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USDJPY

USDJPY Weekly FOREX Forecast: March 10 - 14th In this video, we will analyze USDJPY and JPY Futures. We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week, and look for the best potential setups. After a long period of weakness in the YEN, the last couple of months have shown a turnaround. By several metrics, the BOJ has the country's economy finding its footing, and looking up. This is reflecting in its currency. It a time of uncertainty, the YEN will and has been outperforming the USD, as investors look to it as the safe haven of choice. This is likely to continue in the next week or so. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Short
by RT_Money
USDJPY Will Go Lower! Short! Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 148.026. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 146.677 level soon. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
4
Yen Benefits from Dollar's Broad RetreatThe Japanese yen held around 149 per dollar, its strongest in five months, benefiting from the dollar’s decline on a stronger euro and Trump’s tariff policies. His selective tariff exemptions and retaliatory measures weakened the dollar further. Domestically, BOJ Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida suggested possible rate hikes if economic projections align but emphasized that Japan’s monetary conditions remain highly accommodative, with only minimal reductions in government bond holdings. Key resistance is at 152.00, with further levels at 154.90 and 156.00. Support stands at 147.10, followed by 145.80 and 143.00.
by ChartMage
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 7, 2025 USDJPYEvent to pay attention to today: 15:30 EET. USD - Non-Farm Employment Change USDJPY: The Japanese Yen (JPY) has been strengthening in recent weeks due to the general weakness of the US Dollar (USD), maintaining the USD/JPY pair near its lowest level since early October, which was reached on Thursday.Speculation that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates has put upward pressure on Japanese government bond (JGB) yields. The narrowing rate differential between Japan and other countries continues to support the low-yielding yen.Meanwhile, uncertainty surrounding US President Donald Trump's trade policy and its impact on global economic growth continues to weigh on investor sentiment, as evidenced by weaker stock market performance. This is another factor supporting the safe-haven yen. However, USD bears seem reluctant to place new bets and prefer to wait for the release of the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, which in turn limits USD/JPY losses. Trade recommendation: BUY 147.600, SL 147.000, TP 148.400
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USD/JPY – Precision Short Trade Breakdown🔥 Executed a precise short trade on USD/JPY this morning, aligning with institutional order flow and Prime Market Terminal insights. Here’s the full breakdown of how this setup played out! 🔍 Trade Setup & Analysis: 📌 Entry: 149.300 – Price rejected a key supply zone & Fibonacci retracement level. 📌 Stop Loss: 149.558 – Above key liquidity & invalidation area. 📌 Take Profit: 148.504 (first TP), 148.213 (final target). 📌 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 📊 Prime Market Terminal Insights That Confirmed This Trade: 🔻 Institutional Positioning & Market Flow: ✔ Smart Money Report: Large institutions were heavily net short USD/JPY, with leveraged funds reducing their long exposure. Dealer intermediaries (banks and liquidity providers) also added more short positions, indicating further downside momentum. ✔ COT (Commitment of Traders) Data: Open interest showed a significant drop in long positions, suggesting weakness in USD/JPY. Hedge funds and asset managers increasing short exposure aligned with my bearish bias. ✔ DMX Open Interest: 66% of institutional traders were short on USD/JPY, confirming my sell-side setup. Short positioning had increased by 34% in the last session, reinforcing my downside expectation. 🔻 Volatility & Liquidity Insights: ✔ Average True Range (ATR) Analysis: ATR showed a high probability of an extended move, suggesting the potential for price to hit my targets. Recent daily ranges indicated USD/JPY had room to move another 100+ pips to the downside. ✔ Session Range & Market Structure: Liquidity grab above 149.300 supply zone, followed by strong rejection and sell-off. Previous session lows were swept, indicating smart money targeting deeper liquidity. Institutional orders clustered around 148.200, suggesting a likely downside target. 🔻 High-Impact News That Influenced USD/JPY: 📢 Japanese Unemployment Rate (Actual: 2.5% | Forecast: 2.5%) → No surprise, minimal impact. 📉 Business Capex (MOF YY) (-0.2% vs. 8.1% previous) → Indicated economic slowdown, weakening JPY demand. 📰 U.S. Economic Data Later Today: Redbook YY (USD) expected at 6.2% – could impact USD sentiment. Fed’s Williams speech on monetary policy could affect USD volatility, reinforcing our bias. 🎯 Trade Execution & Outcome: ✅ TP HIT! Price dropped as expected, hitting both targets with precision. 🚀 Perfect confluence of: ✅ Smart money selling pressure ✅ Liquidity sweep & supply zone rejection ✅ High-probability move from ATR analysis 📸 Prime Market Terminal Screenshots Included: 📊 DMX Open Interest → Confirmed institutions were net short. 📊 COT Data → Showed decline in long positions. 📊 ATR & Volatility Charts → Supported extended downside movement. 📊 Session Ranges & Market Structure → Confirmed liquidity grab & supply zone rejection. 🔑 Key Takeaways from This Trade: ✔ Trade with institutional momentum – Always check positioning before entering! ✔ Multiple confirmations = High probability setups – Don’t rely on a single indicator. ✔ Liquidity is key – Smart money moves price to hunt liquidity, trade accordingly. ✔ Fundamentals matter – Weak JPY capex data helped push price lower. 💬 What’s your view on USD/JPY? Will we see further downside? Drop your thoughts below! 📊 Follow for more trade setups, market analysis & strategy breakdowns!
Short
by LDForex_
Yen Steady Near 149 as BOJ Hints at Possible Rate HikesThe yen held near 149 per dollar, its strongest in five months, benefiting from a weaker dollar amid a stronger euro and Trump’s tariffs. While Trump eased tariffs for some automakers, retaliatory measures pressured the dollar. BOJ Deputy Governor Uchida signaled potential rate hikes if economic forecasts hold, noting financial conditions remain loose with minimal JGB reductions. Key resistance is at 152.00, with further levels at 154.90 and 156.00. Support stands at 148.60, followed by 147.10 and 145.80.
by ChartMage
XAU/USD Analysis & Market Insights📉 Bearish Context & Key Resistance Levels: Major Resistance at 2,934.00 Strong supply zone where price has previously rejected. Multiple tests of this area indicate seller pressure. Short-term Resistance at 2,920-2,925 Price is consolidating near this zone. A rejection could lead to a downward move. 📈 Bullish Context & Key Support Levels: Support at 2,846.88 - 2,832.72 (Demand Zone) Strong reaction zone where buyers stepped in. Previous price action suggests liquidity in this area. Deeper Support at 2,720-2,680 If 2,832 breaks, this is the next key demand area. Aligned with moving averages, adding confluence. 📉 Current Market Outlook: Price recently bounced from the 2,846-2,832 support, showing buyers’ presence. However, the 2,920-2,925 area is acting as resistance. If the price fails to break higher, a move back toward 2,846 or even 2,720 is possible. 📈 Potential Trading Setups: 🔻 Short Setup (Bearish Bias): Entry: Below 2,920 after a clear rejection. Target 1: 2,846 Target 2: 2,832, with possible extension to 2,720. Stop Loss: Above 2,935 to avoid fakeouts. 🔼 Long Setup (Bullish Scenario): Entry: Break and hold above 2,934.00 with confirmation. Target 1: 2,960 Target 2: 3,000+ Stop Loss: Below 2,915 to minimize risk. 📰 Fundamental Analysis & Market Drivers 1️⃣ US ISM Services PMI & ADP Jobs Report: The ISM Services PMI increased to 53.5, signaling stronger services inflation and employment. However, the ADP Employment Report showed a disappointing 77K jobs, far below the expected 140K, weighing on the USD. 2️⃣ Trump’s Tariffs & USD Weakness: Trump announced massive tariffs on trade partners, affecting risk sentiment. While he downplayed negative effects, US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick hinted at potential tariff rollbacks, boosting risk appetite. This weakened the USD, allowing gold to rise. 3️⃣ Upcoming ECB Decision: The ECB is expected to cut rates by 25 bps on Thursday, which could further impact market sentiment and gold’s direction. If the rate cut weakens the EUR, gold could see more upside. 📌 Final Thoughts: 2,920-2,925 remains a key resistance for short-term direction. A break above 2,934 could signal bullish continuation. A rejection from current levels could push price back toward 2,846 or lower. Fundamentals favor gold's strength as the USD weakens due to poor job data and trade uncertainty. 🚀 Key Decision Zone: Watch price action near 2,920-2,925!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
USDSJPY continuation of the selling pressure below 152.50Bearish Scenario: The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to strengthen against the US Dollar (USD) as expectations for additional Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hikes gain traction. This has reinforced a bearish sentiment in the USD/JPY pair, which remains aligned with the longer-term downtrend. From a technical perspective, 152.50 serves as a key resistance level, marking the recent swing high. If an oversold rally occurs and faces rejection at 152.50, the bearish outlook is likely to persist, with downside targets at 149.30, followed by 147.80 and 147.20 over a longer timeframe. Bullish Scenario: A confirmed breakout above 152.50, accompanied by a sustained daily close above this level, would negate the bearish bias. This could shift momentum toward the upside, paving the way for further gains, with 154.30 and 155.70 emerging as potential resistance levels. Conclusion: The 152.50 level remains the key pivot for determining the next directional move. A rejection from this resistance would reinforce the downtrend, while a breakout above it could signal a bullish reversal. Traders should closely monitor price action around this level for confirmation of the next move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
USDJPY: Consolidating below the uptrend channel!Dear Traders! Recently, USDJPY has made a strong breakout, completely exiting the uptrend and stabilizing below a new support level, as highlighted on the 1-hour chart. The pair is currently trading around 149.20. This stability above the new support is driven by U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff policies, which have boosted risk-off sentiment and increased demand for the U.S. Dollar as a safe-haven asset. However, expectations of a BoJ rate hike and concerns over a global trade war continue to support the Japanese Yen, keeping gains limited below the lower boundary of the previous uptrend channel.
Long
by Trader_LinaScalping
USDJPY H4 | Bullish BounceBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 149.29, a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 151.39, a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 50% Fibonacci retracement. The stop loss is placed at 148.08, a swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
Market Overview: Major Currency Pairs - Week 9/2025(February 24,Market Overview: Major Currency Pairs - Week 9/2025(February 24, 2025 - March 3, 2025) 📉 USDCAD 🔗 Link to chart: 📊 Active Price Range: 1.429 - 1.404 📉 Main Trend: Swing SELL D1 ⚙️ Setup: Sell H1-D1, waiting for trading signals from Rainbow Sniper 💴 USDJPY 🔗 Link to chart: TradingView 📌 Current Status: USDJPY is in a SELL trend. The SELL signal has been active for multiple weeks, and the downtrend remains strong. If no position has been taken, any new trades should only be short-term scalping due to increased sensitivity to losses from price corrections. 📊 Active Price Range: 151-152 - 142 📉 Main Trend: Swing SELL W ⚙️ Setup: SELL H1-D1 and SELL H4-W, waiting for trading signals from Rainbow Sniper 💵 USDCHF 🔗 Link to chart: TradingView 📊 Active Price Range: 0.8899 - 0.9589 📈 Main Trend: BUY ⚙️ Setup: BUY H1-D1, waiting for trading signals from Rainbow Sniper 💷 GBPUSD 🔗 Link to chart: TradingView 📌 Current Status: GBPUSD was in a corrective upward movement last week on D1 but has not yet confirmed a SELL on D1 based on Rainbow Sniper. This week, GBP is expected to continue its upward move on D1 before looking for a Swing SELL signal. ⚙️ Setup: Scalping BUY H1-D1, waiting for Swing SELL H1-D1 and SELL H4-W, waiting for trading signals from Rainbow Sniper 💶 EURUSD 🔗 Link to chart: TradingView 📌 Current Status: Similar to GBP, but the BUY momentum is weaker than GBP. The pair is still in a corrective BUY phase on D1, which was not completed last week and is expected to continue this week before waiting for a Swing SELL signal. ⚙️ Setup: Scalping BUY H1-D1, waiting for Swing SELL H1-D1, waiting for trading signals from Rainbow Sniper 🇦🇺 AUDUSD 🔗 Link to chart: TradingView ⚙️ Setup: Scalping SELL H1-D1, waiting for trading signals from Rainbow Sniper 🇳🇿 NZDUSD 🔗 Link to chart: TradingView 📌 Current Status: NZD and AUD have some remaining BUY momentum, but NZD has enough tolerance to execute the BUY movement before transitioning to a SELL setup. ⚙️ Setup: 🔼 Scalping BUY H1-D1 🔽 Scalping SELL H1-D1 (after completing the BUY phase)
Long
by rainbow_sniper
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?USD/JPY rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 150.06 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 151.31 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Take profit: 148.17 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Dollar vs. Yen - Long Term Swing Trading Idea - 08-th Jan 25'USDJPY from 20-th Dec' 2024 to 6-th Jan 2025 created A-B-C-D-E formation which is 4-th wave. Then from 156.25 area till 158.55 created 5 waves and finished the trend. Our expectations for the next few days are the price to retrace at least 250 pips till zone of 156.00 and there will find support. Long term idea is to reach 153.00 level in period of one month. EURUSD is at weakest and creating a swing low at levels over 1.0250-1.0300. If EURUSD bounce back to 1.0600 that will confirm the USDJPY trading idea for weaker dollar in next few weeks. Trading idea parameters are as follows. Entry: 158.50 Stop 159.50 Target 153.20
Short
by TradingTie
4