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XAU/USD 15 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH as mentioned on various occasions in previous analysis. This is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor price. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of internal 50% EQ or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,235.845. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price printed as per my alternative scenario in yesterday's analysis where I mentioned that due to the narrowing of the internal range, it could be a potential early signal that all HTF's are beginning their bearish pullback phase initiation. I would therefore not be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS. Price has printed a bearish iBOS. Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation and has traded up to premium of internal 50% EQ. Intraday Expectation: Price has traded up to premium of internal 50% EQ and should technically target weak internal low priced at 3,193.630. However, price could also potentially trade up to mitigate M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 01 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by Trump's tariff policy which is driving up the price of gold. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. You will note a further bullish iBOS marked in red. This is due to the fact the price did not trade down to either discount of internal 50% or a demand level. Intraday Expectation: Due to the bullish nature of the market, with very minimal pullback I will continue to visually map until price pulls back enough to plot structure. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by the trump tariffs. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. You will note price has printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor price. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,149.090. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 07 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025. Price is currently trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720 Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 03 March 2023. As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price. On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent. Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 15 March 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/bias remains unchanged from yesterday's 14/03/2024) analysis -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price printed a swing BOS and subsequently a bullish iBOS. Bearish CHoCH has been printed. We are now trading within an internal range. As mentioned 11/03/2024, bearish CHoCH, which is the first structural indication, but not confirmation that bearish pullback is underway, will indicate pullback initiation has now been printed. Bearish iBOS will provide confirmation that pullback is underway. Due to the bullish nature of the market, Intraday expectation is for price to target internal high, however, all HTF's are indicating the need for a pullback, therefore, a second potential scenario could be price targeting internal low to confirm pullback is now underway. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has now printed a bearish iBOS which confirms comments made on 12 March 2024 that it would be useful to remember that all HTF's are requiring a pullback. Price did try to target weak internal low, as per my comments made yesterda however, we saw price react at an M15 POI. Intraday expectation is for price to react again at 50% EQ, which price is currently doing, or react in premium of 50% EQ, before targeting weak internal low. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Expecting Gold to head SouthI'm more confident than ever that the USD is going to grow from here, at least to 105, and then let's see. There's loads of scare mongering (and I believe it is just that) around the US debt ceiling (I do not believe that either political side will allow the US to default, at all - loads of fud about insurance policy sales on the increase to hedge against this - blx), and also that China et al are working to remove the USD as the global currency (I 100% believe this is in process, but it's going to take 10 years, not 10 days, nom sen!). For gold, looking at the weekly, we have a long rejection wick (for the third time in the last 2 years), so like the last two, I'm expecting a retracement from here. This is a 3:1, but if we break 1970 then I'm expecting further falls, we drop below 1950 and it's going to drop big!! Only caveat for me is we've seen gold behave rather oddly recently (eg rising as DXY rises), however I believe a big USD push will force Gold down, but keep your wits about you, nom sen!! Trade safe!
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by Finchcliffe