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USDJPY

Fundamental Market Analysis for February 13, 2025 USDJPYEvent to pay attention to today: 15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims USDJPY: The Japanese Yen (JPY) has attracted some buying interest following the release of a stronger-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) in Japan on Thursday, which confirms bets on further rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (BoJ).However, the market reaction was short-lived amid concerns over the impact of US President Donald Trump's tariffs on steel and aluminium imports, as well as upcoming retaliatory tariffs. This helped USD/JPY to hold above 154.00 during the Asian session and remain near the weekly high reached the previous day.Meanwhile, Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell made it clear that policymakers are in no hurry to cut interest rates, and US consumer inflation data released on Wednesday suggests that the Fed does not have much room to cut rates this year. This has led to an increase in US Treasury yields, resulting in a widening of the yield differential between the US and Japan and a limitation on the upside for the low-yielding Yen.However, the US Dollar (USD) has experienced difficulty attracting buyers, which may potentially discourage traders from making new bullish bets on the USD/JPY pair. Trade recommendation: USDJPY: SELL 154.200, SL 153.500, TP 154.800
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USDJPY H1 | Bearish Drop Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 154.33, which is a pullback resistance. Our take profit will be at 153.42, an overlap support level that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. The stop loss will be placed at 155.07, which is a pullback resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
USDJPY US CPI triggered spikeThe USDJPY currency pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The key trading level is at 155.50, which is the current swing high. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 155.50 level could target the downside support at 152.76 followed by 151.50 and 150.90 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 155.50 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 156.00 resistance level followed by 156.74 and 157.70. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
USD/JPY: Fibonacci Support Sparks a ReboundChart Analysis: USD/JPY finds support at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level (151.50), leading to a sharp recovery above the 200-day SMA. 1️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement Levels Holding: The recent pullback tested key Fibonacci retracement levels, with buyers stepping in at 151.50 (38.2%). Further support levels sit at 149.23 (50%) and 146.95 (61.8%), which remain key downside targets if weakness resumes. 2️⃣ Moving Averages as Key Pivot Points: 50-day SMA (154.97): Price is testing this level after the rebound. 200-day SMA (152.74): Successfully held as dynamic support, confirming broader uptrend remains intact. 3️⃣ Momentum Indicators Show Recovery: RSI: 49.69, recovering from oversold conditions but still lacking bullish confirmation. MACD: Bearish momentum is fading, but a crossover signal is yet to emerge. What to Watch: Sustained move above 155.00 could trigger a fresh rally toward December’s highs. A break back below 152.00 would shift focus to deeper Fibonacci support levels. Watch for a MACD crossover as a confirmation of renewed upside momentum. USD/JPY remains at a critical inflection point, with Fibonacci support holding but further strength needed for a bullish confirmation. -MW
by FOREXcom
Scenario on USDJPY 12.2.2025On this chart, this scenario makes the most sense. If I should take a short, the first levels are around the monthly level, which is at the level of 157.503, the next one is around the price of 160, which is above the bulls zone, which could also mean the continuation of the uptrend, and therefore I have two options. If I should take a long, then not earlier than at the price level around the monthly level of 151.875, then below the current sfp on the price 148.806 where the next monthly level is located.
by Sony97
USD/JPY extends rally on hot CPIThe USD/JPY extended its rally following the release of hotter-than-expected US CPI data, which fuelled a surge in bond yields and strengthened the dollar. Headline CPI rose 0.5% month-over-month, surpassing the expected 0.3%, while Core CPI climbed 0.4% versus the 0.3% forecast. On an annual basis, CPI reached 3.0% and Core CPI hit 3.3%, both above expectations. This reinforced market sentiment that the Federal Reserve will delay interest rate cuts, pushing US 5- to 10-year yields at least 10 basis points higher. As a result, traders increased their bets on further USD/JPY gains. The market will now focus on the second day of Powell’s testimony, with PPI data and retail sales still to come later in the week. From a technical standpoint, USD/JPY has shown resilience, rebounding from support at 151.00 and breaking above the key 200-day moving average near 152.50/60. The pair has cleared resistance at 153.70-154.00, and if it holds above the 200-day average, it could extend its advance toward the significant 155.00 level. However, a failure to maintain this breakout could see support tested back at 153.70, with further downside levels at 152.50/60 and 151.00. With the bullish momentum reinforced by strong CPI data and higher yields, USD/JPY traders will closely watch price action determine if the uptrend can sustain. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with Forex.com
by FOREXcom
USD/JPY Approaches Demand Zone: A Contrarian Trading OpportunityThe USD/JPY currency pair is currently approaching a demand zone, prompting us to set a buy limit order in anticipation of a potential upward movement. This area is significant as it often indicates a point where buyers are likely to step in, which could lead to a reversal in price direction. At the same time, the 6J1! futures contract has already made contact with the Supply zone. This zone is crucial for our analysis, as it represents levels where selling pressure typically emerges, potentially leading to a decrease in price. We are closely monitoring this situation and are looking for a possible retest of the Supply area. A successful retest could trigger a subsequent drop in prices, aligning with our trading strategy. Interestingly, it’s worth noting that retail traders currently appear to be on the bullish side of the market, favoring an uptrend. This sentiment could create opportunities for us, as our strategy is to look for short positions despite the prevailing optimism in the retail sector. By carefully analyzing market dynamics and positioning ourselves accordingly, we aim to capitalize on potential price corrections when the market reaches key resistance levels. In summary, we are preparing to take action in both the USD/JPY and 6J1! futures markets. We're setting up for a buy in the approaching Demand area while simultaneously positioning ourselves for a short trade should the 6J1! futures retest the Supply zone and exhibit signs of a downturn. This balanced approach takes into account the conflicting trader sentiments and aims to maximize potential profit opportunities. ✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/JPY in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
3
USD/JPY : Another Bearish Move Ahead ? Let's see! (READ CAPTION)By analyzing the daily USD/JPY chart, we can see that, as expected from the previous analysis, the price continued its downtrend, correcting down to 151. Currently, USD/JPY is trading around 153.620, and I expect it to resume its decline soon from the current zone (153.68 - 155.3). This analysis will be updated as price action develops. The next potential bearish targets are 152.70, 151.70, and 151. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
14
USD/JPY Trade Setups Amid Fed & BoJ Policy ShiftsUS Inflation & Federal Reserve (Fed) Policy: Market consensus anticipates higher month-over-month (M/M) inflation but lower year-over-year (Y/Y) inflation, suggesting that price pressures remain elevated in the short term but may stabilise over the medium term. Given these dynamics, the Fed is expected maintain a cautious stance—balancing inflation control with economic stability. Federal Reserve (Fed) Sentiment: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will likely adopt a neutral stance in upcoming comments, as medium- to long-term tariff implications remain undefined. However, given the Fed’s data-driven approach, markets may interpret any slight tilt towards caution as dovish, leading to near-term USD weakness. Bank of Japan (BoJ) Outlook: The BoJ maintains a medium-term hawkish bias as it looks to raise interest rates to combat domestic inflation gradually. While no immediate policy changes are expected, recent statements from BoJ officials suggest a preference for tightening later in 2024 if inflation remains persistent. Trade Idea Bearish Case Entry: Sell on rejection at 154.000 – 155.000 Stop-Loss: Above 155.500 Take-Profit: 152.000 Risk Management: 1:2 Trade Idea Bullish Case Entry: Buy on retracement to 152.500 – 152.000 Stop-Loss: Below 151.800 Take-Profit: 154.000 Risk Management: 1:2
Short
by Shiven_80eight
USD/JPY Exchange Rate Recovers from Yearly LowUSD/JPY Exchange Rate Recovers from Yearly Low As shown on the USD/JPY chart, today the exchange rate aggressively surged above the 153 yen per US dollar level. This marks a strong recovery from the yearly low of around 151 yen per dollar, set last week. Today's bullish momentum developed following a statement from Japan's Minister of Industry, Yoji Muto, who mentioned that the government had asked the United States to exempt Japan from the tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. Can the USD/JPY rise continue? Technical analysis of the USD/JPY chart reveals that key extremes over the last three months form the contours of an upward channel, with: → From a bullish perspective: The exchange rate is rising towards the median, which tends to "attract" the price as demand and supply balance in this region. → From a bearish perspective: The 154 yen per dollar level, which acted as support in February (shown by arrows), may hinder further growth. The future direction of the USD/JPY pair largely depends on a key upcoming news release, which could have a significant impact on the US dollar’s value against other currencies. At 16:30 GMT+3 today, the CPI report will be published, shedding light on the current inflation situation. Be prepared for potential volatility spikes. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
USD/JPY ---> Will the Bulls Recognize the False Breakout?Dear friends! Overall, USD/JPY, after hitting support and forming a false breakout below the local trend channel's lower boundary, the currency pair has resumed its upward movement, supported by the strengthening dollar at this time. Currently, the price has stabilized above the support level but remains below the 34 and 89 exponential moving averages (EMA). Fundamentally, the recent context has been unstable and depends more heavily on US economic data. People have long forgotten about interest rate growth in Japan and are focusing on economic data from the West. On the chart, the uptrend remains the primary trend, so we maintain a buying preference. If the pair can consolidate above 152.00, then in the short and medium term, we should expect prices to reach the targets as indicated on the chart. Best regards, Bentradegold!
Long
by Bentradegold
USDJPY H4 | Bearish FallBased on the H4 chart, price is approaching our sell entry level at 153.880, which aligns with a key resistance zone and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. A rejection from this level could trigger a bearish move towards our take profit at 152.805, which sits near a previous support level. The stop loss is set at 154.853, above the previous swing high, ensuring the bearish setup remains valid while allowing for minor fluctuations. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
USD/JPY Trading Plan: Resistance in Focus Before the Next DropSince the beginning of the year, USD/JPY has been in a bearish trend, with the price dropping from 159 to 151. After reaching support around the 151 zone following Friday's NFP, the price started to reverse upward and is currently trading at 153.63. In my view, this is just a correction of the initial leg down, and once resistance is reached, the price is likely to resume its downward trend. The sell zone starts above 154 and extends to 155, where I will be looking for selling opportunities. In the medium term, the price could drop to 146, with the first major support at the recent low of 151. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 153.24 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 154.61 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 56.4% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 151.06 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
USD/JPY Bullish Outlook Can the Pair Hit 160.00? Key Levels USD/JPY is trading at approximately 152.50. Your target price of 160.00 suggests an anticipated upward movement of 750 pips. This projection aligns with a bullish outlook, potentially driven by support and resistance dynamics. Recent technical analyses indicate that USD/JPY has tested the 152.55 resistance level and experienced a bearish pullback, maintaining a negative outlook in the near term. Analysts anticipate a retest of the 151.05 support level, with a potential decline toward 149.80 if this support is breached. The pair is currently trading near its 200-day EMA, a critical indicator for trend direction. A decisive move above this level could signal a continuation of the upward trend toward your target. However, failure to break above may result in consolidation or a potential downturn. Key support levels to monitor include 151.12 and 148.42, while resistance levels are identified at 152.77, 154.39, and 155.52. A sustained break above these resistance levels would bolster the bullish case toward the 160.00 target. Conversely, a decline below the support levels could invalidate the bullish scenario In summary, while the USD/JPY pair exhibits potential for an upward move toward 160.00, traders should closely monitor key support and resistance levels, as well as the 200-day EMA, to confirm the bullish trend. Staying informed about fundamental factors influencing the USD/JPY pair will also be crucial in making informed trading decisions.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
USDJPY The Target Is DOWN! SELL! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on USDJPY and concluded the following: The market is trading on 152.25 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 151.93 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
2
USDJPY H1 | Falling to swing-low supportUSDJPY is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 151.60 which is a swing-low support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 150.82 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support. Take profit is at 153.16 which is an overlap resistance that aligns under the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM