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USDJPY

Analysis of the USD/JPY currency pair on the 4-hour time frameAnalysis of the USD/JPY currency pair on the 4-hour time frame - We have price divergence and RSI indicator - We have two FVG in the middle, which the price tends to fill - We also have a PVOTE on the way - We have a good distance from the 99-day EMA - From a macroeconomic perspective, we also have extremely important news for the US dollar today - We also have the speech of the Federal Reserve Chairman, Mr. Powell My analysis is the growth of the dollar, especially in the news and speech period Don't forget capital management It is necessary to respect risk to reward Good luck and be profitable
Long
by mansour1978
What’s Flowing: USD/JPY AnalysisKey Observations: 1. Price Action: • USD/JPY has bounced from 148.65, showing signs of short-term recovery. However, the overall structure remains bearish with descending resistance levels near 150.30-150.50. 2. Technical Indicators: • Moving averages suggest further downside pressure. • Ichimoku cloud analysis highlights resistance in the 149.50-150.30 zone, making it a critical area for sellers. 3. Market Sentiment: • Seasonal trends show a weakening dollar towards year-end, aligning with current selling pressure. • Reuters and Dow Jones reports emphasize geopolitical influences and Japan’s policy stability driving yen strength. 4. News Highlights: • Massive $1.4 billion option expiry today, with strikes at 147, 148, and 150, could add volatility. • Recent headlines note importer buying interest near 146.50, setting up potential support levels. 5. Support and Resistance: • Immediate support: 146.28 and 145.00. • Resistance: 149.50, followed by the psychological 150.30 level. Trade Insights: • Bias: Short-term pullbacks may provide opportunities for selling rallies. • Risk Management: Stop-loss near 150.50 for short trades. Profit targets near 146.50 and 145.00. This week’s flow will likely hinge on U.S. economic data releases and further commentary from Japan’s BOJ. Be cautious of mid-week reversals.
Short
by moneymagnateash
USD/JPY faces critical next few weeks as it tests 150 handleThe USD/JPY has rebounded after testing a multi-week low near the 149.00 handle on Monday on the on the back of dovish comments from Fed’s Waller, who said he’s inclined to cut rates in December. However, with the yen being the biggest performer last week, underscoring expectations about a potential rate hike from the Bank of Japan, just as the world’s other central banks are now on the easing path, there is a good chance the USD/JPY could resume lower. At the time of writing, it was testing a key pivotal area of around 150.00 ahead of critical US economic releases this week. With a jam-packed calendar including the closely watched JOLTS Job Openings report (today), ISM Services PMI, and the monthly Non-Farm Payrolls report to come, traders are bracing for volatility. These data points are expected to influence the USD/JPY, especially with both the Fed and BoJ policy decisions looming in December. Should the 149.00-149.10 support area give way, the USD/JPY could drop to the next potential support at 147.20, possibly reaching 144.53 thereafter. The bulls will be eyeing a close above the 151.30 resistance level to nullify the bearish bias. While it is trading around the 150.00 area, it is in no-man's land, with a slight bearish tilt. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Short
by FOREXcom
1
USD/JPY - H1 - Bearish Flag The USD/JPY pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 150.80, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 149.20 2nd Support – 148.50 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
19
USDJPY Massive Long! BUY! My dear friends, My technical analysis for USDJPY is below: The market is trading on 149.75 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 151.34 Recommended Stop Loss - 148.92 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
2
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 02, 2024 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) is declining against its U.S. counterpart at the start of a critical week and is pulling back from part of Friday's strong upward move to the highest level since Oct. 21. US Treasury yields are recovering amid US President-elect Donald Trump's reaction to the threat of 100 percent tariffs on BRICS countries. This, in turn, is helping to revitalize demand for the US dollar (USD) and is proving to be a key factor directing flows away from the lower-yielding yen. In addition, the bullish tone in equity markets further undermines demand for the safe-haven yen. Nevertheless, lingering geopolitical tensions and rising forecasts of another interest rate cut by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) in December should limit larger yen losses. Traders are also advised to refrain from aggressive directional bets and wait for important U.S. macroeconomic data this week, starting with the ISM Manufacturing PMI from this Monday. Consumer inflation data from Tokyo, the capital of Japan, released on Friday showed that core inflation is picking up and bolstered the case for another rate hike by the Bank of Japan in December. Also Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said on Saturday that the next interest rate hike is near as economic data is on track, although he would like to see what kind of momentum the fiscal 2025 Shunto program will create. Trade recommendation: Trading mainly with Buy orders from the current price level.
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
UsdJpy could drop 1000 pipsIn my previous post about USD/JPY, I highlighted the potential for JPY strengthening due to repatriation, referencing similar trends observed last year and usually in December After reaching a high near 157, USD/JPY began to decline and is now testing the critical 150 level. At this point, a technical rebound is possible, but I view it as a selling opportunity. My belief is that repatriation is still in its early stages, and JPY has significant potential for further appreciation. The 153-154 zone appears to be an ideal area to look for selling opportunities. With a stop placed above the recent high and a target near the 141 support level, a 1:4 risk-to-reward ratio could potentially be achieved.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
6
Could the price bounce from here?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as an overlap resistance. Pivot: 149.33 1st Support: 146.85 1st Resistance: 151.60 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
USDJPYM1 : bearish IMB failing to Hold, Heading towards High W1 : Consolidation D1 : Uptrend 4H : Shifted from Bearish to Bullish And pulled back to 50% Leg 1H : Bullish Narrative : * Monthly is heading towards the high, Weekly and Daily looks a bit Consolidation. * 4H and 1H has shifted from bearish to bullish and 15 Minute also Shows bullish shift in market structure. We can potentially open Long position on Monday Open one Position On Market Execution and another position on 1H OB if price comes to fill the order to the OB.
Long
by nptrade24
USDJPY - A Whole Lotta Pips in 2024!USDJPY has been one of our favourites to trade! We've managed to catch the start of the swing points for each wave since the beginning of 2024. Our entry method remains the same. Break of Trendline. Simple yet very effective if used correctly. Since our last setup, we've moved +600pips in our direction. We're currently holding it at breakeven and riding out the wave! See below for our past setups. Trade 1: Trade 2: Trade 3: Trade 3 (Public Post): Trade 4 (Public Post): Trades 3 and 4 have been public setups. Well done to those that were paying attention and caught it! Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
by WicktatorFX
2
USDJPY - A Whole Lotta Pips in 2024!USDJPY has been one of our favourites to trade! We've managed to catch the start of the swing points for each wave since the beginning of 2024. Our entry method remains the same. Break of Trendline. Simple yet very effective if used correctly. Since our last setup, we've moved +600pips in our direction. We're currently holding it at breakeven and riding out the wave! See below for our past setups. Trade 1: Trade 2: Trade 3: Trade 3 (Public Post): Trade 4 (Public Post): Trades 3 and 4 have been public setups. Well done to those that were paying attention and caught it! Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
by WicktatorFX
discussion about the trend of the #USDJPY in the new week.Friends who are interested, let's start a discussion about the trend of the #dollar in the new week. As you know, for example: the dollar-yen exchange rate has reached 149.53 from 156.76 units and has decreased by more than 72 pips or 4.61%. - On the valid 4-hour time frame, the RSI indicator is in the oversold zone - The chart is in its own good support zone Regarding the election of Mr. Trump, the stability in the global economy and the expansionary policy, etc., the above exchange rate will not remain at the current number. For example, we can look for a suitable bottom for a #long position by examining the relevant currency pair (of course, with technical confirmation and appropriate candlesticks.)
Long
by mansour1978
#UASJPY: Swing Selling is in progress, Are we heading Bears Era?Dear Traders, Hopefully, you having a great weekend so far, we have a great opportunity on USDJPY, possible a total bearish meltdown on all the jpy pairs especially with UJ, we are on the verge of collapse. At the moment we expect price to do a small correction before it drops further. At this correction we may expect price to reverse nicely. We expect this idea to be activated by Friday when we will be having a last nfp data of the 2024. Decembers are known for bears control over jpy pairs. thank you ;)
Short
by Setupsfx_
4
Yen soars as Japan’s core inflation jumpsThe Japanese yen has surged higher on Friday after a strong inflation release. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 150.19, down 0.87% on the day. Earlier, the yen has broken below the symbolic 150 level for the first time since Oct. 21. Tokyo Core CPI, a key inflation indicator which excludes fresh food and energy, rose 2.2% in November, above market expectations of 2.1% and above the October gain of 1.8%. Tokyo CPI jumped 2.6% in November, blowing past the October reading of 1.8% and the forecast of 1.9%. The robust inflation data has sent the yen sharply higher as expectations for a December rate hike have climbed. The markets still aren’t sure which way the wind is blowing and have priced a December cut at around 60%. The Bank of Japan won’t win any points for transparency about its rate plans but the BoJ has hinted that its plans to continue raising rates and moving towards normalization. If the BoJ stays on the sidelines next month, it is expected to trim rates in early 2025. The BoJ has more on its mind than inflation when it comes to rate policy. The yen has been on a miserable slide since early October, although it has shown some strength this week. The BoJ is under pressure to raise rates in order to support the yen, although a quarter-point rate may not provide much of a boost. If the yen continues to lose ground and moves back towards the 155-160 level, we can expect the Ministry of Finance and the BoJ to warn about a possible currency intervention. This would be a last resort but Tokyo has carried through with interventions when it felt the yen was depreciating too quickly. USD/JPY has pushed below several support lines today. Currently, there is weak support at 149.89, followed closely by 149.63 152.05 and 152.54 are the next resistance lines
by OANDA
USD/JPY Chart Analysis: Bears Target the 150 Yen per DollarUSD/JPY Chart Analysis: Bears Target the 150 Yen per Dollar Level Thanksgiving in the U.S. might have been expected to bring calm to financial markets, but Forex trading in Asia tells a different story following the release of Japan's Consumer Price Index (CPI). According to Forex Factory: → Actual = 2.2% → Forecast = 2.0% → Previous = 1.8% Signs of sustained inflation growth have spurred currency market participants to buy yen, speculating that the Bank of Japan might raise interest rates. The upcoming December meeting could see rates increased to 0.5%, which would mark the highest level since 2008. As a result, the yen strengthened by approximately 1% today, hitting its highest level in six weeks and briefly dipping below the psychological level of 150 yen per dollar. Technical analysis of the USD/JPY chart: → The blue upward channel, in place since early October, has lost its strength. A downward trajectory (indicated in red) now appears more relevant on the USD/JPY chart. → A bearish breakout below the lower boundary of the blue channel occurred (marked with an arrow) near the 153.7 level. Notably, this level served as support in mid-November. It’s reasonable to assume that bears now hold full control at this level, which could manifest at lower levels—such as the 152 yen per dollar mark, where a local high was established yesterday. If the psychological level of 150 yen per dollar acts as support, it may only lead to a temporary bounce before a new wave of bearish momentum emerges, as the market anticipates the Bank of Japan's policy meeting. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2