USDILS
USDILS Head and shouldersA head and shoulders graph has formed, it looks like the head has been formed perfectly on a strong support level, this pair is very likely to rise in value. The price is currently moving in a range near the neckline, if the price is able to break this neckline, it is very likely that we could see massive bullish gains over the coming weeks. The RSI is in a good position for an upward movement. This pair is heavily influenced by economics and I advise anyone trading this pair to look at the fundamentals for both Israel and USA.
USD/ILS 4H Chart: Review after new heightsAfter the US Dollar reached new heights against the Israeli Shekel, most patterns could be observed as broken. That fact pushed for a larger review.
It was discovered that the currency exchange rate is surging simultaneously in two ascending pattern. The dominant pattern has the form of an ascending wedge. Meanwhile, there exists a junior medium term ascending channel pattern.
In regards to the future, the rate is likely going to reach the high level of the monthly PP near the 3.70 mark in July. However, note that there might be short term, smaller time frame resistance levels existing that might slow down the surge.
USD/ILS 1H Chart: Wedge continues to restrict pairThe prevailing pattern for the USD/ILS exchange rate is a six-week falling wedge. The rate entered this pattern from the downside on April 24. It has since provided two confirmations on each side and is gradually moving towards a breakout.
The bottom boundary of this pattern is reinforced by SMAs on the 4H and 1D time-frames. Thus, it is likely that the Greenback is pressured higher this week. The nearest upside target is the upper wedge line at 3.59. The strength of this area could push the rate back lower until a southern breakout occurs.
In case the 3.59 area surrenders, the US Dollar is expected to target the monthly R1 and its one-year high at 3.64.
USD/ILS 1H Chart: Senior channel dominates The US Dollar has strengthened against the Israeli Shekel since mid-March. This upward movement has allowed the rate to move from the bottom boundary of a senior channel up to its upper line and the monthly R1 near 3.6360.
The pair changed its sentiment during the previous trading weeks, thus falling down to 3.5770 mid-Monday. It seems that the following trading session or two might mark a reversal to the upside.
This movement, however, should not be long-lived, as the 200– and 100-hour SMAs and the 55-period SMA (on 4H chart) are located at 3.60. It is expected that the pair fails to overcome this mark and resumes its decline down to the senior channel in the 3.50/52 area.
In case the 3.60 mark is breached, traders should see a further surge up to the medium-term channel and the nine-month high of 3.64.
USDILS ShortThere is a wedge forming for USDILS which indicating that the currency will start on a downtrend in around March 2017. I believe that the currency will go down to around 3.72 which was a previous low in April 2016.
We can also see a downtrend showing on the RSI and CCI which further supports the ideology that a downtrend is likely to take place.