USD/JPY - H1- Wedge Breakout (07.07.2025)The USD/JPY pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 148.00
🎁 Please hit the like button and
🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING
Thank you.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDJPY
USDJPY Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 144.493.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 148.651 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USDJPY Is Bullish! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 143.869.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 144.699 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USDJPY Pre-Breakout Setup – Eyes on 145.310 for Bullish EntryThe recent structure on USDJPY (4H chart) shows a bullish shift supported by a strong double bottom formation within a defined demand zone. After a clean impulse from the bottom, price is now consolidating below the key resistance.
🔹 Trade Idea:
I am patiently waiting for the price to break and close above 145.310 to confirm bullish continuation. Entry is valid only above this level to avoid false breakouts.
🔹 Technical Highlights:
- Price rebounded from a strong demand zone with a double bottom.
- A new bullish leg formed, approaching the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level.
- A clear impulse-correction structure signals potential for further upside if resistance is broken.
🔹 Trade Plan:
- Buy Above: 145.310 (confirmation breakout)
- Stop Loss: 144.40 (below structure and 0.382 Fib)
- Target: 146.900 (aligned with 1.618–2.0 Fibonacci extension)
⚠️ Note: No trade if price fails to break and hold above the entry trigger. Patience is key.
JPY Steadies, Trade Optimism Counters Dollar WeaknessThe Japanese yen held near 143.7 against the dollar on Thursday, stabilizing after recent losses, supported by improved trade sentiment and a weaker greenback.
Japan reiterated its aim for a fair trade deal with the US, though Trump raised pressure by threatening tariffs up to 35% on Japanese imports over low US rice and car sales. Meanwhile, a finalized US-Vietnam deal added to market optimism.
The yen also found support as investors awaited key US jobs data, which could increase the odds of a Fed rate cut.
Key levels: Resistance at 145.70; support at 143.55.
USDJPY 1H - market buy with a confirmed structureThe price has bounced from a key support zone and is showing early signs of recovery. A clear base has formed, and the MA50 is starting to turn upward, indicating a shift in short-term momentum. While the MA200 remains above the price, the overall structure suggests a potential continuation of the bullish move.
Trade #1 — entry at market, target: 145.939, stop below recent local low.
Trade #2 — entry after breakout and retest of 145.939, target: 148.000, stop below the retest zone.
Volume has stabilized, and the reaction from support is clear. As long as price holds above the last swing low, buying remains the preferred strategy.
GOLD - SHORT TO $2,800 (UPDATE)Gold closing the week below our 'premium resistance zone', running roughly 170 PIPS in profit. Hope you all are in sells & running in profit like my Gold Fund investors as this was called live for you.
Don't forget we could also have a possible liquidity zone sitting just above $3,400 like I told you all earlier this week. Just something to be careful of & stay prepared in advance.
USD/JPY loses bulk of NFP-related gainsThe USD/JPY has given back a bulk of yesterday's NFP-driven gains. Although the data was not as strong as the headlines suggested, the fact that we saw decent moves in bond and equity markets suggests investors were overall impressed by the figures. So it seems the market is preparing itself for some more tariff-related volatility as we approach the 9 July deadline, when 'Liberation Day' tariffs will revert. Trump has suggested letters are being sent out to trading partners over the next few days, informing them of their new tariff rate. If you recall, during the worst of April's volatility, the likes of the franc, euro and yen were all outperforming. Could we see a similar pattern this time?
Well, looking at the USD/JPY, traders have certainly sold into yesterday's rally. But we need a more decisive breakdown of support between 140.00-140.25 now to trigger some long side liquidation. Below this area, key support comes in around 142.50. Resistance comes in at 145.00, followed by 146.00.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
USDJPY 4-Hour Technical Analysis (Smart Money Concept Breakdown)📈 Overall Market Structure Overview:
The chart reflects a multi-phase Smart Money playbook, consisting of:
Bullish channel structure
Breakout followed by liquidity sweep
Supply zone flip to demand
Price mitigation and structure shift
Anticipated reaction zone for upcoming move
🔎 Phase-by-Phase Analysis:
🧱 1. Ascending Channel Formation
Price was moving upward in a controlled bullish ascending channel, suggesting institutional accumulation with planned distribution above highs.
The channel breakout was the first significant liquidity event, where early breakout traders were baited.
💧 2. Fakeout and Supply Interchange into Demand (Ellipse Zone)
Once the channel broke, price sharply reversed, retracing into a previous supply zone.
However, institutions defended this zone, flipping it into a demand area.
This behavior, marked with the blue ellipse, signals “Supply Interchange in Demand” – a core SMC concept.
Here, orders were absorbed
Liquidity was trapped below
A bullish push confirmed institutional intent
🎯 3. Previous Target Hit – Completion of Bullish Leg
Price made a strong rally from the demand zone, hitting the previous target near 147–148 zone.
This bullish leg created a Major Break of Structure (BOS) confirming bullish dominance at that phase.
⚠️ 4. Distribution Begins: Shift in Momentum
After reaching the Major BOS area, price failed to hold higher levels.
A decline followed, indicating distribution by smart money.
The reaction was sharp and consistent, creating lower highs, signaling weakness.
🔄 5. Minor CHoCH Formation – Early Reversal Signal
A Minor Change of Character (CHoCH) occurred around the 144.000–143.000 area.
This is a key transition, where smart money transitions from bullish intent to potential bearish delivery.
📦 6. Next Target Zone – Bullish POI (Point of Interest)
The chart identifies a next target demand zone around 141.800–141.200, marked in green.
This zone:
Holds unmitigated demand
Sits below a recent liquidity pool
Aligns with past support
This is where Smart Money could re-enter, offering a long opportunity if a bullish CHoCH or BOS forms from that zone.
📊 Trade Scenarios & Forecast:
🔻 Bearish Short-Term Play (Sell Setup):
If price respects current resistance (144.500–145), and a lower high forms:
Short entry opportunity
Target: 142.000–141.200 demand zone
Confirmation: Strong bearish candle, CHoCH below minor support
🔺 Bullish Reversal Play (Buy Setup):
At the demand zone:
Look for bullish reaction + CHoCH or BOS
Long entry potential
Target: Retest of 144.000 or even 147.000 if liquidity allows
🔐 Smart Money Tactics in Play:
Liquidity Engineering:
Price trapped both bulls (at highs) and bears (below ellipse zone)
Supply into Demand Flip:
A classic trap where supply becomes a launchpad for bullish delivery
Minor CHoCH:
Early signal of intent change
Next POI (Point of Interest):
Potential reaccumulation zone below major liquidity grab
🧠 Educational Takeaway:
This analysis illustrates:
Why breakouts are often traps without confirmation
How to identify real institutional zones
The role of CHoCH/BOS in planning ahead
Importance of waiting for price to come to your levels, not chasing
⚠️ Risk & Caution:
News catalysts can cause deviation from technical levels
Always use stop loss and proper risk management
SMC is about patience and precision, not prediction
✅ Summary:
USDJPY is showing early signs of a smart money distribution and a potential pullback toward demand.
Watch closely for confirmation at the key zone (141.800–141.200) before engaging long. Until then, short setups on rallies may be favorable.
USDJPY Converges in Triangle Ahead of Potential BreakoutUSDJPY on the daily chart is coiling within a textbook contracting triangle, with support ascending near 143.00 and resistance compressing downward toward 147.00. This symmetrical structure suggests traders are awaiting a decisive catalyst, as volatility has steadily declined alongside rangebound price action.
Recent sessions show USDJPY respecting both its triangle boundaries and key moving averages. The 50- and 100-day SMAs near 145.00 have capped advances, while buyers have consistently defended dips toward 143.00. Price remains inside the triangle’s narrowing apex, hinting that a breakout could be imminent.
Technically, the pair has followed recent divergences between price action and the stochastic oscillator. RSI remains neutral near 49, offering little directional bias, while ATR confirms the tightening range with sharply falling volatility.
If bulls manage to push past 147.00 and the descending trendline, momentum could accelerate toward 149.00. Conversely, a daily close below 143.00 would invalidate triangle support and open the path toward 141.00. Until then, USDJPY may continue oscillating between these boundaries.
Fundamentals now favor the dollar, after stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs data showed 147,000 new positions added in June, beating forecasts. While private hiring slowed, the drop in unemployment to 4.1% supports a cautious Fed, likely delaying a rate cut until at least September. This labor resilience underpins near-term dollar strength.
With sentiment and structure aligning, USDJPY’s breakout from this triangle pattern may shape its next major move. Traders should watch for price and volatility confirmation above 147.00 or below 143.00.
USD/JPY SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USD-JPY uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 142.829 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the USD/JPY pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
MarketBreakdown | USDJPY, USDCAD, BITCOIN, SILVER
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #USDJPY daily time frame 🇺🇸🇯🇵
The market nicely respected a rising trend line
and bounced from that, forming a high momentum bullish candle.
I think that the pair will continue rising and reach 145.8 level soon.
2️⃣ #USDCAD daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇦
The price is currently approaching an important confluence
zone based on a falling trend line and a horizontal support.
I will expect a pullback from that.
3️⃣ #BITCOIN #BTCUSD daily time frame
The price successfully violated a resistance line of a bullish
flag pattern and closed above that.
It is a critical bullish signal. I believe that the price will test
a current high then and will violate that with a high probability.
4️⃣ #SILVER #XAGUSD daily time frame 🪙
The market broke a resistance line of a bullish flag.
Uptrend is going to continue, and the price is going to reach 37,14 level soon.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD CHART PATTERN 2\HTrade Setup (Buy Position):
Entry Point: 3330
Target 1: 3380
Target 2: 3420
Stop Loss: 3290
Strategy Insight
You’re targeting a +50 pip move to Target 1 and +90 pip move to Target 2.
Risk is -40 pips from the entry (3330 → 3290).
Risk-Reward Ratio:
To Target 1: 1.25 : 1
To Target 2: 2.25 : 1
This is a moderately aggressive setup with a good reward potential.
USDJPY H1 I Bullish Bounce off the 61.8% FibBased on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling our buy entry level at 144.15, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fib retracement.
Our take profit is set at 145.16, an overlap resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 143.32, a swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bearish reversal?USD/JPY has rejected off the pivot and could potentially drop to the 38.2% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 145.22
1st Support: 144.17
1st Resistance: 145.91
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the price drop from here?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 145.36
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 146.21
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slight above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 144.16
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
XAUUSD : Bull or Bear ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price continued its correction yesterday, dropping to as low as $3327. However, gold rebounded and is currently trading around the $3344 level.
The key condition for further bullish movement is a stable hold above $3338. If this level holds, the next potential upside targets are $3366 and $3399 respectively.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
LONG ON USD/JPYUSD/JPY has given us a CHOC (change of character) from down to up.
It has engineered sell side liquidity right above a demand zone.
I expect price to sweep sell side liquidity, tap into the demand zone then take off to the upside.
looking to catch 150-250 pips on UJ. (Economic News could set this trade on Fire!)
USDJPY previous support, now resistance at 144.80The USDJPY pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the resistance zone, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 144.80, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 144.80 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 142.90, followed by 142.30 and 141.20 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 144.80 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 145.45, then 146.30.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 144.80. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USDJPY; Heikin Ashi Trade IdeaOANDA:USDJPY
In this video, I’ll be sharing my analysis of USDJPY, using FXAN's proprietary algo indicators with my unique Heikin Ashi strategy. I’ll walk you through the reasoning behind my trade setup and highlight key areas where I’m anticipating potential opportunities.
I’m always happy to receive any feedback.
Like, share and comment! ❤️
Thank you for watching my videos! 🙏
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 3, 2025 USDJPYEvent to pay attention to today:
15:30 EET. USD - Non-Farm Employment Change
15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Rate
15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims
17:00 EET. USD - ISM Services PMI
The Japanese Yen (JPY) traded with a slight positive bias against the bearish US Dollar (USD) during the Asian session on Thursday and remains near the near one-month peak reached earlier this week. Despite the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) hesitation to hike rates, investors seem convinced that the central bank will remain on the path of normalizing monetary policy amid rising inflation in Japan. This is a significant divergence from the stance of other major central banks (including the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed)), which are leaning towards a softer approach, and is favorable for lower JPY yields.
Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump hinted at a possible end to trade talks with Japan, and also threatened new tariffs against Japan over its perceived reluctance to buy American-grown rice. This, along with the overall positive tone towards risk, is a headwind for the safe-haven yen. In addition, traders seem reluctant and prefer to take a wait-and-see approach ahead of today's release of the closely watched US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. The crucial data will play a key role in influencing the US Dollar (USD) and will give a significant boost to the USD/JPY pair.
Trade recommendation: BUY 144.00, SL 143.00, TP 145.40