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USDJPY

The yen falls to a three-month low amid political uncertainty in Japan's ruling party has faced a devastating defeat in the general election, leading to a surge of political uncertainty that has driven the yen to its lowest in three months. If PM Ishiba resigns and is succeeded by the dovish Sanae Takaichi as president of the Liberal Democratic Party, concerns about the BoJ's plan to raise interest rates will intensify. This scenario will signal that Japan may be losing its political and policy-stable status, resulting in a long-term stalemate in the Japanese stock market. USDJPY sustains a solid uptrend within the ascending channel, finding support around 153.00. The gap between both EMAs widens, sending out a bullish signal. If USDJPY breaches the resistance at 154.00 and then crosses the ascending channel’s upper bound, the price may continue its uptrend toward 157.80. Conversely, if USDJPY breaks EMA21 and the channel's lower bound, the price could fall further to the support at 150.80, where EMA78 coincides.
by inkicho_exness
Yen slips to 3-month low after Japanese electionThe Japanese yen is lower on Monday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 152.63, up 0.22% at the time of writing. The yen weakened as far as 153.88 but has pared most of the losses. The new trading week has barely begun but the markets are busy digesting the drama out of Tokyo. The snap parliamentary election over the weekend was a disaster for new Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba, as his Liberal Democratic Party (LPD) coalition won just 215 seats, short of the 233 majority. Ishiba has been in power for only a month and the snap election backfired as the LDP lost its parliamentary majority for the first time since 2009. It’s unclear if Ishiba will be able to cobble together a majority and the political uncertainly could push the yen, which is trading at 3-month lows, even lower. The election bombshell comes just ahead of the Bank of Japan’s on Oct. 31. The BoJ is expected to maintain policy settings and will release updated growth and inflation forecasts. The BoJ has intervened in the past when the yen showed a sharp and quick decline and there is speculation that the central bank might intervene if the yen falls to 155 or 160 per dollar. The US wrapped up the week with mixed results. Durable Goods Orders declined 0.8% in September, unchanged from a revised -0.8% reading in August and above the market estimate of -1%. The UoM Consumer Sentiment index improved slightly to 70.5 in October, above 70.1 in September, beating the market estimate of 69.0. USD/JPY continues to push through resistance lines. The next resistance line is 153.94 152.03 and 151.68 are providing support
by OANDA
USDJPY | Potential buy opportunity Hey Traders! 👉USDJPY@ 152.75~ BUY 📍 SL - 152.15 💰 TP1 - 152.95 💰 TP2 - 153.35 💰 TP3 - 154.35 Hey Traders! 👋 I believe USDJPY has a good chance to start some bullish pressure, since its overall market direction is heavily bullish, the trade has now had a cycle of exhaustion before a another continuation of bullish pressure, minimum to the 20 moving average I believe, if it breaks it we will see this trade fly higher to re-test the top. ✔️💯
Long
by FX-TradingLions
USDJPY - Hangman Reversal (600 pip)Dollar (USD) has been extremely strong, however has come to a point of resistance and risk. US Elections are in 10 days. Market is monitoring the resiliency of US economy. With markets normalizing, looks like there may be more appetite for risk as Central Banks are telegraphing their moves. Yen (JPY) has been been on the other side of this coin and it has been nothing but weak. This is at a potential changing point with new administration in Japan, expected rate hikes coming from BoJ and shifting global trends. This will be highly data-driven trade. Can be invalidated or in-the-money extremely quickly.
Short
by dsmall
USD/JPY Chart Analysis: Rate Hits Autumn HighUSD/JPY Chart Analysis: Rate Hits Autumn High Today’s USD/JPY chart indicates that the U.S. dollar has strengthened against the yen by over 6.6% since the beginning of the month. Starting this trading week, the rate has surpassed 153 yen per dollar, a level not seen since August 31. This bullish sentiment towards the dollar has been driven by the outcome of Japan’s parliamentary elections over the weekend. According to Reuters, investors believe that the loss of the ruling coalition’s majority in Japan’s parliament reduces the likelihood of a future interest rate hike, contributing to the yen's weakening. On October 10, there was speculation that bears might halt the October rally (marked by the blue channel) and guide the rate back down within a descending channel from its upper boundary (marked in red), with the psychological level of 150 yen per dollar acting as resistance. However, bulls maintained their momentum (which originated from the psychological level of 140 yen) and continued the rally, breaking through this resistance. Per USD/JPY technical analysis, the 150 yen level may now serve as a support line. The RSI indicator currently suggests the formation of a potential bearish divergence, hinting that a slight correction might occur as the market anticipates key upcoming news, which could heavily influence the sustainability of the current USD/JPY rally: → The Bank of Japan’s interest rate decision, expected on Thursday → Key U.S. labor market data releases scheduled for later in the week This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Market Analysis: USD/JPY Remains In Strong UptrendMarket Analysis: USD/JPY Remains In Strong Uptrend USD/JPY is rising and might gain pace above the 153.85 resistance. Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today - USD/JPY climbed higher above the 150.50 and 152.20 levels. - There was a break above a key contracting triangle with resistance at 152.00 on the hourly chart at FXOpen. USD/JPY Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/JPY at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh upward move from the 149.00 zone. The US Dollar gained bullish momentum above 150.50 against the Japanese Yen. It even cleared the 50-hour simple moving average and 152.00. There was a break above a key contracting triangle with resistance at 152.00. The pair climbed above 153.50 and traded as high as 153.88. It is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 151.45 swing low to the 153.88 high. The current price action above the 153.20 level is positive. Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near 153.85. The first major resistance is near 154.20. If there is a close above the 154.20 level and the RSI moves above 65, the pair could rise toward 155.00. The next major resistance is near 155.85, above which the pair could test 157.00 in the coming days. On the downside, the first major support is 153.20, below which the bears could gain strength. The next major support is visible near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 151.45 swing low to the 153.88 high at 152.65. If there is a close below 152.65, the pair could decline steadily. In the stated case, the pair might drop toward the 152.20 support zone. The next stop for the bears may perhaps be near the 151.45 region. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Levels discussed on 28th October Livestream28th October DXY: Retracing from top of 104.55, could trade down to 104.20 before retesting high again. Needs to stay above bullish trendline. NZDUSD: Sell 0.5980 SL 25 TP 65 (Test and reject bearish trendline) AUDUSD: Sell 0.6565 SL 20 TP 80 GBPUSD: Sell 1.30 SL 25 TP 90 EURUSD: Ranging between 1.0780 and 1.0840, could trade up in smaller timeframe USDJPY: Retracing, could test 152.50, look for rejection, Buy 153.10 SL 50 TP 200 USDCHF: Buy 0.8705 SL 15 TP 45 USDCAD: Look for possible retrace and reaction at 1.3850 Gold: Likely to fluctuate between 2720 and 2747 while directional bias develops
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
EUR/USD: Pullback Before the Big Drop?The EUR/USD exchange rate remains stable around 1.0790 during early Asian trading on Monday, yet it faces potential downside pressure due to rising expectations of a less dovish stance from the Federal Reserve. Recent encouraging economic data from the United States has fueled these expectations, suggesting the Fed may adopt a more stringent policy in November, which could strengthen the dollar. From a technical perspective, EUR/USD has broken out of its descending regression channel, stabilizing above the upper line. On the downside, support levels are seen at 1.0800 and 1.0750. Last Thursday, EUR/USD displayed some resilience, benefiting from improved market sentiment and a dip in U.S. Treasury yields, leading to a temporary softening of the dollar. However, the pair remains at a crossroads, awaiting fresh cues from the economic calendar, such as U.S. durable goods orders data, which is expected to show a 1% decline. A stronger-than-expected figure could boost the dollar, while a more significant drop might weaken it, though the effect on EUR/USD could be short-lived. The neutral stance in U.S. index futures partly reflects broader uncertainty, leaving open the possibility that shifts in risk sentiment could impact the dollar; a continuation of risk flows favoring safer assets might keep the USD under pressure. Good trading day!
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
USDJPY needs to pay attention to the BOJ meeting on ThursdayThe Bank of Japan will make a decision on interest rates this Thursday and the market currently expects the bank to leave interest rates unchanged. At about 10:00 Hanoi time on October 31 (Thursday), the Bank of Japan will hold an interest rate decision. As fears of a recession in the US ease, the Bank of Japan may signal that its policy outlook will be less dovish. Recent data shows that Japan's core inflation remains under upward pressure, but the Bank of Japan will likely continue its "wait-and-see" approach at this week's meeting. The market will closely monitor the quarterly outlook report, as well as changes in the Bank of Japan's assessment of risks to the US economy and the recent depreciation of the yen. Technically, after being limited by the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level, OANDA:USDJPY has dropped to get more support from the upper edge of the price channel. Along with that, maintaining price activity above the 0.618% Fibonacci level will be a positive signal for the uptrend in the near future. Currently, USD/JPY is likely to test the 154.525 level in the short term, more so than the 155.222 level with an upward trend from the near-term price channel. However, the room for USD/JPY's price increase is no longer too wide as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is reaching the overbought level, signaling corrections to occur. But as long as USD/JPY remains in the price channel, it still has an uptrend in the short term, and as long as it stays in the price channel and maintains price activity above EMA21, it still has an uptrend in the medium to long term. The current price drops should be considered a short-term correction without changing the main trend. In the immediate future, the uptrend of USD/JPY will be noticed by the following technical points. Support: 153.365 – 151.866 Resistance: 154.525 – 155.22 2
by Xayah_trading
USDJPY Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance ) Risk Disclaimer: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
Short
by ShahedZare
USDJPY bullish trend + 2 inside bars... the week of 28 Oct, 2024This pair is bullish on all time frames and price is above the 200dma, adding to my bullish bias. It is good when you can find a few reasons to take a trade and an inside bar formation is my next reason. The large bullish candle on 23/10 was followed not by 1 but 2 inside bars. This shows a period of consolidation and when it appears on a daily chart within a trending market it is a strong indicator of trend continuation. But a major s/r in the 152.80 region needs to be overcome before we look for bullish continuation. A convincing break above and a pullback to it will be the confirmation I need to take a long trade. If, however a strong move to the down side forms, that would invalidate my analysis. My initial target would be in the 157.80 region with the possibility to let some part of the trade run higher. This is not a trade recommendation. You should be aware that trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose. Please use sound money and risk management, trading without a stop or moving the stop away from price is a recipe for disaster. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!! It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
Long
by Trading_Vista
Tokyo Core CPI complicates BoJ’s rate plansThe Japanese yen is showing limited movement on Friday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 151.94, up 0.09%. Tokyo Core CPI, a leading indicator of inflation trends in Japan, fell to 1.8% y/y in October, down from 2% in September and just above the market estimate of 1.7%. This marked a second straight deceleration and was the lowest level since April. A key service inflation indicator also slowed in October, dropping from 2.7% to 2.6%, a four-month low. The decline in inflation is a disappointment for the Bank of Japan, which wants to see inflation remain sustainable around its 2% target before its raises interest rates on the path towards normalization. The BoJ meets next week and is expected to maintain rates. The central bank will release growth and inflation forecasts which could provide insights into future monetary policy. The cautious BoJ is unlikely to raise rates until early next unless inflation reverses its current downtrend and pushes higher. The US wraps up the week with core durable goods orders and UoM consumer sentiment. The manufacturing sector has contracted for four straight months and core durable goods orders are expected to fall 1% in September, after no change in August. The UoM consumer sentiment index is expected to fall to 68.9 in October, compared to 70.1 a month earlier. Consumers are unhappy about high inflation and there is uncertainty over the US election, with an extremely tight race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. USD/JPY is testing resistance at 1.5207. The next resistance line is 152.58 151.30 and 150.79 are providing support
by OANDA
End of the week market analysis25th October DXY: Consolidating along 104 round number (50% fib retracement) could trade down to 103.85 price level NZDUSD: Sell 0.5970 SL 20 TP 55 AUDUSD: Sell 0.6610 SL 20 TP 40 GBPUSD: Sell 1.30 SL 25 TP 90 EURUSD: Looking for reaction around 1.0840 USDJPY: Buy 152.20 SL 40 TP 100 USDCHF: Do Nothing USDCAD: Looking for bounce, retail sales data pending Buy 1.3825 SL 15 TP 40 Gold: Likely to fluctuate between 2700 and 2740 while directional bias develops
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 25, 2024 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) failed to capitalise on the previous day's recovery move against its US counterpart, attracting fresh sellers during the Asian session on Friday. The latest data, published on Thursday, revealed a contraction in business activity across Japan's manufacturing and services sectors in October. Furthermore, the decline in Tokyo's core inflation rate below the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) 2% target has led to a reduction in expectations of additional rate hikes in 2024, placing some pressure on the yen. Furthermore, the prevailing positive sentiment towards risk factors is eroding the JPY's status as a safe haven currency. This, coupled with the emergence of some US dollar (USD) buying, is providing support for the USD/JPY pair near the mid-151.000 level. However, the recent verbal intervention by the Japanese authorities is helping to prevent a significant drop in the JPY and limit the currency pair's decline. In light of the upcoming general election in Japan on Sunday, traders are monitoring the release of macroeconomic data from the US for short-term momentum amid ongoing political uncertainty. Trade recommendation: We follow the level of 152.000, when fixing above it we consider Buy positions, when rebounding we consider Sell positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004