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USDJPY

USDJPY / EXPECTED RISING % 5.01 - 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS 1. Trend Analysis: - July: The prices showed a clear downtrend, declining by 14.25%. - August: The trend was unstable, indicating high volatility. There were alternating movements: - A rise of 5.01%, followed by - A decline of 6.60%. - September (Mid-Month): An expected uptrend is indicated, with a projected rise of 5.01%. 2. Volatility: - The description of price movements in August suggests significant volatility. The lack of a clear trend could indicate market uncertainty or fluctuations due to external factors. Technical Analysis: 1. Current Market Condition: The asset is under bullish pressure , As long as the price remains above 142.231, the bullish momentum is expected to continue. 2. Upward Condition: - Target 1: If the price trades above 142.231, it's expected to rise to 147.179. - Target 2: If the price stabilizes above 147.179, the next target is 149.345. 3. Downward Condition: - If the price falls below 147.179 , it suggests a potential decline: - Target 1: A decline to 139.713. - Target 2: If it breaks below 139.713, further decline is expected to 137.306.
Long
by ArinaKarayi
#USDJPY 1HUSDJPY (US Dollar / Japanese Yen) Timeframe: 1-Hour (1H) Pattern: Rising Wedge A rising wedge pattern has developed on the 1-hour chart of USDJPY. This pattern is formed by two upward-sloping trendlines that converge as the price continues to make higher highs and higher lows. While the price is trending upward, the narrowing wedge suggests that bullish momentum is weakening, typically signaling a potential reversal. The rising wedge is considered a bearish pattern, as it often leads to a downside breakout once the price breaks below the lower trendline. Forecast: Sell Given the current formation, the forecast recommends a selling opportunity. The price is likely to break down from the rising wedge, leading to a potential reversal and a decline in the pair's value. A confirmed breakdown below the lower boundary of the wedge would signal further bearish momentum. Technical Outlook: Resistance Level: The upper boundary of the wedge, where buying pressure could weaken. Support Level: The lower boundary, where a breakout would trigger a selling opportunity. Key Levels to Watch: A break below the wedge’s support line would reinforce the bearish forecast, signaling a potential downward move. Traders should look for confirmation through bearish candlestick patterns or increased selling volume to validate their short positions. Monitor for key economic indicators, particularly US dollar movements influenced by Federal Reserve policies or safe-haven demand for the Japanese yen, which could impact this pair’s direction.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
USDJPY recovers, although USD loses support from interest ratesAccording to CME Group's FedWatch Tool, traders now see a 62.2% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points at its November 7 meeting, up from 37% a week ago, and a 37.8% chance of a cut. reduce interest rates by 25 basis points. In the future, if the market continues to maintain high probability expectations about the level of interest rate cuts of the US Dollar, the US Dollar will still be under pressure. This trading day is an important trading day when many key Fed officials speak with US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. The content of these statements will affect the Dollar and the exchange rate. The probability of a Fed interest rate cut will then fundamentally affect USD/JPY. Looking at the daily chart, USDJPY is still on the recovery path and is achieving certain bullish conditions by breaking above the trend price channel and breaking above the 21-day moving average (EMA21). On the other hand, if USD/JPY continues to maintain price activity above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level it will tend to continue to increase further towards the next Fibonacci level at 0.382% price point of 148.113. In addition, the Relative Strength Index rising above the 50 level also shows that there is still quite wide room for price increases ahead towards the 80 level. OANDA:USDJPY also forms a short-term trend price channel that is noticed by the price channel, and the short-term trend is leaning towards the bullish trend, and notable technical levels will be listed below. Support: 142,941 – 141,531 Resistance: 148.113
by Xayah_trading
USD/JPY Breaks ResistanceToday, USD/JPY is holding steady around 145.00, and when I look at the daily chart, I see that the pair has broken the neckline at 144.50, which is a clear sign that the uptrend is gradually returning. This opens up the prospect of stronger growth in the near future. According to my analysis, as long as USD/JPY holds above 144.70 (with important support at 144.50), we can expect the bullish momentum to continue. My immediate profit target is 147.00, and given the current situation, the possibility of reaching this level in the short term is very positive.
Long
by ConanTradingFX
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 26, 2024 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) remains depreciated against the US Dollar (USD) following the release of the minutes from the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) July policy meeting on Thursday. The yen faces challenges as traders expect the BoJ to ponder before further rate hikes. The minutes of the BoJ's monetary policy meeting expressed a general view among members on the importance of remaining vigilant on the risks of inflation exceeding targets. Several members indicated that raising rates to 0.25 percent would be an appropriate way to adjust the level of monetary support. Some others suggested that a moderate adjustment in monetary support would also be appropriate. Pressure on the U.S. dollar is being exerted by the increased likelihood of further interest rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) at upcoming meetings. According to CME FedWatch Tool, markets estimate the probability that the Fed will cut rates by 75 basis points to a range of 4.0-4.25% by the end of this year at around 50%. Traders' attention is now focused on the release of final annualized U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) data for the second quarter (Q2), due later in the day. On Friday, inflation data will be released in Tokyo, which could provide further insight into the economic outlook and possible monetary policy moves by the Bank of Japan. Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
UsdJpy could return to 150In mid-September, USD/JPY dropped below the 141.80 technical support level and even briefly fell under 140. However, this bearish move was short-lived and ultimately proved to be a false breakout. The pair quickly recovered, and despite some signs of a potential continuation of the downtrend from the trend line on Monday and Tuesday, yesterday's session was marked by a strong bullish engulfing candle that broke above the falling trend line. At this point, the path for further gains seems clear, with 147 and possibly 150 as upside targets for the bulls. In conclusion, as long as technical support holds, I am looking to buy on dips.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
USDJPY H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 145.99, which is a pullback resistance and a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 161.8% Fibonacci Extension Our take profit will be at 143.45, an overlap support level. The stop loss will be at 148.22, an overlap resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
USD/JPY jumps as BoJ Core CPI stallsThe Japanese yen is sharply lower on Wednesday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 144.49, up 0.89% at the time of writing. The Bank of Japan is expected to raise interest rates and continue on the path to normalization. The BoJ lifted rates out of negative territory in March but rates are barely above zero and the markets are expecting further hikes, although the timing remains unclear. This has made the BoJ an outlier among the major central banks, which have lowered rates in response to falling inflation. In Japan, inflation has been on the rise and hit 3.0% in August after running at 2.8% in the prior three months. The BoJ has signaled that it will raise rates but has been cautious, and Governor Ueda said on Tuesday that the central bank can afford to wait and is not in any rush to hike rates. The US Conference Board consumer confidence index is usually not a market-mover but a very soft reading on Tuesday sent the US dollar lower against most of the major currencies. The index slipped to 98.7 in September, down sharply from a revised 105.6 in August and below the market estimate of 103.8. The US labor market has deteriorated and consumers are worried about job security. The US releases GDP (third estimate) for the second quarter with a forecast of 3.0%. This would confirm the second estimate and point to stronger economic growth after a 1.4% gain in the first quarter. Still, the Fed may be planning another jumbo rate cut – the markets have priced in a 50-basis point cut at the next meeting in November, according to CME’s FedWatch. USD/JPY has pushed above resistance at 143.67 and 144.23. Above, there is resistance at 145.23 There is support at 142.67 and 142.11
by OANDA
USD/JPY breaking down from channel support line..!The Japaneese yen is getting stronger after the japaneese stock market is crashing. People panic selling stocks to buy Yen.. The 12.4% loss on the Nikkei stock was the worst day for the index since the “Black Monday” of 1987. Looking at FX:USDJPY we have broken down from the trading range we have been in since DEC 2022. We could now go up for a re-test of the channel resistance line before further downside could be the next moove. Next demand zones should be at about 137 and 131 and i look for a short opportunity at the re-test of channel resistance line. Make sure to follow me on X for weekly trade analysis: @PuppyNakamoto
Short
by WOLFofBlockStreet
USDJPY Excellent multi-month buy opportunity here.The USDJPY pair has formed the bottom we expected on our last idea (August 22, see chart below) and seems to be finally giving us the long-term buy opportunity we wanted: The RSI has already formed a reversal pattern similar to the January 16 2023 bottom and the confirmation will come when the 1W MACD forms a Bullish Cross, a formation we only got twice in the past year and was a confirmed buy signal. Our Target remains 161.800, the symmetrical Resistance 1 level, similar to where the November 13 2023 High was priced. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
Levels discussed on livestream 25th September25th September DXY: Retracing from 100.20, could retest 100.60, look for rejection to continue lower to 100 and 99.70 major support level. NZDUSD: Buy 0.6310 SL 20 TP 50 AUDUSD: Sell 0.6880 SL 20 TP 40 GBPUSD: Buy 1.3345 SL 40 TP 80 EURUSD: Buy 1.1205 SL 15 TP 45 USDJPY: Could range between 145 and 143, look for breakout potential USDCHF: Buy 0.8470 SL 20 TP 80 USDCAD: Sell 1.3420 SL 25 TP 55 Gold: Bounce off 2652 could trade to 2670 with major level at 2700
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as an overlap support. Pivot: 143.51 1st Support: 141.69 1st Resistance: 145.08 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets