Get started

USDJPY

GBP/USD Holds Key Level Amid US Data WatchCurrently, GBP/USD is attempting to hold above the 1.2500 level after hitting an intraday high of 1.2575, but pressure from a strengthening US Dollar, driven by positive economic data, has capped further gains. A sustained move above this level could pave the way for new bullish targets, with the first resistance area at 1.2620-1.2630, corresponding to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, followed by 1.2700, which aligns with the 78.6% retracement level. On the downside, the first significant support stands at 1.2302. The recent strength of the Pound has been supported by broad-based USD weakness earlier this week, driven by improved market sentiment, which reduced demand for the greenback as a safe-haven currency. However, risk flows could be influenced by upcoming US macroeconomic data. Traders are focused on December’s ISM Services PMI and JOLTS job openings data. A reading above 50 has strengthened the Dollar, signaling expansion in the services sector.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
USD/JPY: Strategic Insights for Navigating Market Trends👋 Hello everyone! I’m Skeptic , and this is my second analysis. Today, I will be analyzing the USD/JPY pair. In the daily timeframe, we can clearly see the strength of its bullish trend. If you’re interested in the conditions, risks, scenarios, and triggers I’ll discuss, I appreciate you staying with me until the end of the analysis. Analysis Let’s start with the major trend of USD/JPY. In the previous corrective leg, the price retraced up to 50% of the Fibonacci level. However, in the current corrective leg, it has only retraced to 23%, which may indicate the strength of the trend. 📈 Trend Analysis: The daily chart shows that during the previous bullish trend’s correction, the price experienced significant declines. In the current corrective phase, the price has been moving sideways and even in the direction of the trend. Corrections in the direction of the trend are excellent indicators of trend strength and are often applicable in trading strategies. We can also observe a similar analysis using the RSI indicator. It’s worth noting that the daily support level at 156.226 has held well, stabilizing the price above it. If this support level is broken, we could anticipate a bearish scenario for the pair. ⚠️ Trigger Analysis Now, let’s move to the four-hour timeframe for our main trigger. Four-Hour Chart: We are witnessing a false breakout, and the price is still attempting to break through the resistance level at 158.070. For a long position, we should wait for a confirmed breakout and stabilization above this resistance level. 🚀 Given the strong bullish trend, we can expect significant upward movement. However, it’s crucial to manage risk effectively for each position. Risk Management: Maintaining proper capital management is vital for survival in financial markets. If your maximum risk per position is 0.5%, you can fully risk that amount. If you observe signs of trend weakness, negative economic news, or any other factors that might increase your risk, adjust your risk percentage accordingly. 💡 Thank you for staying with me until the end of this analysis! ❤ Your support motivates me to provide more daily insights, allowing us to grow together in our trading journeys. If you have any questions or topics you’d like me to cover in future analyses, feel free to reach out. Let’s continue to learn and succeed together!✨
Long
by SkepticWise
1
#USDJPY 2HUSDJPY (2H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price is trading within a channel pattern, respecting both support and resistance levels. Currently, it is near the upper boundary of the channel, indicating possible resistance. Forecast: Wait for a retest of the channel resistance before considering a sell position, as confirmation is required to validate a potential move downward. Key Levels to Watch: Entry Zone: After a retest and rejection from the upper boundary of the channel. Risk Management: Stop Loss: Placed above the channel resistance or recent swing high. Take Profit: Target the midline or lower boundary of the channel for potential downside movement. Market Sentiment: The setup suggests a cautious bearish bias, but confirmation signals are needed before executing a trade.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 7, 2024 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair is fluctuating near familiar levels, having started the new trading week almost unchanged. The pair is near recent highs as investors await decisions from the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ). Both central banks are expected to make new moves on interest rates in 2025, with the Fed targeting a rate cut and the BoJ beginning to raise rates. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda recently reiterated the BOJ's commitment to achieving a neutral rate. What makes the Bank of Japan unique among the other major central banks in the developed world is its longstanding efforts to stimulate inflation rather than curb it. Because the Bank of Japan's discount rates are well below the global average, the Japanese yen has had a tough turnaround in 2024 as the rate differential has widened. Since the natural rate of interest is likely much higher than current BoJ discount rates, BoJ Governor Ueda and company will have to start adjusting rates upward at some point, or they risk sending the Japanese economy into another tailspin. Wednesday will bring the latest Fed meeting minutes down on traders, but the key document this week will be Friday's US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. As half of the Fed's mandate includes full employment, markets will be watching this week's US employment data with heightened interest. Trade recommendation: Watching the level of 156.00, trading mainly with Sell orders
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USD/JPY H4 | Potential bullish bounceUSD/JPY is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 156.60 which is a swing-low support. Stop loss is at 155.80 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 158.41 which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
1
Levels discussed on livestream 6th Jan 20256th January 2025 DXY: Consolidating along 108.90, could test 108.50 (61.8%) before trading higher again to 109 round number (below 108.50 could test bottom of channel) NZDUSD: Sell 0.5575 SL 30 TP 60 AUDUSD: Sell 0.6265 SL 30 TP 60 GBPUSD: Wait for reaction at 1.25 round number resistance level EURUSD: Look for rejection of 1.04, Sell 1.0315 SL 30 TP 90 USDJPY: Sell 157.65 SL 50 TP 150 EURJPY: Buy 163.55 SL 40 TP 120 GBPJPY: Sell 196.40 SL 50 TP 150 USDCHF: Look for reaction at bottom of channel 0.9060 or support level 0.9020 USDCAD: Ranging between 1.4335 and 1.4465 XAUUSD: Break 2624 to trade down to 2610 (bullish trendline)
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
2
The Macroeconomic Impact of the Latest Inflation Report on USDIntroduction: Inflation data has always been a crucial driver of currency movements, and the upcoming inflation report is no exception. With USD/JPY currently at a pivotal point, traders are closely watching how the figures will influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy trajectory and market sentiment. Current Market Dynamics: The USD/JPY pair has been consolidating within a tight range between and , reflecting traders' caution ahead of the release. Expectations of could push the pair out of its current range. Scenarios and Key Levels: Higher-than-expected inflation: 1.Potential breakout above . Target level: . 2.Lower-than-expected inflation: Retest of and potential slide toward . 3.Neutral inflation figures: Likely continuation of range-bound trading between and . Conclusion and Community Call-to-Action: What are your thoughts on the upcoming inflation report? Will it trigger a significant move in USD/JPY, or will the pair remain range-bound? Share your analyses and charts in the comments below! 👇
by Safaric
USDJPY → Consolidating Before the Next Rally.Hello, dear friends! Ben here! USD/JPY is consolidating after a strong bullish run, fluctuating around the 157.75 level. The Japanese Yen continues to weaken amid wavering expectations regarding a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). The Jibun Bank Japan Services PMI was revised lower to 50.9 from 51.4 in December. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains near a two-year high, supported by the Fed's hawkish shift, further bolstering the USD/JPY pair. Currently, the focus is on the consolidation phase, which has been forming over the past few weeks. We have clear boundaries, trends, and key levels to guide our trading decisions. For me, the trigger lies at the 158 resistance level. A breakout and price consolidation above this level would confirm that the pair is ready to push higher. This rally is expected to reach the upper boundary of the ascending channel around 159, completing wave 5 within the channel. Regards !
Long
by Bentradegold
3
GBPUSD Analysis: Falling Wedge Pattern and Potential 500+ Pips The forex pair GBPUSD is currently trading at 1.247, with a target price set at 1.290, presenting a potential gain of 500+ pips. The market is forming a falling wedge pattern, a bullish technical setup that often signals a potential breakout to the upside. This pattern indicates a gradual narrowing of price movement, with sellers losing momentum and buyers preparing for a reversal. Traders are closely watching for a breakout above the wedge, which would confirm the bullish bias. A breakout could trigger significant upward movement, aligning with the target price. This setup provides an attractive risk-to-reward opportunity for buyers. However, confirmation through price action and volume is essential before entering a trade. Risk management is critical due to forex market volatility. Monitoring momentum indicators can help validate the expected breakout. The next move depends on how the pair reacts at key resistance levels.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
Market Analysis: USD/JPY Eyes More GainsMarket Analysis: USD/JPY Eyes More Gains USD/JPY is rising and might gain pace above the 158.00 resistance. Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today - USD/JPY climbed higher above the 156.50 and 157.30 levels. - There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at 157.75 on the hourly chart at FXOpen. USD/JPY Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/JPY at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh upward move from the 156.00 zone. The US Dollar gained bullish momentum above 156.85 against the Japanese Yen. It even cleared the 50-hour simple moving average and 157.30. The pair climbed above 157.50 and traded as high as 157.77. It is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 156.87 swing low to the 157.77 high. The current price action above the 157.30 level is positive. Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near 157.75. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at 157.75. The first major resistance is near 158.05. If there is a close above the 158.05 level and the RSI moves above 70, the pair could rise toward 158.80. The next major resistance is near 159.20, above which the pair could test 160.00 in the coming days. On the downside, the first major support is 157.30 or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 156.87 swing low to the 157.77 high, below which the bears could gain strength. The next major support is visible near the 156.85 level. If there is a close below 156.85, the pair could decline steadily. In the stated case, the pair might drop toward the 156.00 support zone. The next stop for the bears may perhaps be near the 155.45 region. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USDJPY → Consolidation before continuing growthFX:USDJPY is consolidating after strong growth. A promising dollar and weak japanese central bank policy form a medium-term bullish potential in the currency pair The currency pair returns almost all of the strong fall associated with last year's course of rate cuts in the U.S., rate hikes in Japan and interventions that were actively conducted by the Central Bank of Japan. What was the outcome of all the actions? It was all in vain. The price turned around and almost approached 162.0. At the moment the emphasis is on consolidation, which has been forming for several weeks. We have clear boundaries, trend and strong levels to use in our trading. Resistance levels: 158.1 Support levels: 156.74, 155.88 The trigger for me is the resistance at 158.1. A breakout and price consolidation above this level will be a confirmation that we are ready to move further towards ATH. I do not exclude the fact that now the price may not be let in and the currency pair will form a correction to the consolidation support before further growth Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
Bullish rise off pullback support?USD/JPY has reacted off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension. Pivot: 156.12 1st Support: 153.39 1st Resistance: 160.24 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
4
USDJPY H1 | Bullish Bounce Off?Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 157.39, which is a pullback support close to a 50% Fibo retracement. Our take profit will be at 157.84, a swing high resistance. The stop loss will be placed at 156.87, which is a swing low support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
USD/JPY Analysis: Bullish Momentum Awaits Key ConfirmationUSD/JPY Analysis The overall trend remains bullish, but confirmation of the bullish scenario requires a 4-hour candle close above 157.980. If this occurs, the price is likely to target 159.820 and 161.820. On the other hand, if a 4-hour candle closes below 156.580, it signals a potential drop toward 153.980. A further break below this level could see the price decline to 151.780. Stability above 157.980 will reinforce the bullish momentum, with targets at 159.820 and 161.820. Key Levels: Pivot Line: 156.590 Resistance Levels: 159.40, 161.82, 163.20 Support Levels: 154.64, 153.43, 151.790 Trend Outlook Bullish: Above 157.980 Bearish: Below 156.580 Consolidation: Between 156.45 and 157.98 previous idea:
Long
by SroshMayi
1
USDJPY Detailed Analysis And next Week PredictionWelcome to this detailed trading analysis, where your passion for mastering the forex market is truly appreciated. Trading is not just a skill but an art that requires patience, strategy, and perseverance, and by being here, you're already ahead in the journey toward success. Let’s dive into the USDJPY pair, which is currently trading at 157.200. The target price is set at 163.00 to 164.00, offering a potential gain of 500 to 600 pips, making this an exciting opportunity for traders. The pair is following a support and resistance pattern and is currently in a consolidation phase, where the market is preparing for its next significant move. Before reaching the target, we are waiting for a clear bounce from the support level, accompanied by a surge in trading volume, which will confirm the breakout. This setup requires patience and discipline, but the potential reward is worth the wait. Stay sharp, trust the technicals, and remember that success in trading comes to those who prepare and remain committed to their strategies.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
3
XAU/USD toward $2500 before a new high!Gold's recent performance and future outlook continue to be influenced by a complex blend of technical indicators, macroeconomic events, and geopolitical factors. As of Friday, XAU/USD registered a slight retracement below $2,650 after a significant 1% increase on Thursday. The minor pullback coincides with a stabilization in the US 10-year Treasury yield around 4.57%, which traditionally exerts downward pressure on non-yielding assets like gold. On the upside, gold faces key psychological resistance at $2,700. Conversely, immediate support levels are positioned around $2,640. A break below these levels could signal a deeper correction; however, current sentiment suggests resilience in the face of such potential declines. Fundamentally, gold's stellar 27% annual return in 2024, the highest since 2010, underscores its renewed appeal as a safe-haven asset amid persistent global uncertainties. Geopolitical tensions remain a primary driver of demand. Recent reports about heightened US-Iran tensions, including contingency plans regarding Iran's nuclear facilities, increase the risk premium for gold. Additionally, the prolonged Russia-Ukraine conflict continues to foster a risk-averse environment, further bolstering gold's safe-haven allure. From a global economic perspective, developments in China also play a crucial role in determining gold's trajectory. The anticipated rate cut by the People's Bank of China (PBoC), coupled with proactive measures to stimulate economic growth, is likely to support gold demand as a hedge against potential currency depreciation. Moreover, the Chinese government's commitment to fostering consumption growth through ultra-long treasury bond financing signals continued support for economic expansion, indirectly benefiting gold demand. Upcoming macroeconomic events in the United States will be pivotal in determining short-term price action for gold. The U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls report is expected to provide critical insights into the labor market's health. A stronger-than-expected report could strengthen the US dollar, potentially capping gold's gains. Conversely, a weaker report may reinforce gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. Additionally, the U.S. CPI release will offer further clarity on inflation trends, a key factor influencing the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance. Higher-than-expected inflation could prompt the Fed to adopt more restrictive measures, applying downward pressure on gold, while softer inflation data may provide a supportive environment for continued bullish momentum. In terms of market positioning, traders are advised to adopt a cautious approach in the short term, given the potential for heightened volatility surrounding key economic data releases. A hold rating is prudent for the next month, pending further clarity on macroeconomic conditions. In the medium term, a buy rating is justified, supported by ongoing geopolitical risks, persistent inflation concerns, and central bank gold purchases aimed at diversifying reserves. Over the long term, gold remains an attractive asset, with analysts projecting a 15% to 20% price appreciation over the next five years, driven by structural economic challenges and sustained demand for safe-haven investments.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
Analysis of USD/JPY (Hourly Chart)The USD/JPY pair is currently trading near a critical zone, indicating potential for a strong movement. The price has been consolidating near the 157.00 level, which serves as a key psychological zone. Based on the recent price action and support/resistance levels, there are two plausible scenarios: continuation of the uptrend or a reversal toward lower levels. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance Levels: First resistance: 157.50 Second resistance: 158.00 Major resistance: 158.50 Support Levels: First support: 156.50 Second support: 155.50 Major support: 154.50 Potential Scenarios: 1. Bullish Scenario (Buy): If the price breaks above 157.50 and consolidates, it may indicate the continuation of the uptrend. Entry: Wait for a clear breakout above 157.50. Targets: Target 1: 158.00 Target 2: 158.50 Stop-Loss: Place the stop-loss below 156.70 to protect against unexpected reversals. 2. Bearish Scenario (Sell): If the price falls below 156.50 and closes under this level, a downward correction or trend reversal may be in play. Entry: Enter short positions if the price breaks and consolidates below 156.50. Targets: Target 1: 155.50 Target 2: 154.50 Stop-Loss: Place the stop-loss above 157.00 to limit potential losses. Technical Indicators to Monitor: RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI hovering around the 50-60 range may indicate potential bullish momentum if it moves higher. Conversely, a drop below 50 could signal bearish pressure. Moving Averages (MA): Watch for the 50-period MA crossing above or below the 200-period MA for trend confirmation. Summary: At the moment, the market sentiment appears bullish, but the lack of strong movement suggests caution. Traders should monitor the 157.50 resistance level closely for confirmation of a breakout, while also keeping an eye on the 156.50 support level for potential bearish setups.
by MD-Priceaction