USD/JPY Channel Breakout (Weekly Forecast Mar 3-7)The USD/JPY pair on the H2 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 153.90
2nd Resistance – 155.60
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USDJPY
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 151.26
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 152.20
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 150.05
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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USDJPY H4 | Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling toward our buy entry at 150.04, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit will be at 151.15, which is a pullback resistance close to the 38.2% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss will be placed at 148.96, which is a multi-swing low support level.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDJPY Massive Short! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for USDJPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 150.60
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 149.93
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPY analysis week 10Fundamental Analysis
The Japanese Yen (JPY) continued to weaken against the US Dollar (USD), pushing the USD/JPY pair above the psychological 150.00 level in late US trading on Friday. Japanese government bond (JGB) yields fell after Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s government cut its fiscal 2025 budget plan.
However, any meaningful depreciation in the JPY appears to be far off after the Bank of Japan (BoJ) increasingly accepted that it would continue to raise interest rates this year.
Furthermore, USD bulls may refrain from placing aggressive bets and opt to wait for the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for clues on the Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting path.
Technical Analysis
USDJPY is heading towards the technical resistance level of 151.200 where sellers are waiting quite a bit. When sellers in this 151,200 price zone cannot push below 150,100, the uptrend will continue to be maintained to the weekly target around 152,200. Note that the weekly support zone of 149,400, if broken, will form a long-term downtrend chain of this currency pair.
USDJPY Short Idea - 4H ChartThe USDJPY pair is currently facing resistance at a key supply zone near 150.90 - 151.10, aligning with previous structural resistance and a 200 EMA rejection. The price recently made a lower high within a downtrend, indicating further bearish momentum.
Trade Setup:
🔹 Entry: Look for bearish confirmation in the 150.90 - 151.10 supply zone.
🔹 Stop Loss: Above 151.20, beyond recent highs to avoid stop hunts.
🔹 Target: The next demand zone around 148.80 - 149.00, a key support area tested previously.
The bias remains bearish as long as price stays below the 200 EMA and fails to break the resistance zone. A rejection from this level could lead to a continuation of the current downtrend.
📉 Watch for: Rejection patterns, bearish engulfing candles, or confirmation from lower timeframes before entering a short position.
🔔 Stay patient and manage risk accordingly! 🚀
EUR/USD Bearish Outlook – Key Levels & Trade Setups📊 Technical Analysis EUR/USD
Timeframe: Likely Weekly (1W)
Current Price: ~1.0416
📉 Bearish Context:
Key Resistance: 1.05290
This zone has been tested multiple times without a breakout, indicating strong selling pressure.
It aligns with a liquidity area visible in the red rectangle.
Also near the yellow moving average (likely 50 or 100 periods), acting as dynamic resistance.
Key Support: 1.02838
Marked in blue as a potential short-term target.
A level that previously provided support and may attract buyers again.
📉 Current Scenario:
The price has rejected the 1.0529 resistance with a strong bearish candle.
A breakdown from the gray zone suggests a potential continuation downward.
If selling pressure persists, the 1.02838 target could be reached.
📈 Potential Trading Strategies:
🔻 Short Scenario (Bearish Bias):
Entry: Below 1.0430 after confirmation with a daily bearish close.
Target 1: 1.02838
Target 2: Below 1.0200 (depending on price action).
Stop Loss: Above 1.0500 (to avoid false breakouts).
🔼 Long Scenario (Less Likely Bullish Setup):
Entry: Confirmed bounce above 1.02838 with a strong reversal candle.
Target: Retest of 1.0529, with a stop below 1.0280.
📌 Final Considerations:
The current structure favors a short-term bearish continuation.
Key areas (support and resistance) will be crucial for the next move.
Watch for macroeconomic data and volatility, as they could impact the trend.
Could the price drop from here?USD/JPY is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 151.18
1st Support: 147.17
1st Resistance: 154.79
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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USD/JPY Setup – Buy the Dip or Wait for Confirmation?The USD/JPY pair is testing a long-term trendline support, which has held multiple times in the past, signaling a critical decision point.
The price has bounced off this level before, suggesting strong buyer interest in this zone. Additionally, the Stochastic RSI is oversold, hinting at a potential reversal.
If the price holds above this trendline and key support zone, we could see a bullish continuation toward new highs.
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (4H UPDATE)While our short term 1H buy's didn't work out, our mid term sells on the 4H TF is proceeding nicely. Price is down 1,230 PIPS (4.18%) from its Wave 5 high at $2,956. We have MUCH MORE DOWNSIDE towards our $2,450 target, so if you haven't got in already, you have plenty more chances.
If any short term buy positions present themselves, I will try to share them here.
USDJPY BuyUSDJPY Trade Signal
📉 Pullback & Potential Reversal
Price Level: 150.41
Support Zone: 148.37 - 149.98
Resistance Targets: 152.06 / 154.00
📌 Trade Plan:
Wait for a pullback confirmation before entering long.
Stop Loss: Below 148.37
Targets: 152.06 → 154.00
⚠️ Risk Management: Control risk and wait for a clear breakout.
Japanese yen declines as Tokyo Core CPI easesThe Japanese yen has extended its losses on Friday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 150.39, up 0.40% on the day.
After a string of releases that pointed to an upswing in inflation, Tokyo core CPI for February reversed the trend on Friday. Japan's CPI, PPI and the Bank of Japan Core CPI all accelerated in the most recent releases but Tokyo Core CPI surprised to the downside, with a gain of 2.2% y/y. This was down from 2.5% in January and below the market estimate of 2.3%.
The soft Tokyo Core CPI reading is unlikely to raise many eyebrows at the Bank of Japan. The index remained above the BoJ's 2% target for a fourth consecutive month and Bank policymakers are expected to remain hawkish about monetary policy. The BoJ raised rates in January and also revised its inflation forecasts upwards, a signal that further rate hikes are on the table.
The markets are expecting the BoJ to continue tightening and this has been resulted in higher yields for Japanese government bonds, which hit a 15-year high earlier this month. Governor Kazuo Ueda responded to the sharp rise in bond yields with a warning that the central bank stood ready to intervene in the bond markets. Ueda's threat appears to have worked as bond yields have retreated slightly.
The US wraps up the week with core PCE inflation, the Fed's peferred inflation gauge. The market estimates for January stand at 2.6% y/y (vs. 2.8% in December) and 0.2% m/m (vs. 0.3% in December). This would still be above the Federal Reserve's target of 2%. The Fed is not expected to lower rates before May, barring an unexpected surprise from inflation or employment data.
USD/JPY tested resistance at 150.39 earlier. Above, there is resistance at 150.98
There is support at 149.57 and 148.98
USDJPY H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, we can see that price is rising toward our sell entry at 151.15, a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 150.04, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 1152.66, above the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USD/JPY Extends Its Bearish JourneyHello, traders! What are your thoughts on USD/JPY?
The pair continues its prolonged bearish trajectory, currently hovering around 149.411. The weakness and instability of the US dollar have failed to provide support, making USD/JPY even more lackluster compared to its currency counterparts.
From a technical perspective, the bearish momentum has intensified as the previous ascending channel was broken by sellers. A deeper decline is expected, with key downside targets outlined in my analysis.
What about you? Are you anticipating further declines in USD/JPY? Let me know your thoughts!
USD/JPY Bearish Reversal Key Resistance & Fibonacci Target ZonesOverview:
This USD/JPY daily chart shows a potential bearish reversal setup after a break below key support and trendline structure. The pair has recently dropped below a critical demand zone (highlighted in green), which has now turned into resistance. The price is currently attempting a pullback, and a potential rejection from the resistance zone aligns with Fibonacci retracement levels, indicating a continuation of the downtrend.
Key Levels & Technical Analysis:
Previous Support Turned Resistance: The green zone represents a significant past support area that has now become resistance after a breakdown.
Trendline Break: The upward trendline that supported price action for several months has been broken, confirming bearish momentum.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
0.382 (151.265): A minor resistance level for a possible short-term rejection.
0.5 (148.979): A stronger resistance, aligning with structure.
0.618 - 0.786 (145.053 - 143.582): The ultimate bearish targets, coinciding with Fibonacci retracement extensions.
Bearish Projection:
The expected scenario suggests a short-term retracement towards the 151.265-148.979 resistance zone.
If the price faces rejection, a strong bearish continuation could target 145.053 and ultimately 143.582.
Trade Plan:
📌 Short Entry: Around 151.265 - 148.979 if price rejects resistance.
🎯 Target 1: 145.053 (0.70 Fibonacci)
🎯 Target 2: 143.582 (0.786 Fibonacci)
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 152.000 to invalidate the bearish setup.
Conclusion:
The overall sentiment for USD/JPY is bearish after breaking a key trendline and support level. Traders should watch for a pullback into the resistance zone, followed by a bearish rejection for a potential short trade. However, a break above 152.000 could invalidate this setup, shifting momentum back to the bulls.
📉 Bearish Bias Until Key Resistance Holds! 📉
US PCE could be the catalyst for USDJPY to make a stronger moveMARKETSCOM:USDJPY is currently flirting with the area around the 149.00 hurdle. In order to shift our attention to some lower areas, a drop below the lowest point of December 2024 is needed. But what about the US PCEs? Let's dig in...
FX_IDC:USDJPY
What are your thoughts on this?
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USDJPY Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USDJPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 154.45
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 155.02
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPY Will Go Higher From Support! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 149.879.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 153.459 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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#USDJPY 4HUSDJPY (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently respecting a trendline support, indicating that buyers are maintaining control. Additionally, the presence of a buy engulfing area suggests strong bullish momentum, signaling a potential continuation of the uptrend.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity may arise if the price continues to hold above the trendline support, confirming bullish pressure.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered near the trendline support after confirmation of bullish price action.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the trendline support to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target key resistance levels based on previous price action.
Market Sentiment:
The combination of trendline support and a buy engulfing area indicates strong buying interest. A confirmed bullish move from this level can provide better validation for a buy setup.