USDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 149.800 zone, USDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 149.800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY
BoJ Core CPI climbs to 2.2%, yen declinesThe Japanese yen is slightly lower on Wednesday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 149.25, up 0.16% on the day.
What is the best performing G-10 currency against the US dollar this year? Surprisingly, the Japanese yen is the winner, with gains of about 5% against the greenback. This is a remarkable turnaround from 2024, when the yen plunged 11.4% against the US dollar and sank to its lowest level in 38 years.
The yen's newfound strength is largely due to expectations that the Bank of Japan will continue to raise interest rates this year, unlike the other major central banks that have been lowering rates. The BoJ has been raising rates slowly but with inflation indicators moving upwards, even the cagey BOJ has signaled that it will continue to raise rates.
Japan's CPI hit 3.2% in January, a 19-month high, and this week's January inflation numbers are also pointing upward. The producer price index jumped to 3.1%, up from 2.9% in December. BoJ Core CPI climbed to 2.2% in January, up from 1.9% in December and its third consecutive acceleration. Next up is Tokyo Core CPI on Friday.
In the US, consumer confidence shocked with an unexpectedly weak report. The Conference Board consumer confidence index slipped to 98.3 in January, well below the revised December reading of 105.3 and shy of the market estimate of 102.5. The seven-point drop was the sharpest month-to-month decline since August 2021. The report found that more consumers are expecting a recession. Retail sales fell 0.9% m/m in December, the biggest decline in a year. If consumer data continues to deteriorate, the Federal Reserve will have to consider accelerating the pace of rate cuts.
USD/JPY is testing resistance at 149.30. Above, there is resistance at 150.03
There is support at 148.30 and 147.57
USDJPY - JPY strength continues below 152.20 The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to appreciate against the US Dollar (USD) as market expectations for additional Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hikes gain momentum. This has reinforced a bearish sentiment in the USDJPY currency pair, which remains aligned with the prevailing longer-term downtrend.
From a technical perspective, 152.50 serves as a key resistance level, marking the recent swing high. A potential oversold rally towards this level, followed by a rejection, could reinforce the bearish outlook, with downside targets at 149.30, followed by 147.80 and 147.20 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a confirmed breakout above 152.50, coupled with a sustained daily close above this level, would invalidate the bearish bias. This could shift momentum toward the upside, opening the possibility for further rallies, with resistance levels at 154.30 and 155.70 acting as potential upside targets. The price action around the 152.50 level remains pivotal in determining the next directional move.
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USDJPY AnalysisPotential Pullback Before Bearish Continuation
USDJPY is currently in a downtrend, respecting the descending trendline.
Price is approaching a key supply zone (151.00 - 151.50), where a potential reversal may occur.
A short-term bullish correction could push price into this resistance area before continuing the overall bearish trend. If price rejects this level, we could see a drop towards 148.00 - 147.00.
Bias: Bearish
Key Levels:
📉 Resistance: 151.00 - 151.50 (Supply Zone)
📉 Target : 148.00 - 147.00 (Potential Downside)
Watch for rejection patterns in the supply zone before entering shorts.
What’s your outlook? Drop your thoughts below!
USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USD/JPY Correction Could Offer Shelling OpportunityIn my USD/JPY analysis last week, I mentioned a high probability of the pair breaking support and continuing its decline.
That scenario has played out, with USD/JPY dropping below the key 151 support zone and now trading around 149.50.
An upside correction may be next, potentially providing traders with an opportunity to enter short and ride the downtrend.
Conclusion:
Rallies around 150.50 should be seen as selling opportunities, and as previously stated, I expect a further drop to 146. 📉
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
USD/JPY: Liquidity Grab Below Weekly LowThe chart shows that the price has grabbed liquidity below the weekly low, potentially triggering a bullish reaction. Analyzing the current USD/JPY situation, recent economic data highlights bearish pressure on the dollar due to declining consumer confidence in the U.S. and expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, while the yen is strengthening on the back of more solid economic indicators. Technically, the price has rejected a key demand zone and remains below the psychological threshold of 150.00, which acts as a crucial resistance. If the price confirms a bullish structure on lower timeframes, we could see an upward move towards the 152.00-152.50 area, aligning with a supply zone and moving average confluence. However, a close below recent lows could invalidate this outlook, paving the way for a further drop toward the next support at 146.00.
Short opportunity ?There is a strong line of support and resistance at 148.65 area,
I have a short position I opened a few weeks ago. I am still patiently waiting for the price to break below this level.
In October 2024, the price tried to break above the same support and resistance area and it took three weeks to properly break above and start the bull trend. (see blue box in the chart)
At the time, the price consolidated in the ascending parallel channel and the momentum indicators were showing clear hidden divergence which is the continuation of the trend.
I think the same scenario is unfolding right now. The price is moving inside the descending parallel channel and RSI is starting to show the hidden divergence.
My overall bias for USDJPY is bearish so I am looking for an entry to short.
When the price hit the upper parallel channel and rolle over to the downside, it might be a good place to open a short position.
USDJPY M15 | Bullish Rise Based on the M15 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 148.94, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 149.53, a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% fibo retracement.
The stop loss is placed at 148.56, a swinglow support.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Dollar weakens amid growing economic uncertainty
Persistent tariff threats from the Trump administration and rising concerns over the U.S. economy are weighing on the dollar. Trump reaffirmed his commitment to implementing tariffs on Mexico and Canada according to schedule and reiterated the need for reciprocal tariffs. Meanwhile, weak consumer confidence data further rattled investor sentiment, as the February CB Consumer Confidence Index plunged to 98.3 from 105.3, marking its lowest level since June last year.
In Japan, accelerating inflation increases the likelihood of a BoJ rate hike. According to the Ministry of Internal Affairs, Japan’s January CPI rose 3.2%, the largest increase since June 2023. Bloomberg noted that with Japan's inflation among the highest in the G7, the BoJ may continue scaling back stimulus and shifting toward a more restrictive policy stance.
After breaking below the ascending trendline, USDJPY shows a persistent downtrend. After EMA21 death-crossed EMA78, it widens the gap and reinforces the bearish momentum. If USDJPY breaks below the support at 148.20, the price could extend its decline toward 145.00. Conversely, if USDJPY tests the resistance at 150.80, it may gain upward momentum toward 153.40.
USDJPY: Bearish Trend ContinuationHello everyone.
As seen on my chart, im expecting a bearish trend continuation seen on higher timeframes after what I believe could be some stop hunts!!
Used a fib to mark premium and discount zones. I expect price to continue go down once the premium zone is hit.
Feel free to leave your thoughts and feedback in a comment, I would heavily appreciate it.
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (UPDATE)HUGE, HUGE drop of 650 PIPS today on Gold! Price action has been beautiful. Completion of Wave 5 of the EW Theory, followed by a much needed correction.
I’ll be keeping an eye as Gold has now rejected a minor support zone of $2,889. I’ll keep you updated if further upside can resume.
USDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 149.600 zone, USDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 149.600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USD/JPY : Another Bearish Move Ahead ? (READ CAPTION)The USD/JPY daily chart confirms that the price followed our analysis precisely, dropping from the expected zone and completing a 500+ pip correction, hitting all three targets: 152.70, 151.70, and 151, before reaching 148.00.
I anticipate a short upward move before another potential decline. The next probable target for USD/JPY is 148.65. Keep an eye on price action for confirmation!
THE LATEST ANALYSIS :
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Best Regards , Arman Shaban
USD/JPY BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the USD/JPY pair and we can see that the pair is going down locally while also being in a downtrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB lower band being nearby indicating that the pair is oversold so we can go long from the support line below and a target at 153.829 level.
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EUR/USD Faces Key Resistance Amid Liquidity Grab ExpectationsEUR/USD is undergoing a pullback after reaching a one-month high of 1.0528, closing at 1.04658 on February 24, marking a 0.22% decline from the previous day. The euro's recent strength was driven by post-election stability in Germany, where centrist parties formed a coalition government, boosting market confidence. However, bullish momentum has stalled near key resistance levels around 1.0530 and 1.0560, with the pair struggling to sustain gains above the 100-day simple moving average.
From a technical standpoint, the price is approaching a significant supply zone, where a liquidity grab could occur before a potential downside move. Resistance in this area aligns with broader concerns over Germany's economic outlook and coalition negotiations, which could weaken the euro’s appeal. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar, despite recent weakness due to declining consumer confidence, remains in a favorable position for a short-term recovery, adding further pressure on EUR/USD.
If the pair fails to break through resistance, a rejection could trigger a decline toward 1.0400, with further downside potential extending to 1.0283. Conversely, if buyers manage to push past the liquidity zone, the next upside targets lie at 1.0530 and 1.0560.
USDJPY Downtrend USD/JPY is currently in a strong downtrend, indicating a bearish market sentiment. The pair continues to follow the descending trendline, respecting lower highs and lower lows, which confirms the ongoing downward momentum.
Bearish Scenario: Trend Continuation
First Key Support – 148.100
This level serves as a major support zone where price could find temporary consolidation or a minor pullback.
If price breaks below 148.100 with strong bearish pressure, further downside is expected.
Next Major Support – 142.000
A clean break and close below 148.100 could accelerate selling pressure.
The next critical level to watch is 142.000, a strong historical support zone and a psychological level.
If this level is reached, the bearish trend will likely extend further.
Bullish Scenario: Trendline Breakout
If USD/JPY breaks above the descending trendline, it may signal a potential trend reversal or retracement.
The key resistance to watch for a breakout is 151.300, which acts as a strong support-turned-resistance level.
USDJPY H1 I Bounce Off the Fibo?Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 149.76, a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 151.16, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibo retracement and the 127.2% Fibo extension, forming a Fibonacci confluence that could act as a key resistance level.
The stop loss is placed at 148.83, a swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDJPY Signal - 5 months support test 24.2.25148.60 to 152.70 range
Currently trading at 149.70
Support of 148.60-149.80 range is holding strong for the past 5 months.
Standard correction 300 pips up towards 152.70 makes sense following the expanding wedge pattern highlighted on the chart.
100 pip downside compared to 300 pip upside swing trade.
Make logical, timed, calculated action sticking to a plan and managing risk as top priorities.
GOOD LUCK!