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Usdchfidea

USDCHF - A Godsend In addition to my longer-term swing trade (if not already a position trade) in the form of a USDCHF long with a profit target of +760 pips, seen here I am also entering a "shorter-term" USDCHF long trade here at 0.83600, with a target of 0.87100. Thus a good +340 pips would be possible here. The probability that the weakness of the USDCHF will also come to an end by the end of the year tomorrow at the latest is exorbitantly high and the CRV at these levels is more palatable than ever. Otherwise, the fundamental reasons remain the same as in the longer-term trade above. -> The SNB will no longer be happy with the current levels of the CHF as soon as it returns from its skiing holiday in the Swiss Alps.
Long
by PrimeTrading
14
FX Wars Episode 5 - The (USD) Empire strikes back!I go long the USD vs CHF here from 0.843. I give the trade a high probability of 80% to be a winner, lets see! Once upon a time in an FX universe far, far away... The (supposedly) evil US(D) empire was pushed to the brink of defeat by the CHF rebellion, but "something" suddenly happened... ...life stirred into the USD again and it was sent back to fulfil its task (the bondage of all other currencies). What that "something" was I will unravel after the (profitable) end of this trade. USD facts: - The market is pricing in almost 7 rate cuts for 2024 -> this is diametrically opposed to the expectations of the FED members, who expect a total of 3 rate cuts for 2024 - Is the market once again too euphoric here and is frontrunning itself with possible rate cut fantasies? -> I would like to leave this question open for now, as I also expect more than 3 interest rate cuts by the FED in 2024 But the fact is: market expectations can only be fulfilled if either A) there is a recession in the USA and or B) inflation permanently falls below the 2% mark CHF view: The SNB is currently on Christmas holiday and is probably letting loose while skiing in the Swiss mountains followed by apres-ski party hits. But as soon as the party is over and the hangover is felt all the harder in the new year, the Swiss National Bank will have a heart attack when it looks at the value of the franc. -> It is now more "overvalued" than it was during the corona crisis, when the SNB had to intervene to actively weaken the CHF - Now these are completely different circumstances under which the SNB has to operate and yet it can be anything but satisfied with the strength of the franc... More on this later in the comments...
Long
by PrimeTrading
2
USDCHF Long ViewCentral banks have had their say for Q1 and there were arguably two surprises, both from central banks that have deployed negative interest rates in the recent past. The Bank of Japan decided to exit negative rates and the Swiss National Bank (SNB), in a surprise decision, voted to cut their benchmark interest rate – the first of the major central banks to do so. Lower inflation forecasts for Switzerland and meagre growth lay the foundation for further easing to come from the often-unpredictable SNB before Chairman Thomas Jordan steps down in September. In contrast, The Fed requires more confidence that recent hotter-than-expected inflation is headed towards the 2% target on a consistent basis while growth and the labour market remain resilient – supporting the dollar. CONTRASTING FUNDAMENTALS PRESENT AN OPPORTUNITY FOR USD/CHF IN Q2 Now that the SNB has pulled the trigger and cut rates, this allows other central banks to consider the doing the same. However, being the first mover, the Swiss Franc opened itself up to currency depreciation due to a worsening of interest rate differentials. For other nations still experiencing stubborn inflation, this would have been a concern but given the franc’s undesirable appreciation and Switzerland’s impressively low CPI (1.2% in February) – the decision to cut actually makes sense for the EU member state.
Long
by FXBANkthe8055
USDCHF - Confluence for a long ✅Hello traders! ‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF. Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a long position. I have a point of interest where there are confluence arguments for a long position, this one is if price fills the imbalance lower and rejects from S/R zone + FIBO 0.5 level + institutional big figure 0.89000. Fundamental news: Next week on Friday we have NFP and Unemployment Rate in USA, news with high impact on USD. As well, on Thursday we have monthly CPI on CHF. Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Long
by Snick3rSD
4
USDCHF SHORT 650 PIPS READ DESCRIPTIONThe analysis for USD/CHF indicates that the currency pair is currently at a major resistance and supply zone, ranging from 0.90117 to 0.89700. This zone has attracted significant attention from big players and institutions, who have been actively entering short orders in bulk. The latest data reveals that there were 29,160 short entries and 11,000 long entries from big players and institutions. This results in an overall net short position of 57% and a net long position of 14%. Over the last three months, the total net position of shorts has been 79%, while longs accounted for 21% of the market sentiment. In our trade strategy, we set a 40-pip stop loss to manage potential losses. With a target of 657.8 pips and a profit potential of 7.33%, the risk-to-reward ratio stands at a favorable 7.43. This indicates that the potential reward significantly outweighs the risk. Additionally, we have set four target prices to secure profits at various levels, providing flexibility in managing the trade and locking in gains as the price moves in our favor. It's essential to always manage risk diligently in trading. Traders should adhere to their risk management strategies, including setting stop losses, controlling position sizes, and diversifying portfolios, to protect their capital from significant losses. By prioritizing risk management, traders aim to ensure the longevity of their trading endeavors and navigate market uncertainties effectively. In summary, the analysis suggests a bearish outlook for USD/CHF, supported by the presence of a major resistance and supply zone and favorable institutional sentiment. By implementing a well-defined trading strategy and managing risk effectively, traders aim to capitalize on potential price movements while safeguarding their investments.
Short
by MOAZAM1133
3
USDCHF - Expect retracement ✅Hello traders! ‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF. Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a long position. I wait price to continue the retracement and my point of interest for a long is if price rejects from trendline + S/R level + institutional big figure 0.89000. Fundamental news: Next week on Thursday we have news on USD, will be released quarterly GDP, which has high impact on currency. Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Long
by Snick3rSD
USDCHF: View on daily timeframe, we are neutral. FX:USDCHF last few month price has been bearish all along as CHF remain strongest in the situations where war and other economical conflicts affects in global financial market. We are still not sure about future trend of this pair, as strong bullish price action yet to be seen. However, the big amount of volume was accumulated at lower low of thursday which suggest a possible correction can occur. We would advice you to use smaller timeframe to have a better and safer bias. Good Luck and Trade Safe
by Setupsfx_
15
USDCHF - Long from bullish order block ✅Hello traders! ‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF. Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 1H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for a long. I wait price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance and then to reject from bullish order block + institutional big figure 0.88000. Fundamental news: Next week is full of news with high impact on USD and CHF, we will see results of Interest Rate in both countries. Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Long
by Snick3rSD
6
usdchf daily outlookit is going to complete a flag pattern after a clear upside move. so as the previous upside move, we can think that the next move could be upside after the valid breakout of this flag. I am not telling you guys to execute the market right now....wait for a valid breakout wait for better confirmation...then define your risk and then take the position. note:- let's talk about the validity of a flag pattern. when you see the 4 touches on a flag pattern then it's going to be a valid pattern. another validity is a breakout. thank you
by THE-10
USDCHF AnalysisHello traders I have conducted an analysis on USDCHF, as you can see the market has been on a down trend for the past few months and I think it will continue doing so as it showed huge rejection candle on the current zone so now this current zone will act as resistance as price showed before that this zone is valuable as it was acting as support in the past months. So now I will keep on looking for bearish trades until it reaches the last zone then I will look for buy opportunities. So what do you think traders on this one?
Short
by dlaminisya
1