USDCLP
USDCLP Buying Chilean Peso no matter what you hear about EM?Emerging Markets are weak in general, but this is one of those economies that are quite apart of the rest. A very stable country that would benefit from foreign assets stepping out from risk economies like the U.S and Europe.
Unfortunately, it's quite difficult to find a broker offering this pair.
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USDCLP. Chilean peso completed consolidation. Eyes 732-764A year ago I posted a chart (see related) with map of weakness for CLP.
This is daily chart to give you the map of the current impulse.
Wave 4 could have been completed now.
Wave 5 should at least tag former top of CLP 732.
The next target is CLP 764 where 5 = 100% of 1-3
USD/CLP giving some clues on EEMReturning to its bearish path, we started the week drilling the support, if it closes on this level we hope that the fall will deepen ...
Alguien pidio los $650 ? Retomando su senda bajista, partimos la semana perforando el soporte, de cerrar asi es esperar que se profundice la caidas...
#USDCLP chart
USDCLP. Chilean peso could weaken againThe 2-year lasting correction could be over soon.
Candlesticks in wave Y chart the shape of ending diagonal, which is strong reversal sign.
Wave Y is already equal to wave W as it means that the USD drop was sufficient.
The former major top at the 732 is the minimum target.
See related idea in Turkish Lira, it could be similar.
USD/Latin American currencies poised to reboundWe have in Red (USDBRL) and Orange (USDCLP) the two strongest currency in latin american recovering from recent devaluation in a pronounced way in comparison with Dolar Index (Green). But fiscal situation in Brazil is getting worse, the political problem after impeachment of last president is to approve a series of bills to cut social expenditure like Health and Education, while continuing rolling over debt. Debt-to-GDP ratio is getting to 70% this year, in 2014 it was 55% showing significant deterioration.
While Business Confident Index (BCI-OCDE) improved this year, I have no reasons to believe it will last, in my vision is more related to a psychological vision that impeachment will bring structural changes, but the new goverment don't discard raise taxes.
In Chile (USDCLP) on the other hand, without impeachment, has the worst BCI in the world right now. showing the profound crises Latin American is facing. With all the majors countries in crises Mercosur business is stagnated.
Time to LONG Latin American Pairs.
Sources:
Debt-to-GDB Brazil: BCB 2016
BCI-OCDE: data.oecd.org