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USDCHF: BoA warns about investors being too optimistic about intA note from Bank of America's strategy department about the Fed follows The market was ahead of expectations of 5 interest rate cuts next year from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and even more (6) from the European Central Bank. BoA believes that expectations need to be tempered due to: Core inflation remains high And inflation risks are higher in early 2024 as the base effects from energy prices fade. In Europe: Eurozone deflation at current levels could support interest rate cuts starting in March
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
USDCHF: The USD "struggled" to regain the 103 markIn the first session of the week, the US dollar fell a further 0.18% to $103.23 on expectations that the US Federal Reserve could complete and begin raising interest rates. Onion cuttings will be taken in the first half of next year. At the time, the DXY index was heading for a monthly decline of more than 3%, its biggest decline since November 2022. At the same time, investors are awaiting a series of events and data this week that could determine the future direction of the market. interest rates around the world. Just a day later, the dollar fell a further 0.47% to $102.73, as investors continued to predict growth in the world's biggest economy would start to slow. Once again, the market is starting to factor in a rate cut in the first half of next year. According to CME's FedWatch tool, U.S. interest rate futures show a 33% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates in March 2024. The U.S. dollar "barely" rose 0.12% to $102.86 on Nov. 30 after newly released data showed the U.S. economy grew faster than originally reported in the third quarter. . Head. According to information from the U.S. Department of Commerce, U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) increased by 5.2%, faster than the previously reported 4.9%. This was the largest increase since the fourth quarter of 2021 and exceeded economists' expectations of 5%. According to reports, US inflation remains moderate, but on the first trading day of December, the DXY index once again reached the 103 level (up 0.75% to 103.51 points). The increase in jobless claims in October and last week shows the labor market is slowing. Accordingly, US inflation, as measured by the Personal Consumption Expenditure Index (PCE), was flat in October after rising 0.4% in September. Moreover, the PCE index recorded an increase every year. In October it was 3.0%. Meanwhile, the state's new unemployment claims rose by 7,000 last week to 218,000.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
USDCHF: USD price dropped sharply after news of private sector eThe dollar fell against a basket of currencies late last week on news of strong U.S. business results in November, while private-sector employment fell on expectations of a slowdown in the coming months. Fourth quarter. Earlier, Michael Brown, market analyst at Trader S&P Global, recorded the US Composite PMI Production Index on Friday. Specifically, the value for the month remained unchanged at 50.7, as a slight increase in service sector activity offset the decline in production. Values ​​above 50 indicate private sector expansion. The lack of significant growth in orders led to companies laying off employees, and the survey's employment index fell from 51.3 to 49.7, the first decline since June 2020. During October. Easing the labor market will help the Fed fight inflation. Jane Foley, senior currency strategist at Rabobank, said the economic data provided further evidence of cyclical weakness in the US. The U.S. dollar index posted its weakest monthly performance in a year amid growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will complete its interest rate hike and potentially start cutting rates next year. There is. .
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
2
USDCHF Long Term selling Trading IdeaHello Traders In This Chart USDCHF DAILY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today USDCHF analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (UDCHF market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDCHF Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Long
by ForexPlanet20
USDCHF: The US dollar rose on unemployment claims data, mixed The USD DXY index rose 0.30% to 103.90 as recent economic data and the Federal Reserve's minutes presented a complex scenario for investors to navigate. The increase came after the number of initial jobless claims was announced at 209,000, lower than expected. Despite this positive sign, investors are also considering a sharp decline in durable goods orders in October, down 5.4%. The latest minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) show persistent concerns about inflation, suggesting that these concerns will influence future policy decisions. This led to a rise in U.S. Treasury yields across a range of maturities as investors digested mixed economic data. Looking ahead, market participants do not expect an interest rate hike in November. Instead, there are speculations that interest rates could be cut as early as March or May next year. This sentiment is reflected in the DXY technical analysis. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remained unchanged near oversold conditions, which could indicate a resurgence of buying pressure. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bar is still moving sideways in the red zone, indicating near-term bearish momentum. Despite these mixed signals, the USD remains below the 20-day and 100-day SMAs (simple moving averages), but remains above the key 200-day SMA support. This position suggests that long-term bullish sentiment against the dollar may still exist despite the current bearish trend. The dollar continues to assert its dominance in global finance, playing a central role in foreign exchange markets with a daily trading volume of more than $6.6 trillion, based on last year's data. This dominance highlights the currency's far-reaching influence and its resilience in the face of economic instability and changes in monetary policy.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
USDCHF: Weak US CPI weighs heavily on the dollarAs anticipation that the Federal Reserve would terminate the monetary tightening cycle increased due to slowing U.S. inflation, the U.S. dollar made a slight recovery in early European trading on Wednesday. The Dollar Index, which measures the value of the US dollar against a basket of six other currencies, increased by 0.1% to 104.057 at 03:05 ET (08:05 GMT), not far from a two-month low on Friday. In three, 103.98. Tuesday saw a significant decline in the value of the US dollar after statistics revealed that US consumer prices were unchanged in October but increased 3.2% year over year, less than anticipated, following a 3.7% increase in September. The most important factor in determining whether the Fed will continue to tighten policy is stable inflation, particularly when inflation increased more than
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
USDCHF - Bearish price action ✅Hello traders! ‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF. Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for a short position. I expect bearish price action from here as price almost filled the imbalance and rejected from that zone. My target is sell side liquidity around 0.89500. Fundamental news: Next week on Tuesday will be released monthly and yearly CPI in USA, as well on Wednesday will be released monthly PPI and Retail Sales. News with impact on USD, so pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis. Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Short
by Snick3rSD
JPMorgan: In the future, CHF might be "more expensive"JPMorgan: In the future, CHF might be "more expensive" Although there are obstacles that could hinder the franc's ascent, they don't seem to be halting it as of now. Furthermore, even if the currency has witnessed the largest short-selling bets in the past two years as the surge continues, any increases in Middle East tensions or central bank action might drive up the price of the currency. Following the October 7 Hamas attack on Israel, Andreas Koenig, head of global currency management at Amundi, changed his position on the franc from negative to neutral, saying that "it would be a mistake to undervalue it in the current situation." "It was not our intention to escalate the ongoing confrontation
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
USDCHF: Fed officials want to continue assessing the yield Several hawkish Fed policymakers spoke on Tuesday, saying that the tightening of financial conditions since July (10-year Treasury yields have risen more than 100 basis points) is likely to affect the economy, although it will take some time to become apparent. It was suggested that it may have a debilitating effect. Is this sustainable? "We've seen some encouraging progress on inflation, but it remains too high," Dallas Fed President Laurie Logan said at a news conference in Kansas City. The key question for me is whether the fiscal situation we find ourselves in is restrictive enough to raise inflation to 2% in a timely and sustainable manner. ” Fed Governor Christopher Waller said in a speech in St. Louis that the rate hike was a "shock" to the bond market, but another board member, Michelle Bowman, told the Ohio Bankers Federation that officials said it was too early to know the full story. The effects of this "shock". Officials last week kept interest rates unchanged for two consecutive days at 5.25-5.5%, the highest level in 22 years. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has suggested that there is no longer a need to raise interest rates, arguing that rising yields will cool the economy. Since then, yields have fallen slightly as investors remain optimistic that the Fed is done tightening.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
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USDCHF: The USD fell on hopes that the Fed would stop raising inAs traders reinforced their wagers that the Fed would stop hiking interest rates, the USD index and dollar index futures both dropped 0.5% in Asian trading, prolonging losses from the previous day. Chairman Jerome Powell adopted a less hawkish posture than markets had anticipated by admitting that monetary conditions had tightened somewhat in recent months, even as the Fed maintained interest rates unchanged as anticipated. That. Powell does not completely rule out raising interest rates one more time. But the market saw his remarks as a signal that the Fed will no longer be raising interest rates and will probably be cutting them by the middle of 2024. However, rates are predicted to stay over 5% until at least the end of 2024, even if the Fed decides not to raise rates any further. This implies a constrained upside.
Long
by TrategySherpa
USDCHF: The market waits for the announcement of US government Due to investor demands for compensation for interest rate and geopolitical risks, as well as worries about oversupply as the Fed tightens monetary policy, both the bond and equity markets are volatile. Because of this, the market will be much more interested in the capital mobilization announcement on November 1st, including details about the scope and duration of the bond bidding. According to Josh Emanuel, chief investment officer at Wilshire, "the cause of volatility in bond yields is the imbalance between supply and demand in the market today." While some believe that Fed communications are less significant than issues, I believe that both are crucial.
Long
by TrategySherpa
BluetonaFX - USDCHF Support Trendline Break PullbackHi Traders! USDCHF is currently on a pullback and may possibly target October's high at 0.92448 for a price retest.   Price Action 📊 The market previously broke its long-term support trendline and is now on a pullback towards the trendline. There was also a recent falling price wedge break above the wedge resistance, which is also bullish. We are now looking for a break and a close above the 20 EMA for a final confirmation signal. Fundamental Analysis 📰 The US economy expanded at a 4.9% annual rate from July through September as Americans defied higher prices and rising interest rates. Economists have also said the US economy expanded last quarter at the fastest pace in nearly two years—more than twice the 2.1% annual rate of the previous quarter. Support 📉 0.89632: PREVIOUS DAY'S LOW 0.88949: 50% FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT LEVEL Resistance 📈 0.90049: PREVIOUS DAY'S HIGH 0.92448: MONTHLY HIGH Risk ⚠️ No more than 2% of your capital. Reward 💰 At least 4% of your capital. Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps. Trade safely and responsibly. BluetonaFX
Long
by BluetonaFX
USDCHF: The Federal Reserve meets this weekThe US dollar has recently strengthened on signs of US economic strength, even after a long period of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. US consumer spending soared in September, while the US economy grew at its fastest pace in nearly two years in the third quarter. Fed policymakers will meet this week, with the central bank expected to leave interest rates unchanged when the decision is announced on Wednesday. However, traders are concerned that these strong numbers mean they portend higher interest rates for longer as they continue to worry about overheating inflation.
Long
by TrategySherpa
USDCHF Long Term selling Trading IdeaHello Traders In This Chart USDCHF DAILY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today USDCHF analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (UDCHF market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDCHF Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Short
by ForexPlanet20