USDCAD - Floating profit ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCAD.
Technical analysis: As I expected in my previous analysis price took sell side liquidity, filled the imbalance and rejected from bullish order block. Now I expect bullish continuation and the target is 1.38000 where we have 4H imbalance.
Fundamental news: Tomorrow we have NFP day, news with important impact on USD, so pay attention to the result in order to validate the analysis.
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Usdcadforecast
USD/CAD!! New week for recovery early December✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on USDCAD price next week from 4/12 - 8/12/2023
🔥 World situation:
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is currently experiencing upward movement in trading on Friday, once again strengthening against its primary counterpart, the US Dollar (USD). This comes after Canadian employment data surpassed market expectations by a significant margin. Throughout the week, the Canadian Dollar has been one of the best-performing currencies, exhibiting a 1% increase against the US Dollar since Monday's opening rates.
In November, Canada witnessed nearly double the number of job additions compared to the median market forecast. Approximately 25,000 new positions were created, surpassing the projected 15,000 and outpacing October's 17,500 new jobs.
🔥 Identify:
A week without much important news about CAD, the price is moving towards a fairly strong support zone along with the resistance zone according to FIBONACCY, setting up a BUY signal.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the USDCAD price according to the D1 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: 1.35800 ; 1.37800
Support : 1.34450
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
7 Dimension Analysis For USDCAD🕛 TOPDOWN - Anticipating a Bullish Breakout in a Super Consolidation Phase
Overview: The market has been in a super consolidation phase from 2016 to 2023, forming a yearly flag, signaling a potential continuation. Monthly and weekly scenarios reveal a ranging market, seemingly dull, but with indications of a change. The Wyckoff spring on the weekly chart signals a shift from a downtrend to a pre-breakout buildup, suggesting upcoming momentum and volatility.
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: Daily
1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bullish to sideways
🟢 Structure Behavior: Break of Structure (BoS)
🟢 Swing Move: Impulsive sideways buildup
🟢 Inducement: Done, inside low confirmed.
🟢 Pull Back 1st: Strong, with the mitigation of the 1st Order Block (OB), a robust bull signal.
🟢 Internal Structure: Sideways bullish. Confluence across daily, weekly, monthly, yearly time frames.
🟢 Support/Demand Area: An imminent buy area. Trendline marked for a bullish breakout.
2️⃣ Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS
Reversal: Potential rounding patterns; internal round may form at the support level of 1.3520.
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS
Key Considerations:
Observing candle behavior at the forthcoming support area.
3️⃣ Volume: At 1.3572, significant buy volume, marking a potent Point of Interest (POI) for bullish entry.
4️⃣ Momentum RSI:
🟢 Momentum State: Sideways zone.
🟢 Range Shift: Bullish to sideways.
🟢 Overbought Rejections: Count of 2.
5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands:
🟢 Middle band below the price, a preferable position.
🟢 Commencement of a squeeze.
🟢 Completion of a head fake, indicating potential bullish movement.
🟢 Puncher pin at the lower band, a bullish signal.
6️⃣ Strength: USD is stronger than CAD at this point.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: Daily
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bullish
☑️ Current Move: Corrective move is done, and a churn in H1 (Hourly) suggests potential momentum.
✔ Support/Resistance Base: Daily demand area.
☑️ Candles Behavior: RSC, Long wicks, Doji, Momentum.
☑️ FIB Trigger Event: Confirmed.
☑️ Final Comments: Buy Now.
💡 Decision: BUY.
🚀 Entry: 1.3620
✋ Stop Loss: 1.3540
🎯 Take Profit: 1.4049
2nd Exit if Internal Structure Changes, 3rd Trendline Breakout, FOMO.
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:5
🕛 Expected Duration: 30 DAYS
SUMMARY: The analysis strongly suggests a bullish breakout in a market transitioning from super consolidation. With confluence across various time frames and supportive indicators like the Wyckoff spring, there's a comprehensive bullish bias. Key focus areas include a significant demand zone, observable candle behavior, and the completion of a head fake in the Bollinger Bands. The strategy involves a confident buy entry with clear risk management and exit criteria.
USDCAD - Long active ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCAD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from higher timeframe perspective, so I am looking for longs. I expect bullish price action from here as price took sell side liquidity from old low and rejected from bullish order block.
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USD/CAD! 28/11 support zone BUY NOW ⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ USDCAD INFORMATION:
The USD/CAD continues to decline for the third straight session, trading below the psychological level of 1.3600 during Tuesday's Asian session. The Canadian Dollar (CAD) receives some support from the rise in Crude oil prices and positive market sentiment.
Currently, the price of Western Texas Intermediate (WTI) has broken its four-day losing streak and is hovering around $75.30 per barrel. All attention is focused on the upcoming important OPEC+ meeting, with widespread expectations for a decision to further reduce and prolong cuts to oil production.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
According to the H1 frame, the price retested the support area of 1.36000. Buying pressure is unlikely to overcome this support zone today. SET UP BUY signal recovers
⭐️ SET UP USDCAD PRICE:
🔥BUY USDCAD zone: 1.36000-1.35900 SL 1.35500
TP1: 1.36300
TP2: 1.36600
TP3: 1.37000
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
USDCAD → Fall to 1.35200 or 1.40000!? Here's What We Know.USDCAD closed a bear candle below its bull channel support last week, leaving the bulls to wonder if this is the beginning of the end! Will the US Dollar recover and bring us back into the bull channel?
How do we trade this?
We closed a candle below the bull channel, it's reasonable to be biased to short in the short term. The price may want to make contact with the 200EMA at 1.35200 where it could show support and bounce to the upside. I think a short for 100 pips to 1.35200 is reasonable with a protective stop just above the bull channel support. It would be reasonable to take some or all profit just above the 200EMA, but you could hold some and see if the price falls further.
Key Takeaways
1. Closed Candle out of Bull Channel, Bias to Short.
2. Look at 4HR chart for a test of Bull Channel Support.
3. After Sell Signal, Target TP at 200EMA 1.35200
4. Watch for Support at 200EMA
5. RSI at 41.00, below Moving Average, Supports Short.
You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk!
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USDCAD: UPDATE 25/11/2023! Dear Traders,
Our last idea on USDCAD, was a successful one it rejected at our area and dropped 160 pip; with this setup we anticipating price to do a retracement before it drop further. With accurate stop loss and risk management we can successfully achieve our target on this idea.
what do you think of USDCAD?
USD/CAD Drop to 1.35000? This is An Optimal Short Setup!USD/CAD is forming a Head and Shoulders reversal pattern, potentially signaling the end of this bull channel. The price action has begun to stall and oscillate around the 1.37000 level and is now falling below the 200EMA. We are now faced with a reversal signal in a bull channel.
How do we trade this?
The probability of profit is greater longing in a bull channel because there are more bull bars than bear bars. We are faced with a potential reversal pattern, the head and shoulders, which negates our bias to long. Should we short?
If you're looking to swing trade, yes! Swing trading involves lower win rates because you're trading the reversal of a pattern. In other words, you bet against the trend, which means your probability of profit is low, but your reward is *much* higher as a result.
A decent short here would have been to enter around 1.38000. Since that price is behind us, I would short here and set a protective stop loss above the right shoulder at 1.38000, take profit with half your position just below the bull channel at 1.36000, and the rest just above the 200EMA at 1.35300. Once the first take profit is hit, move your stop up to the entry price or just above it to lock in profits.
Key Points
1. Bull Channel with a reversal pattern.
2. Potential Head and Shoulders Forming.
3. Gap down to 200EMA, reasonable profit target.
4. RSI has Room to Fall
You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk!
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USDCAD: The US dollar faces a weekly decline as inflation easesThe US dollar faces its biggest weekly decline in months against the euro, yen and franc. This comes after investors began selling in anticipation of a near 100 basis point interest rate cut in the United States expected next year.
By Friday, the dollar had fallen 1.6% from a week earlier, trading at $1.0854 against the euro, its steepest decline since mid-July. For the week, it fell 1.6% to CHF 0.8882, and against the yen it fell 0.6% to CHF 150.53.
Oil prices hit a four-month low on Thursday, and Walmart (NYSE:WMT) also announced price cuts, adding to deflationary pressures. This week's data showed U.S. consumer prices stabilizing, convincing investors that inflation is falling and the days of rising interest rates are over.
Weak US economic data released on Thursday also supported this view. Futures markets are currently pricing in a 98 basis point (bp) rate cut by the Federal Reserve next year, up from 73 basis points a week ago.
Peter Dragicevic, strategist at cross-border payment company Copay, comments on the situation. He said the degree of mitigation being considered looked positive, but the direction was correct. He added that the momentum of US inflation is changing and the negative effects of past monetary tightening are beginning to show.
With the Fed's next easing cycle looming, Dragicevic expects the US dollar to weaken gradually over the next few quarters as US yields fall and US growth recovers.
USDCADPair : USDCAD ( U.S Dollar / Canadian Dollar )
Description :
Rising Wedge as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame with the Breakout of the Lower Trend Line and Completed the Retracement at Fibonacci Level - 78.60%. Completed Impulsive Waves " 12345 " and " AB " Corrective Wave
Entry Precautions :
Don't Enter Until it complete Correction
USD/CAD Daily Analysis - Pullback Before Major Bull Run!?USD/CAD bounced nicely off of 1.36300 for a nice 200+ pip run to the upside. We ended last week with a Daily Pin Bar Bear candle, and DXY (Dollar Index) was in a trading range. Where does that leave us for this week?
First, we're in a bull channel which means the probability of profit is in the bull's favor. I am looking for a long entry and have no interest in shorting the Daily chart at this time. Since our last candle was a bear pin bar, that may be an indication that we're entering a minor pullback and should wait until it concludes. The RSI is just above 50.00 and curling down, you may want another test at the 45.00 level before going up.
We also have established a minor trend line within the current bull channel with this last bounce. With a good bull signal bar in the 1.37000 area, I would consider entering a long with a stop loss just below the channel bottom and a take profit at the next Weekly previous high of 1.40000.
Key Points
1. Bull Channel, Always in Long
2. Last Candle was a bear Pin Bar
3. DXY in Trading Range
4. Look for at least a small pullback before longing.
5. RSI is just above 50.00, wait for a pullback
Until we see a minor pullback and bounce, I would wait to long and definitely not short unless it's on the lower timeframes (5m, 15m, 1hr).
You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk!
Let us know what you think in the comment section below!
USDCAD - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH4 - Bearish convergence.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Bearish hidden divergence.
H1 - Bearish trend pattern.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Bearish divergence.
Until the two strong resistance zones hold my short term view remains bearish here.
USDCAD is still continuing its upward momentumSpeaking on Tuesday, a number of hardline Fed members hinted that the economy may be weaker as a result of the tightening of financial conditions since July, which has seen a rise in 10-year Treasury yields of more than 100 basis points. However, it will take more time to determine if this effect is sustained.
"Inflation has decreased somewhat, but it is still too high," Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan stated at a Kansas City conference. The fundamental query, in my opinion, is whether the current fiscal constraints are stringent enough to quickly and sustainably raise inflation to 2%.
In a speech in St. Louis, Fed board of governors member Christopher Waller referred to the rate move as a “shock” to the bond market, while Michelle Bowman, another
USD/CAD reverses from channel top, probable sellDear traders, USD/CAD has slowed down after hitting the top
of the price channel on the daily chart.
If the channel resistance holds, we can expect USD/CAD to gradually
fall back to the bottom of the channel. So, selling the rallies in
USDCAD@1.3800-1.3840, SL : 1.39 and TP : 1.3570 is a probable sell trade.
USDCAD - Look for a long position ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCAD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for long. I want price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish order block + institutional big figure 1.37000.
Fundamental news: Tomorrow will be released Unemployment Rate in Canada, as well it will be NFP day in USA, so pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
USDCAD: Amidst a slowdown in interest rate increases, US marketsU.S. stocks are on track to post their biggest weekly gain this year as investors express optimism that U.S. interest rate hikes will be halted. This also led to higher bond prices and a weaker dollar. The focus now shifts to the US jobs report, which will be released later today.
The Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates on hold on Wednesday, combined with Chairman Jerome Powell's assertion that risks to the interest rate outlook are balanced, led to a rise in bond yields. The benchmark 10-year Treasury note fell more than 20 basis points in two sessions.