USD/JPY idea short 1hHey i have a little idea for a short position it goes like this.
A rising wedge pattern is made but does not rise and falls below the pattern so a reversal is coming i think.
Plus he also hit my support on the week time frame so i think my reversal is confirmed now wait and see.
If he should still return and turn above the pattern, then take a long position it's also the weekend this is just a calculation but it seemed like a possible solution when the market opens again.
Enjoy your weekend everyone!
#RisingWedge #Bearish
USDJPY
Usdjpy still seems upside but having zig zag moveHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Price actions still whips in a wedge, but general direction still up unless the structure fails. Let's watch this coming week for clearer picture!
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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NEW IDEA FOR USDJPY The possibility of the Japanese yen to grow due to strengthening expectations for an interest rate increase by the Bank of Japan
Dollar/yen has formed a downward angle pattern in the four-hour time frame, and now, provided that there is no closing of the four-hour candle above the resistance of 150.03, it can decrease to the 50% Fibo support in the range of 145.97.
USD/JPY Market Update: Key Levels and Long-Term ProjectionsUSD/JPY Market Update: Key Levels and Projections
The USD/JPY pair is nearing significant resistance levels, with potential for a correction if price action encounters selling pressure. Here’s a concise analysis of the current market structure:
Sell Zone: 152.713 - 151.934 - 150.814
This sell zone marks crucial resistance levels. If the pair closes above 152.713 on the daily time frame, the market could turn extremely bullish. However, within this zone, price could face significant resistance, triggering a pullback.
Buy Zone: Below 139, 136.000, and 128.000
The buy zones are below 139, with key support levels around 136.000 and 128.000. These zones are expected to hold strong buying interest if a correction occurs, providing opportunities for a reversal back to the upside.
Current Price Action
At 149.540, USD/JPY is approaching the lower boundary of the sell zone. While momentum remains bullish, watch for potential reversals near resistance.
COG: 144.438
The center of gravity (COG) at 144.438 is an important mid-level to watch. It could act as a pivot point in case of a price retracement, offering insight into the strength of the pullback.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 152.713 - 151.934 - 150.814 (Sell Zone).
Support: Below 139, 136.000, 128.000 (Buy Zones).
COG: 144.438.
Outlook
A breakout above 152.713 may drive further gains, while a correction toward 136.000 or below offers potential buying opportunities.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to boost this post if you agree with my analysis.
$JPIRYY -Japan's CPI (September/2024)ECONOMICS:JPIRYY 2.5%
(September/2024)
source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications
- The annual inflation rate in Japan fell to 2.5% in September 2024 from 3.0% in the prior month, marking the lowest reading since April.
Electricity prices increased the least in three months as the impact of energy subsidy removal in May waned (15.2% vs. 26.2% in August), and the cost of gas rose much more slowly (7.7% vs. 11.1%).
Moreover, costs moderated for food (3.4% vs. 3.6%), furniture & household utensils (4.8% vs. 5.2%), transport (0.1% vs. 0.2%), and culture (4.3% vs. 4.8%).
Additionally, prices fell further for communication (-2.6% vs. -2.4%) and education (-1.0% vs. -1.0%).
On the other hand, inflation remained unchanged for housing (0.7%) and healthcare (1.5%), while edging higher for clothes (2.4% vs. 2.3%) and miscellaneous (0.9% vs. 0.8%).
Meanwhile, the core inflation rate hit a five-month low of 2.4%, down from August's 2.8%, compared with the consensus of 2.3%.
On a monthly basis, the CPI declined by 0.3%, pointing to the first drop since February 2023.
GOLD BULLISH TO $2,706 (1H UPDATE)Now that Gold has dropped towards our 2nd POI towards $2,600 - $2,590 we're in a good buying opportunity to catch a 5 Sub-Wave (I,II,III,IV,V) towards the final Wave 5 & major Wave V of the bull trend.
I am not in any buy's yet. Waiting to see if price could drop a little lower first before I look to position into any buy's.
GOLD BULLISH TO $2,706 (1H UPDATE)Gold is pushing up very nicely from our Wave IV bottom! Currently up 460 PIPS from its low, heading towards our Wave V target.
I'm not in any buy's yet as I was waiting for just a tiny move lower. But I will be entering buys early next week & riding Gold towards Wave V🚀
GOLD BULLISH TO $2,706 (1H UPDATE)So far a nice push up on Gold of 640 PIPS profit since last week, from our Wave V low! Currently, I am expecting a retracement back down towards $2,630 zone, where we can monitor price action for either a push back to the upside. Or if price carries on melting, we might see a deeper retracement back towards $2,580. 2 zones to monitor:
⭕️$2,630
⭕️$2,580
USDJPY /BETWEEN FVG AREA / 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The price is attempting to reach a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 150.961 and 152.784. This suggests the price is in a critical area that could lead to potential buying or selling opportunities.
There’s a possibility of the price retesting 148.340 before starting to rise. This indicates that the author believes the price might dip before moving upwards.
The statement notes that the overall price is under bearish pressure, meaning there is a downward trend. The reference to remaining below the FVG indicates a struggle for the price to rise past this zone.
If the price does not break above the FVG, the analysis suggests it may decline further, targeting the FVG between 148.340 and 146.430. This is interpreted as a confirmation of a downtrend.
To confirm a downtrend, the price must break below the current FVG, aiming for a secondary FVG between 145.291 and 144.379. This indicates a bearish outlook if these levels are breached.
UPWARD FVG : 150.961 and 152.784.
DOWNWARD FVG : 148.340 and 146.430 , 145.291 and 144.379.
USDJPY ready to fly! FA: USDJPY
🏛 Pressure on the yen is exerted by data on inflation in Japan. Thus, the national consumer price index in September decreased from 3% to 2.5%, while the index excluding food and energy prices slightly increased from 2% to 2.1%. The current inflation dynamics is unlikely to contribute to the realization of the Bank of Japan's plans for further tightening of monetary policy. At the same time, the regulator has repeatedly noted that it will not change monetary parameters during the period of high volatility in the market.
📊 In turn, the dollar received additional support after the release of data on consumer activity in the United States. Thus, retail sales in September rose from 0.1% to 0.4%.
TA:
1. Uptrend on 1h time frame
2. Test ob on news in deep discount and nice bounce from it
4. Insane pin bar ( hammer ) on 1h time frame
3. liquidity sweep of Asian low
5. PDH as main target
USD/JPY Price Analysis: (READ DESCRIPTION)USD/JPY Price Analysis: Potential Short-Term Downside
Pivot Point: 150.30
This level acts as a critical resistance, influencing potential bearish movements.
Market Outlook
Our Preference:
Bearish Scenario: Short positions are recommended below 150.30, with downside targets likely.
Target Levels:
Target 1: 149.50
Target 2: 149.20
These are the immediate downside objectives for traders holding short positions, should the price remain under the pivot.
Alternative Scenario
If USD/JPY breaks above 150.30:
Bullish Outlook: Further upside could be expected.
Target Levels:
Target 1: 150.50
Target 2: 150.75
This suggests potential for upward momentum if the price surpasses the pivot.
Technical Indicators
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Indicates caution, as failure to surpass 150.30 could accelerate selling pressure.
USDJPY and GBPJPY Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USD/JPY Towards 160 if the Fed doesn’t cut!USD/JPY is currently trading near the 150.00 level, under pressure due to verbal intervention from Japanese authorities and a pullback in the US Dollar. The pair is navigating a cautious environment, as mild risk aversion strengthens the safe-haven Japanese Yen. However, despite this pressure, the pair maintains its broader upward trend after breaking a key resistance level. Fundamentally, USD/JPY continues to find support from strong US retail sales data and a resilient labor market, along with rising US Treasury yields. This has led investors to reduce the likelihood of a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve at the November meeting, keeping the dollar supported and the pair on a bullish trajectory.
USDJPY: Uptrend Remains IntactHello everyone!
USD/JPY is finding fresh demand alongside the US Dollar in the Asian session on Thursday. New measures in the Chinese real estate market disappointed and strengthened the safe-haven greenback. The US Retail Sales data will now be in focus, and looks vulnerable.
However, in the short term, with the trend still intact and because of the principle of "trend is your friend", Ben predicts that the price will correct slightly to test the 34 and 89 EMA before continuing to strengthen further in the near term.
What do you think about this major pair today?
USDJPY: 1H Rising Wedge approaching its top.USDJPY is almost overbought on its 1H technical outlook (RSI = 69.322, MACD = 0.160, ADX = 19.927) as the price is approaching the top (HH) of the 10 day Rising Wedge. A 74.00 RSI has been the most optimal sell signal during the three past highs to start shorting. Wait for the opportunity and target the 0.5 Fib at least (TP = 149.645) as it has been the minimum target during the last two bearish waves.
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USDJPY a bit choppy but still traded above 150.000 key level.Despite USDJPY chopping around the 149.000 key level, the pair has already traded back above 150.000 key level as highlighted in our earlier post yesterday. Retail sales was the key driver of volatility today. The dollar strength persisted sending the pair higher. The pair now looks forward to clear 150.500 level before the daily candle closes.
Dollar Index Bullish to $109! (UPDATE)The Dollar is moving ridiculously bullish for the past 3 weeks. Exactly how I said it would move to my Gold Fund investors, in our Q4 Market Breakdown report.
The U.S. elections is less than 4 weeks away & I'm expecting Dollar bulls to hold up during the elections, with all the volatility we will see in the markets.
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 17, 2024 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair is down to 149.400 despite the US Dollar (USD) strengthening during Asian trading on Thursday. Later on Thursday, US retail sales data will come to the fore, which is estimated to rise to 0.3% in September from 0.1% in the previous reading.
The US economic data showed a resilient economy, with inflation rising slightly more than expected in September. This, in turn, could boost the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen (JPY). LSEG calculations put the probability of a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut in November at nearly 100%, while the probability of the Fed pausing and keeping the federal funds rate in the target range of 4.75-5.0% is just 0.2%.
Nevertheless, ongoing geopolitical risks and uncertainty surrounding the U.S. election could strengthen safe-haven flows, which would favor the yen. A plan for Israel's response to an Iranian attack this month is ready, CNN reported. U.S. officials expect it to happen before the U.S. presidential election. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said separately that Israel opposes a “unilateral ceasefire” in the war with Iran-backed Hezbollah in Lebanon.
On Friday, investors await national consumer price index (CPI) data for September for a fresh boost. The CPI excluding fresh food is expected to fall to 2.3% in September from 2.8% in August.
Trade recommendation: Watching the level of 150.000, when fixing above consider Buy positions, when rebounding consider Sell positions.