USDJPY Forecast for NFP Week | Price at a Critical Turning PointIn this video, I’m diving into the USDJPY setup ahead of a high-impact week filled with major economic news like the NFP, ADP Employment, and speeches from the BoJ Governor.
We’ll walk through the technical zones I’m watching, discuss potential buyer and seller reactions, and outline the key catalysts that could move the market.
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Disclaimer:
Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
#USDJPY #ForexForecast #NFPWeek #ForexMentor #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTrading #BoJ #TradeSetups #PriceAction #MarketBreakdown
USDJPY
Is a new round of decline impending?
The latest prices of USD/JPY are fluctuating around the range of 1.43922 to 1.44275, with an average price of 1.43917. The earlier pullback from higher levels indicates some downward pressure. On the upside, the pair may encounter resistance near the 144.20 level, with the next key resistance at around 144.50 and the first major resistance at 145.00. A close above the 145.00 level could lay the foundation for further gains.
Under the above scenario, the pair may even break through the 146.00 resistance level, with the next major target for bulls near the 147.80 resistance level.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
USDJPY 4H Analysis – Market Dynamics ChangingDear Traders,
Guys, the bearish trend in USDJPY has now shifted into a bullish uptrend. My target level for USDJPY is 146.330. Once it reaches my target, I will share updates under this post.
Friends, every single like from you is my biggest source of motivation when it comes to sharing my analysis.
A huge thank you to everyone who supports me with their likes!
Bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which id a pullback support that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 143.29
Why we lke it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss:142.36
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 145.88
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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UsdJpy could break 142 and fall 500 pipsSince early May, I’ve been highlighting the 142 support zone on USDJPY as a potential reversal area — with a suggested upside target at 146.
The market respected this level twice, reversing from 142 and rallying past 146 both times.
However, last week’s move into 146 was sharply rejected, forming a strong daily Pin Bar exactly at resistance — a classic sign of exhaustion.
Now, price is rolling back toward support, and after multiple tests of the 142 zone, we may be very close to a downside break.
🧩 Add to this the fact that DXY also looks ready to break lower, and the probability of a USDJPY fall increases even more.
📉 Trading Plan:
Sell rallies, with invalidation above 146, and a target at 137, aiming for a 1:2 risk-reward setup.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
USD/JPY) bullish choch Analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY presents a bullish outlook with Smart Money Concepts (SMC)-based logic. Here's a breakdown of the idea and key elements:
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Chart Summary
Current Market Context
Price: ~144.05
EMA 200: Acting as dynamic resistance at 144.19
Trendline: Broken, signaling a potential shift in market structure
Change of Character (ChoCh): Confirmed around 143.3, marking a bullish transition
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Key Zones Identified
1. Support Level (Strong Demand Zone)
Around 141.8–142.5
Marked by historical rejections
Possible mitigation of unfilled orders here
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG)
Between 143.0–143.8
Price may return to fill this imbalance before rising
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Projected Move
Price is expected to:
1. Dip into the FVG or Support Zone to mitigate imbalance
2. Reverse and make a bullish rally
3. Reach the target point near 148.68 (approx. +4.55%)
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RSI Analysis (14-period)
Current RSI: ~49 (neutral)
No overbought/oversold condition
Room for upside momentum
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Notable Features
Break of structure (ChoCh) → Bullish signal
EMA crossover potential → Bullish confluence
Multiple FVG fills + support reaction → Entry confirmation opportunities
Economic events marked → Be cautious of volatility spikes
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trading Idea Summary
Buy Entry Zone: 141.8–143.0 (support or FVG)
Stop Loss: Below 141.5
Target: 148.68
Risk/Reward: Favorable (approx. 1:3+)
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
USDJPY starting bullish move?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY Ready to Bounce – Sniper Long from Smart Money OBUSDJPY | 30-Min Bullish Setup – Premium to Discount + Order Block Reaction
USDJPY looks primed for a bullish reversal from a smart money perspective. Let’s walk through why this setup could be the cleanest long of the week 📈🧠
📌 1. Current Market Narrative:
Price retraced deep into discount levels (beyond 70.5%) after a strong bullish leg
Tapped into a refined bullish Order Block (OB) sitting just above a strong low
Multiple liquidity grabs have already occurred, leaving internal structure vulnerable to a reversal
Smart money has likely accumulated below recent lows… ready to pump toward Buy Side Liquidity 🧲
🧠 2. Key Technical Levels:
✅ Order Block Zone (Entry): 143.164
🔻 Strong Low: 142.048 (protected)
🟢 Buy Side Liquidity Target: 144.447
🔼 Weak High (Magnet): 146.290
Entry Point: Within OB (143.1–143.2)
TP Zones: 144.447 (main), 146.290 (stretch target)
SL: Below OB – around 142.048
RR: ~1:4+ — sniper grade 🥷
📊 3. Smart Money Flow:
OB aligned with 70.5–79% Fibonacci discount zone (deep retrace = strong reaction)
Structure shows signs of exhaustion on the sell side
Price may now reverse with displacement toward upside inefficiencies
Buyers likely stepping in aggressively from this level
🚀 4. Execution Plan (LTF Confirmation Entry):
✅ Wait for:
M5–M15 BOS (bullish break of structure)
FVG or mitigation entry confirmation
Maintain tight SL below OB (2–3 pips buffer)
Bonus: If price holds above 143.2 with strong M5 bullish candle close, that’s go-time for smart money longs.
🧨 5. Why This Setup is 🔥:
High probability bounce zone (OB + deep fib retrace)
Clean RR structure with solid target at buy side liquidity
Market structure shift likely as lower highs start breaking
Liquidity swept under recent lows = trap complete
This is the kind of setup that institutional algos are coded to exploit 🤖
💬 Type “USDJPY Long Sniper 🥷💴” in the comments if you’re in this setup too
🔁 Save this for trade journaling or future backtest
📊 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for smart money plays every day!
Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 02.06.2025Huge push up on Gold on market open due to Russia - Ukraine war tension.
Option 1: Gold rejects from CMP and drops lower towards $3,270.
Option 2: If Gold closes bullish above $3,330 then $3,370 is the next major bullish target.
Which scenario do you find more likely?
USD/JPY) Bullish reversal analysis Read The ChaptianMr SMC Trading point update
Technical analysis for the USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen) on the 4-hour timeframe. Here's a detailed breakdown of the idea and strategy:
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Key Components of the Chart:
1. Strong Support Zone:
The yellow zone is labeled as a “big support level of pullback”, around the 142.00 – 141.20 range.
Price has historically bounced from this zone, suggesting demand and buyer interest.
2. Bullish Structure Setup:
Price is forming a double bottom or potential reversal pattern in the support zone.
A downtrend line is clearly marked, and a break above this trendline would signal bullish continuation.
3. EMA 200 (at 145.020):
The EMA is currently acting as dynamic resistance.
A breakout above the EMA would confirm further bullish momentum.
4. RSI Indicator:
RSI is currently below 30, indicating the market is oversold – a common precursor to a bullish reversal.
5. Target Levels:
Target 1: 145.803 – likely the first resistance level or EMA retest.
Target 2: 148.587 – a prior high and strong resistance area.
6. Projection:
Price is expected to bounce from support, break the trendline, retest, and then rally to higher levels.
---
Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: Near 142.00 – 141.20 (support zone)
Confirmation: Break above the descending trendline + bullish RSI divergence
Targets:
TP1: 145.803
TP2: 148.587
Invalidation: Break and close below 141.00 (support zone broken)
Mr SMC Trading point
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Risk Management Suggestion:
Use a tight stop-loss below the support zone, considering it's the key reversal area. Also, keep an eye on fundamental factors such as U.S. and Japan interest rate decisions or key economic events (indicated by the icons on the chart).
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 141.94
1st Support: 140.24
1st Resistance: 148.56
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USDJPY H4 I Bullish Bounce Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 143.08, a pullback support that aligns closely with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 144.02, an overlap resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 142.12, a swing low support.
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Weekly FOREX Forecast Jun 2 - 6th: CHF & JPY FuturesThis is the FOREX futures outlook for the week of Jun 2 - 6th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
CHF JPY
It's been a consolidative week, but the USD is still weak. Look for valid breakdowns of consolidations before buying against the USD.
NFP week ahead! Mon-Wed will be the best days to trade.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
USDJPY Will Grow! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 144.062.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 145.457 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800 (UPDATE)Gold has once again rejected the 0.618 Fib level & dropped back into the lower bound of the range zone overnight, which is what we like to see.
But overall, we remain within the range so we exercise patience & keep an eye out for any possible alternatives which might happen for Gold. Nice profits for us either way.
Japan core inflation hits two-year high, yen gains groundThe yen is higher on Friday. Iin the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 143.63, down 0.37% on the day.
Tokyo core CPI climbed to 3.6% y/y in May, up from 3.4% in April and above the market estimate of 3.5%. This marked the highest level since Jan. 2025. Tokyo core inflation is viewed as the leading indicator of nationwide inflation trends and is closely monitored by the Bank of Japan. Tokyo core CPI, which excludes fresh food, was driven higher due to due higher non-fresh food prices, particularly rice which has soared 93% over the past year.
The jump in core CPI bolsters the case for a BoJ rate hike. The markets had anticipated a rate hike in October but today's strong inflation report could accelerate the timing of the next rate hike. At the same time, the uncertainty caused by US trade policy may force the BoJ to delay any rate hikes until the impact of US tariffs on Japan's economy becomes clearer.
US President Trump's controversial tariffs have sent the financial markets on wild swings. Now, US courts are weighing in on whether Trump exceeded his authority when he imposed the tariffs. A trade court panel ruled this week that most of the tariffs were illegal but on Thursday, an appeals court granted the Trump administration a temporary pause, keeping the tariffs in effect.
The legal fight over the tariffs has just begun and could go all the way to the US Supreme Court. In the meantime, the legal challenge has blown a hole in Trump's tariff policy and is causing even more uncertainty in the financial markets.
USD/JPY takes fresh dip on renewed trade uncertaintyThanks to ongoing trade uncertainty and troubles in the bond market, the USD/JPY looks like is going to end the week on a negative note, after coming down sharply in the last day and a half, which means the weekly gains have more than halved.
The US dollar had actually clawed back a bit of ground in early Friday trading after taking a hit the day before. The rebound came despite fresh drama around Donald Trump’s tariff policies, which—unsurprisingly—are once again stirring the pot. A federal appeals court gave the president a temporary lifeline, pausing a ruling that could have derailed much of his economic agenda.
The White House team wasted no time doubling down: Trump, they insist, isn’t backing off. Tariffs are sticking around. But the mood got murkier when Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent admitted that US-China trade talks are “a bit stalled.” Then came Trump’s latest post on Truth Social, where he accused China of “totally violating” the trade deal with the US.
Markets didn’t take it well. US indices dipped, USD/JPY slid, and even the euro managed to push the dollar back a touch.
As well as well as trade uncertainty eyes will turn to incoming US data next week, among them the monthly jobs report on Friday.
The US jobs report is always important as it could impact the Fed’s future policy decisions. Traders will want to see whether the trade war uncertainty is negatively impacting the jobs market too, after several macro data, including consumption data in GDP report and consumer sentiment surveys, have come out weaker in recent weeks. JOLTS jobs data and ISM PMIs are also due out earlier in the week.
The US dollar has been under pressure in the last three months or so, with the euro performing admirably during this time despite US tariffs.
With the US recently losing its final top-tier credit rating at the hands of Moody’s a couple of weeks ago, investors are worried that debt concerns and government spending will push yields even higher and thus they are shorting Treasuries and the dollar, buying foreign currencies, including the euro. This makes the EUR/USD outlook remain fairly resilient around the 1.12-1.15 range.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
USDJPY: Weekly overviewHello Traders, US news could move this pair dramatically.
I've made the white zone no trade because of strong additional zone around 148.225 for the bullish side and a sharp move needed to reach the zone.
The zone around 142.892 is more suitable for short trades, regarding the trend and distance from median of the channel. This zone is only suitable for long if the break be strong enough to overpass the median of the channel.
The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confrimation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
*******************************************************************
Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
GBPUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSIS ??GBPUSD has successfully completed its retest of the 1.34300–1.34500 support zone and is now showing strong signs of resuming its bullish momentum. The recent structure confirms a classic bullish continuation pattern, as price bounced cleanly off a critical support level that previously acted as resistance. This level has now flipped into a solid demand zone, giving buyers confidence to push toward the 1.40000 psychological target. Price action continues to respect the uptrend with higher lows forming since mid-April, suggesting strength and institutional accumulation.
From a macroeconomic perspective, the British pound remains fundamentally supported. Recent UK inflation data surprised to the upside, causing the market to delay rate cut expectations from the Bank of England. In contrast, the US dollar is weakening due to rising expectations that the Federal Reserve could initiate rate cuts later this year as inflation cools and labor market data softens. This divergence in policy outlooks between the BoE and the Fed is fueling bullish pressure on GBPUSD, making the 1.40000 level a realistic and high-probability target.
Technical confluence also supports this bullish wave. Fibonacci retracement levels drawn from the recent swing low to the high align closely with the support zone at 1.34300, which acted as a perfect retest before the next leg higher. Additionally, the bullish engulfing candles and consistent daily closes above the support level add further confirmation to the upside bias. As long as the pair holds above 1.34300, the structure favors bulls with strong momentum to test and potentially break the 1.38000 intermediate level on the way to 1.40000.
GBPUSD remains a high-confidence bullish opportunity, aligning both technically and fundamentally. The recent breakout and retest phase is complete, and the pair now appears poised for a sustained rally. With bullish market sentiment, favorable UK data, and USD softness across the board, this setup offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio for medium-term swing traders targeting the 1.40000 zone.
Yen Strengthens Beyond 144 on InflationThe Japanese yen rose past 144 per dollar, extending gains after Tokyo’s core inflation beat expectations, increasing the likelihood of a 25 bps BOJ rate hike in July.
BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said recent forecast adjustments were due to global risks and lower oil prices but reaffirmed the short-term policy stance remains focused on the 2% inflation goal. The yen also gained from safe-haven flows after a U.S. court reinstated Trump’s reciprocal tariffs.
Resistance is at 144.50, with further resistance at 145.40 and 146.10. Support levels stand at 143.50, 143.00, and 142.10.