USDCHF , We should wait until ...Hello everyone
I hope everybody have nice week
In here in daily time frame after rally drop price we are in pullback and we have heavy resistance zone that shown on chart ( red zone )
in there we should take signal in lower time frame ( signal : hammer or descending cover or ... ) and we can get position too after getting reverse pattern like head and shoulders and please please check the chart in multi-time frame .
We update the chart in future after the signal shown on chart but everyone be careful and attention to this area
Did you exercise and watch this pattern in other charts ??
Good Luck
Abtin
Usdchfsignal
USDCHF Order Block SellPrice is currently testing the 0.93000 level and previous Order block
I will be looking to go short provided:
Evening star formation or any other bearish candlestick patterns
Rejection at level 0.93000
Rejection at order block
Long Wick rejection of previous high
Break of counter-trendline
Weakness of USD on the DXY (Rejection of resistance)
USDCHF Daily Analysis Hello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
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During the Asian trading session on Thursday, the USD/CHF currency pair remained flat In the morning, after reporting gains overnight, the currency pair remained in a relatively narrow trading range with little movement. The USD/CHF exchange rate is currently at 0.9261, up just 0.001 percent since the start of trading.
Scenarios for the market :
Scenario 1 :
The market is showing Bullish signs all around so most likely we will be seeing a push to the first resistance located at 0.9287 if the Bulls were able to keep control then the price will push further hitting the resistance at 0.9311 or even 0.9346 where they might have a problem with breaking out that zone.
Scenario 2 :
After the market reaches the first resistance of 0.9287 we might see a strong push from the Bears to drop the market back to the first support at 0.9227 where most likely the Bulls will gather a lot of power to take control back and drive the market price back up.
Technical indicators show :
1) The market is above the 10 20 50 100 200 MA and EMA, But still below the 5 MA which could mean a very small drop before going up.
2) The MACD is above the 0 line which means the market is bullish, With a positive crossover between the MACD line and the Signal line.
3) The STOCH is in the high range showing Bullish signs, With a positive crossover between the %K (62.04) and %D (60.89)
Daily Support & Resistance points :
support Resistance
1) 0.9227 1) 0.9287
2) 0.9191 2) 0.9311
3) 0.9167 3) 0.9346
Fundamental point of view :
The US Federal Reserve kept its short-term key rates unchanged in the range of 0% to 0.25% on Wednesday and said a “moderation” in asset purchasing would happen for further economic progress. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) signaled a reduction in its $120 billion monthly bond purchase this year. In addition to that, US Fed Chair Jerome Powell hinted that tapering could occur as soon as in November or end in mid-2022.
Furthermore, the FOMC economic projection painted a rosy picture about the economy as the Fed hiked its interest-rate outlook to 1% and 1.8% in 2023 and 2024 respectively. The economy is expected to expand by 3.8% and 2.5% in 2023 and 2024 as compared to the previous 3.3% and 2.4% projections respectively.
On the other hand, the Swiss franc pares its previous gains on improved risk sentiment. On the economic data side, Switzerland's Current Account expanded to CHF 10.51 on a quarterly basis as compared to CHF 3.21 billion. As for now, traders wait for the Swiss National Bank (SNB) interest rate decision, US Initial Jobless Claims, and Markit manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index( PMI) to gain fresh trading impetus. According to Fxstreet.
This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from Fundamental Analysts and News for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !!
Thank you for reading.
USDCHF: Join the Short TeamWe took this trade yesterday with the team, we already have a gorgeous entry but we are looking for potential re-entry points.
I have illustrated where I would like to take a trade, once we tackle the equal high liquidity and bounce from the demand zone.
Do you like this idea?
USD/CHF: Daily Harmonic Patterns and possible movementsThis is the last update of current harmonic patterns on Daily USD/CHF charts. As we can see, two patterns are identifiable on the chart:
1. Ascending Wedge: Possible Bearish pattern
2. Symmetrical Triangle : Possible Bearish pattern
RSI is below 50 which confirms possible breakout and downtrend.
USDCHF | Perspective for the new weekWith over 150pips move in our direction since my last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purposes); the price appears to be back at our previous Key level @ Fr0.91950 (see link below for reference purposes) with multiple rejections emphasizing selling opportunity for me.
It is obvious that the Greenback rose during the last three days before declining with approximately 0.3% intraday to Fr0.91690 level on Friday to close below Key level hereby signaling risk of further decline in the coming week(s).
Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish)
Structure: Breakdown | Supply & Demand | Harmonic pattern (AB = CD) | Trendline
Observation: i. Since the price hit Fr0.92400 to form a Double top structure, we witnessed a dramatic decline in the last week.
ii. A significant breakdown of Fr0.91900 - a level which held price "supported" between 9th and 13th of August 2021 dictated the prevailing direction of price action as the price comes back to this same level with multiple rejections (18th - 20th of Aug 2021) and high hopes of a risk of further decline.
iii. 78.6& retracement of AB leg followed by Breakdown of Key level and Bullish Trendline reveals seller's strength at this juncture in the market.
iv. Structure characterized by multiple rejections of Key zone @ Fr0.91950 coinciding with a 78.6% retracement of AB leg suggests a "possible" transition into a Harmonic pattern (AB = CD) with parameters explained below;
a. Leg A-to-B is expected to be in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg.
b. The B- to-C leg makes a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg.
c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext . of the A-to-B move @ Fr0.90600/0.90400 area.
iv. If price continues in the direction projected, we shall be looking forward to adding to our existing position at a breakdown/Retest of Fr0.91500... Trade consciously!😊
Risk/Reward : 1:5
Potential Duration: 2 to 5days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDCHF Daily analysis, Price directionHello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
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The USD/CHF pair has been against a strong resistance zone at 0.92300 - 0.92500 with multiple top formations. USD/CHF went to the low of 0.9108 on August 4, after breaching 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, at 0.9192 However, the spot made a swift recovery back to the high of 0.9242 only to retrace toward 0.8140 in the previous week.
2 Different Scenarios for price movement in the next few days
Scenario 1 :
The price is trending close to the resistance line at 0.9164 a breakout of that line could indicate a change in the movement of the pair and the price could be headed near the second resistance zone at 0.92200 in the 23.60% Fibonacci level, and from there the Bulls will have to show a lot of support for the price to break that zone and change the trend.
Scenario 1 :
The price is getting closer to the support line at 0.9148 if the bears were able to break that line then a sudden change in price will happen and the bears will have enough moment to drive the price to near the 0.91100 support in the 50% Fibonacci level, where a test for the Bears power will happen and if they proved that they still hold control then most likely the price will drop below the 61.80 Fibonacci level and will be hitting the 0.90670 zone
Technical indicators are showing that :
1) The market price just dropped below the 5 10 MA and EMA, we could be seeing a small bearish movement, The price is still above the 20 50 100 200 MA EMA.
2) The MACD is above the 0 line Showing a Bullish state in the market, with a positive crossover between the MACD line and The Signal Line.
3) The ADX is at 22.39 showing that the market is currently trending, With a positive crossover between the DI+ (23.54) and DI- (21.30).
Support & Resistance points :
support Resistance
1) 0.91480 1) 0.91640
2) 0.91100 2) 0.92200
3) 0.90670 3) 0.92870
Fundamental point of view :
After touching the high of 0.9240 in the overnight session, USD/CHF continues to trade higher in the Asian trading hours on Friday The pair hovers in a narrow trade band with an upward bias. The appreciative move in the US dollar sponsored the move in the pair. The US dollar index remains strong above 93.00
The US Initial Jobless Claims fell for the third consecutive week, the readings came at 375K in the week ended on August 7 whereas, the Producer Purchase Index (PPI) gained 1% in July, higher than the market forecast of 0.6%.
Meanwhile, Kansas City Federal Reserve President Esther George said that the time had come to end the central bank’s asset purchase program.
On the other hand, the Swiss franc surrenders gains against the stronger US dollar.
As for now, traders are waiting for the Swiss Producer and Import price, US Michigan Consumer Sentiment data to gauge the market sentiment. According to Fxstreet
This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from fundamental analysts for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !!
Thank you for reading.
USDCHF H1 TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS (buy)From the analysis done on USDCHF for now we consider to buy this pair because the price has reached a support level but if it breaks support to the downward we will consider entering short to the nearest major resistance zone below. But for now we set our pending orders to go long above the current price so that we don't get triggered to enter the market at the time we don't want. We know what we are doing and we do what the market is doing. This is more than an institutional analysis. Invest wisely. See you experiencing zero poverty.