USDJPY - 4hrs ( Buy Trade Target Range 360 PIP ) 🟢 Pair Name : USD/JPY
Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close
Scale Type : Large Scale
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🟢 Key Technical / Direction ( Long / )
Type : Mid Term Swing
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Bullish Break
148.850 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level
- Visible Range lvn
- Channel Break
- Counter Trend Line
- Week High
Bearish Reversal
153.850 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level / D
- Visible Range Hvn
- Fibo Golden
- Year High Area
- Choch / Inner
USDJPY
USDJPY Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀👉 USDJPY is exhibiting a bullish trend on the higher time frames, and I'm closely monitoring for a potential buying opportunity, contingent on key conditions outlined in the video. We’ll cover the crucial price action signals to watch and how to position yourself to capitalize on the next move. Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes and should not be considered financial advice. 📊✅
Will the revealed labor data continue to support USDJPY?Macro theme:
- The latest Sep NFP, Unemployment Rate, and Average Hourly Earnings have all surpassed market expectations. As a result, the CME FedWatch Tool shows that the 32% probability of a 0.50% rate cut in November has been eliminated, shifting the odds toward a likely rate freeze instead.
- Japan's newly appointed economic minister expressed support for further interest rate hikes as long as they do not destabilize the economy or markets, signalling confidence in the BoJ's approach.
- The yen's outlook remains uncertain, influenced by the robust US labor market and ambiguity surrounding the BoJ's potential rate hikes.
Technical theme:
- USDJPY quickly recovered from the previous downtrend and closed above both EMAs, indicating a solid upward momentum.
- If USDJPY extends its gain to close above 149.25, USDJPY may retest the resistance around 152.00.
- On the contrary, a failure to close above 149.25 may prompt a temporary correction within 147.30-149.25 until an apparent breakout occurs.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
USD/JPY "GOPHER" Bank Money Heist Plan on Bullish Side.Hola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist USD/JPY "GOPHER" Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 4H timeframe
Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
USDJPY Set to Surge Higher – Targeting 150.00?Dear traders!
USDJPY is currently maintaining a fairly steady uptrend, hovering around 147.64 despite a slight 0.34% adjustment downwards during the day. In my personal view, this correction is largely due to the pair encountering the upper boundary of the short-term rising channel. However, upon closer inspection, technical factors such as the rising wedge and the EMA 34.89 remain strong, indicating that the appeal of this pair is far from over.
Considering these factors, Ben’s personal opinion is that USDJPY will likely continue its upward momentum, with a potential target around 150.00.
Wishing you all successful and prosperous trading!
GOLD BULLISH TO $2,706 (1H UPDATE)If you lot remember on my last analysis I said I see 2 options for Gold, on how it'll move up towards $2,700. One option was it carries on moving up slowly from CMP towards $2,7000 & the other option was to see a 3 Sub-Wave correction towards$2,600 - $2,590. This'll then be followed by Wave V to the upside.
Right now I am leaning more towards option 2 & waiting for a downside retracement (Wave 4) before buying. This Wave 4 will liquidate all late buyers & trap new sellers, before Gold moves up again.
GOLD BULLISH TO $2,706 (1H UPDATE)Gold has successfully dropped down towards our second POI! Could possibly see price drop a little lower, but overall we are in a good buying zone. I will let price settle in the next day or 2 & allow it to form good market structure, in order for me to buy into.
We've seen a 3 Sub-Wave correction (A,B,C) for Wave IV. Now time for Wave V bull run!
USDJPY Waiting for this perfect sell opportunity.Two weeks ago (September 25, see chart below) we gave a strong multi-month buy signal on the USDJPY pair and it couldn't have had a better timing:
Last week recorded a massive 1W green candle, the strongest one in more than 2 years that almost tested the 1W MA50. Today we will be breaking down this long-term buy opportunity on the lower 1D time-frame.
As you can see, the price is approaching the 1D MA100 (green trend-line)/ 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) Resistance cluster. This is of very high importance as during the previous Channel Up bottom in early 2023, the two formed a Bearish Cross (February 27 2023) and just a few days later the pair topped and was rejected on the 1D MA200.
The result was a pull-back to the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. Long-term we remain bullish but on the short-term we will be waiting for this rejection opportunity in order to short and target the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) at 146.000.
Notice also that the high symmetry on the RSI sequences among the two bottom fractals also indicates that we are just before the 1D MA100/ 200 Bearish Cross took place.
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USD/JPY soars as rate hike hopes chilledThe yen has stabilized after massive losses last week. In the North American session, the USD/JPY is trading at 148.03 at the time of writing, up 0.45%.
The yen is coming off a spectacularly bad week with a 4.5% decline. This marked the yen’s worst week since 2020, during the covid pandemic. The sharp decline was driven by the political drama in Japan, which included the election of Shigeru Ishiba as the new prime minister. Ishiba has supported the Bank of Japan tightening policy in the past, but he has taken a U-turn on monetary policy since being elected prime minister.
Ishiba may have shifted his stance in order to avoid any divisive issues, such as raising interest rates, ahead of the snap election on October 27. The election will be followed by the next BoJ meeting on October 31, with the BoJ expected to maintain its policy settings.
On Wednesday, Ishiba met with BoJ Governor Ueda and said that Japan did not need to raise rates further. In a speech to parliament on Friday, Ishiba pledged to defeat deflation, a message which signaled a continuation of “Abenomics”, which advocates an accommodative policy. The yen slid 1.1% on Friday as expectations for a rate hike have evaporated.
Ishiba’s dovish stance and comments by BoJ officials that it the Bank will be extremely cautious before raising rates has dashed expectations for a near-term rate hike and made the Japanese currency less attractive to investors.
The US labor market surprised to the upside, as September nonfarm payrolls surged by 254 thousand, up from a revised 159 thousand in August and blowing past the market estimate of 140 thousand. This was the strongest job report in six months. The unemployment rate dipped lower to 4.1%, compared to 4.2% in August and below the market estimate of 4.2%. The markets have raised the odds of a 25-basis point cut at the Fed November meeting to 87%, compared to 65% one week ago.
USD/JPY tested support at 147.89 earlier. Below, there is support at 146.78
There is resistance at 149.86 and 150.97
NEW IDEA FOR USDJPYExamining the trend in the one-hour time frame, it seems that USD/JPY has formed a HEAD&SHOULDERS pattern in addition to crossing the bearish Kumo cloud of the Ichimoku indicator, and now there is a possibility that the price will reach the height of the head of the pattern, provided that it holds and Failure to record any four-hour close candle time below the important support interval in the range of 145.95-146.50 can increase the price up to the 2.41% Fibo range at 153.37.
USDJPY and GBPJPY Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USD/JPY "GOPHER" Bank Money Heist Plan on Bullish Side.Hallo! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist USD/JPY "GOPHER" Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2H timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
USD/JPY Breakout and New Support FormationUSD/JPY has recently broken through a key resistance level, which has now turned into support. If we break above the trendline resistance, our first target will be the next resistance level. This could be a good opportunity for a long position if the breakout is confirmed.
USDJPY H4 | Bullish Bounce Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 147.12, which is a pullback support close to 23.6% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 149.46, a swing-high resistance.
The stop loss will be placed at 145.83, which is an overlap support level close to 50% FIbo retracement.
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Bullish momentum to extend?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which has acts as a pullback support and could reverse to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 147.15
1st Support: 145.81
1st Resistance: 149.39
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USDJPY Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
XAU/USD : NFP's effect on the market! (READ THE CAPTION)In the latest analysis of the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that, as expected, yesterday the price rose to $2654, and exactly after reaching this key level, it faced heavy selling pressure and corrected by 175 pips down to $2637. After hitting the target of $2638 and gathering the liquidity below this level, buying pressure emerged, and today it managed to rise to $2667. Currently, gold is trading around $2656, and in less than 30 minutes, the NFP data will be released. If the figures come in higher than the forecast, it could lead to a decline in gold prices to lower levels, and conversely, if the figures are below the forecast, it could lead to an increase in gold prices. Please note that the risk of an Israel-Iran war still hangs over this market, so we should be cautious with our personal trades. Personally, I believe that today the NFP figures will be higher than expected, which may lead to a decline in gold prices. The potential targets are $2654.5, $2649, $2642.5, and $2638, respectively.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
COT Analysis - Currency SectorA few weeks ago I was calling for shorts on 6J, longs on DX, and shorts on ZB. Those trades are well underway, with partials already taken.
This week, COT strategy is supportive of longs for DX. Of particular interest is 6A (AUD). The commercials are more short this market than they have been in over 3 years. This is a very bearish signal. I will be focusing on shorting AUD this week, as in my opinion, it has the greatest potential for a significant down move.
Have a great weekend.
CHFJPY - Easy 1000pip Trade.. Atleast!Our last CHFJPY over extended a little but it was still valid. Price dropped 1300pips from the break of our entry trendline!
We have now created a correction and looking for another 1000pip drop. There's a chance we may make a complex correction, as indicated on the chart. There is still a 1000pip drop to our first target so this one is definitely one to watch!
Trade Idea:
- Watch for reversal within the fibs
- Entry on break of trendline or you can use lower timeframe BOS or other methods
- once entered, put stops above price
- Target the recent lows as first target (165.5 (1000pips)
- Make sure to taper some positions there and watch to see if we get the complex correction or if we continue dropping.
What do you guys think?
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
Fundamentals Favoring a Bullish USDJPY:What Traders Need to KnowIn today's trading environment, the USD/JPY currency pair presents a bullish opportunity. Here are some key fundamentals that support this bias, along with an explanation of utilizing probabilities for positioning long trades.
Key Fundamentals Supporting a Bullish Bias on USD/JPY
1. Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Monetary Policy: The BoJ has maintained its accommodative monetary policy, refraining from committing to predefined rate hikes for the remainder of the year. This stance is likely to weaken the Japanese Yen against the U.S. Dollar as traders anticipate continued divergence in monetary policy between the Fed and the BoJ.
2. U.S. Economic Growth: Recent data indicates a pickup in U.S. economic growth without significant inflationary pressures. This environment supports a stronger U.S. Dollar as it suggests that the Federal Reserve may not need to cut rates aggressively, contrary to some market expectations.
3. Market Sentiment: The overall sentiment in the forex market is leaning towards a bullish outlook for the U.S. Dollar, particularly against currencies like the Yen, which is under pressure due to Japan's economic conditions and the BoJ's policies.
Utilizing Probabilities for Long Positions in USD/JPY
When trading, I prioritize using probabilities to enhance my decision-making process.
In conclusion, by focusing on probabilities and key fundamental indicators, I am strategically positioning myself for potential long trades in USD/JPY.
This method not only enhances my trading confidence but also provides a structured approach to navigating market volatility effectively.
Let's dive into my comprehensive top-down analysis together:
12M:
2W:
1H:
USD-JPY Potential Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY went up sharply
But the pair is about to
Hit a horizontal resistance
Level of 149.500 and as
The pair is locally overbought
We will be expecting a local
Bearish correction
Sell!
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USD/JPY Poised for Gains as DXY StrengthensThe US Dollar Index (DXY) continues its upward momentum as Treasury yields recover from recent losses, bolstering the Greenback’s strength. However, this rally may soon face headwinds, with growing market expectations of additional rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in 2024.
Traders are now focusing on the upcoming US Flash Manufacturing PMI, which is due for release within the hour. The PMI data will offer a fresh perspective on the health of the US manufacturing sector, and any surprise in the numbers could influence the Greenback’s near-term trajectory. The Manufacturing PMI is expected to show a slight improvement, reflecting stabilizing economic conditions, but traders remain alert for any deviations from the forecast.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a 50% probability that the Fed could reduce rates by as much as 75 basis points, bringing the federal funds rate to a range of 4.0-4.25% by the end of the year. This potential easing has kept some investors cautious, as it could curb the USD’s long-term gains.
From a technical standpoint, we are seeing a key opportunity in the USD/JPY pair, which has rebounded from a strong demand area. The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows that retail traders are still heavily short on the USD/JPY, while institutional "smart money" appears to be shifting its stance, reducing its bearish exposure. This setup aligns with our previous analysis, where we highlighted the potential for a long position as the pair regains upward momentum.
As the USD/JPY continues to rebound from this demand zone, the conditions remain favorable for a long trade. The shift in sentiment among institutional traders, combined with the recovery in Treasury yields and the strength of the DXY, supports the case for further upside. However, traders should remain cautious as the Fed’s rate cut expectations may still influence broader USD sentiment in the months ahead.
For now, the focus remains on the US PMI release and its impact on both Treasury yields and the USD. Should the data come in stronger than expected, it could provide additional fuel for the DXY’s rally, further reinforcing the bullish outlook for USD/JPY. Conversely, weaker-than-expected PMI data could reignite concerns about the Fed’s dovish outlook, potentially pausing the Greenback's current rally.
We continue to monitor the situation closely, with a bullish setup in USD/JPY remaining a key focus in the near term.
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