Bearish reversal?USD/JPY is rising towards pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 154.85
1st Support: 151.56
1st Resistance: 157.65
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USDJPY
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 153.63
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 154.98
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 88% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 151.96
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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USD/JPY Analysis (30-Minute Timeframe)We are currently breaking out of a black trendline, which could signal bullish momentum. My target focuses on the market open, as I anticipate a bullish move, but I will wait for confirmation after the open.
Key levels to watch:
First Pink Zone (Target 1): If the price reaches this level, it will form a new higher high, confirming the bullish trend.
Second Pink Zone (Target 2): If the momentum continues beyond the first pink zone, this will be the next target, indicating sustained bullish strength.
This is a critical setup to monitor, with confirmation needed to ensure the breakout holds.
GBPUSD - Nothing Can Stop It, It's All The Way Up!Here we have the monthly chart for GBPUSD.
GBPUSD 'recently' completed a major ending diagonal. We know this as it was a 5 wave pattern in the form of a wedge. Now that the bottom is in, we're expecting multiyear bullish price action.
Wave 1 can be an impulse or a leading diagonal. For GBPUSD, we are seeing a clear leading diagonal pattern = 5 waves.
We are anticipating one final move up to complete wave 1 and then we'll be seeing a wave 2 correction (as shown in the chart)
Trade Idea: Trading the 5th wave of the Leading Diagonal
- Watch for bullish price action to appear
- Confirmations such as trendline break or BOS can be used to gain an entry
- Once entered, put stops below wave 4
- Target: 1.36 (1,100pips)
Once wave 1 leading diagonal is complete, we'll be back with an update!
If this post gets enough engagement, we'll post lower timeframe charts.
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
USDJPY BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisUSDJPY is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level which suggests that the price will continue to rise
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity USDJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
USD/JPY Analysis: Recovery Amidst Economic ShiftsThe US Dollar (USD) continues to make gains against the Japanese Yen (JPY), particularly following an upward revision of Japan's GDP for the third quarter. As a result, the USD/JPY pair has climbed back above the 150.45 level while I write this article. The Yen is facing some selling pressure, significantly influenced by growing uncertainties about the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) potential interest rate hikes in December, which has contributed to the JPY's underperformance against its USD counterpart.
From a technical analysis viewpoint, the recent price rebound has occurred in a notable demand area on the weekly chart, where the currency pair has shown a decisive response. The price action suggests that there is strong buying interest in this zone, which may set the stage for further upward movement in the USD.
Interestingly, seasonal forecasts hint at a possible bearish trend based on historical data over the last ten years. However, the current market dynamics and the way the price has reacted to the demand area indicate that there might be the potential for upward momentum for the USD in the near term.
Additionally, geopolitical tensions and concerns surrounding incoming US President-elect Donald Trump's anticipated trade tariffs add another layer of complexity to the situation. Such uncertainties regarding trade policies are likely to support the Japanese Yen as a safe-haven currency, but the evolving landscape could limit significant downside movements.
As investors prepare for the upcoming US consumer inflation figures, many may choose to remain on the sidelines. These data points will be crucial, as they could provide insight into the Federal Reserve’s trajectory regarding interest rate cuts, which in turn could enhance market momentum for the USD/JPY pair.
With the current technical setup and market sentiment, we are keenly observing for a long entry point in the USD/JPY pair. As the economic landscape evolves and we gather more data, this strategy may provide advantageous opportunities for traders looking to capitalize on potential USD strength against the Yen.
In summary, amidst the shifts in economic indicators and geopolitical challenges, the USD/JPY pair is positioned for potential upward movement, marking an exciting time for traders in this currency market.
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Fundamental Market Analysis for December 13, 2024 USDJPYFading hopes of a Bank of Japan rate hike in December are putting the JPY bulls on the defensive. Higher U.S. bond yields are supporting the dollar and putting pressure on the low-yielding yen.
The Japanese yen (JPY) continues to defend against its U.S. counterpart, lifting the USD/JPY pair closer to 153.000 or a new monthly peak during the Asian session on Friday. Recent media reports suggest that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will not raise interest rates at its upcoming meeting next week, which in turn continues to undermine the Yen. In addition, expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will be less dovish continue to support rising US Treasury yields and put further pressure on the low-yielding yen.
Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan's quarterly Tankan survey released today showed that business confidence of Japan's major manufacturers improved slightly in the fourth quarter of 2024. This fits well with the central bank's plans to gradually raise interest rates and could deter yen bears from aggressive bets. In addition, lingering geopolitical risks and concerns over US President-elect Donald Trump's tariff plans should help limit losses for the safe-haven yen ahead of next week's key central bank events - the Fed and Bank of Japan meetings.
Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 153.000, trading mainly with Buy orders.
GBPUSD CORRECTIONWe mis thought this one, it slipped to the lower KL but still going up ;
it might take a little longer, we can expect the objective by Monday and not tomorrow ;
be careful if it breaks this Lower KL, it s over and going down, there's no going back.
Sorry for this little error, we'll try to avoid it next time.
CHFJPY ON THE MOVECHF/JPY is showing strong bullish momentum, supported by a breakout above a key resistance level, with robust bullish candles and minimal upper wicks indicating sustained buying pressure. Earlier in the session, a liquidity sweep below a prior low triggered sell stops, followed by a swift recovery that suggests accumulation by buyers. The pair is trading above a rising intraday trendline, confirming it as dynamic support, and above the 50- and 200-period moving averages, with a golden cross reinforcing the bullish outlook. Bullish divergences on the RSI and MACD highlight strengthening momentum, while increasing volume on upward moves compared to lighter pullbacks signals strong buyer dominance and the potential for further gains.
+ testing all KL, be advised
USDCHF BULLISHUSD/CHF is showing bearish momentum, driven by a rejection at a key resistance level, with strong bearish candles and extended wicks signaling dominant selling pressure. Earlier in the session, a liquidity grab above a prior high triggered buy stops, but the subsequent sharp reversal suggests sellers are taking control. The pair has broken below an intraday ascending trendline, confirming it as resistance upon retest, while bearish divergences on the RSI and MACD indicate weakening bullish momentum. Trading below the 50- and 200-period moving averages, with a death cross forming, reinforces the bearish bias. Additionally, increased volume on downward moves compared to lighter retracements highlights strong selling interest, supporting the potential for continued downside movement.
+ testing all KL, be careful
USDJPY BREAKING KEY LEVELS TOMORROWUSD/JPY is exhibiting bearish momentum after a rejection at a key resistance level, with multiple upper wicks indicating strong selling pressure. Earlier in the session, a liquidity grab above a prior high triggered buy stops, but the sharp reversal suggests sellers used this opportunity to enter short positions. The pair has broken below an intraday trendline, confirming it as new resistance upon retest, while bearish divergences on the RSI and MACD signal weakening bullish momentum. Additionally, the price is trading below both the 50- and 200-period moving averages, with a death cross reinforcing the bearish trend. Increasing volume on downward moves compared to lighter retracements further supports the likelihood of continued downside pressure.
+ if not today, Monday is the day the lower KL breaks
AUDJPY BULLISHAUD/JPY appears poised for a bullish breakout, supported by key technical indicators and chart structures. Price action has reclaimed a significant liquidity zone, indicating strong buyer interest and the absorption of supply. A confluence of dynamic support from an ascending trendline and the 50-day EMA further reinforces the bullish setup.
On higher timeframes, a recent liquidity sweep at a key low has been followed by a strong rebound, signaling that sellers may be trapped and the market could pivot higher. A break above the recent market structure high could trigger stop orders, driving momentum toward the next major liquidity cluster. Increasing volume and momentum will be key to confirming this potential upward move.
+ testing inferior KL, aiming for higher ones
GOLD BULLISHGold appears poised for a bullish breakout, supported by key technical indicators and chart structures. Price action has reclaimed a significant liquidity zone, suggesting strong buyer interest and absorption of supply. A confluence of dynamic support from an ascending trendline and the 50-day EMA further strengthens the bullish case.
On higher timeframes, a recent liquidity sweep at a key low has been followed by a strong rebound, indicating that sellers may be trapped and the market could pivot higher. A break above the recent market structure high could trigger stop orders, fueling momentum toward the next major liquidity cluster. Watch for increasing volume and momentum as confirmation of this potential upward move.
+ precisely the contrary of NASDAQ with a little more zigzag liquidity
NASDAQ BEARISHThe Nasdaq may face a correction in the coming hours, based on technical signals from the charts. The index is approaching a key resistance zone, coupled with an overbought RSI (Relative Strength Index), indicating potential short-term reversal. Additionally, a bearish divergence between price action and the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) suggests weakening bullish momentum. Declining volumes on recent highs further point to reduced buying pressure. A test of the immediate support could accelerate the downside if this level is breached.
+ big liquidity level broken yesterday, looking for a correction
USDJPY Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear friends,
USDJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 152.63 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 151.14
Recommended Stop Loss - 153.49
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPY 1st 1D Golden Cross since June 2023! Bullish!The USDJPY pair has been trading within a long-term Channel Up since the October 21 2022 High. Today it formed its 1st Bullish Cross on the 1D time-frame in 1.5 year (since June 202 2023) and technically it is a very bullish development.
It is not just the standard bullish dynamics of this formation but also that last time we had a Golden Cross, the price bottomed upon the completion of a 1D MACD Bullish Cross, which we also got today and rallied to hit the Resistance 1 level.
As a result, this is a strong buy signal and our Target is just below Resistance 1 at 160.000.
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USD/JPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
USD-JPY uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 151.868 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the USD/JPY pair.
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