USDCAD: US Dollar's position as the primary global reserve curreThe Return of the Sellers
Over the past two decades, the US Dollar's market share has declined from 71 percent to 59 percent, and it may continue to reduce further in the future. This has a negative impact on the United States since global currency usage is a zero-sum game. When other currencies like Yuan, real, or Rupee are used in global trade, the US Dollar is left out. If other currencies gain more prominence, it may compromise America's dominance in the global market.
Usdcadshort
USDCAD 1.34943 -0.06% LONG IDEA 📈💡🐮HELLO EVERYONE
HOPE EVERYONE IS DOING GOOD.
* Looking at USD/CAD in the coming week
1. Closed the week range bound on the Dollar/CAD.
2. Looking for some Liquidity runs to get some directional perspective.
3. Should we break above looking for short entries towards sell side.
4. Looking to fill some gaps below .
lets see how it goes.
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* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
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USDCAD 1H: Bearish outlook seen, further downside below 1.3420On the 1H timeframe, price is showing strong bearish correction. A pullback to the resistance zone at 1.35, which coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, and a break below downside confirmation at 1.345 could present an opportunity to play the drop to the resistance-turned-support zone at 1.342. Price is holding below ichimoku clouds and 20 EMA, supporting our bearish bias.
USD/CAD Reacts to CPI, Debt Ceiling Woes Two big events affecting the USD/CAD pair include the CPI reading from Canada yesterday as well as the ongoing debt ceiling crisis in the US.
In April, the monthly Canadian headline CPI surged by 0.7%, resulting in an annual rate of 4.4% compared to the previous 4.3%. This increase exceeded the consensus estimates by three-tenths of a percent in both instances. Consequently, the USD/CAD experienced a 0.4% decrease, reaching 1.3404, before rebounding to a high of 1.3535 USD/CAD has now also breached its 200-day simple moving average on the downside, closing below it to reinforce the bearish signal.
Strengthening this assertion is that the Bank of Canada had recently put a halt to its tightening campaign, having raised interest rates by 425 basis points since March 2022. However, they indicated that this pause was dependent on the inflation outlook aligning with the forecasted trajectory. It is unlikely that this week's CPI data meets this requirement.
Offsetting the positive news for the Canadian dollar is the prevailing optimism in the United States regarding the government's ability to avoid defaulting on its debt.
Following emergency discussions at the White House, President Joe Biden and Republican leaders cautiously expressed hope for a potential agreement to raise the US debt ceiling. The agreement must be reached and approved by both houses of Congress before the federal government exhausts its funds to cover expenses, which could occur as soon as June 1 (only two weeks away). Despite House of Representatives Speaker Kevin McCarthy stating that the two parties remain considerably apart, he believes that a deal could be achieved by the end of the current week.
usdcad short trade, looking to continue shortusdcad made a peak formation on monday (multisession m ) so today i was looking for a break of the asian numbers upwards, then a trapping setup. which I saw. usdcad has completed level 1 of the markemaker cycle. Looking to go short tomorrow for level 2
my forex funds 100k challenge
phase 2
Balance 104,499
Target 105,000
USDCAD: Nice entry for Buy-er!Fundamental Overview
If the Federal Reserve meeting were held today, it is likely that they would maintain the current interest rates due to the ongoing uncertainty surrounding the banking sector. However, it's important to note that market conditions can change rapidly. If the upcoming weekend remains stable without any urgent need to rescue failing banks, there is a good chance of a 25 basis points rate hike. The Federal Reserve tends to increase rates until economic instabilities arise. In the case of only SVB, persistently high inflation could trigger further rate hikes. This would result in a stronger US Dollar, which could eventually lead to a decline in stock markets once the relief rally surrounding no new bank failures subsides.
Plan trade in the intro
USDCAD successfully fulfilled my last idea. What nextUsdcad is exactly moved according my previous analysis and give us 230+ pips
( tagged ).
Market is trading in symmetrical triangle pattern and near the resistance area, if market hold resistance and reject from the area you can sell
I expect some bearish move from this zone.
Always trade safe and must use stop loss.
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CAD CPI could trigger next wave downThe previous CAD CPI data marked a significant turning point, with CAD having a 2 week hangover and the basket of major currencies getting a wild ride against the weakened CAD.
Could we see the opposite this time around? USD is seeing significant strength against the basket but is starting to look ripe for a pullback. If we see another strong day for USD on monday, pushing USDCAD into the cluster of pre vious activity between 1.36000 - 1.36500, we could be primed for a significant pullback in USD strength and the CAD CPI might just be the catalyst for a major leg down to back below 1.34500.
Of course, don't trade blindly, wait to see if the setup occurs, see the CPI numbers and how the market reacts. This is a very specific scenario, but if we are in that 1.36000 range when the numbers are released Tuesday, I'll be very quick to enter short if the market sees intraday downside momentum.
USDCAD - Short from bearish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCAD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for shorts. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block + institutional big figure 1.36000.
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Bearish Outlook on USDCAD - 5 May 2023Price broke below a key resistance-turned-support zone at 1.3520 on the D1 timeframe. A pullback to this zone, which is in line with the 78.6% Fibonacci extension level, could provide the bearish acceleration to the next support zone at 1.3320, which coincides with the 261.8% Fibonacci extension. Price is holding below the 20 EMA and Ichimoku cloud, supporting our bearish bias.
USD/CAD moves to daily low: Ivey PMI retreats less than expectedThe Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) in Canada, which measures the month-to-month variation in economic activity, dropped to 56.8 (seasonally adjusted) in April from 58.2 in March. However, this was a smaller drop than the market had expected, with the consensus forecast at 54.8. Following the release of the data, USD/CAD initially moved towards daily lows but later largely ignored the figures. The pair was last seen trading modestly higher on the day at 1.3615.
However, the USD/CAD is still in a bearish trend, and the recent price action suggests that the pair could resume its decline. Furthermore, the USD Index is trading within a tight range in the low-101.00s, and the loss of 101.00 could expose a move to the year-to-date low.
TRADE IDEA DETAILS
CURRENCY PAIR: #USDCAD
CURRENT TREND: Bearish
TRADE SIGNAL: ↘️Sell
👉ENTRY PRICE: 1.3590
✅TAKE PROFIT: 1.3470
❌STOP LOSS: 1.3660
This bearish outlook for the USD Index could also put downward pressure on the USD/CAD pair. Therefore, a sell signal is recommended for the USD/CAD pair.
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