USDCNH ShortDespite the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) has announced to cut its Reserve Require Ratio (RRR) by 100bps on Friday, however it looks like a no brainier to me to short the USDCNH now with a SL around 6.98. I know some banks has immediately improved its USDCNY target price to above 7.1 after the news, however the chart seems to be showing the opposite and it just do not make sense for China to allow its currency to further depreciate when they have USD 1.3 trillion external debt and are already in credit crunch.
USDCNH
Yuan sharp reversalThis morning we saw another one sharp reversal of Yuan to growth.
In the previous month, the People's Bank of China actively engaged in interventions in the foreign exchange market and spent on it more $34 bln, protecting national currency from disordrly decline, although it did not interfere USDCNH’s from crawling up.
In November, we have already seen a couple of sharp kickbacks of the pair associated with good news from China, but the scale of the decline suggests that it was also the intervention of the PBC.
However, such interventions do not fundamentally change the sentiment in the markets, and the moment of growth should be a quick return to the fundamental trend.
USDCHN, worth the shotThe pattern is a bit unclear, but because the RR is so great i am taking the risk here. Starting small and increasing on the break of the yellow zone. Think we might make a lower high on the daily, so it could potentially drop a lot coming weeks. Making the RR enormous, which makes it worth the risk for me. I am using the stop loss, but in case we move only slightly higher but start to drop again (false breakout), i will probably short it again when that yellow zone breaks.
USD/CNH Sell Idea (Potentially Major)This pairing has been unable to break above the $7 dollar resistance - rejected in Dec 16' and again in Oct 18'. I will be looking at a short position after technical and fundamental factors have lined up in favour of this direction.
The US Mid-term elections have softened the dollar rally that began just before summer 2018. However, I will not be opening any positions until trend-line A has been broken.
Losses can exceed initial deposits when trading market instruments. You can manage your losses by using smart risk management. Identify what your entry, Take Profit and Stop Loss levels will be before you enter a trade.
If you stick by a smart trading plan you can substantially reduce your exposure to losses.
USDCNH - Short - Up to 1:6 R/R!The 7dollar handle hold, price now turning lower in an impulsive fashion.
The first wave finished and price is now making wave 2, so, wait for it to end before entering any short positions.
Trade Setup :
* Entry : Pending order @ 6.931 (0.618 Fib Retracement)
* Stop : last high (or 7.000 for a more conservative one)
* Target : 6.7 to 6.521
USDCNH Short Hi All,
Sharing another one of my trade. Im looking to short USDCNH. It's at an all-time high which is always a sweet moment to short. It may go up slightly, but will surely have a nice dip. Again, to avoid bad karma, this is not financial advice, just sharing my trade. Please trade smartly. Like and comment if you agree. All the best and trust the charts always!
Love
Kayj9009
USD/CNH Sell IdeaPrice is coming to key sell zone 6,9871, Last time the price was near that level year ago.
There is a big probability that price will bounce down from 6,9871 because in 80% situations currency rate bounce from such levels.
I will open a Sell if the price will make a fake broke 6,9871 and D1 close under it.
Push like and Subscribe, if this post will get 50 like I will write when I open a position with entry and exit points.
Obvious ShortWe all know that the Yuan does not float like western currencies and there is consistent manipulation on a daily basis in terms of the Yuan's strength.
I believe a revaluation and true appreciation of the Yuan is due, with technical (RSI=70), geo-political (Trade Tariffs between China and Us will never end well, china has mad treasury bonds that they can drop on the market at any time), and overall fundamental (Overbought) signals a huge short on the USDCNH.
Tangentially, I have never seen the USDCNH breach the 7.00 USD threshold not that China cant manipulate it either way but the recent losses in the chinese stock market show a need for an appreciating Yuan.
Let me know what you think. Not that I care because I make mad money kidd.
USDCNH (H4): Short-Term PlayUSDCNH
Timeframe: H4
Direction: Short
Confluences for Trade:
- Around Resistance Line of Previous High
- Stochastic Overbought momentum
- Fundamentally, China has seem to be slowing moving towards a psychological level of 7.00.Currently, the previous high proves to provide some resistance and we can take this as a short term opportunity to short USDCNH.
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 6.9370 - 6.9550
SL: 6.9670
TP: 6.8736
RR: Approx. 2.11 (Depending on Entry Level)
May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D
*This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and we are not responsible for any losses derived from it.
The silk road=> FED minutes today will likely push USD higher on the knee jerk however devaluation against the CNH is likely.
=> Here with a helping hand from a strong earnings season we are set for a risk correction.
=> A sell into strength strategy remains warranted for CNH as the bear flattening of the US yield curve does not bode well for leverage.
=> Good luck to all of those trading this one.