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USDJPY

Japan : Q1 2025 GDP Revision: Milder ContractionFinal data for Q1 2025 shows that Japan's economy contracted by 0.2% year-on-year (YoY), better than the initial estimate of -0.7% (Sources: english.kyodonews.net, reuters.com, fxstreet.com). Growth in household consumption and an increase in inventory levels were the main drivers, although the export sector remained a drag due to U.S. tariff pressures. On a quarterly basis (QoQ), the economy recorded flat growth (0.0%), exceeding expectations of a -0.2% contraction (Sources: reuters.com, fxstreet.com). In summary: The revision shows that Japan’s economy is not as weak as initially feared, though it still reflects underlying sluggish conditions.
Short
by arseniussofian
The Japanese yen may face further downward pressure.The USD/JPY has trended higher in a volatile manner this week, rising 0.56% on a weekly basis and closing at 144.87 on Friday, marking the second consecutive week of gains. The Japanese yen, as a safe-haven currency, showed weakness this week, reflecting market concerns about Japan's economic outlook and the impact of Trump's tariff policies. The remarks of Kazuo Ueda (Governor of the Bank of Japan) reflected worries about the effects of the trade war. Market expectations indicate that the Bank of Japan is likely to maintain a dovish stance in the short term. If next week's GDP data is weak, the yen may face further downward pressure. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Long
by Ashbur
USDJPY Is Very Bullish! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The price is testing a key support 144.863. Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 146.013 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
USDJPY Pullback? Watch OB + Fib Confluence for the Next Buy WaveUSDJPY | 30-Min Chart – Smart Money Buy Setup in Progress After a sharp bullish rally, USDJPY is setting up for a classic retracement buy scenario. We're now watching a key confluence zone between Fibonacci levels, a bullish order block, and internal trend structure — all lining up for a high-probability long setup. 🔍 Trade Breakdown: 📉 Pullback Expected Before Next Rally: Price rejected near short-term resistance and is retracing from local highs. Retracement aligns with key OB + 61.8–79% Fib zone = institutional entry zone. 🟣 Order Block (OB) Demand Zone: 143.086 – 142.828 Last bullish candle before explosive rally = demand OB. OB sits within premium Fib retracement = Smart Money buy zone. 📐 Fibonacci Levels (Swing Low to High): 61.8% ≈ 143.200 70.5% ≈ 143.000 79% ≈ 142.828 This is the kill zone for institutional longs — where Smart Money typically enters before expansion. 🔵 Projected Play: Retracement to OB/Fib confluence. Bullish rejection from OB zone. Impulse move targeting previous highs and beyond. 💡 Target Level: 144.396 (sits just above prior high and aligns with -27% Fib extension) 📉 Current Bias: Short-term retracement ➝ Mid-term bullish continuation Expecting price to dip into OB then launch. 🧠 Chart Ninja Entry Plan: 🔹 Entry Zone: 143.086 – 142.828 🔻 SL Below: 142.650 (below OB/Fib + structure wick) 📈 Target: 144.396 ⚖️ RRR: 1:3+ — high confluence risk-managed buy 🔍 Technical Confluence Checklist: ✅ OB demand zone ✅ 61.8–79% retracement ✅ Bullish market structure ✅ Internal channel support ✅ Momentum slow before entry 📍 Save this chart — don’t chase, let price come to you 💬 Comment if you're watching this OB too 👣 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for precision-based setups daily
Long
by ChartNinjas88
USDJPY Buy Setup! OB + 61.8% Fib + Trend Channel ConfluenceUSDJPY | 30-Min Chart – High Probability Buy Setup in Progress USDJPY is currently respecting a bullish market structure within a well-defined ascending trend channel. Smart Money Concepts (SMC) traders are watching for a precise reaction at the confluence of a key Order Block (OB), Fibonacci retracement levels, and mid-channel support. 🔍 Trade Breakdown: Bullish Market Structure Price has shifted from bearish to bullish after forming a key higher low and continuing with higher highs within the trend channel. The structure is being respected with multiple taps on both upper and lower channel boundaries. Internal Liquidity & Order Flow: Price previously swept sell-side liquidity below the recent swing low and sharply reversed, confirming internal liquidity engineering and institutional involvement. Currently, we’re seeing price stall after rejecting the upper channel and OB zone. A retracement into the discount zone is anticipated before continuation. 🟣 Order Block Zone (OB): 143.032 – 143.137 A clear bullish OB formed after a strong impulsive move, marking the last down candle before the bullish break of structure. Located just above the 61.8% Fibonacci level — strong confluence. 📐 Fibonacci Levels from Last Swing Low to High: 61.8% = 143.137 70.5% = 143.032 Potential reaction zone aligns perfectly with OB + trendline + psychological round level (143.000 area) 📊 Buy Setup Expectation: USDJPY is expected to retrace into the OB/Fib confluence zone before a bullish continuation toward the upper boundary of the trend channel and beyond. 🔵 Projected Path: Price dips into OB → reacts to 61.8–70.5% retracement → bullish reversal → break to fresh highs near 143.510 or higher 🧠 Chart Ninja Entry Plan: 🔹 Entry Zone: 143.032 – 143.137 (OB + 61.8–70.5% Fib) 🔻 SL Below: 143.000 (beneath OB and psychological level) 📈 Target: 143.510 (channel top + previous supply zone) ⚖️ RRR: Approx. 1:3+ — high precision Smart Money entry 💬 Ninja Wisdom: Patience before profit. Wait for price to return to the zone where institutions left footprints — the OB at equilibrium pricing. Combine OB + Fib + channel and you're trading like the banks. Retail buys the breakout. Smart Money buys the pullback. 🥷📚 📍 Save this chart before the setup triggers! 🧠 Do you see the same confluence? Comment your entry/TP/SL plans ⬇️ 👣 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for more sniper setups on major FX pairs every session!
Long
by ChartNinjas88
USD/JPY Higher-Low, 142.50 DefenseUSD/JPY continues to exert force on the USD and the past week was no different. Despite an open door for sellers, a higher-low showed with a hold of the same 142.50 support level that was in-play a week prior. That price traded early on Tuesday (Monday night in the states) and then on Thursday (Wed night in the U.S.) buyers came in to hold the low just above that price, illustrating a degree of bullish anticipation. Reports of slowing pace of bond tapering from the BoJ, and perhaps even smaller reductions to the banks bond buying helped to soften long-term Japanese yields: 40 year JGBs made a move towards the 3% marker after skyrocketing up to 3.7% just a few weeks ago. That helped JPY-weakness to continue against the USD and USD/JPY is back to re-testing the 145.00 handle in the pair. This remains a key component if a USD turn is nearby, but interestingly working with that turn may be more attractive against the Euro in a pair like EUR/USD as USD/JPY has continued to show traps on both sides of the market for much of 2025 trade. - js
by FOREXcom
1
USD/JPY - Triangle Breakout (06.06.2025)The USD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 144.94 2nd Resistance – 145.52 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
55
Bullish rise off pullback support?USD/JPY has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Pivot: 143.45 1st Support: 143.08 1st Resistance: 144.42 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
USD/JPY H1 | Overlap Resistance at 78.6% Fibonacci RetracementUSD/JPY is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 143.88 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 144.55 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and a multi-swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 143.02 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
USD/JPY Trapped in Consolidation QuagmireDuring the European session, the USD/JPY exchange rate oscillated around 143.10, extending the consolidation pattern triggered by the weak US dollar overnight. Influenced by the worse-than-expected US May ADP and ISM services data, the US Dollar Index fell to a six-week low of 98.60, and the USD/JPY rate also hit a low of 142.53. Subsequently, it rebounded slightly supported by the stable results of Japan's 30-year government bond auction and the decline in yields. Currently, the market is widely focused on the upcoming US May Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report and is reassessing the path of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Short
by Ashbur
USDJPY: Will This CRT FVG Hold After the PWL Sweep?Price action on USDJPY reflects a clean execution of Candle Range Theory (CRT). Following a sweep of the Previous Week’s Low (PWL), price reacted from a higher timeframe demand zone, grabbing sell-side liquidity before printing a bullish Break of Structure (BOS). This BOS confirmed a shift in market intent and set the stage for a retracement into a clearly defined Fair Value Gap (FVG). I refined the entry on the 4H chart, waiting for price to return to the FVG zone, with risk placed just below the sweep wick. The target is mapped to the next logical supply above a cluster of equal highs and prior inefficiency. This setup reflects a high-conviction CRT play, built from top-down analysis and confluences rooted in market structure, liquidity, and imbalance logic.
Long
by Crusade1Jay
USD/JPY Analysis: Bears Put Pressure on Key SupportUSD/JPY Analysis: Bears Put Pressure on Key Support As shown on the USD/JPY chart, the pair is hovering near key support at ¥142.50 per US dollar. While demand was strong enough at the end of May to lift the exchange rate from this level to a peak around ¥146.00, USD/JPY has once again retreated to the ¥142.50 area. Why has USD/JPY declined? On one hand, the US dollar has weakened following disappointing economic data released yesterday. The figures revealed a sharp slowdown in private sector hiring and an unexpected contraction in the US services sector, fuelling concerns over a possible recession. On the other hand, yen strength is being driven by the Bank of Japan's apparent willingness to raise interest rates — reaffirmed on Tuesday by Governor Kazuo Ueda — which has reinforced expectations of a tightening cycle. USD/JPY Technical Analysis In early June, the ¥142.50 level had already shown its role as support (as indicated by the arrow), but it is once again under pressure — a sign of bearish dominance. Yesterday, sellers broke through local support at ¥143.57, which may now act as resistance. More US economic data is due on Friday, with key labour market figures set to be released at 15:30 GMT+3. These could potentially trigger a bearish attempt to break below the ¥142.50 level on the USD/JPY chart. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USDJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 143.365. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 142.144. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
USD/JPY) breakout bearish trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of the USD/JPY (US Dollar / Japanese Yen) pair on a 2-hour timeframe. Here's the idea behind the analysis: --- Overall Idea: Bearish Move Toward Support --- Key Levels Resistance Zone (Yellow Box, Top): Marked with two red arrows — shows strong price rejection around 146.00–147.00 area. Support Zone (Yellow Box, Bottom): Around 139.85, marked as a target point and support level. These two zones form the range in which price has been reacting. --- Current Price Action Price is currently trading at 142.649, well below the 200 EMA (at 144.190), which is a bearish signal. It has broken below the mid-range and seems to be heading toward the lower support zone (139.85). --- Trend & Structure The price is following a downward trend after rejecting from the resistance zone. The channel suggests a further leg down is likely to complete a measured move. A temporary retest of the broken trendline might occur before continuation down. --- RSI (Relative Strength Index) Currently around 31.83, nearing oversold territory, indicating the potential for: A short-term bounce before further downside, or A reversal near the key support zone. --- Projection The projection arrow (blue) suggests a bullish rebound from the 139.85 support zone. This aligns with a potential buy opportunity once support is confirmed. Mr SMC Trading point --- Conclusion (Trade Idea Summary) Short-Term Bias: Bearish Medium-Term Setup: Look for a buy opportunity around 139.85, if price reacts well. Key Steps: 1. Watch for price to reach 139.85. 2. Look for bullish reversal patterns or confirmations at that level (e.g., bullish engulfing, RSI divergence). 3. If confirmed, a potential long trade could target back toward the 144–145 zone. Please Support boost this analysis )
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
13
USD/JPY Triangle Squeeze – Watch for Breakout or BreakdownThe USD/JPY pair is currently trading within a symmetrical triangle pattern, with a descending resistance line (red) and a rising support line (green), clearly defining a consolidation phase. This type of price structure indicates growing indecision in the market, where buyers are stepping in at higher lows, while sellers are capping gains at lower highs. Such formations usually precede a strong breakout or breakdown move, as pressure builds up toward the apex of the triangle. 🔼 Bullish Breakout Scenario If the price breaks above the descending resistance trendline, it will confirm a bullish breakout from the triangle. This would signal that buyers are regaining control and could trigger an impulsive rally toward the 145.50–146.50 area. The upside potential is supported by the structure of higher lows forming from May 27th onward, suggesting building bullish pressure. A successful breakout above 143.30–143.50, ideally with a retest and bullish candle confirmation, could offer a high-probability long setup with targets extending toward the previous swing highs. 🔽 Bearish Breakdown Scenario On the flip side, if the price breaks below the rising support line, a bearish continuation could unfold, targeting levels as low as 140.00–139.50. This would indicate that sellers have overcome the ascending demand and could lead to a retest of prior support levels. A breakdown below 142.30 with strong bearish volume would be a key signal to short, especially if the market rejects further attempts to climb back into the triangle zone. 🧠 Strategy Outlook This is a neutral setup until either side is broken. Traders should wait for confirmation of breakout or breakdown before entering. Once confirmed, a simple breakout trading strategy can be applied: For longs: buy after breakout and retest above resistance For shorts: sell after breakdown and retest below support Stop losses can be placed just below the support for bullish trades and just above the resistance for bearish ones, ensuring clean invalidation levels. ================================================================= Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
by TradZoo