GOLD GAPHuge trade opportunity tonight with a gap so huge that it got filled right away ;
bulls took their chance, nice job, now it should head back to the original configuration towards 2600s, then 2550s later this month ;
the first week price is always the most important, here anyone could have made a huge trade by simply aiming at filling the gap by selling.
USDJPY
Bearish drop?USD/JPY has reacted off the pivot which is an overlap resistance and drop from this level to the pullback support.
Pivot: 151.88
1st Support: 147.20
1st Resistance: 154.70
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Sell USD/JPY Channel BreakoutThe USD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. OANDA:USDJPY
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 148.82
2nd Support – 148.18
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
R2F Weekly Analysis - 8th December 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. I'm going to go through various assets/markets, and give a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what I'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
- R2F
USDJPY Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
USDJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 150.51 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 150.18
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 06.12.2024Here is what I am looking for next;
Option 1: Gold keeps dropping in its bear trend. Our target is $2,580. You can see the zig zag move Gold is creating. We saw a break below + retest so should continue now.
Option 2: If Gold moves above $2,690 next week then we can see a mid term bull trend towards $2,740 before it drops back down again.
USDJPY: Technical buy opportunity on RSI fractal.USDJPY turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.175, MACD = -0.460, ADX = 31.807) as it crossed under its 1D MA50 and has failed to recover it this week. Yet, this is technically a buy opportunity in disguise as this is the exact same pattern that the price did on the March 24th 2023 Low. After the initial bullish wave start of the long term Channel Up, the price pulled back again and formed that low with the RSI at 37.000. This is the level it is right now as well. We expect the bullish wave to resume the uptrend like it did then. We are again targeting the 1.786 Fibonacci extension, only a bit lower on the R1 level (TP = 161.870).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Decoding the Yen: Strategies for the Upcoming ExpirationIn the Yen, our 'old friend' has opened a Straddle, just like he’s done several times this year. Notably, he’s picking a 5-day expiration, which is his signature move tha twe can use to track him. So, this time, the range boundaries are as shown on the chart.
Keep in mind that this is a futures contract on the Yen, not the USD/JPY forex pair. In other words, the quotes are inverted. To get what’s on the screen, you need to do 1/USDJPY.
But it’s way easier to just use the TV options and select '6JZ2024'
The Silent Cost of FOMO Trades: What Your Anxiety Is SayingLast Thursday, I watched my 8-year-old nephew at a birthday party, desperately trying to play with every toy, eat every snack, and join every game simultaneously. He ended up in tears, overwhelmed and exhausted, having fully enjoyed none of them. Looking at my trading journal that evening, I had to laugh - I'd done exactly the same thing in the markets that day.
The FOMO Frenzy
You know that feeling - EUR/USD is climbing, GBP/JPY is breaking out, and USD/CAD is testing support. Your heart races. Your palms sweat. Suddenly you've got positions in all three pairs, and your mind is spinning like a circus juggler with too many balls in the air.
What Your Anxiety Is Really Saying
That knot in your stomach? It's not just stress - it's your internal risk manager throwing up red flags. Think of anxiety like your car's check engine light. Most people try to ignore it or put tape over it. But what if that warning light is actually your most valuable trading tool?
The Real Cost (It's Not Just Money)
Last month, I lost 4% of my account in a single day chasing trades. But the real cost wasn't the money - it was:
Three sleepless nights
Snapping at my wife over breakfast
Missing my kid's soccer game because I was glued to charts
Taking twice as long to recover my confidence
The Birthday Party Strategy
Now I treat my trading like I wish my nephew had handled that birthday party. Pick one game. Enjoy it fully. Then, if it makes sense, move to the next one. In trading terms:
One trade at a time
Full focus on that setup
Clear exit plan
]No peeking at other pairs until this trade is managed
Your Brain on FOMO
Here's what happens when FOMO kicks in - your brain floods with dopamine, the same chemical that makes my nephew grab three cupcakes at once. Your prefrontal cortex (the rational part) gets overwhelmed by your limbic system (the emotional part). Suddenly you're trading like a sugar-rushed 8-year-old.
The Solution: Your Personal FOMO Filter
I've taped a note to my monitor that asks:
"If this were the only trade you could take this month, would you take it?"
It's amazing how quickly FOMO evaporates when you frame it that way. I went from taking 15-20 trades per week to 2-5, and my profit has doubled.
Your Next Step
FIf you find yourself battling FOMO, try this: Each time you feel the urge to place a trade, wait 5 minutes. Just 5 minutes. Write down what you're feeling. You'll be amazed at how many FOMO trades never make it past this 5-minute filter.
Remember, the market is like an endless birthday party - it'll be there tomorrow, next week, and next year. You don't have to play every game or eat every cupcake today.
Cheers to your success,
Gio
Dollar Index Alert: Reversal Pattern Emerging – Learn MoreLuckily, I spotted a classic reversal pattern right on the edge of triggering.
The combination of three peaks, with the tallest in the middle, has formed a Head & Shoulders chart pattern on the Dollar Index futures daily chart.
The right shoulder is almost complete, and the bearish trigger will be activated if the price breaks below the Neckline (the line connecting the valleys of the Head), which sits under 105.30.
The target is calculated by subtracting the height of the Head from the Neckline breakdown point, giving us a target around 103.10.
The RSI indicator is also on the edge. Watch for a breakdown here as additional confirmation.
Bullish bounce off overlap support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to he 1st resistance which acts as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 148.97
1st Support: 147.24
1st Resistance: 151.24
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDJPY: My Trading Perspective (setup)FX:USDJPY : Key Indices Supporting My Trading Perspective
Index and Volume Analysis:
- For this trade, the TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) plays a critical role. It’s showing continued signs of softening, which aligns with my sell setup for USD/JPY.
- Broader risk sentiment in equity markets is also mixed, with the S&P 500 holding up but without strong upward momentum, which supports the yen’s safe-haven appeal in my analysis.
Key Companies and Influencing Factors:
- The performance of U.S. equities, particularly tech and consumer sectors, signals cautious optimism, but not enough to offset the dollar’s broader weakness.
- On the Japanese side, the SMI reflects stable conditions, giving me confidence that external forces (e.g., global risk sentiment) will favour this trade direction.
Possible Market Impacts:
- My sell setup aligns well with the current environment. A move toward **TP1 (149.057)** is likely if equities fail to gain strong traction and the DXY continues to weaken.
- A push toward **TP2 (148.534)** could occur if risk-off sentiment strengthens globally, amplifying demand for the yen.
- My stop loss at **150.796** is in place to manage risk in case of unexpected dollar rebounds or lack of yen strengthening.
Entry, SL, and TPs:
- Entry: 150.345
- Stop Loss (SL): 150.796
- Take Profit 1 (TP1): 149.057
- Take Profit 2 (TP2): 148.534
*“When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, Just Ride the Wave!”*
**Disclaimer:**
*Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
Yen Futures Set to Soar: Are You In?Hey traders! 🌟
Have you been watching the yen futures on CME? There’s some serious action brewing, and it looks like we could see those quotes climbing to 0.73 and beyond in the next 60 days!
With new options portfolios aimed at boosting these futures, now's the time to get in on the action.
What Does This Mean for You?
If you're in the trading game, you know that such movements can create fresh opportunities.
Options strategies could be your secret weapon, so don’t miss out!
Why Should You Pay Attention?
Consider using options not only to hedge your risks buy set goals for future movements too/
Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s discuss how we can capitalize on this situation! 💸📊
GOLD FURTHER SELL OFF?! (UPDATE)While everyone is getting very impatient with Gold's consolidation, I'm sitting here in peace. I told you all on the FIRST ANALYSIS that we have a 'Flat Correction' from the EW Theory strategy currently playing out. This means a 3 Sub-Wave (A,B,C) schematic playing out within a tight range.
Now waiting for a break below the current consolidation, so price can create Wave B around $2,580 & consolidate within a larger range.
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 05, 2024 USDJPYThe Japanese yen is attracting some buyers on Thursday, albeit without bullish conviction.
Rising US bond yields are supporting the US dollar and lending support to the USD/JPY pair.
Traders seem reluctant to make aggressive bets ahead of the release of the US NFP report on Friday.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) rises against its US counterpart during the Asian session on Thursday and moves away from the weekly low reached the previous day. Signs that Japan's core inflation is picking up continue to fuel expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates again in December. In addition, persistent geopolitical risks, trade war fears and an overnight decline in US Treasury yields are contributing to the yen's gains.
Meanwhile, Wednesday's remarks from a number of influential FOMC members, including Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell, served as a tailwind for US bond yields and the US dollar (USD). This, along with the prevalence of risk sentiment, may curb significant strength in the safe-haven Yen and provide some support to the USD/JPY pair. Traders may also refrain from aggressive directional bets ahead of the release of the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday.
Trade recommendation: Watch the level of 150.00, when fixing above consider Buy positions, when rebounding consider Sell positions.
Bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 148.92
1st Support: 147.24
1st Resistance: 151.57
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDJPY M15 I Bullish Continuation?Based on the M1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 149.51, which is a pullback support close to 61.8% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 150.88, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss will be placed at 148.66, which is a swig low support level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Bearish drop?USD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 150.73
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 152.20
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 148.90
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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