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USDCNH

USDCNH on an inversted H&S 🦐USDCNH on the 4h chart after a long downtrend starts a move inside a descending channel. The market creates an inverted head and shoulder pattern with the opportunity of a break to the upside. IF the price will break above, according to Plancton's strategy, we will be ready to set a nice long order. --–– Follow the Shrimp 🦐 Keep in mind. 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure. 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure. 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure. 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure. ⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure. Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question. The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
Long
by InkyGrip
6
USDCNH | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upWe saw the price decline and move over 1,000pips in our direction since my last publication before the rally began during last week trading session (see link below for reference purposes). Despite the general perception that the USD is on the verge of a rally due to the sudden & rapid rise that appears to be running ahead of itself during last week trading session, I am of the opinion that we are at a juncture in the market where the structure/pattern is "screaming" risk of further decline for the Greenback in the coming week(s). Even though there is room for a possible rally into the major Supply area @ Y6.5100 area, my bias still remains Bearish! Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure: Harmonic Pattern (AB = CD) | Breakdown | Supply & Demand Observation: i. Since the beginning of the year (2021), Buyers have found it difficult to break the Y6.51000 barrier thereby leaving clues of strong selling pressure at this zone. ii. Continuous rejection of the Y6.51000 area followed by a complete Breakdown of Key level (Y6.4600/6.4400) at the beginning of the month (Feb 2021) is a sign emphasizing the strength of sellers. iii. I am of the opinion that the rally that began on the 15th Feb 2021 is a Correction of the Impulse leg AB (expressed on the chart). iv. Last week trading session saw price close at Y6.4600 area - exactly 61.8% retracement of AB with the possibility of extending into the Major Supply zone @ 78.6% retracement (appearing to be a rejection of key level) before the decline begins. v. The setup evolving at this juncture might transpose into ABCD pattern parameters explained below; a. Leg A-to-B is expected to be in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg. b. The B- to-C leg is currently hovering at 61.8% (with a possible 78.6% in the future) Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg. c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext. of the A-to-B move. vi. It is hereby required that we become patient and wait for a strong Reversal pattern on lower time frames for confirmations... Best of luck and Trade consciously! :) Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 1,000 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:3 Potential Duration: 7 to 14 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
6
USD/CNH Can Plummet FurtherThis has been plummeting for the best part of a year. It recently broke another support and is now retesting it as resistance. If we see MACD turn lower and EMA's do not cross higher then this should continue down to the next supports. Keep in mind this has been oversold on RSI since September so don't be too overconfident as there is always the chance of a correction. I have marked out 3 levels where to expect support so these can be the targets. TP 1 - 6.38367 TP 2 - 6.31515 TP 3 - 6.23602 Once this turns SL can be added just above the resistance.
Short
by olly48
USDCNH a turn at the 0.618? 🦐USDCNH after the last bearish impulse retraced until the 0.618 Fibonacci level. The price is now testing the support over a trendline and if the market will break below, we can set a nice short order opportunity. --–– Follow the Shrimp 🦐 Keep in mind. 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure. 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure. 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure. 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure. ⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure. Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question. The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
Short
by InkyGrip
24
USD/CNH Time for Big CorrectionWorth keeping an eye on this. Looking on monthly and weekly timeframes this has plummeted hugely, at some point there will be a correction. It has levelled off recently so there may be an opportunity now. To enter this I would like to see the price rise above the most recent resistance marked with the blue rectangle, if the price then holds here as a support a long can be entered with SL just below support and a TP at 0.382 Fibonacci which is around 6.67000. This also aligns with a support area in Feb/March/April 2019.
Long
by olly48
USD/CNH : 🔥 PRICE ACTION ON DAILY TMF + BAT PATTERN 🔔Welcome back Traders, Investors and Community! Analysis of #USDCNH If you have found this useful then help us support my page by hitting the LIKE button. If you are not subscribed yet then please feel free to follow my page for daily updates and ideas. Thank you It means a lot to us! *** Strategy: Price action On H4 timeframe + Bat pattern - We will be waiting for all the confirmations to enter in this trade. A clear chart is Always the best business card for a trader. *** Your support and feedback will always welcome Thank you for your time. The information contained herein is not intended to be a source of advice or credit analysis Regards, Walter
Short
by FOREXN1
10
USDCNH on a bear flag 🦐USDCNH after testing the lows near a dynamic trendline retraced inside a minor ascending channel. The market reached the 0.618 Fibonacci retracements and now testing a support According to Plancton's strategy, if the conditions, will be satisfied, we will set a nice short position. --–– Follow the Shrimp 🦐 Keep in mind. 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure. 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure. 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure. 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure. ⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure. Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question. The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
Short
by InkyGrip
26
USDCNH BULLISHA lot can be expected between the US dollar and the Chinese Yuan in the next coming days / weeks. I think history has the best story to tell and here, I share my overall trends in which the USDCNH has been trading. The U.S. dollar greatly depreciated against the Chinese Yuan and created a pin bar on its all time ascending support I think we could potentially see a strong dollar against the Yuan in the next coming days. Please leave a like to show your support 🤗. Thank you
Long
by Timgucci
2
USDCNH | Perspective for the new weekIt has been months since I published any speculation as our last publication on this pair saw us bag over 1,000pips ( see link below for reference purposes). China is on the brink of launching its CBDC - Digital Yuan. To facilitate its smooth launch, the digital yuan had to undergo several testings. In line with this, the government in Shenzhen, a metropolis in China, has disclosed plans to distribute 20 million digital yuan (approximately $3 million) to the city’s residents... This could be an exciting development for investors as the Yuan continue to rise against the Greenback in recent times. Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure: Breakdown | Supply & Demand | Trendline | Harmonic (AB = CD) Observation: i. Y6.95000 level remains my key level as this zone shall be the yardstick for selling opportunity in the coming week(s). ii. Successful Breakdown of Key level at the beginning of the new year is a sign that the Yuan will continue to appreciate. iii. Presently experiencing traders profiting from the boom that began the year, a correction into 61.8/78.6% is on my radar for a trading opportunity. iv. Suspected ABCD pattern parameters explained below; a. Impulse A-to-B is expected to be in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg. b. The B- to-C leg is at 61.8% currently (with a possible 78.6% in the future) Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg. c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext. of the A-to-B move. Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 1,000 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:3.5 Potential Duration: 10 to 20 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
FX Update: Chinese renminbi opens 2021 with a jolt higherSummary: The market tried to set-off the reflationary fireworks as the first session of 2021 got underway, but while big moves up in some commodities and in particular crypto assets opened the year with a bang, the only move that is sticking well as the market rolls into North American hours is the move in the Chinese currency higher after weeks of quiet at the end of 2020. What gives? FX Trading focus: USDCNH plunges at a rapid clip – what gives? The Chinese renminbi jolted higher on the first session of the New Year, a surprise move of considerable magnitude, and one that is no accident and sends a message – but what message? Arguably, the CNY strengthening is merely playing a bit of relative catchup with other US dollar crosses, as for example, AUDCNY exactly touched the 2020 high again on the last days of 2020 before dipping on this CNY rally. Perhaps that is the very message, that China wants to manage its currency in such a way as to keep it relatively strong, if not so strong as to break the range against the official basket, nor against any major trading partner By that way of thinking, then, AUDCNH might be a low beta trade for further CNH resilience and strength. This would be part and parcel of its strategic move to attract capital via a strong and stable currency and higher policy rates, allowing it to absorb demand from global Covid-19 stimulus and the luxury to keep a relatively tight policy to allow some scale of deleveraging that it never really pursued in previous cycles of recent date. The other argument might be that in the reflationary world that threatens from both Covid-19 supply disruptions and the arrival of fiscal forcing, that China wants to maintain a firm currency to guard against rising price pressures from commodity imports. In any case, the focus from here will eventually shift on whether China plans to allow the renminbi to pull higher above the range high that marked the top in recent weeks – coinciding with two prior peaks in the last couple of years – and that level is only about a percent above the current level. Chart: USDCNH After a few weeks in which the USDCNH exchange rate largely ignored the weaker US dollar, the renminbi jolted higher to start the year in one of the biggest moves in recent memory and below the largely symbolic 6.50 area – never a particular chart level in focus in other cycles. I’ll hang on to the view that China is happy to keep the renminbi at the strong side of the range in the official basket without a major isolated appreciation (this view encouraged recently when the CNY stopped appreciating at the twice-touched area near 96.0), but will watch closely if that basket level moves above 96.0, which could suggest a willingness to allow it to appreciate further to the next major high around 98.0. Eventually, it will be interesting to see how the US-China relationship develops under a Biden presidency and how the exchange rate would react to higher inflation as well as a deepening dis-engagement of the two economies. Georgia run-off races tilting Democratic? After the terrible experience of believing in what proved horrible poll quality during the 2020 election, I am reluctant to even bring polls into the discussion, but there has been a move in favour of Democrats in the latest series of polls in Georgia, suggesting that both of the seats in the Senate run-offs there could yet go Democratic. This would create a 50-50 split in the US Senate that would allow VP Harris to cast the tie-breaking vote. These elections tomorrow are pivotal stuff, though far less so than had Biden won a commanding majority in both houses, as key conservative Democratic senators could still make themselves suddenly very important as key swing votes for further fiscal measures or if the climate agenda is seen as too radical for local constituents (thinking especially of West Virginia Democratic senator Joe Manchin here). Still, the bipartisan attitude toward bigger spending has witnessed a massive shift since the Obama years, and cleverly crafted, centrist initiatives from a Biden administration could find support from a cohort of more traditional Republicans with or without the two Georgia seats, a smaller population than they were formerly, but still not banished from existence by four years of Trump. The market’s initial read if the Democrats take both Senate run-off seats will be USD negative on the presumption of more fiscal stimulus potential). John Hardy Head of FX Strategy Disclaimer The Saxo Bank Group entities each provide execution-only service and access to Analysis permitting a person to view and/or use content available on or via the website. This content is not intended to and does not change or expand on the execution-only service. 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