USDCHF BULLISH STRUCTURE 100 pipsThe USD/CHF pair recently formed a bearish channel, hitting the horizontal support trendline before showing a clear reversal pattern on the H4 chart, which is even more apparent on the H1 chart. The price has already broken out of the double bottom and is currently attempting to retest the neckline.
I'm anticipating a retest within a continuation pattern, specifically a bullish flag. Within this bullish flag, I'm also expecting a reversal formation, either an inverse head and shoulders or a double bottom on the 15-minute timeframe, before entering a buy position. My target is to capture a 100-pip move.
Usdchf!
SNB Unexpectedly Lowers Interest Rate from 1.50% to 1.25%SNB Unexpectedly Lowers Interest Rate from 1.50% to 1.25%
Today, it was announced that the Swiss National Bank (SNB) decided to lower the interest rate to 1.25%. According to ForexFactory, the analyst consensus had expected the rate to remain at 1.50%, making this decision a surprise.
According to SNB Chairman Thomas Jordan:
→ Inflation in Switzerland is decreasing;
→ In recent weeks, the Swiss franc has significantly strengthened due to geopolitical tensions, and the SNB is prepared to be active in the Forex market if necessary.
The market's reaction to the SNB's decision and the statements from its chairman resulted in a sharp weakening of the Swiss franc. Specifically, the USD/CHF rate rose by approximately 0.7% in the first few minutes.
Today's technical analysis of the USD/CHF chart shows:
→ From the beginning of 2024 to May 1 (point B), the market was in an uptrend (shown by the blue channel).
→ From May 1 to today, the USD/CHF price decreased, forming a descending channel (shown in red).
→ The downward movement since May 1 may be a correction within a larger upward trend that began from the low at point A, reached on December 28.
→ Today's upward reversal on the unexpected news from the SNB may indicate the end of the B→C correction. If so, the correction was slightly less than the classic 50%.
If the hypothesis about the end of the correction is correct, it is possible that the USD/CHF price will return to the blue ascending channel. This scenario could be hindered by resistance lines – the median and upper boundary of the red channel. Additionally, the psychological level of 0.900 is seen as an important resistance.
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USDCHF Corrected! DOWN to .8700 Range!!Here I have USD/CHF on the Daily Chart!
After USD/CHF finished its Impulse Wave May 1st with a High @ .92242 we see based on the Low or Point A @ .89879 followed by a LOWER HIGH or Point B @ .91587 ..
We are given all the Ingredients for a CORRECTION WAVE!!
Now based on the break of the NEW LOWER LOW @ .88809, using the Fibonacci Retracement Tool, we see price has made a perfect 61.8% Retracement!!!
On the initial Touch of 61.8% I took Sell Entries but we will certainly see this pair FALL!!!
Range Target is ( .87748 - .86842 )
USDCHF H4 | Bullish BounceBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our buy entry at 0.8837, which is a swing-low support.
Our take profit will be at 0.8880, which is a pullback resistance level.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.8800, which is a multi-swing low support level.
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USD/CHF downtrend pauses for breath ahead of SNBThere is quite a bit of uncertainty with today's SNB rate decision, over whether they'll cut or hold. And that has seen the 1--day implied volatility level more than double its 20-day average. The market is clearly in a downtrend on the daily chart, having broken key support on Tuesday.
Prices are now consolidating above the weekly S1 pivot on the hourly chart. If the SNB do cut and spark a rebound on USD/CHF, the preference is to step aside and seek evidence of a swing high. This is because we now know the SNB no longer want a weaker currency, so any upshot today is likely to be temporary. And this scenario would be preferred as it allows for an improved reward to risk ratio.
However, as the decline of the inflation rate rate is slowing, growth was stronger than expected and the SNB do not want a weaker currency, a hold seems more likely. In which case, a move towards 0.88 is on the cards near the high-volume node of the prior uptrend and the lower 1-day implied volatility band.
Potential bullish rise?USD/CHF is currently reacting on the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.8840
1st Support: 0.8793
1st Resistance: 0.8892
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD/CHF – flat ahead of SNB rate decisionThe Swiss franc is almost unchanged on Wednesday. USD/CHF is trading at 0.8838 in the North American session, down 0.04% on the day.
Switzerland’s central bank will announce its rate decision on Thursday and the markets are on edge. Will the Swiss National Bank lower rates or hold? The SNB last met in March and that meeting was memorable, as policy makers shocked the markets with a quarter-point cut, bringing the cash rate to 1.50%. Investors had expected the SNB to continue to maintain rates at the March 21st meeting, but the SNB decided to respond to declines in inflation and growth and became the first major central bank to lower rates this year.
The Swiss franc took a bath and fell 1.2% against the US dollar the day of the March meeting, its second-to-worst daily performance this year. The Swissie proceeded to lose more ground in the following weeks but has recovered almost completely.
Economists are split 50/50 on whether the SNB will cut on Thursday, while the money markets have cut expectations of a rate cut to 60%, compared to 80% just one month ago. The ultra-cautious SNB has been mum, with no public comments from Bank policy makers over the past three weeks, which has only intensified the suspense.
Inflation has been steady in the upper half of the SNB’s target range of 0% to 2% and Swiss growth has been steady, which would support the case to hold rates. On the other hand, exports have been weak and the Swiss franc has appreciated 3.3% against the US dollar since May 30th. A rate cut by the SNB could weigh on the Swiss franc and make Swiss exports more attractive on world markets.
The uncertainty ahead of the SNB meeting makes this a live meeting and could translate into volatility from the Swiss franc on Thursday.
There is support at 0.8809 and 0.8777
0.8860 and 0.8892 are the next resistance lines
USDCHF D1 | Bearish ReversalBased on the daily chart analysis, we can see that the price has broken the support level. Sell entry at 0.8891, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit will be at 0.8800, a pullback support level close to 61.8% Fibo extension
The stop loss will be at 0.8978, an overlap resistance level.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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USDCHF Is Very Bullish! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.884.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.898 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USDCHF – Is a new downtrend underway? (double top in place)When all this happens on a daily chart, I am always interested. My chart is self-explanatory but I will just add that I am looking for a pull-back. That could happen at the round number 0.9000 or perhaps higher up around the 0.50 or 0.618 retracement area of the most recent down move. Initial target can be around 0.8900 or 0.8700.
Recently, forex pairs have been rather choppy. Let’s see how this plays out.
This is not a trade recommendation.
Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose. Anything can happen in the markets at any time. Please use sound money and risk management in all your trades.
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Please comment and share your thoughts too!!
USDCHF H4 | Bullish Bounced off Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our buy entry at 0.8886, a multi-swing low support level.
Our take profit will be at 0.8937, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.8851, below the 161.8% Fibo extension
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bullish bounce?USD/CHF is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.8883
1st Support: 0.8840
1st Resistance: 0.8983
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCHF Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
USDCHF is approaching a significant resistance areaHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCHF for a selling opportunity around 0.89450 zone, USDCHF is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.89450 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USD/CHF has a strong bearish momentum, could it fall further?Price is rising towards a resistance level which is an overlap resistance that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8998
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.9061
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.8888
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCHF H1 | Bearish Drop Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our sell entry at 0.8950, an overlap resistance close to 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit will be at 0.8903, a multi-swing low support.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.9005, which is a pullback resistance."
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
DXY Cheat Sheet Hello Traders,
By looking at the dollar index, we can see a zigzag pattern ( 5-3-5 ) forming.
Zigzag pattern is made of 3 waves:
Wave A = 5 waves
Wave B = 3 waves
Wave C = 5 waves
We are now in wave C= 5 waves, currently in subwave 3. Expecting USD weakness means XXXUSD Strength and USDXXX Weakness.
See lower timeframe:
DXY 4H - Ideally price retraces back to 50% - 61.8% fib. Wait for price to come back and then you can get in:
XXXUSD LONG
USDXXX SHORT
USDCHF H4 | Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 0.8988, which is an overlap resistance close to the 38.2% Fibo retracement
Our take profit will be at 0.8937, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.9031, which is an overlap resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.