Bullish bounce?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and coul;d bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.9135
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.9100
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.9173
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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USDCHF
USDCHF - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello traders! Here’s my analysis for the USD/CHF pair. I’m expecting a small pullback before the price continues its bullish movement upward. My first target for this move is 0.92448 .
However, if the price consolidates below 0.90084 on the 1H timeframe, I anticipate a downward move.
📈 Expectation:
Bullish continuation towards 0.92448 , unless the 0.90084 level is broken to the downside.
If 0.90084 breaks and consolidates, expect a bearish move lower.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Target: 0.92448
Support to hold: 0.90084
💬 What’s your perspective on USD/CHF? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
Trade safe
USDCHF Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring USDCHF for a buying opportunity around 0.90600 zone, USDCHF is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.90600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Weekly FOREX Forecast Jan 20-24thThis is an outlook for the week of Jan 20-24th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index
EURUSD
GBPUSD
AUDUSD
NZDUSD
CAD, USDCAD
CHF, USDCHF
JPY, USDJPY
The USD is at a higher time frame Supply Zone. This coincides with the Inauguration Day for Trump. The USD Index will potentially start to turn over here, if the 2016 Inauguration Day is used as a model. No selling until a bearish break of structure! But stay vigilant, and be careful buying into a HTF Supply Zone!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
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Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NASDAQ EVEN BETTER THAN PLANNEDThe new blue line is our new ideal forecast, staying in between the possibilities the green and lower blue lines give, but wow this is even bigger than we thought. We caught a good one.
Technical Analysis:
The NASDAQ 100 index has shown strong upward momentum, recently breaking out above a key resistance level at 15,000. It is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, signaling a sustained uptrend. The RSI is trending higher but remains below overbought levels, indicating further upside potential. MACD has crossed into bullish territory, confirming positive momentum.
Immediate resistance lies at 15,500, with a break above this level potentially targeting 16,000, the year’s high. On the downside, 15,000 now acts as key support, with additional support at 14,700. The index remains in a solid uptrend, supported by higher lows and strong buying pressure on dips.
Fundamental Analysis:
The NASDAQ is benefiting from a favorable macroeconomic environment and strong earnings reports from major tech companies. Optimism around artificial intelligence and innovation continues to drive investor interest, with tech stocks leading the charge.
Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve’s signal that it may pause further rate hikes due to cooling inflation has supported growth stocks, which are highly sensitive to interest rate changes. Lower yields also make tech valuations more attractive, fueling buying interest.
Additionally, the U.S. economy has shown resilience, with solid GDP growth and a strong labor market. This combination of steady economic conditions and a less aggressive Fed has created a favorable environment for the NASDAQ.
Key Catalysts to Watch:
Upcoming earnings reports, especially from major tech companies.
Federal Reserve updates, including comments on interest rate policy.
U.S. economic data, such as inflation and GDP figures.
Sentiment around innovation sectors like AI, semiconductors, and cloud computing.
XAUUSD, EXCACTLY AS PLANNED IN OUR LAST POSTTechnical Analysis:
XAU/USD (Gold) has shown strong bullish momentum, trading comfortably above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which signal a sustained uptrend. The price recently broke a key resistance level at $1,950, which now acts as strong support. Momentum indicators like the RSI are in bullish territory but remain below overbought levels, suggesting room for further upside. The MACD histogram is widening, indicating increasing bullish momentum.
The next key resistance lies at $2,000, a psychological level, followed by $2,030, a recent multi-month high. A confirmed break above $2,000 could set the stage for a move toward $2,050. On the downside, support at $1,950 and $1,920 will be critical to watch for any potential retracement.
Fundamental Analysis:
Gold's bullish outlook is driven by a combination of macroeconomic and geopolitical factors. Concerns over global economic slowdown, persistent geopolitical tensions, and central banks maintaining high levels of gold reserves are supporting safe-haven demand.
In the U.S., softer inflation data and dovish signals from the Federal Reserve have weakened the dollar, making gold more attractive for international buyers. Additionally, Treasury yields have started to stabilize, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold.
Furthermore, with the Chinese economy showing signs of recovery and increased demand for physical gold from Asia, gold prices are expected to remain well-supported in the near term. Central bank buying also continues to provide a long-term tailwind for prices.
Key Catalysts to Watch:
U.S. economic data, particularly inflation and labor market reports.
Fed policy updates and FOMC meeting minutes.
Developments in geopolitical hotspots that could spur safe-haven flows.
Demand trends from major gold-importing countries like China and India.
CHFJPY ON THE MOVETechnical Analysis:
CHF/JPY continues its bullish trajectory, trading above key moving averages, including the 50-day and 200-day lines. The pair recently broke above resistance at 151.50, now turned support, with the next resistance zone at 153.00. Momentum indicators like RSI remain strong but not yet overbought, while the MACD confirms the upward trend. A sustained break above 153.00 could target 154.50 in the near term.
Fundamental Analysis:
The Swiss franc remains supported by safe-haven demand, while the Japanese yen is pressured by the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose monetary policy. Despite minor adjustments to yield curve control, the BoJ’s dovish stance contrasts with Switzerland's relatively steady monetary environment. This policy divergence and risk sentiment dynamics favor CHF appreciation against JPY.
USDCHF GOING UPTechnical Analysis:
The EUR/USD is showing bullish momentum, breaking above key resistance levels. The pair is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, confirming an uptrend. A bullish crossover in the MACD and rising RSI suggest further upside potential. Key resistance is at 1.10, with support holding strong at 1.085. A breakout above 1.10 could open the path toward 1.12.
Fundamental Analysis:
The Euro is supported by robust economic data, including better-than-expected PMI figures and hawkish signals from the ECB. Meanwhile, the USD is under pressure as the Fed signals a pause in rate hikes amid cooling inflation. Diverging monetary policies and improving sentiment in the Eurozone favor further EUR/USD gains.
#USDCHF WEEKLYUSDCHF (Weekly Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently testing two significant resistance levels: the first being the upper boundary of a channel, and the second a key horizontal resistance zone. Additionally, the formation of a sell engulfing candlestick pattern suggests increased selling pressure at these levels.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is expected as the price reacts to the dual resistance zones, with bearish momentum likely to push the price lower.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Near the resistance levels or after confirmation of bearish rejection.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the second resistance level or the recent swing high to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target the midline or lower boundary of the channel for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The confluence of the channel resistance, horizontal resistance, and the sell engulfing pattern reflects a bearish sentiment, with sellers likely to dominate the market in the short term. Proper confirmation is recommended before entering the trade to ensure alignment with market momentum.
USDCHF Is Very Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.916.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.910 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Bullish bounce off overlap support?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.9078
1st Support: 0.9054
1st Resistance: 0.9134
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Bearish drop off 50% Fibonacci resistance?USD/CHF has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.9136
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that line sup with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.9200
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.9046
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCHF: Best sell signal since May 2024.USDCHF is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.917, MACD = 0.006, ADX = 41.659) as it has been on a nonstop rally supported by the 1D MA50 since October 4th 2024. The wave has reached the top of the long term Rectangle pattern and almost the R1 level. Alast time it was there (May 1st 2024), it got heavily rejected. We expect at least a test of the S1 level (TP = 0.85550).
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USDCHF TOWARDS THE SKYThere's not a lot of indications for this one, since there's no accumulation to reach.
However the low and divergent RSI gives us an idea of where the price is globally going, which is up.
Will add more information asap, when a new interesting KL or AA (accumulation area) gets created.
CHFJPY STILL NOT SUREOn one hand, it has de go back up to reach the high of the blue rectangle ;
on the other hand, it is well gone for a big descent, and it would not be crazy to think the hard blue KL is the actual low.
We'll have to be careful over the next few days because they'll be decisive regarding the pattern the curb is taking.
No matter what happens, it is to go up, the question is where s the entry ?
USD/CHF H4 | Falling to overlap supportUSD/CHF is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.9076 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 0.8997 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 0.9212 which is a swing-high resistance.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Bearish reversal off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?USD/CHF is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.9106
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.9195
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.9106
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCHF - ShortUSDCHF Analysis - SHORT 👆
In this Chart USDCHF D1 Timeframe: By Nii_Billions.
❤️This Chart is for USDCHF market analysis.
❤️Entry, SL, and Target is based off our Strategy.
This chart analysis uses multiple timeframes to analyze the market and to help see the bigger picture on the charts.
The strategy uses technical and fundamental factors, and market sentiment to predict a BEARISH trend in USDCHF, with well-defined entry, stop loss, and take profit levels for risk management.
🟢This idea is purely for educational purposes.🟢
❤️Please, support our work with like & comment!❤️
USDCHF IdeaUSDCHF has formed a ascending channel with more than 3 touches which makes it a valid channel
we're waiting for an H4 candle to close below the last touch and a retest to the channel
when the retest get rejected we enter a short (sell) position
with a take profit which is a touch on a lower trendline and also 0.68
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USD/CHF Trading Setup PlanUSD/CHF Trading Setup Plan
Target Price: 0.9350
Stop Loss: 0.8980
Strategy Type: Correction-Finish Rebound
1. Market Analysis
Trend Assessment: Identify whether USD/CHF is in an overall uptrend, downtrend, or ranging market. Look at the daily and 4-hour charts to assess key trends.
Key Levels:
Support: Identify zones where price previously reversed or consolidated near 0.8980.
Resistance: Observe reaction levels closer to the 0.9350 target.
2. Setup Parameters
Entry Condition: Wait for the price to complete its correction phase:
Use Fibonacci retracement levels (38.2% / 50%) or recent breakout support areas to pinpoint a potential end of the correction.
Confirm the correction finish with candlestick patterns like bullish engulfing or hammer patterns, accompanied by rising momentum indicators (e.g., RSI > 50 or MACD crossover).
Entry Trigger:
Enter on the next candle's close after confirmation of the bullish rebound.
3. Risk Management
Stop Loss:
Place your stop loss slightly below a recent swing low near 0.8980 to limit downside risk. This should align with the broader market structure.
Position Sizing:
Risk no more than 1–2% of your trading capital on this trade. Adjust position size based on your risk tolerance and pip difference between the entry and stop loss.
4. Target Management
Initial Target:
First take-profit target is the 0.9350 level.
Partial Profit Booking (Optional):
If risk-reward > 1:2, consider trailing your stop loss or closing part of the position at intermediate resistance levels.
5. Monitoring & Execution
Continuously monitor the fundamental drivers influencing USD/CHF (e.g., economic data releases, Swiss franc or US dollar sentiment shifts, central bank policy).
Stay vigilant for breakout conditions invalidating this setup if USD/CHF breaks below 0.8980.
Disclaimer
This strategy is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Trading forex involves substantial risk, and you may lose more than your initial investment. Please trade responsibly and consult a financial advisor if needed.
USD/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USD/CHF pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 1D timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.878 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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USDCHF SHARK PATTERNHarmonic Pattern Trading Strategy:
1. Combine patterns with 2-3 confirmations (e.g., MA, BB, RSI, Stoch) for increased accuracy.
2. Implement proper risk management.
3. Limit exposure to 3% of capital per trade.
4. Exercise caution: Not every Harmonic Pattern presents a good trading opportunity.
5. Conduct thorough diligence and analysis before trading.
Disciplined approach = Enhanced edge.