7:1 Risk to Reward sell Setup for USDCHFCore Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts
Based on the Smart Money Concepts methodology, the following analysis has been conducted:
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: H1
Swing Structure:
The current swing structure is totally bearish with a proper inducement.
The corrective swing move has already reached its mid-Point of Interest (POI) with four pullbacks. Now, the internal structure has turned bearish, indicating the start of another impulsive move.
The mid of the move contains OB (Order Block), SOB (Significant Order Block), and FVG (Fair Value Gap), which are important areas for sellers. This zone also acts as a Change in Polarization (CIP), making it crucial for a potential downward move.
Pattern:
🟢 Chart Patterns:
A Head and Shoulders reversal pattern has formed, with the neckline broken, indicating a strong bearish sentiment.
🟢 Candle Patterns:
Follow-up momentum candles have appeared as engulfing patterns at the neckline breakout, confirming the bearish trend.
Volume:
🟢 A significant increase in volume was observed at the breakout point, signaling that bears are taking control at this level. This strong volume supports the bearish continuation.
Momentum RSI:
🟢 The price has entered a super bearish zone with a perfect range shift.
There is a bearish divergence at the top, and the price has taken a strong rejection from the highest point with a loud move. This makes the pair more attractive for sellers, as the momentum favors a downward continuation.
Volatility Bollinger Bands:
🟢 The contraction phase has led to a squeeze breakout, with one candle already closing outside the lower band. The "walking on the band" phase is about to start at the lower band, indicating sustained bearish volatility.
Strength ADX:
Bears are stronger than bulls in every dimension, according to the ADX.
Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
All parameters are in favor of sellers, giving this setup a strong 5-star rating, indicating high confidence in the bearish continuation.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: H1
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bearish
☑️ POI: Mid-point mitigated
💡 Decision: Sell
🚀 Entry: 0.8668
✋ Stop loss: 0.8717
🎯 Take profit: 0.8310
😊 Risk to reward Ratio: 7RR
🕛 Expected Duration: 10 days
SUMMARY:
The analysis suggests a strong bearish setup with an entry at 0.8668, a stop loss at 0.8717, and a take profit target at 0.8310. The risk-to-reward ratio is 7:1, and the expected duration for the trade is around 10 days. All dimensions—volume, momentum, volatility, and strength—are aligned in favor of the bears, making this a high-confidence trade. Close monitoring is advised to ensure the trade remains within the expected parameter
Usdchfsignal
USDCHF BUY TF H4 TP = 0.8959On the H4 chart the trend started on Aug. 06 (linear regression channel).
There is a high probability of profit taking. Possible take profit level is 0.8959
Using a trailing stop is also a good idea!
Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested in it. Thank you!
Good luck!
Regards, WeBelievelnTrading
USDCHF Loong!This price has been forming a falling flag for the past few weeks, which IMO is always a strong sentiment for a bullish market. After completing the pattern and liquidity grab, I do anticipate that the price might retest the upper trend line of the pattern.
Entry point at 0.868, SL at 0.855 and TP at 0.894
Remember, only risk 1-2% of your account.
USDCHF Technical Analysis and Trade Idea 👉 🔍 In this video, we take a closer look at the USD/CHF pair, which has recently displayed bearish momentum. It has retraced significantly and is now facing a key resistance level. Based on this, I anticipate further downside potential.
However, it's important to remember that these insights are speculative and not a definitive forecast. It's essential to confirm specific price movements before making any trading decisions, as discussed in the video. The video offers an in-depth analysis of the current trend, market structure, and price dynamics. Keep in mind that this educational content aims to enhance understanding and does not guarantee results. Trading involves substantial risks, so employing sound risk management strategies is crucial. 📈🔔
#USDCHF: 878+ PIPS Swing Buy In Making! Good Luck! Dear Traders,
OANDA:USDCHF
Price has been dropping since we had a change of character, there are many factors that are helping in USDCHF to drop. The mainly the first reason is CHF dominance in the market, CHF has been bullish ever since Gold continued the bullish trend, CHF, AUD and GOLD all of these three are positively correlated. Other fundamental reason is the blooming fear of recession in the US Market, on Friday we saw indices and stocks drop record high similarly to the first announcement of covid lockdown. USD index saw sharp drop due to this and it is likely that price will continue to do that on dxy index.
DeGRAM | USDCHF a bounce in the descending channelUSDCHF is moving in a descending channel between the trend lines.
The chart touched the lower boundary of the channel.
The price has reached the resistance level coinciding with the retracement level.
We expect the rebound to continue after consolidation above the current level.
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USDCHF Pattern FormationThis price has been forming a falling flag for the past few weeks which IMO it is a strong indicator of a long bullish momentum.
As for the now, the price seems to be at major market zone, at 0.883 - 0.885, hence we are waiting for;
1. If the price breaks out and closes above 0.886, the bullish momentum might continue.
2. If the price fails to break out of that zone, it will continue with the bearish momentum and completing the pattern where the target is 0.857
USDCHF - Short from trendline !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I wait price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from trendline + liquidity zone + institutional big figure 0.89000.
Fundamental news: Next week is full of news for USD, on Wednesday (GMT+3) we have Interest Rate and FOMC and on Friday (GMT+3) we have NFP and Unemployment. News with high impact on currency.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
USDCHF Weekly Analysis and OutlookUSDCHF Weekly Analysis and Outlook
This week, the USDCHF pair has shown a strong downward trajectory, closing in a bearish continuation phase. This downward momentum indicates a negative sentiment among traders, suggesting further potential for decline.
Current Market Overview:
The pair has been steadily moving downwards, supported by unfavorable market conditions and bearish sentiment. As it approaches a key resistance zone, traders should closely monitor the price action. A successful rejection at this resistance would likely confirm the continuation of the bearish trend.
Expectations and Potential Scenarios:
Upon retesting the resistance zone, we anticipate that the USDCHF will continue its downward momentum. This rejection could open the door to lower levels, offering traders potential opportunities to capitalize on the bearish trend.
Primary Expectation: If the resistance holds, the price is likely to sustain its downward movement, potentially targeting lower support levels. This scenario would reinforce the bearish outlook, making it a favorable environment for short positions.
Alternative Scenario: However, if the price breaks through the resistance, a temporary pullback could occur. Traders should be prepared for this scenario, as it might provide opportunities to reassess entry points at higher levels before resuming the downward trend.
Conclusion:
In summary, the USDCHF pair is poised for further downward movement following its recent bearish phase. Traders should watch for a decisive rejection at the resistance zone, which could serve as a catalyst for continued declines. Maintaining awareness of both bearish and corrective scenarios will be crucial for effective trading strategies. Stay updated with market developments and adjust your positions accordingly.
By Piptera Digital Solutions,
Invest Wisely!
DeGRAM | USDCHF rebound from supportUSDCHF is moving in a descending channel between the trend lines.
The chart bounced off the support and approached the resistance level.
We expect the growth to continue after overcoming the current level.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
USD/CHF Bearish Gartley Pattern Indicates Potential DowntrendThe USD/CHF currency pair is forming a Bearish Gartley Harmonic Pattern, signaling potential downward movement. This pattern is aligning with a key resistance area, adding further confluence to our bearish outlook.
Key Resistance and Trendline Confluence:
Price action has shown a strong rejection at a key resistance level, which coincides with a downward trendline and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. This confluence of technical indicators strengthens our bearish sentiment for the USD/CHF pair.
Entry and Stop Loss:
Given the current market conditions and the formation of the Bearish Gartley Pattern, our entry point is set at 0.89442. To manage risk, a stop loss is placed at 0.89864, slightly above the resistance area to account for potential market fluctuations.
Take Profit Levels:
We have identified three key take profit levels based on historical support areas and Fibonacci extensions:
TP-1: 0.89020
TP-2: 0.88598
TP-3: 0.88176
Analysis Summary:
The alignment of the Bearish Gartley Harmonic Pattern with the key resistance area, trendline, and the 78.6% Fibonacci level provides a high-probability trading opportunity. The rejection at these confluences suggests potential bearish momentum, making this a suitable trade setup with well-defined entry, stop loss, and take profit levels.
Traders should monitor the price action closely around these levels to adjust positions as necessary.
USD runs back to the downside after brief run higher after PPIThe USD has run back to the downside, after a brief move higher after the higher than expected PPI data:
GBPUSD: The GBPUSD is extending to a new high for the year and new high going back to July 27 when the price hit 1.2995 (just short of 1.3000). The old high and the natural resistance at the 1.3000 to give traders some cause for pause from a technical perspective, with stops on a break to the upside.
USDCHFThe USD/CHF pair is currently in a bearish trend on the 4-hour timeframe, following a descending trendline and the Elliott Wave 12345 pattern. The price has just touched the descending trendline and completed the 4th wave, indicating a potential move towards the 5th wave. Traders may anticipate further downward movement in line with the ongoing bearish trend.
USD/CHF - Bearish Reversal Anticipated from Key Resistance LevelThe USD/CHF currency pair currently exhibits a Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern. This pattern is significant as it is forming at a key resistance area, indicating a potential reversal in price action. The pattern's completion point, identified as Point D, aligns with a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, further reinforcing the likelihood of a bearish movement.
Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ):
Point D, also known as the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ), is the critical area where we anticipate a reversal from the current uptrend. At this point, the confluence of the Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern and the 61.8% Fibonacci level strengthens the probability of a significant bearish reversal.
Entry, Stop Loss, and Take Profit Levels:
To capitalize on the anticipated bearish movement, we recommend entering a short position at 0.90055. To manage risk effectively, a stop loss should be placed at 0.90175, slightly above the PRZ to allow for minor price fluctuations without triggering an early exit.
Take Profit Targets:
We have identified three take profit levels to gradually secure profits as the price moves in the anticipated bearish direction:
TP-1: 0.89935
TP-2: 0.89815
TP-3: 0.89695
These take-profit levels are strategically placed to capture gains at significant price points, providing a structured exit strategy to maximize profitability while managing risk.
Conclusion:
The formation of a Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern at a key resistance area, coupled with the alignment of the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, suggests a high probability of a bearish reversal in the USD/CHF currency pair. By entering at 0.90055 with a stop loss at 0.90175 and targeting the specified take-profit levels, traders can effectively benefit from the expected downward movement.
Disclaimer:
This technical analysis report is provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Traders are encouraged to conduct their own research and consider their risk tolerance before entering any trades.
USDCHF : Short Trade , 4hHello traders, we want to check the USDCHF chart. The uptrend line has been broken and the price is currently trending down. The price has pulled back to the specified key level and due to this, we are witnessing a drop in momentum in the hourly time frame. We expect this level to act as a resistance level and the price will fall to around 0.88500. Good luck.