCAD - ISM MANUFACTURING TODAY - The most important indicator data for the US dollar is due to be released today. ISM MANUFACTURING DATA is one of the most important DATA. So we need to look at the US dollar today. Also, the Canadian dollar is not showing any significant news today.
- DXY is currently at 103.72 LEVEL. USD has become STRONG in the last few days. Also, the CAD FEATURE is slightly down to 0.7767 LEVEL. However, compared to DXY, CAD is now WEAK due to OIL being DOWN.
- OVERALL MARKET is currently NEUTRAL. Last Friday also a NEUTRAL TONE was played in the NEWYORK SESSION on the MARKET. US STOCKS are currently showing a GREEN SIDE BIAS. And VOLATILITY is becoming UP. Also COMMODITIES still shows a DOWN SIDE BIAS. There is a NEUTRAL BIAS currently on the market. It's a bit more than the DOWN SIDE BIAS. Because it is VIX UP and EQUITIES NEUTRAL. We can not say for sure whether the MARKET SENTIMENT is UP or DOWN. But according to the data available so far we can say that MARKETS RISK is OFF.
- OIL PRICE is currently down a bit. It will inevitably affect CAD.
- USDCAD PRICE can be DOWN to 1.2772 LEVEL before UP. Then the USDCAD PRICE can be UP again up to 1.2963 LEVEL. The USD is slightly stronger at this time due to the MARKET SENTIMENT. The OIL PRICE applies to USDCAD, and the decisions made at OPEC MEETING will have the greatest impact on USDCAD. DXY is BUY because of the STRONG SENTIMENT that the US dollar has received so far, but it could be DXY CORRECTION in the future because it has been BUY for the last few days.
USDCAD IDEA 2ND MAY 2022We have seen a clear bearish structure from last month and currently we are still in the bearish zone and we have seen multiple bearish confirmation as price surges upwards we are currently in a bearish zone looking to see price drop from the supply zone of the 1hr timeframe having gotten a lower timeframe confirmation we are currently bearish on USDCAD for the long run
DXY/USDCAD/EURUSD - REVERSAL EXPECTED?DXY - Dollar Index has approached to its 5 year high of 103 - 104 with strong monthly candle.
USDCAD - is approaching to the 2021 resistance level which it breaks during Covid-19 period.
EURUSD - has been testing 2015/16 lows after breaking Covid-19 lows.
Both the pairs are heavily dependent Dollar Index which remains in limelight after FED Interest rates expectations.
What should we expect from here?
Since all three are at important levels which can be the reversal points or continuation of the main trend. We have been waiting for DXY to make a move first. If we have closing above resistance with FED rate hike in May'22 the trend will continue.
Let us know what do you think in comment sections.