USDCHF Discretionary Analysis: Bounce at 0.85Hello traders.
I'm anticipating the momentum on USDCHF to carry on. Got my eyes locked on the 0.85 area. It might turn into a strong bounce point. If the signs are there, I'm jumping in with a short.
Discretionary Trading: Where Experience Becomes the Edge
Discretionary trading is all about making decisions based on what you see, what you feel, and what you've learned through experience. Unlike systematic strategies that rely on fixed rules or algorithms, discretionary traders use their judgment to read the market in real time. It's a skill that can't be rushed, because it's built on screen time, pattern recognition, and the ability to stay calm under pressure.
There's no shortcut here. You need to see enough market conditions, wins, and losses to build that intuition—the kind that tells you when to pull the trigger or sit on your hands. Charts might look the same, but context changes everything, and that's something only experience can teach you.
At the end of the day, discretionary trading is an art, refined over time, sharpened through mistakes, and driven by instinct. It's not for everyone, but for those who've put in the work, it can be a powerful way to trade.
Usdchfshort
USDCHF Imbalance Zone Possible Set Up for Bearish ContinuationBased on the current analysis of USDCHF, there's a compelling bearish setup forming on the 4-hour timeframe. Let's dive into the details! 🔍
Fundamental Analysis 💹
USDCHF is currently under significant bearish pressure at 0.8655 📉. The Swiss Franc has been strengthening against the USD, likely due to its safe-haven status amid current market uncertainties. This fundamental backdrop supports our technical bearish bias! 🇨🇭
Technical Analysis on 4H Chart 📈
The price is trading below both the 20 EMA (0.8677) and 50 EMA (0.8715) 📊, confirming the bearish momentum. This bearish EMA alignment creates a perfect environment for short entries! ⚡
Imbalance Zone Opportunity 🎯
There's a clear imbalance zone between 0.8664 - 0.8674 that hasn't been properly retested yet. This zone represents an area where price moved quickly, leaving behind unfilled orders. If price retraces into this zone, it could act as a magnet for sellers! 💰
The Perfect Setup 🔄
Wait for price to retrace into the imbalance zone (0.8664 - 0.8674) ⬆️
Look for bearish price action confirmation (engulfing candles, rejection wicks) 🕯️
Confirm a bearish structure break after the retracement 📉
Enter short position with stops above the recent swing high (~0.8680) 🚫
Target the equilibrium level (0.8661) as first take-profit 🎯
Extended targets at previous lows or 1:2 risk-reward ratio 💸
Risk Management ⚠️
Keep your stop loss tight above the imbalance zone
Consider scaling out at key support levels
Total risk should not exceed 1-2% of your trading capital 💵
This setup offers an excellent risk-to-reward opportunity if executed properly! The bearish momentum is strong, with both EMAs confirming the downtrend. The imbalance zone provides a high-probability entry point for shorts! 🔥
USDCHF Daily Outlook – Smart Sell Opportunity AheadAfter a clean break and retest of the ascending trendline, USDCHF shows signs of weakness below the key supply zone — perfectly aligned with the 38.2–50% Fibonacci retracement.
🔻 My Bias: Bearish
I'm watching for a short-term pullback into the red zone (possible liquidity grab), followed by a strong continuation toward the next demand area.
💡 Why this setup matters: ✔️ Trendline break & retest
✔️ Strong bearish momentum
✔️ Fibonacci confluence
✔️ Supply zone reaction
🧠 Patience = Profits. Entry should be planned with precision.
Possible Bearish Market on USDCHFUSDCHF has been moving between support and resistance levels thereby creating a sideways movement on daily and weekly timeframes, also creating some flag patterns, currently, there is a potential sells on weekly and daily timeframes,
we might see a little movement up to the resistance zone at 92081, creating a triple top pattern before starting the downward movement again.
let's watch out for the market this week.
like and share your opinion
USDCHF .. will the weakness continue ??I really don't see any reason for a change unless of course Mr .. causes another upheaval. For now, check out your charts and note that:
Monthly - bearish
Weekly - bearish
Daily - bearish
Intraday - all bearish.
We will hit and break a few S/R levels, but IMO, we should eventually get down to 0.8400.
This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!!
FXAN & Heikin Ashi Trade IdeaOANDA:USDCHF
In this video, I’ll be sharing my analysis of USDCHF, using FXAN's proprietary algo indicators with my unique Heikin Ashi strategy. I’ll walk you through the reasoning behind my trade setup and highlight key areas where I’m anticipating potential opportunities.
I’m always happy to receive any feedback.
Like, share and comment! ❤️
Thank you for watching my videos! 🙏
USDCHF to continue in the downward move?USDCHF - 24h expiry
Broken out of the channel formation to the downside.
Our short term bias remains negative.
Offers ample risk/reward to sell at the market.
The weaker US dollar has boosted performance.
20 4hour EMA is at 0.8801.
We look to Sell at 0.8799 (stop at 0.8839)
Our profit targets will be 0.8701 and 0.8681
Resistance: 0.8777 / 0.8800 / 0.8818
Support: 0.8759 / 0.8740 / 0.8720
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
USDCHF to find sellers at market price?USDCHF - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
20 4hour EMA is at 0.8816.
Bespoke resistance is located at 0.8800.
Our outlook is bearish.
The weaker US dollar has boosted performance.
We look to Sell at 0.8803 (stop at 0.8843)
Our profit targets will be 0.8703 and 0.8683
Resistance: 0.8811 / 0.8830 / 0.8845
Support: 0.8765 / 0.8740 / 0.8720
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
USDCHF Bearish Momentum - Will It Reach 0.88580?OANDA:USDCHF has broken below a key support zone, which has now flipped to resistance, aligning with a potential bearish continuation. The recent retest of this level held successfully, indicating strong seller interest and reinforcing the bearish outlook.
With momentum favoring the downside, the next logical target is 0.88580, aligning with the lower boundary of the descending channel. As long as the price remains below the resistance zone, the bearish bias stays intact.
USD/CHF Bearish Flag (06.3.25)The USD/CHF Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.8826
2nd Support – 0.8787
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USDCHF - Sell Opportunity After Support BreakOANDA:USDCHF has broken below a key support zone, indicating a potential shift in momentum. The price may now retest this zone, which previously acted as support and could serve as resistance, aligning with a potential bearish continuation.
If sellers confirm resistance at this level, the price is likely to decline further toward the 0.88640 target, which serves as a logical level for this setup. Conversely, a break back above the zone could signal a potential bullish reversal.
Traders should watch for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the resistance zone, or increased selling volume, before considering short positions. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have!
Sell opportunities on USDCHF H4This is a practice from a new DAY TRADING course I'm taking, for logging purposes.
Normally I would look for this kind of patterns on M15, but in this instance, on H4 it is very clear.
Here are my ideas for USDCHF shorting.
Please do not trade as my analysis might be incorrect.
I encourage constructive feedback.
If you did trade, make sure the drawing is respected, don't use exact values as they might differ from a broker to another.
Explanations:
MIN - last minimum point
MAX - last maximum point
BOS - break of structure
SMS - shift in market structure
SL - stop loss
TP - take profit
RR - risk reward
OB - order block
OB (15) - order block (based on M15) timeframe
USD/CHF Approaching Key Resistance – Potential Reversal Ahead?Analysis & Description:
The USD/CHF pair is currently testing a **strong resistance zone**, which previously acted as a significant **supply area**. Price has approached this **key level**, and a potential **rejection** could lead to a bearish move.
#### **Key Observations:**
✅ **Resistance Area (Supply Zone):** Price is retesting a previously respected **resistance** zone.
✅ **Bearish Setup:** If the price fails to break above the **0.90607 level**, a **reversal** could take the pair lower toward the **target area**.
✅ **Volume Confirmation:** Increasing volume near resistance indicates potential selling pressure.
### **Trading Plan:**
📉 **Bearish Scenario:**
- A rejection at **resistance** could lead to a move down toward **0.89267**, aligning with previous support.
- **Stop-loss** can be placed above **0.90607** in case of a breakout.
⚠️ **Bullish Risk:**
- If the price **breaks and holds above the resistance**, the bearish setup could be invalid, and further upside may occur.
### **Final Thought:**
USD/CHF is at a **crucial decision point**. Traders should **watch price action closely** for confirmation of either a **breakout or a rejection** before making a move! 🚨📊
USDCHF to continue in the downward move?USDCHF - 24h expiry
Broken out of the channel formation to the downside.
Our short term bias remains negative.
Previous support level of 0.8965 broken.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
50 4hour EMA is at 0.8987.
We look to Sell at 0.8987 (stop at 0.9012)
Our profit targets will be 0.8915 and 0.8905
Resistance: 0.8974 / 0.9004 / 0.9020
Support: 0.8950 / 0.8930 / 0.8912
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
USDCHF shortMy analysis was on the 1 hour timeframe and a small position. When I looked at the daily timeframe, I came across a range that could work very well. I have a Fibonacci line that is 86 and I love this line. In one of my tutorials, I came across this line that in range bounds, the trend reversal always comes and touches 86. It has touched the high level and is changing the trend downwards and we can ride this wave.
USD/CHF: Avoiding a false dichotomyThe US dollar is in a correction of its uptrend (see EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD etc)
Do we really face a linear option of fade or no trade?
Actually, it might be a false dichotomy .
Going long EUR/USD and GBP/USD (i.e. selling USD) would mean fading the major trend (as per the weekly charts).
But going short USD/CHF (i.e. also selling USD) would not be a counter trend trade because USD/CHF is in a trading range. Selling below resistance in a trading range is a high probability setup.
We can see the topping process on the daily chart, with 0.90 as the broken neckline.
Here the risk is well defined - if the price pops back over 0.90 - the breakdown trade is no longer on but while below 0.90, 0.88 is a natural target as the last major support area and the 30 week moving average.
But - as always - that’s just how the team and I are seeing things, what do you think?
Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request!
Drop a comment
cheers!
Jasper