USDJPY Selling SeasonIn the Weekly/Daily chart there is a clear simetrical triangle leading the price to the center. At this point I zoomed in to the 1 hour chart where the short term bullish trend has been reversed by a possible and very noticeable "head and shoulders" pattern. First sell should be finsished at 111.000, and a good swing to 109.800 support. Nice and clean, at the long term I would say this bearish trend would fall and stop at 108.600.
USDJPY-SELL
USDJPY Sell IdeaH4 - Price is nearing the downtrend line and if we didn’t get a valid breakout here, we may then expect the price to respect this trend line and move lower again. continuing bearish divergence.
H1 - We have a critical zone that has formed based on the fibo levels of the cycles and the H4 dynamic resistance.
We may now expect one more push higher from the current zone towards this critical zone and then we may start looking for sells with more bearish evidences.
USDJPY Sell IdeaD1 - Price reached a critical zone, bearish divergence, moved lower and broke below the trend line.
Currently it looks like the price is retesting the trend line breakout.
H1 - Bearish flag, once we get a valid breakout below the bottom of this flag, we may then start looking for sells with bearish evidences.
USDJPY Sell IdeaH4 - Price is nearing the top of the triangle pattern.
H1 - We have a critical zone that has formed based on the fibo levels of the cycle and the top of the H4 triangle pattern.
We may now expect one more push higher towards this critical zone with bearish divergence to form.
We may then start looking for sells with more bearish evidences.
EW ANALYSIS: Risk-Off Sentiment Could Continue; NIKKEI+USDJPYHello traders!
Today we will talk about Risk-Off mode over NIKKEI225 and USDJPY, where we see a tight positive correlation!
As you can see, the main driver for the USDJPY sell-off was NIKKEI225, which may continue later this week, since we have seen an impulsive five-wave decline. In EW theory, after every five waves, a three-wave pullback follows and we can already see an a-b-c correction in progress, where wave »c« is still missing, so be aware of a Monday rally towards projected resistance areas, from where we may see another sell-off in the stock market and consequently also in the USDJPY!
That said, in the NIKKEI225 futures chart, we are tracking a three-wave a-b-c corection, where 22000 resistance area can be tested, before we may see a sell-off continuation! So, as long as it's trading below 22780 highs, we will remain bearish!
If we respect correlations, then it's similar with USDJPY, in which we think that 113 area, specifically 113.25 – 113.35 resistance area can be retested before another sell-off, so while it's trading beneath 114 region, we remain in the bearish mode!
Early Monday moves are usually fake, so if we get a Monday rally within projected wave »c«, then this would be a perfect three-wave corrective rise that can be easily covered in the next days, when we expect another sell-off!
Trade well!
Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
Swing Key Levels For USDJPY 15/11/2018For the swing forex traders, I marked the key levels to look for a position on USDJPY, yesterday the price created a new fresh supply above us that indicates the price on his way to Reach the support below, if the price will return to that supply, it can be a great opportunity for continuation sell position, I'll sell there and my target will be the support below.