USD/CHF: double top bearish pattern in sight?The Swiss franc ( USD/CHF ) rallied against the dollar in London morning trading, after the Swiss National Bank (SNB) unexpectedly raised interest rates by half a percentage point to -0.25%, shocking the market which had anticipated rates to remain unchanged.
Rising inflationary pressures prompted the SNB's unexpected rate rise, after Switzerland's inflation rate hit 2.8% year-on-year in May, the highest level since September 2008.
The SNB also stated that further rate increases are inevitable in the foreseeable future and that the franc is no longer highly valued because of recent depreciation.
On the technical front, USD/CHF fell sharply to 0.98, and a double top bearish pattern is increasingly gaining shape, which could indicate a further dip to the neckline support of 0.955. Momentum indicator, as represented by the 14-day relative strength index, tilts dangerously downward and tries to test the 50 mark.
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Usdchfforecast
USDCHF LongTime Frame: 4H
Symbol: USDCHF
Entry: 0.99442
TP: 1.01818
SL: 0.97503
Bias: Long
The study of price oscillation and movement of this instrument insinuate a strong long bias. The dollar is getting stronger against other instruments creating new records. So we are aligning our goal to catapult some pips from the current trading context.
USDCHF probablity for short 0.9930#USDCHF, monthly key reversal bar dictating for weakness ahead. 16th-20th May strong weekly down bar as a key reversal bar broke two weeks low and closed off the low. 0.9940 first supply zone if failed to hold price next strong supply zone 1.0020-60. Target: 0.9530 if breaks then next target level 0.9500. advise to book profit at 0.9530.
USDCHF,USDZAR and USDCNH top-down analysis Hello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDCHF LongTime Frame: 1H
Symbol: USDCHF
Entry: 0.96015
TP: 0.96572
SL: 0.95669
Bias: Long
Current price study of this instrument is revealing a short term bullish opportunity. Though it is really difficult to find high probability opportunities or setup nowadays , the average directional bias for this pair is on the bull side. So we are planning a short term momentum trade.
USDCHF Long USDCHF has broken the minor descending channel range and then rebounding harder from the retest area of the channel on the H1, Lastly, the pair bounced from the minor support level on the H4 time frame.
USDCHF fell 5000 points from last 2 weeks, we can expect correction now.
We taking this trade based on technical analysis and price action.
(1) DO NOT ENTER ANY TRADE BEFORE THE ENTRY LEVEL
(2) USE YOUR STOP LOSS
(3) DO NOT HOLD A LOSS FOR MORE THAN 2 DAYS
Please use proper risk management depending on your account size, Use lot sizes based on these calculations.
Here is a break down of your pip value in ZAR and Dollars
0, 01 = R1,43 / $0,10c
0. 05 = R 7,15 / $ 0.50
0.10 = R 14,3 / $1.00
1 Lot size = R 146,26
How to calculate Margin = (Lot Size * Contract Size)/Leverage, Lets say your broker gives you 1:500, and you open 0,2 size, How much are you exposing ? calculations : (0.2 * 10 000) / 500 = $4 (R58) also (1 Lot * 100 000) / 500 = $200 (R2 960)
So, each time I open (1 Lot size, am exposing R2960 (Down payment)
Remember, These are long term trades, It is advisable to have enough margin to handle the fluctuation of the markets.
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USDCHF NeutralTime Frame: 4H
Symbol: USDCHF
Bias: Neutral
The price pattern of this instrument is showing a neutral position because of the temporary equilibrium between dollar and swiss franc. An obvious change will be noticeable if dollar gets stronger or weaker . But to see that we have to wait a few days.