Usdchfanalysis
USDCHF - CURRENT SITUATION#USDCHF
- At this point, USDCHF is going down a bit. But with US PMI DATA and LABOR DATA being POSITIVE, USDCHF was BUY until last Friday. And FED UPDATES were very NEGATIVE. Hence, the CHF automatically rose against the USD in the previous days. Anyway, SWISS NATIONAL BANK has come out of NEGATIVE RATES. Anyway, RETAIL SALES POSITIVE came in US.
- Currently, the MARKET is becoming RISK ON and USD is a bit WEAK because of that. Anyway, the FED MEETING is scheduled to be held today. Yesterday US CPI data was NEGATIVE. That's why USD was WEAK yesterday.
- There is definitely a high possibility that USDCHF will go UP a little more and move to the 0.9462 LEVEL. Anyway, USDCHF price can go down to 0.8860 level after FED EVENT. We focus on MARKET UPDATES and MARKET SENTIMENT. Follow the given MARKET STRUCTURE.
USDCHF - Short from bearish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective with clear lower lows and lower highs. Now I expect price to make a retracement after taking buy stop liquidity to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block for a short position.
Fundamental analysis: We have news events on USD on Wednesday 12th of April, will be released monthly and yearly CPI followed by a FOMC Meeting the same day. As well, on Thursday will be released monthly PPI in USA.
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USDCHF LONG TRADEon daily TF we see that USDCHF is at nice support and respecting that support.
in 4H TF on 15 march we good buying and formed nice demand zone and price is respecting that demand zone. now the price has already formed a triple bottom and now once again price is moving toward supply.
we will add long positions using Fibonacci tool at 0.5, 0.618 and at 0.786
Areas being respectedAfter the order block mitigation price moved slightly up then aggressively went bearish to break the structure, then down to make the liquidity sweep. After the liquidation price formed this contraction which created the formidable accumulation phase and drove all the way up to violate breaker, though my target was the fair value gap. Immediately after the violation, the market made a one directional movement to take out orders and liquidate the 0.91205 level, the made this huge hammer candlestick to validate a strong bullish move. The current candlestick just spiked the fair value gap, should prices respect the area like it seems to have, then we expect it to massively drop to the liquidity pool at level 0.90749, only if the market doesn’t persist in going up even further…
20 Reasons For Sell USDCHF 🔆MULTI-TIME FRAME TOP-DOWN ANALYSIS OVERVIEW☀️
1:✨Eagle eye: After examining all available data, it is clear that the US dollar has consistently weakened against the CHF over the past 50 years. This trend is expected to continue, with the CHF remaining strong against the dollar.
2:📆Monthly: A bearish trend has been established since 2017, with a confirmed market structure exhibiting a higher low in 2019 and another high low in 2022. This provides a clear indication of the market's bearish stance.
3:📅Weekly: Current analysis shows a discernable shift in market behavior, with pricing fluctuating within a specific range over the past 10 to 12 weeks. This trend is indicative of broader market pressures, warranting a thorough assessment of our position in light of market activities.
4:🕛Daily: The market structure appears to be sideways, requiring confirmation through breakout.
😇7 Dimension analysis
🟢 analysis time frame: Daily
5: 1 Price Structure: The market is currently exhibiting a sideways pattern, which will confirm upon breakout.
6: 2 Pattern Candle Chart: A double bottom pattern may indicate weak support at this level.
7: 3 Volume: Current volume levels do not support the bearish trend. However, the anomaly warrants caution and a significant increase in volume during a breakout, as low volume breakouts may be avoided
8: 4 Momentum UNCONVENTIONAL Rsi: The RSI is currently sideways. between 60 to 40 area
9: 5 Volatility measure Bollinger bands: NO Activity
10: 6 Strength ADX: ADX indicates a bearish market trend.
11: 7 Sentiment ROC: ROC reveals that the USD is weaker than the CHF
✔️ Entry Time Frame: H4
12: Entry TF Structure: The market structure is bearish.
13: entry move: An impulsive move is expected upon entry.
14: Support resistance base:Mid-of the move is expected to provide resistance.
15: FIB: Fibonacci retracement analysis may provide additional insight. trigger event awaited
☑️ final comments: It is advisable to wait for a further market confirmation before making a decision. support breakout
16: 💡decision: wait and sell
17: 🚀Entry: 0.9117
18: ✋Stop losel: 0.9179
19: 🎯Take profit: 0.8904
20: 😊Risk to reward Ratio: 1:4
🕛 Excepted Duration: 5 day
USDCHF - Short from bearish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we can see that price makes lower lows and lower highs, so we are in a bearish market structure and looking for shorts. I expect price to make a retracement to fulfill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block.
Fundamental analysis: On Monday 3rd of April we have news events on CHF, will be released monthly CPI. The forecast for CPI is to decrease from previous month. As well, we have news events on USD on Friday 7th of April, one of the most important news related to USD, which are NFP and Unemployment rate. Pay attention to the results of these news as they will indicate the direction for this month.
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USDCHF: Potential risk!The USD/CHF has dropped to a fresh low for the week, falling below the 0.9126 level. This decline is attributed to recent economic data from the US that indicates a decrease in inflation, leading to speculation that the Fed may halt its tightening cycle. This has resulted in increased pressure on the US dollar. As of now, the USD/CHF is trading at 0.9127, which is lower than its initial value.
USDCHF Technical analysis: Despite the USD/CHF's attempt to reach 0.9100, sellers were unable to break it decisively. The flat readings of technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Rate of Change (RoC), suggest that sellers are leaving the market. However, if the USD/CHF falls below 0.9100, it could challenge the year-to-date low of 0.9059. Conversely, if buyers regain 0.9150, it could lead to a rebound towards 0.9200 and higher.
It is probable that the decline will persist!
Supply zone targetPrice tested the point of interest and made a retest which created this accumulation phase. This shooting star candlestick that created the order block zone failed to correct the fair value gap, instead it only spiked the gap. An abrupt bullish move occurred to correct the fair value gap and made a pullback that respected the order block. With the current market being bullish, a massive move to the stop order supply zone is expected…
USDCHF | Bullish Trend | UpTrendUSDCHF refers to the exchange rate between the US dollar (USD) and the Swiss franc (CHF). If the USDCHF pair is making a bullish trend, it means that the value of the US dollar is increasing relative to the Swiss franc. This could be due to various factors, such as stronger economic data from the US, higher demand for the US dollar, or weaker economic data from Switzerland.
If the sentiment of the USDCHF pair is also bullish, it means that investors and traders have a positive outlook on the exchange rate and believe that it will continue to increase in value. This sentiment can be influenced by various factors, such as positive news or events related to the US or the Swiss franc, a favorable outlook for the global economy, or a shift in central bank policies.
Higher highs and higher lows in the chart pattern of USDCHF also indicate a bullish trend. In technical analysis, this pattern is known as an uptrend, and it typically suggests that demand for the USDCHF pair is increasing over time. Higher highs occur when the exchange rate reaches a new peak that is higher than the previous peak, while higher lows occur when the exchange rate experiences a dip but still maintains a higher low than the previous dip.
Overall, a bullish trend, bullish sentiment, and a pattern of higher highs and higher lows all suggest that the USDCHF exchange rate is likely to continue increasing in the near future. However, it's important to keep in mind that exchange rates can be influenced by a wide range of factors, and there is always a risk of unexpected events or market shifts that could cause the exchange rate to change direction.
USDCHF - Bearish to sell stop liquidity ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: As we can see here we are in a bearish market structure, so I am looking for shorts. Price filled perfectly the imbalance and mitigated bearish order block which means I will open a short position. My target is sell stop liquidity for a new lower low.
Fundamental analysis: On Thursday 30th of March we have news events on USD, will be released final GDP for first quarter of 2023. The forecast for GDP is to remain the same as per last quarter, which means we would not have such big moves in market, however we should look for the results in order to validate our analysis.
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TRADE UPDATE USDCHF Short still on to 0.8946BIAS - Bearish
Inv C&H formed a while ago, which still seems to be at play.
M Formation - recent which is confirming further downside to come.
21>7 - Bearish
RSI<50
Price <200
Target 0.8946
There is a larger sell target due to the M Formation, but we are still playing this one from the previous formation.