USDJPY 15min ChartThe price is testing resistance near 156.400. A bearish reversal could send it toward the key demand zone at 154.500.
A short-term rejection is anticipated, followed by a lower high before resuming the bearish trend.
The critical target lies near 154.500, a significant support level where buyers may regain control.
USDJPY
USDJPY LONG | BUY TRADE IDEA (W/B: 23/12/2024)Guyssss! Happy New Year soon! I bring you a gift to close out the year!
As you can see we are in a bullish order flow, with protected lows. With a nice RR of 2.8 on TP1 and 3.07 on final TP, this trade takes advantage of the recent structural breaks.
Enjoy! Good luck and enjoy the end of the year!
EURUSD Is Going Up! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 156.354.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 157.858 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GOLD FURTHER SELL OFF?! (UPDATE)Even though Gold has officially broken below the 'Flat Correction' channel, I'm expecting volume to slow down over the next few days due to Christmas & the big players being away from the markets. We'll also see spreads higher then usual due to this low volume, so make sure to be using strict risk management.
USD-JPY Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY keeps growing and
The pair made a bullish breakout
Of the key level of 155.900
And is now making a
Retest of the new support
From where we will be
Expecting a further move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
USDJPY Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear friends,
USDJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 156.76 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 154.65
Recommended Stop Loss - 157.90
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPYHere is our in-depth view and update on USDJPY . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair.
Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at USDJPY from a bigger perspective. For this we will be looking at the H4 time-frame .
USDJPY is currently trading at around 151.800 after making its correction down to 150.400 .
Scenario 1: SELLS from higher levels (153.300)
We are at 153.300.
That would confirm our pullback to the uspide and as long as it’s respected, we should continue to the downside to our next KL (Key Level) sitting at 150.400.
Scenario 2: SELLS from 150.400
We dropped down to our Key Level 150.400 . If broken we should see more sells down to our targeted zones 149.500 - 149.000 .
Scenario 3: BUYS from 154.700.
We broke above 154.700 and are trading above it. We should see more upside potentially reaching new highs at around 158.800 .
Personal opition:
The direction for now is unclear until we break our mentioned key levels. A safe sell trade could be taken at 153.000 - 153.300 . Be patient and stay tuned for updates on this pair.
KEY NOTES
- USDJPY breaking below 150.400 would confirm sells down to 149.500 - 149.000.
- USDJPY failing to break above 153.300 would confirm sells.
- Breaks above 154.700 would show signs of reverse and could potentially rise up to 158.800.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 155.72
1st Support: 154.28
1st Resistance: 157.72
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDJPY | Hidden Bearish Divergence | 1HCurrently, the USDJPY chart shows the formation of a hidden bearish divergence and a double top pattern, both indicating that the uptrend is shifting into a downtrend. Additionally, new lower lows (LL) and lower highs (LH) are forming, confirming the change in market structure. These factors suggest the presence of a potential reversal zone (PRZ), where the price is likely to continue its downward movement.
Explanation:
1: Hidden Bearish Divergence:
The price is formed higher highs (HH), while the RSI is showing lower highs, signaling weakness in the uptrend and a potential reversal.
2: Double Top Formation:
A double top is a strong reversal pattern, indicating that the price has struggled to break through a resistance level and is now likely to move downward.
3: Market Structure Shift:
The formation of lower lows (LL) and lower highs (LH) indicates a transition from an uptrend to a downtrend, confirming bearish sentiment.
4: Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ):
The confluence of divergence, the double top, and the structural change points to a PRZ where sellers are likely to dominate, pushing the price further down.
This setup suggests a bearish bias, and traders could look for sell opportunities after proper confirmation, such as a retest of the PRZ or a bearish candlestick pattern.
$JPIRYY -Japan's CPI (November/2024)ECONOMICS:JPIRYY
(November/2024)
source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications
- The annual inflation rate in Japan climbed to 2.9% in November 2024 from 2.3% in the prior month, marking the highest reading since October 2023.
The core inflation rate rose to a 3-month high of 2.7% in November,
up from 2.3% in October and surpassing estimates of 2.6%.
Monthly, the CPI increased by 0.6%, the highest figure in 13 months.
$JPINTR - Japan's Interest RateECONOMICS:JPINTR
(Devember/2024)
source: Bank of Japan
-The Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintained its key short-term interest rate at around 0.25% during its final meeting of the year, keeping it at the highest level since 2008 and meeting market consensus.
The vote was split 8-1, with board member Naoki Tamura advocating for a 25bps increase.
Thursday's decision came despite the US implementing its third rate cut this year, as the BoJ needed more time to assess certain risks, particularly US economic policies under Donald Trump and next year's wage outlook.
The board adhered to its assessment that Japan's economy is on track for a moderate recovery, despite some areas of weakness.
Private consumption continued its upward trend, aided by improving corporate profits and business spending. Meanwhile, exports and industrial output remained relatively flat.
On inflation, the YoY figures have ranged between 2.0% and 2.5%, driven by higher service prices.
Inflation expectations showed a moderate rise, and the underlying CPI is expected to add gradually.
USD/JPY price action: breakout rally after hawkish FedThe USD/JPY pair has surged over 2% to reach 157.51, marking the yen's weakest level in four months. This significant rally follows recent interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. Despite the Fed's 25bps rate cut, the US dollar has gained strength due to the market's anticipation of only two rate cuts in 2025, contrasting with earlier expectations of four. This decision maintains the interest rate differential between the US and Japan, benefiting carry trade strategies. Meanwhile, the BoJ has kept its short-term rate steady at 0.25%, its highest since 2008, with potential rate hikes forecasted if economic conditions align. The US's optimistic economic projections, with rising GDP, inflation, and job growth, further bolster the dollar's appeal. As global economic uncertainties and political changes unfold, traders should monitor central bank signals to navigate the USD/JPY's trajectory and carry trade opportunities.
USD/JPY Delivers Exactly as Predicted—Next Stop: 161.92?Daily Context:
The daily timeframe continues to respect the bullish structure, with strong upward momentum intact. We’ve successfully broken the last high, achieving the medium-term target of 156.74. My long-term target of 161.92 remains firmly in place, aligning perfectly with the broader trend.
4H Perspective:
The market played out exactly as we talked about in the last analysis. After the accumulation phase, the breakout was clean, and the price delivered a strong markup, reaching 156.74. This perfectly confirms the bullish shift we anticipated following the distribution phase and validates the daily demand zone as a solid foundation for upward movement.
Updated Trade Plan:
Now that 156.74 has been achieved, I’ll monitor for a potential pullback into the 155.50–156.00 zone for a continuation setup.
If the bullish structure holds, the next target remains 161.92, which aligns with the higher timeframe trend.
💡 Key Takeaway:
Patience and structure-based trading paid off here—once again, the market delivered exactly as expected. The most important thing is to trade markets with clear context and solid setups. Stay focused, and let the market come to you!
GOLD FURTHER SELL OFF?! (UPDATE)Gold has officially broken below the 'Flat Correction' channel & Wave 3 sell's are in full effect! This sell volatility was induced by the Federal Reserve lowering the Interest Rate down to 4.5% last night.
As per usual fundamentals come into effect AFTER and push price towards our technical bias. I've said it before & I'll say it again. Politics & Economic data is one of the most manipulated facades out there😉
USD/JPY hits 5-mth high after BoJ holds ratesThe Japanese yen continues its rapid descent and is sharply lower on Wednesday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 156.82, up 1.3% on the day. Earlier, the yen weakened to 157.14, its lowest level against the US dollar since July 22.
The Bank of Japan didn't have any surprises up its sleeve on Thursday as it maintained the benchmark interest rate at 0.25%. The BoJ has kept rates steady since July but has signaled that it intends to normalize policy and raise rates. The central bank has been guarded about the timing of a rate hike and there was some speculation that it might raise rates at Thursday's meeting.
The decision to hold rates was not unanimous, with 8 members voting in favor and one member voting for a 25-basis point hike. The rate statement did not shed much light on the BoJ's plans but Governor Ueda said at his press conference that the BoJ could afford to move slowly on raising rates since underlying inflation was only increasing at a "moderate pace". The markets expect another rate hike in the first quarter of 2025.
Ueda also noted that there was uncertainty over the policies of the incoming Trump administration. Trump has declared he will impose tariffs on US trading partners, which could affect global inflation. Interestingly, the BoJ holds its next meeting on Jan. 24, a day after Trump takes office.
The Federal Reserve's quarter-point rate cut was widely expected but the market was surprised by the Fed's updated rate-cut forecast. In September, the Fed projected four rate cuts in 2025 but this was halved to just two cuts at the Wednesday meeting. US stock markets were sharply lower in response but the US dollar shined and rose sharply on Wednesday against all the major currencies, including 0.85% against the yen.
At his follow-up press conference, Fed Chair Powell said he was "very optimistic" about the strength of the US economy but he was less rosy about inflation, which has stalled above the Fed's 2% target. Powell said, "we have been moving sideways on 12-month inflation", a signal that the Fed may take a pause from its easing cycle until inflation resumes its downswing.
USD/JPY has pushed above resistance at 155.38 and 155.92 and is putting pressure on resistance at 156.98
154.32 and 153.78 are the next support levels
USD/JPY Approaching Key Fibonacci ResistanceChart Analysis:
The USD/JPY pair has extended its rally and is now approaching the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level at 157.19, a critical resistance zone for the current uptrend.
1️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement:
The 78.6% retracement of the downtrend from 161.80 to 138.00 aligns near 157.19, making it a key area for traders to watch for potential reversals or a breakout continuation.
2️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-day SMA (blue): The pair is comfortably above this level at 152.50, highlighting strong short-term bullish momentum.
200-day SMA (red): Positioned at 152.21, confirming the broader upward trend.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: At 68.44, nearing overbought territory, suggesting a potential slowdown or consolidation in the short term.
MACD: Bullish momentum remains strong as the MACD line trends higher, signaling continued buying pressure.
What to Watch:
A breakout above 157.19 could open the path for a retest of the 161.80 highs.
If the pair stalls at Fibonacci resistance, traders may look for support around the 50-day SMA near 152.50.
USD/JPY is at a pivotal resistance zone. While the trend remains bullish, momentum indicators suggest caution as price approaches critical levels.
-MW
USDJPY Analysis And Next Market MovePair Name = USDJPY
Timeframe = D1
Analysis = technical + fundamentals
Trend = Bullish
Details :-
USDJPY is getting a good volume. Gradually moving higher. Expecting 400 Pips + gain in this Move. USD is getting strong. That is pushing JPY Down. We can see price around 162.000 soon
Bullish Target:-
162.000
162.500
USD/JPY Rises to a Nearly 5-Month HighUSD/JPY Rises to a Nearly 5-Month High
According to the USD/JPY chart today, the US dollar has climbed to 157 yen. This movement was driven by monetary policies of both countries' central banks.
The Federal Reserve took a hawkish stance, with Chair Jerome Powell suggesting the possibility of fewer rate cuts in 2025 than earlier expected.
On the other side, the Bank of Japan's Governor Kazuo Ueda, as reported by Reuters, made "surprisingly dovish" remarks. He delivered a cautious outlook on monetary policy following the central bank’s decision to maintain its interest rates unchanged.
He emphasised that:
→ Real interest rates remain very low.
→ New risks are emerging due to trade policies proposed by US President-elect Donald Trump.
Technical analysis of the 4-hour USD/JPY chart shows that:
→ The pair moves in an upward trend, but based on pivot points (marked in red), the slope of the ascending channel might shift.
→ The RSI is at a multi-month high, and the black trendlines highlight significant demand strength in the market throughout December.
We can suggest that the US dollar is significantly overbought relative to the yen. Could a pullback, such as to the lower black trendline, be expected? Given the importance of fundamental factors such as central bank decisions, any potential pullback might not threaten the continuation of the current uptrend through the end of the year.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USDJPY Continues Consolidation Above Key Support!Dear Friends!
USD/JPY is trading sideways around 154.00 during the Asian session on Tuesday. The pair was weighed down by Japanese comments and a softer risk-on tone. However, a fresh rally in the US Dollar limited the pair's losses ahead of the US November Retail Sales report.
From a technical point of view, USDJPY remains in an uptrend with the trendline, EMAs and price channel still favoring buyers. In the short term, keep an eye on the upper limit of the channel, which could provide fresh upside momentum for USDJPY.
Wishing you happy and profitable trading.
USDJPY: Under Selling Pressure Around Recent Highs!USD/JPY has come under renewed selling pressure to near 0.6350 in Wednesday's Asian trading. The pair fails to benefit from fading hopes of a BoJ rate hike on Thursday as the US Dollar retreats despite a cautious risk environment. All eyes remain on the Fed outcome ahead of Thursday's BoJ decision