USD/CHF: Bearish Bias with Key Levels in FocusThe USD/CHF pair is showing a continued bearish outlook, with an expected range around 0.84481. A potential bullish scenario is only likely to emerge if the price breaks above the key resistance level of 0.85341.
⚠️ Key Pivot Level: The daily pivot at 0.85042 is critical, as it may serve as a reversal point for the current upward move. Keep a close eye on this level for any shifts in momentum.
Usdchf!
USDCHF H4 | Bullish Bounced offBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just bounced off our buy entry at 0.8458.87, which is an overlap support close to 61.8% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 0.8535, which is an overlap esistance level.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.8405, which is a swing-low support level.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?USD/CHF is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.8446
1st Support: 0.8405
1st Resistance: 0.8527
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD/CHF Dips Amid Caution, but Bullish Long-Term Outlook RemainsThe USD/CHF pair has lost some ground as traders proceed with caution following the release of key economic data from the United States, particularly the JOLTS Job Openings report. After initially reacting to a well-established Demand Area over the past few days, the USD/CHF price began to recover slightly, reflecting market uncertainty and a lack of momentum. However, despite the short-term pullback, our long-term outlook for the pair remains unchanged.
From a fundamental perspective, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals an interesting divergence: retail traders are heavily short in this demand zone, while large speculators continue to maintain long positions. This contrast suggests that the smart money sees value in the current price level, supporting the potential for an upward move.
Additionally, seasonality patterns point to the start of a potential bullish trend for the USD/CHF pair. Historically, this time of year has seen upward pressure on the US Dollar, which could further support a continuation of the recovery.
In conclusion, while short-term fluctuations may cause some hesitation, the broader market signals—retailers positioned short, large speculators holding long positions, and favorable seasonality—suggest that the USD/CHF pair may be gearing up for a bullish move in the coming weeks. Traders should remain vigilant and watch for opportunities to enter long positions as the market stabilizes.
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Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level our take profit.
Entry: 0.8446
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8392
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.8565
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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USDCHF H4 I Bullish Bounced off Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 0.84766, which is a pullback support close to 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 0.8561, an overlap resistance.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.8445, which is a pullback support level close to 61.8% Fibo retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDCHF out lookUs dollar vs swiss franc out look
Today it has made a beautiful move upwards now it seems like it will retouch its previous support level and then fly over to its Resistance level also the pair is having resistance over its 50 SMA over 1 Hourly TF
So we are bullish over USDCHF after getting support it will continue its bullish move
USDCHF Short Opportunity Downtrend Continuation: The USDCHF is in a clear downtrend, indicated by the sequence of lower highs and lower lows. This is further confirmed by the downward slope of the 50-period and 200-period moving averages.
Moving Averages: The price is currently below the 50 and 200-period SMAs, which are both sloping downward. This further supports a bearish outlook.
Awaited Dollar Rebound, Too Expensive FrancCHF
- Market Internals
- SNB doesn't like it high
USD
- Strong GDP data. Claims were released slightly below the cons.; ISM PMI positive expectations
- Oversold dollar due to exaggerated cut expectations
- Bullish CFTC
Technical & Other
Setup: TR(B)
Setup timeframe: 4h
Trigger: 1h
Medium-term: Down
Long-term: Down
Min target: Local mirror level, 3R
Risk: 0.22%; 1R
* 1st entry 0.5R near the down band of the local range (buy limit); 2nd 0.5R when 1h closed above DMA(10)
USD/CHF Correction view(09/03/2024)After a sharp move from lower prices in USD/CHF/ the Price has jumped from 0.84 to 0.853.
The last Upward leg had low momentum and finally reached its peak and reversed after CHF Inflation Data.
Right now the price is declining indicating the price is heading toward lower prices.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
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USDCHF may jump upto orderblock with news!USDCHF was in a strong downtrend for few months and finally started to move after bouncing back from support level. We see an order block on the monthly support, and a change of trend after retesting the support level.
We see back to back two 4h Liquidity Candle formation signaling potential uptrend to next order block where downtrend started.
News may provide further strong fuel to the upside, a possible bullish trade is high probable
USDCHF H4 | Bullish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is in a bullish momentum. Wait for the price to pullback to our sell entry at 0.8509, which serves as a pullback support.
Our take profit will be at 0.8583, a pullback resistance level close to 50% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss will be at 0.8452, an overlap support level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Potential bullish rise?USD/CHF has reacted off the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could rise to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.8502
1st Support: 0.8444
1st Resistance: 0.8569
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCHF and USDCAD top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USD/CHF Recovery Gains Momentum on Robust US Growth DataThe USD/CHF pair continued its recovery on Monday, trading around the 0.8517 level. This uptick in the pair is largely driven by a stronger US Dollar (USD), which gained momentum following stronger-than-expected US economic growth data.
The recent Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report revealed that the US economy expanded more rapidly than anticipated in the second quarter, reducing market expectations for a larger 50 basis points (bps) rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September. According to the second estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) last Thursday, the US GDP grew at an annualized rate of 3.0% in Q2, up from the initial estimate of 2.8%. Additionally, US Initial Jobless Claims fell to 231,000 for the week ending August 24, slightly below the projected 232,000, further supporting the Greenback.
From a technical perspective, the USD saw a significant rebound after touching our identified Demand area, where the price swiftly reversed direction. This area has proven to be a strong support level, reinforcing the bullish momentum. Moreover, the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report highlights a marked bearish sentiment among retail traders, which, when combined with the Demand area, signals a potential continuation of the long setup.
In summary, the combination of robust US economic data, a resilient Demand area, and the bearish positioning of retail traders suggests that the USD/CHF pair may continue its upward trajectory in the near term. Traders should keep an eye on this setup as it could present further opportunities for long positions.
PREVIOUS FORECAST
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USDCHF - 4hrs ( Buy Trade Target Range 200 : 400 PIP ) Pair Name : USD/CHF
Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close
Scale Type : Large Scale
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spreading knowledge among us and to clarify the most importan+t points of entry, exit and entry with more than 5 reasons
We seek to spread understanding rather than make money
Key Technical / Direction ( Long )
Type : Mid Term Swing
———————————
Bullish Break
0.85200 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level
- Visible Range Hvn
- inner Trend
- Fixed Hvn
- Pattern Break
- Day High Break
- Fibo Golden
Bearish Reversal
0.86400
Bearish Reversal
0.89000