USDJPY - Idea for a long !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. My point of interest is rejection from bullish OB + institutional big figure 154.000 + trendline.
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USDJPY
USDJPY Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USDJPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 156.03
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 157.26
Recommended Stop Loss - 155.29
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USD/JPY Short Scalp-USD/JPY has been pulling back for the past 12H, it is currently trading below a Trading Range and could evolve into a bear flag. Bulls do not show significant buying. FX:USDJPY
There is an extending triangle and an inside triangle forming, and could be sign of bears stepping in.
Target is 155.00, might not get it today but trade may evolve over next week depending on volatility.
Careful short, evolving
USD/JPY, Where to Next?As explained before before, USD/JPY drowned almost two percent this week, three scenarios can play out next:
- Bearish scenario: Current 4H chart is evolving into a bear flag from previous TR, bears could get a second or third (depending on ur analysis) leg down towards 154.00 target:
-Bullish scenario: Bulls could fight of the downtrend and reclaim 156.000 to evolve into a trading range. This will be hard as they have to reclaim 20 EMA where bears might be present. Bulls would need to show consecutive buying to show they are back in control.
-Sideways trading: Trading could be sideways to reach 20 EMA on the daily before next move is decided.
So far, odds favour the Bear scenario, the longer we stay below the trading range, the more likely bears are will get their bear leg.
- Scalp idea for the day traders:
Currently, theres an extending triangle evolving with an inside wedge top, this could be a sign bears are stepping in again. Bulls did not show strength at start of day, they got two small legs, but were not satisfied, likely to start selling again. Day could evolve into trading range day depending on reaction at day open.
If extending triangle plays out and there's consecutive selling, 155 is the target with 20 EMA acting as resistance.
Peace,
B Setup
USD/JPY: Key Pullback After 320-Pip Drops, Another Decline AheadBy analyzing the USD/JPY daily chart, we observe that after a significant drop to 155 (yielding 320 pips), the price has reacted to a key psychological level and is currently in a pullback phase. Following a short upward move, we can look for a suitable trigger to align with another potential downside move. This chart will be updated again soon—stay tuned!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Potential bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 154.45
1st Support: 153.25
1st Resistance: 156.20
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD/JPY begins to unravelUSD/JPY has fallen nearly -2% in two days, and the required central bank divergence between the Fed and BOJ appears to be returning, which could see prices much lower from here.
Prices are close to reaching my bearish target at the monthly pivot point (154.60) outlined in yesterday's video, and prices are less than a day's trading-range away from it. Perhaps it can tag that key level today.
However, with a bullish RSI (2) divergence on the daily chart, and the 50-day SMA nearby, bears may want to remain nimble. Still, if we see a bounce from the monthly pivot, bears could seek to fade into minor rallies within Thursday's range in anticipation of a move down towards the 1534 handle.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
USDJPY is Nearing An Important Daily Support!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 154.000 zone, USDJPY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the daily trend at 154.000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
XAU/USD Analysis: Gold's Bullish Momentum Eyes $2,790The analysis of XAU/USD highlights a strong bullish momentum in the short term, with gold prices reaching a one-month high above $2,700 on January 16, 2025. This rally was supported by contrasting U.S. economic data: while consumer spending showed strength, the increase in unemployment claims contributed to a decline in U.S. Treasury yields, enhancing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. Optimism regarding a possible Federal Reserve rate cut, driven by cooling inflation, has further strengthened positive sentiment toward gold, which has posted three consecutive sessions of gains. From a technical perspective, the breakout above the key resistance level of $2,697 opens the door to a potential target of $2,740, reinforcing the current bullish trend. However, traders remain focused on upcoming economic events, including the Federal Reserve's rate decision at the end of January and the release of CPI and Non-Farm Payrolls data in early February, which could significantly impact market sentiment. Expectations suggest that a potential rate cut or weak macroeconomic data could continue to support gold prices, while signs of economic strength or a rate hike might trigger bearish pressure. In the medium term, gold could fluctuate between $2,650 and $2,800, with the market remaining sensitive to monetary policy developments and inflation dynamics. In the long term, potential geopolitical stabilization and a global economic recovery could reduce interest in gold as a safe-haven asset, bringing prices to a range between $2,500 and $2,600.
Bottom Wedge USD/JPY - Which side will we see a breakout from ?
-> Following FX:USDJPY downfall, price almost fell two percent this week.
-> Bottom wedge was identified, which side it will break down to is still to be determined. Either way, an upside breakout can justify a scalp on 5-15 min timeframe a after consecutive bull bars are seem. Looking at the other side of the coin, a downside breakout would lead to a third leg down a indicate that the bear trend is soon halting or reversing.
-> Most importantly, be cautious and patient with such trades, wait for breakout and follow through buying- or selling- to place trade. Remember that USD/JPY is reversing with a strong Yen and odds favour bears, as seen with bear flag on this 4h chart:
Will the bear flag will get a secong leg and gain downside momentum?, or will we have a failed trading range breakout with a short term reversal around the 156.000 area is still to be determined.
B setup
Peace
Bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 154.69
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 153.28
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 156.23
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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XAU/USD : Gold Surges Above $2700: Volatility Looms! (READ)By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we see that, as anticipated, the price experienced another strong rally, breaking above $2700. Today, gold reached $2711 before encountering a bearish order block, triggering a correction. Currently, it is trading around $2703.
With key reports like Retail Sales and Unemployment Claims ahead today, gold is expected to see heightened volatility. Given the current momentum, further correction is likely. The first corrective target for gold is $2698.5, with subsequent targets to be updated in future analyses. Stay tuned!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
USD/JPY : Ready for more Fall?! (READ THE CAPTION)Upon analyzing the USD/JPY chart in the daily time frame, we see that the pair is currently trading around the 157.060 level. Given the recent price action, I anticipate a significant correction in USD/JPY in the near future.
The first potential target for this decline is 156.25, so keep a close eye on this level! Stay tuned for updates as we track this movement together.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments below!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EUR/USD : Approaching Critical Demand Zones! (READ THE CAPTION)By reviewing the #EURUSD chart in the three-day timeframe, we can see that the price has currently reached a very important demand zone, and the probability of a price reversal from this level is high! However, note that I personally have another scenario in mind, which is that after an initial short-term rise in the current area, the price will decline again to the very important demand zone of 1.005 to 1.007 , and then, with a suitable trigger in this area, we can look for an attractive BUY position !
All key levels and important zones have been marked on the chart! If you have any questions, be sure to ask, and I will try to respond as soon as possible!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
USDCHF TOWARDS THE SKYThere's not a lot of indications for this one, since there's no accumulation to reach.
However the low and divergent RSI gives us an idea of where the price is globally going, which is up.
Will add more information asap, when a new interesting KL or AA (accumulation area) gets created.
GOLD GLOBAL VIEWThis is what it looks like for us : a huge rally where the price is to reach at least 2780 pretty soon.
Look at our next post to get the micro view and the daily signal.
The idea is to compensate the green top area, which acts like a super KL, making the price come back to such high levels.
On the other hand, since the economy in the US seems to get more and more stable, the Gold Index should not grow that much on the next few years, only in case of a major event.
Which is why you can observe the red dotted line going back to the ground, to another super KL.
USD/JPY Hits One-Month LowUSD/JPY Hits One-Month Low
The USD/JPY pair fell to its lowest level in a month during today’s Asian session, dropping below 155.5 yen per US dollar for the first time since 19th December.
As Reuters reports:
→ The yen’s strengthening was driven by hawkish comments from Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda, which prompted markets to bet on a potential interest rate hike next week.
→ A significant majority of surveyed economists anticipate the BOJ will raise rates at one of its two meetings this quarter, with most favouring a January hike.
The BOJ’s decision on rates may depend on market stability following Donald Trump’s return to the White House next Monday. His inauguration speech will be closely watched by policymakers worldwide to gauge his likely political direction.
Technical analysis of the USD/JPY chart shows:
→ The price has struggled to hold above the 158 yen-per-dollar level, which can be considered a critical barrier where bulls are unwilling to take on the risk associated with potential rate hikes.
→ The 157 level has been broken, transitioning from support to resistance (as indicated by the arrows).
Bulls might find support at the lower boundary of the ascending channel (marked in blue), which has been in place since November last year. However, given strong fundamental factors, such as the US presidential inauguration and BOJ rate decisions, USD/JPY is likely to experience spikes in volatility that could significantly shift the supply-demand balance—not just in the short term.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ GOING UPAfter a some fake rallies, some fails and some real good forecasts, we're back with more energy and more confidence to try and offer you all the best signals.
The red dotted line that you see at the top is the price we're aiming for. As you can see yesterday's forecast (green drawing) was a little late but eventually pretty good.
We believe that US100 has to climb back to 22K asap to compensate for the US firms on a national level, and to compensate with the blue areas on the chart on a technical levels, which are super key levels supposed to hit again.
Anything is possible at and after 2:30 PM (London time), but keep in mind that there are more prices to reach above than below
Bullish bounce?USD/JPY is reacting off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 155.70
1st Support: 154.70
1st resistance: 157.04
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDJPY H4 | Bearish continuationBased on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 156.56, which is a pullback resistance. This level is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bearish setup.
Our take profit is set at 154.45, aligning with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, marking a significant support level and logical target for the trade.
The stop loss is set at 158.85, just above the recent swing high, providing room for price fluctuations while protecting against invalidation of the bearish setup.
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Bearish mean reversion kicks in for USD/JPYIts bullish trend struggled to gain any traction above 158, and now momentum has finally turned against USD/JPY bulls. A retracement is now underway, but as to how deep really comes down to whether incoming US data continues to soften to bolster Fed-cut bets, or if the BOJ get their hawkish skates on.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
EUR/GBP: Ready to reach the level 0.83!The EUR/GBP exchange rate is currently in a bearish phase, trading near 0.8440 as of January 15, 2025. The key resistance level at 0.8445, which has been a significant barrier since September, has once again hindered upward attempts. The recent downward pressure has been influenced by the halt in the rally of UK gilt yields, following weaker-than-expected inflation data. This factor, combined with growing concerns about stagflation in the UK, creates an unfavorable environment for the Pound, increasing the likelihood of a dovish stance from the Bank of England. On the European side, the stabilization of inflation in the Eurozone provides relative support for the Euro, further reinforcing the bearish sentiment on the EUR/GBP pair. Key upcoming events in the short term include the BoE rate decision on January 25, 2025, which could significantly impact the Pound: a more accommodative stance would further weaken the British currency, favoring an upward movement in the pair. This will be followed by the Eurozone GDP data release on February 2, 2025, and the PMI results for both the UK and the Eurozone in early February, with the potential to influence market dynamics depending on the relative strength of their economies. Market sentiment remains oriented toward short-term stability, with limited movements expected until new significant signals emerge from economic data or central bank decisions.