USDCHF: First bearish then bullish... (Details on caption)Hello traders
By examining the USDCHF daily chart, we can determine that the chart is potentially bullish, but for this upward move, it is necessary to first clean the sell-side liquidity.
So, in my perspective the are two scenarios for price.
The first one is, that the price left the bearish FVG open and moved down from here to collect all the sell-side liquidity taps into the bullish FVG and then start the bullish move. In this scenario, the first target is bearish FVG (0.90692- 0.91109) and the buy side liquidity.
The second scenario is, that the price hits the bearish FVG and then starts the bullish move. In this scenario, the first target is a swing high that forms inside FVG and then buy-side liquidity.
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Usdchf!
USDCHF H4 | Bearish reversal?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 0.8989, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit will be at 0.8908, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.9030, an overlap resistance level.
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USDCHF potential short 2R
Fondamental :
Traders priced a 25 points rate cut this year
Technical Analysis Based on the Chart :
The accompanying USD/CHF chart highlights a clear downtrend, reinforced by a break below a key support level at 0.90046. Key technical observations include:
Moving Averages: The 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 0.9052, while the 200-day SMA is at 0.90878. The current price is below these moving averages, indicating sustained selling pressure.
Fibonacci Retracement: Fibonacci retracement levels show resistance at 0.90046 (50%) and 0.90357 (61.8%). These levels could act as potential reversal points if there is a corrective rebound.
Support and Resistance Levels: Immediate support is around 0.89552. A break below this level could lead to testing the lower support at 0.88776.
Market Sentiment: The Swiss franc, often viewed as a safe haven, may continue to gain against the USD amid geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties, especially if the Federal Reserve's outlook remains unclear.
Swiss franc climbing, eyes Swiss inflationSwiss franc has extended its gains on Monday. USD/CHF is trading at 0.8961 in the North American session, down 0.68%.
The Swiss franc posted its strong weekly gain of the year last week, rising 1.35%. The Swissie jumped over 1% on Thursday after Swiss National Bank President Jordan hinted that the central bank could intervene in the currency markets in order to keep a lid on inflation.
Thomas’ comments gave a boost to the Swiss currency, which has sagged in 2024. Even with last week’s strong gains, however, the Swiss franc has plunged 7.1% against the US dollar. The Swiss franc weakened after the Swiss National Bank unexpectedly lowered interest rates in March. A weaker Swiss franc helped make Swiss exports more competitive on world markets, but the currency’s sharp descent may have become too much of a good thing, as it is feeding inflation and raising concerns at the central bank.
The Swiss franc’s downswing has had a strong impact on market expectations for a rate cut at the June 28th meeting. In early May, swap markets priced a 66% probability of a rate cut, which has fallen to around 40%. The SNB isn’t likely to make good on Jordan's threat to buy Swiss francs unless the currency continues to show a sharp depreciation, but last week’s jump shows how comments from central bankers can cause sharp swings in the currency markets.
Switzerland releases May CPI on Tuesday. This is the final economic release prior to the central bank’s rate meeting and could be a major factor in the SNB’s rate decision. Swiss CPI is expected to tick up to 0.4% m/m in May, compared to 0.3% in April.
USD/CHF is testing support 0.8966. Below, there is support at 0.8909
0.9061 and 0.9118 are the next resistance lines
USDCHF tm:1hHello traders.
I hope you doing well.
These areas are based on my personal strategy and I will share it with you.
Open a sell position on the supply area or open a buy position on the demand area.
Your entry point, stop loss, and target point are based on money management and the amount of money in your trading account.
But I promise you that by trading in the areas of my trading strategy, you will definitely make a profit, because these areas, although they seem simple, are my experience of 8 years of learning and trading.
I hope you will achieve maximum continuous profit with me by using supply and demand areas.
Good luck traders.
Mohammad Goodarzi
USDCHF at Support LevelThis currency pair is at a support level. Prices had rejected that zone several times.
Although the structure looks like a head and shoulder pattern, the support level hasn't been broken yet therefore an opportunity to buy is the best choice.
The profit target should be the first resistance level.
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The signals provided by LeoFX are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the signals, and we are not responsible for any losses or damages arising from the use of our signals.
SELL TRADE SETUP ON USDCHFHey Trader,
Check out this analysis on USDCHF.
A long entry plan is best above the intraday support area (leading to the range continuation).
Alternatively, a short trade can be considered if the price breaks below the intraday key zone (support), retests, and resists. A short trade can be considered.
Trade safe.
USDCHF H4 Bearish reversal?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 0.9030, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit will be at 0.8988, a swing-low support level close to 161.8% Fibo extension
The stop loss will be placed at 0.9070, an overlap resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDCHF WEEKLY ANALYSISHello, traders here is a setup of USDCHF as you can see the price has been in a bullish form for the past weeks and now it has reached a zone of resistance that has been tested multiple times in the past and the price started showing rejection signs from the resistance zone as you can see there are two bearish engulfments candle sticks and that is a sign that price can go down in any moment.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/CHF is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the overlap resistance.
Pivot: 0.8988
1st Support: 0.8918
1st Resistance: 0.9094
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USDCHF Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
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Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
USD/CHF SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello,Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so USD-CHF is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 0.901.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
USD/CHF Rate Falls Over 1% After SNB Chief's StatementsUSD/CHF Rate Falls Over 1% After SNB Chief's Statements
As evidenced by the USD/CHF chart, yesterday one US dollar was worth 0.913 Swiss francs, but today it is already 0.903, indicating a rate drop of approximately 1%.
According to MT Newswires, the franc's strengthening is attributed to statements by Swiss National Bank (SNB) President Thomas Jordan. In his view, an overly weak franc is the most likely source of higher inflation in Switzerland.
Notably, since the beginning of 2024, the Swiss franc has weakened against the US dollar by more than 7%, one of the worst performances among G10 currencies. The exchange rate has formed an ascending trend channel (indicated in blue).
Today's USD/CHF chart shows two important resistance lines:
→ The 0.913 level – the price could not consolidate above this level despite several attempts;
→ The median line of the channel.
On May 22, a downward reversal occurred from this resistance block (indicated by an arrow), and today the USD/CHF price is near the lower boundary of the channel.
Bullish arguments:
→ Near the lower boundary of the channel, demand may increase;
→ The psychological level of 0.9 CHF per 1 USD may provide support – this has occurred several times during the spring.
It is likely that the SNB does not want the upward trend to continue, and if so, in the near future, we might see a consolidation in the USD/CHF market within the range of 0.900 – 0.913, until significant fundamental news emerges to disrupt the balance that has been forming since April.
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USD/CHF BUYING at .9036I have rules that I try to stick to when I'm trading but I'm also happy to break them if the conditions are right.
Since early this morning the USD/CHF has sold off aggressively, encouraged by the weak(ish) Prelim GDP that came in 1.3% against 1.2% but it looks like the market was expecting better.
The mood for USD BULLS wasn't lightened 90 minutes later when the Pending Home Sales missed by a distance coming in -7.7% against expected -1.1%.
So all day we've seen USD/CHF sell off, so much so, that the RSI on H1 has been under 30 and even under 20 for some time.
However.
All BULL and BEAR runs must inevitably end at some time and it looks as if USD/CHF BEARS are reaching exhaustion and liquidating their SHORT trades.
I'm in long which is somewhat jumping the gun I'll freely admit and although the ANdean Oscillator is mildly BULLISH on 1m and 5m time frames, we have no confirmation on 15m but I believe its going to happen.
The last 5 candles on 15m have all been doji indecision candles and it would be a surprise if USD/CHF BEARS could drive the price further south from here and the path of least resistance is north.
As we can get a tight STOP just under the low, and the reward is high, this is a trade worth taking.
Target is unknown as this will depend on the price action if we see BUYERS step in from these levels.
USDCHF H4 | Bearish reversal ?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 0.9086, which is a pullback resistance close to the 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 0.9027, a swing-low support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.9153, a swing-high resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDCHF H4 | Bearish Drop ?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our sell entry at 0.9130, with pullback support close to 61.8% Fibo retracement
Our take profit will be at 0.9086, an overlap support close to 38.2% Fibo retracement
The stop loss will be placed at 0.9159, which is above swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USD/CHF (dollar-franc): a detailed technical orchestrationJudging by the Daily-timeframe build-up, we might imply that the price has nicely tapped into the liquidity region laying above the right shoulder of the recently formulated Head&Shoulders pattern, and now we are observing bearish moves in the destination of two zones - the pattern neckline and the 0.888 key level. Upon reaching the pattern neckline (0.9 region), we will be observing price behaviour before taking further action. If we are able to witness some rejections, then, there is a high probability that the 0.909 region will be re-visited for a re-touch (break+retest formation) before further bearish moves resume and, potentially, drive the price in the destination of the 0.888 level. On the other hand, if no signs of a bounce are printed on the 0.9 zone and the break is evident, then, the price will have enough potential to keep dropping till the 0.888 region.
All in all, we recommend to have eyes on the day-to-day development and make decisions with no rush.
Hope this idea is of help!