USDJPY
USDJPY and GBPJPY Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Awaiting the FOMCGold prices are experiencing a recovery after hitting a six-day low at $2,605, consolidating around $2,625. Market attention is focused on the November Fed meeting minutes, which could provide decisive signals regarding a possible rate cut in December, currently estimated at a 61% probability according to the CME FedWatch Tool. If the intraday support at $2,605 fails, prices could target $2,550. Conversely, a daily close above $2,670 would be necessary to reignite bullish momentum, with targets at $2,700 and $2,750. The fundamental context remains complex: Donald Trump's statements on new tariffs have reignited demand for safe-haven assets, including gold and the US dollar, while rebounding bond yields cap enthusiasm for the precious metal. Decreasing geopolitical tensions between Israel and Lebanon represent an additional headwind for gold, as they reduce the need for global risk hedging. Additionally, Trump's appointment of Scott Bessent as Treasury Secretary has reassured bond markets, strengthening the dollar and limiting gold's gains. Overall, gold prices are balanced between contrasting fundamental and technical forces, as traders await the Fed minutes for clearer direction.
TradeCityPro | USD/JPY : Divergence and Trend Weakness👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
In this analysis, I’ll review the USD/JPY forex pair, focusing on the 4-hour timeframe.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe: Current Trend Insights
At present, the trend in the 4-hour timeframe is upward, with an observable ascending trendline. The SMA99 has also acted as a support level.
🔽 However, the strength of the trend appears to be diminishing. The bullish candles are progressively smaller, and corrections have become deeper.
✨ RSI Analysis and Momentum
A negative divergence is noticeable in the RSI, indicating a weakening trend. The 39.98 support level is crucial, and with the divergence and trend weakening, the likelihood of breaking this RSI level is high. If this happens, the market’s bullish momentum will fade.
📉 Short Position Strategy
If the trendline is broken and the 153.639 trigger level is breached, followed by price stabilization below this level, it will signal an entry opportunity for a short position. The specific trigger, whether based on Dow Theory, a pullback to 153.639, or another strategy, depends on your approach.
📊 The next key support is at 151.512. If you missed or avoided the 153.639 trigger due to risk concerns, breaking this support could provide a safer short entry point. Subsequent supports are located at 149.177 and 145.826.
📈 Long Position Strategy
Despite the weakening trend, the 156.544 trigger is still a valid entry point for long positions. The next resistance after this level will be at 157.702.
🔑 By keeping an eye on these levels and market momentum, you can effectively align your trading strategy with market conditions.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Us Dollar is raising again ? As you can see in the chart and in the 15-minute time frame, we have a trend line and of course a gap that was created with the opening of the market today. Considering that in the lower time frame (5 minutes) we have an umbrella pattern, we can have more hope for a long position.
Be profitable.
Don't forget about capital management and risk-reward ratio.
USD JPY Weekly Usdjpy weekly
✔Breakout and a Retest of trend
✔Rising Wedge
✔Breakout of support on D_TF and Retest,
even though it dropped to about 160pips last week, later went up above previous entry it pretend to Breakout of trend to the up side, I guess news caused that
but all the downside confirmation are still checked.
Potential bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 151.62
1st Support: 149.23
1st Resistance: 157.75
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NASDAQ TODAYToday is a calm day for US100 until the 3:30 PM pull ;
today, it seems like it ll be going down after a lot of hesitations, a lot of reticence to get over 21K ;
we managed to get the descent the other day (orange lines), today seems like either a big pull out, going towards 22K, but pretty unlikely to happen, or a big drawdown like that, reinitializing RSI for the next rally.
JPY Struggles Amid Rising US Dollar StrengthThe Japanese Yen is struggling to capitalize on the boost from rising domestic inflation. Uncertainty surrounding the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) interest rate hikes, combined with an optimistic market sentiment and soaring US Treasury yields, has kept JPY under pressure.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar continues its dominance, hitting a new yearly high and providing further support to the USD/JPY pair. The relentless strength of the USD has bolstered buyers, leaving the Yen with little room to recover in the near term.
USD/JPY – Key Green Zone on 1H Time FrameIf the price returns to this green zone, buyers could reenter, pushing the price higher.
Strategy:
For long entries, watch for confirmation of a rebound in this zone.
If you are currently short, this could be a good area to reduce your position as buyers may step back in.
Stay cautious and manage your risk accordingly!
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 22, 2024 USDJPYHigher market sentiment and rising US bond yields are limiting the rise of the low-yielding yen.
The US Dollar is holding near its highest level in the last year and is providing support to the USD/JPY pair.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) attracted buying for the second day in a row following the release of slightly better-than-expected Japanese consumer inflation data. This came amid statements released on Thursday by Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, which kept expectations of an interest rate hike in December. In addition, Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's 39 trillion yen economic stimulus package boosts the Yen and puts some pressure on the USD/JPY pair.
Nevertheless, the prevailing risk-on and higher US Treasury yields keep traders from aggressive bullish bets on the low-yielding Yen. Investors remain concerned that U.S. President Donald Trump's policies could lead to renewed inflation and force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to slowly cut interest rates. This has been a key factor in the recent rise in US bond yields, which has kept the US Dollar (USD) near yearly highs and provided support to the USD/JPY pair.
Trade recommendation: Watch the level of 154.00, trading mainly with Buy orders.
USDJPY H1 I Bearish ContinuationBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 154.92, which is a pullback resistance aligning with a 50% FIbo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 153.91, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 155.60, a pullback resistance level.
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Bearish drop?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support which act as an overlap support.
Pivot: 154.91
1st Support: 153.46
1st Resistance: 155.89
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.