USDCHF Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaUSDCHF shows a daily bullish bias after clearing significant structural resistance. Watch for exhaustion as it tests the next major resistance zone. My video demonstrates a potential long setup using a Fibonacci retracement. This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be taken as direct trading advice.
Usdchfsignal
Sell Signals Looming? This Pair Nears Crucial SELL ZoneThis pair has been on a strong upward trend since the beginning of the year, following a significant drop at the end of December. At that time, I shared my first trading idea for 2024 on TradingView.
You can find that idea linked in a related post at the bottom of this discussion. That trading strategy was spot on, hitting our target of 0.88, although I had mentioned the possibility of climbing even higher, beyond 0.90, due to certain key levels.
And that's precisely what happened. The price is now nearing the SELL/SUPPLY zone at 0.91. This level was established in September 2023 and initiated the decline to 0.83. So, what comes next? Is it time to sell?
If we examine the weekly chart below, you'll see a SELL/SUPPLY level right beneath the monthly one, which I believe was the real trigger for the descent to the new lows. The initial drop (indicated by a red arrow) did not set a new low, with the market pausing before plummeting sharply for eight consecutive weeks.
This is the zone where selling should be considered, especially as the market has been rising for nearly 13 straight weeks and appears to be extremely overbought as we enter the Weekly SELL/SUPPLY zone between 0.90 & 0.91.
The Daily chart shows that momentum hasn't diminished significantly and remains strong. This suggests that we might see a minor pullback towards 0.88 before another surge to the swing high @0.92, followed by another sell-off (refer to the chart below).
I'll now begin searching for SELL signals on the 4hr timeframe with the TRFX indicator, aiming for a short-term sell position towards 0.88 or possibly lower, around 0.86.
Price may continue its ascent towards 0.92 without the short-term pullback, given the strength in the daily trend, and then proceed to sell-off. Hence, I will also be preparing for this scenario and look to add to my position if the price moves up.
In the longer term, this pair is still bearish on the Monthly charts, and a bullish trend would only be confirmed by a clean break and close above 0.92, which could then open the path for moves all the way back to 1.04.
For now, I anticipate a sell-off from these levels given the overstretched 13-week bullish run and entry into a key Monthly SELL/SUPPLY zone that precipitated last year's lows.
Let me know your thoughts below.
USDCHF - Expect retracement ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a long position. I wait price to continue the retracement and my point of interest for a long is if price rejects from trendline + S/R level + institutional big figure 0.89000.
Fundamental news: Next week on Thursday we have news on USD, will be released quarterly GDP, which has high impact on currency.
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USDCHF: View on daily timeframe, we are neutral. FX:USDCHF last few month price has been bearish all along as CHF remain strongest in the situations where war and other economical conflicts affects in global financial market. We are still not sure about future trend of this pair, as strong bullish price action yet to be seen.
However, the big amount of volume was accumulated at lower low of thursday which suggest a possible correction can occur. We would advice you to use smaller timeframe to have a better and safer bias.
Good Luck and Trade Safe
USDCHF : Long Trade , 4hHello traders, we want to check the USDCHF chart. The price is moving in an ascending channel and after failing to break the specified resistance level, it has had a correction to the specified support level. We expect this level to maintain the upward trend of the price and the price will once again grow to the resistance level. Good luck.
USDCHF - Long from bullish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 1H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for a long. I wait price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance and then to reject from bullish order block + institutional big figure 0.88000.
Fundamental news: Next week is full of news with high impact on USD and CHF, we will see results of Interest Rate in both countries.
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usdchf daily outlookit is going to complete a flag pattern after a clear upside move. so as the previous upside move, we can think that the next move could be upside after the valid breakout of this flag. I am not telling you guys to execute the market right now....wait for a valid breakout wait for better confirmation...then define your risk and then take the position.
note:- let's talk about the validity of a flag pattern. when you see the 4 touches on a flag pattern then it's going to be a valid pattern. another validity is a breakout. thank you
USDCHF
In the USD/CHF pair, a bearish trend seems to be emerging on the 4-hour timeframe, supported by the breakout below the double top neckline. Additionally, the correction of around 50% in the previous wave and the completion of the 4th Elliott wave further suggest downward pressure, potentially indicating a continuation towards the completion of the 5th Elliott wave. Traders might consider monitoring for further confirmation of this bearish sentiment through price action and key support/resistance levels.
DeGRAM | USDCHF channel breakoutUSDCHF is trading in the ascending channel, but the market reached 50% of the bearish move on the D chart.
The market is putting bearish pressure on the support level, and most likely it will break the support, creating the AB=CD pattern.
Price made two false breakouts of the resistance level at 0.886500.
We expect a breakout of the channel and a bearish move.
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💡 USDCHF: Forecast March 6USDCHF D1 decreased yesterday, with a narrower fluctuation range compared to the previous few D1 bars, showing cumulative price compression. With the current sideways state, yesterday's narrowing of fluctuations suggests the possibility of an explosion in price fluctuations for USDCHF in the near future.
The accumulation status of USDCHF H1 is in the form of a symmetrical triangle model - which can create price fluctuations when the model is broken. The main trend of USDCHF H1 today continues to be waiting to buy.
DeGRAM | USDCHF short from major resistance levelUSDCHF is trading in the ascending channel; it printed a AB=CD pattern and a butterfly pattern.
The market is showing that the bulls are running out of steam, creating a bearish harmonic pattern.
Confluence level: resistance and fibo extension level of 161.80% and equal measured move.
We expect a bearish move from the confluence level.
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USDCHF - Long from support zone ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for a long. I wait price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance and then to reject from support zone for a potential long.
Fundamental analysis: Next week is NFP week, news with high impact on USD, so pay attention to the results on Friday to validate the analysis.
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SHORT USD/CHF from .8847I'm SHORT this pair from .8847.
USD/CHF has hit the channel shown. This is a recent area of resistance from 13/2/24.
Price has been overbought since yesterday and now it appears the BULLISH momentum of this pair is waning and the signs are that USD/CHF BEARS are jumping on board.
Although the Pivot Point SuperTrend remains BULLISH, the Andean Oscillator shows a rise in the red SELL line and the green BUY line is heading south and looks like it will cross the signal line soon.
Other confirmation of the BEARISH bias is the falling RSI and the MACD is crossing south whilst the signal bars are shortening.
This has to be considered a risk trade as we don't have every indicator confirming the BEARISH momentum but we are just under WR1 resistance having been above it a few hours ago and the other major consideration is US news at 15:00 being the Manufacturing PMI and Revised UoM Comsumer Sentiment.
Hopefully this trade will be in + numbers and we can get a tight STOP on before the release of the data which will no doubt move the market.
🚨USDCHF is Ready to fall🚨🏃♂️ USDCHF is moving in an Ascending Channel and is currently near the 🔴 Resistance zone(0.891 CHF-0.882 CHF )🔴 and 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡. It also managed to break the Uptrend line .
🔔I expect USDCHF to start to decline after entering the 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡 and at least break down to the 🟢 Support zone(0.874 CHF-0.871 CHF )🟢.
U.S.Dollar/Swiss Franc ( USDCHF ) 4-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
USDCHF - Look for a long opportunity ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for a long. I wait price to make a retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then to react from support zone.
Fundamental news: Next week is full of news with impact on USD and CHF. On Tuesday we will see results monthly CPI on CHF and monthly and yearly CPI on USD. On Thursday we'll have Retail Sales on USD.
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USDCHF, Daily perspective (Important caption)
By studying the USDCHF on a daily time frame we can see the price reached the rejection block and had a bullish reaction, then the price created a high on 23 January that is located below the bearish order block which was created on the 0.5 level of Fibonacci.
So we have a liquidity pool formed as an equal high below the bearish order block.
In addition, we can define the important supply zone which formed between 0.705- 0.79 level of Fibonacci.
In both zones, we can search for a sell position in a lower time frame.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️06/02/2024
🔎 DYOR
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
USDCHF - Downside to fill the imbalance ✅ Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here price respected perfectly previous analysis, but for now I expect we to see a pullback price to fill the imbalance lower.
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USDCHF: Experts predict a difficult year for the Swiss Franc“The franc is once more overvalued,” stated David Alexander Meier, economist at Julius Baer Group and pinnacle fourth-region FX forecaster in keeping with Bloomberg.
Mr. David expects the franc to fall approximately 4% from modern tiers with the aid of using the quit of the yr while the Swiss National Bank (SNB) stops assisting the foreign money. This is extra than double the common estimate of economists.
His view is primarily based totally at the SNB`s current U-turn, which signaled that it might possibly ease - if now no longer absolutely reverse - the overseas foreign money income that helped the CHF top in 2015 towards the EUR and EUR. USD. Last week, SNB President Thomas Jordan stated the terrible effect of the highly-priced franc on exporters.
The economist expects the SNB, which has the second one-lowest hobby charge amongst G-10 countries, to begin decreasing hobby prices while inflation in Switzerland stabilizes beneath the 2% goal with the aid of using the quit of this yr. He stated the SNB is not likely to preserve shopping for overseas foreign money reserves, an pastime that has stopped considering that the second one region of 2022. That will placed stress at the franc, even extra than the decline in overseas foreign money income.
The franc rose almost 10% towards the U.S. greenback closing yr, the largest benefit the various G-10 and its best-appearing foreign money considering that 2010. However, till January this yr, CHF has slipped in conjunction with G-10 currencies and misplaced approximately 2.5% of its cost amid a more potent dollar way to developing expectancies of the United States Federal Reserve (Fed) easing economic policy. .