USDJPY Analysis: Reversal Forecasts Based on Trading MathDear Trader,
Please find attached my analysis of $Subject, which uses mathematical calculations to identify potential reversal times and price levels.
The analysis details projected south and north price targets (horizontal lines on the chart), along with estimated time frames for possible reversals (vertical lines on the chart, accurate to within +/- 1-2 candles). Please note that all times indicated on the chart, including the vertical lines representing potential reversal times, are based on the UTC+4 time zone.
To increase the probability of these analyses, I recommend monitoring the 5-minute and 15-minute charts for the following key reversal candlestick patterns:
Doji’s
Hammer/Inverted Hammer
Double/Triple Bottom/Top
Shooting Star
Morning Star
Hanging Man
For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade.
I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work.
Regards,
Shunya Trade
151.17 145.09
154.26 142.09
160.53 136.19
166.93 130.42
173.45 124.77
180.10 119.25
186.87 113.85
193.77 108.58
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
USDJPY
WHY CADJPY IS BULLISH ?? DETAILED ANALYSIS CAD/JPY is currently trading around 104.200, forming a falling wedge pattern—a technical indicator often suggestive of a potential bullish reversal. Traders are closely monitoring this setup for a breakout, which could potentially propel the pair toward the target price of 107.000, indicating a prospective gain of approximately 300 pips.
Fundamentally, the Canadian dollar's performance is closely tied to global oil prices, given Canada's status as a major oil exporter. Recent stability in oil markets has provided underlying support to the loonie. Conversely, the Japanese yen, traditionally viewed as a safe-haven currency, has experienced fluctuations influenced by shifts in global risk sentiment and the Bank of Japan's monetary policy stance. The divergence in economic indicators and central bank policies between Canada and Japan may contribute to the anticipated bullish momentum in the CAD/JPY pair.
Technical analysis reinforces this outlook. The falling wedge pattern observed on the charts is characterized by converging trendlines sloping downward, indicating diminishing bearish momentum. A decisive breakout above the upper trendline of the wedge, accompanied by increased trading volume, would serve as a confirmation of the bullish reversal. Key resistance levels to monitor include 105.000 and 106.000, with a sustained move above these thresholds enhancing the likelihood of reaching the 107.000 target.
Traders should exercise prudent risk management strategies, such as setting appropriate stop-loss orders, to mitigate potential market volatility. Additionally, staying informed about upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications from both Canada and Japan will be crucial in navigating this trade effectively. By aligning technical insights with fundamental developments, traders can position themselves to capitalize on the potential bullish breakout in the CAD/JPY pair.
Bearish drop?USD/JPY has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 148.24
1st Support: 145.39
1st Resistance: 150.06
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Tyree Thomas Jr USD/JPY Bias 4/7/25I believe that U/J will sell to my take profit at the green Fib extension. I will be posting my trade ideas every evening. I use the Fibonacci Retracement tool, the Fibonacci Extension tool, Six EMA's, Market Structure, and the TDIGM in my trading strategy to create my Bias.
USD/JPY(20250408)Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
146.92
Support and resistance levels
150.22
148.99
148.18
145.65
144.85
143.61
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 148.18, consider buying, the first target price is 148.99
If the price breaks through 146.92, consider selling, the first target price is 145.65
USDJPY Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for USDJPY is below:
The market is trading on 147.18 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 146.37
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USD/JPY(20250407)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Chairman Powell: Wait for clearer news before considering adjusting policy stance. One year later, as the impact of Trump's policies becomes clearer, uncertainty should be greatly reduced. Intends to complete the entire term. Potential tariffs may have a lasting impact on inflation. The impact of tariffs on the economy may be greater than expected. Downside risks have increased, but the economy is still in good shape.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
146.32
Support and resistance levels
149.17
148.11
147.41
145.22
144.53
143.46
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 146.32, consider buying, the first target price is 147.41
If the price breaks through 145.22, consider selling, the first target price is 144.53
USDJPY to continue in the downward move?USDJPY - 24h expiry
The rally was sold and the dip bought resulting in mild net gains yesterday.
Selling posted in Asia.
We have a Gap open at 147.02 from 04.04 to 06.04.
The medium term bias remains bearish.
A Fibonacci confluence area is located at 143.68.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
We look to Sell at 147.02 (stop at 148.02)
Our profit targets will be 143.68 and 143.10
Resistance: 147.02 / 148.09 / 150.49
Support: 144.58 / 143.68 / 143.07
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
USDJPY Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 146.391.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 150.489 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USD/JPY BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
USD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 146.235
Target Level: 150.962
Stop Loss: 143.090
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
USD/JPY Bullish Reversal: Order Block & EMA 200 TargetSMC Trading point update
This chart presents a technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe. The key insights from this analysis are:
1. Order Block & Potential Reversal
The price has dropped significantly and reached a highlighted order block zone (a key demand area).
A potential inverse head and shoulders pattern is forming, indicating a possible bullish reversal.
2. Expected Bullish Movement
The price is expected to bounce from the order block, creating a bullish structure.
The projected move suggests a retracement toward a resistance zone, which aligns with previous price action.
Mr SMC Trading point
3. Target Zone & EMA 200
The target zone is around 148.946 - 149.178, aligning with the 200 EMA, a significant resistance level.
4. RSI Indicator
The RSI is currently low (~38.93), indicating potential for a reversal as the market may be oversold.
Conclusion
The chart suggests a bullish retracement after the recent drop, targeting the resistance zone near the 200 EMA. However, confirmation is needed (e.g., bullish price action, volume increase) before taking a trade. Keep an eye on fundamental news that may impact USD/JPY volatility.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
DeGRAM | USDJPY decline from the channel boundaryUSDJPY is in a descending channel below the trend lines.
The price is moving from the upper boundary of the channel and has already broken the lower trend line.
We expect the decline to continue after consolidation under the 50% retracement level.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 7, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) began the week positively, as US President Donald Trump's extensive retaliatory tariffs heighten the risk of a global economic slowdown and continue to support traditional safe-haven assets. Concerns that the tightening of reciprocal tariffs by the US could negatively impact the Japanese economy have led investors to reduce their expectations of a faster increase in the discount rate by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). This has led to a positive impact on the yen, with the USD/JPY pair rebounding and returning to a six-month low during the Asian session. This level is below the psychological 145.00 mark reached on Friday.
Nevertheless, signs of rising inflation in Japan keep the door open for a further BoJ interest rate hike in 2025. Additionally, ongoing geopolitical tensions are expected to limit any significant depreciation in the yen. The US Dollar (USD) is attempting to capitalise on Friday's positive movement amid bets on more aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) policy easing, fuelled by fears of a tariff-induced slowdown in the US economy. This, along with a further sharp decline in US Treasury yields, should provide a tailwind for the low-yielding Yen and halt any meaningful recovery movement in the USD/JPY pair.
Trade recommendation: BUY 147.000, SL 145.800, TP 148.150
USDJPY H4 | Falling from the 61.8% FiboBased on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 148.24, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 145.40, a support level.
The stop loss is set at 150.18, an overlap resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 61.9% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 144.13
1st Support: 142.17
1st Resistance: 148.59
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDJPY Potential Pennant Triple ThreatFirst,
In the Higher Timeframes (4Hr - Weekly), we can see that USDJPY is traveling down a Descending Channel since Jan 10th. Price tried pushing higher in March but ultimately fell back within the Channel beginning of this month (April) resulting only in a False Breakout but also creating a Fair Value Gap from 148.698 - 147.429.
Now down on the Lower Timeframes (15min - 1Hr) we can see that Price has created a Fair Value Gap from 146.546 - 146.226 with current Price Action forming a Pennant Pattern just above this FVG which lines up with Previous Highs (Past Resistance Level) and with Volume Decreasing, suggests we could see a Breakout soon! Now Based on the Pennant Pattern being Neutral meaning can break either way, creates the first 2 Bullish Scenarios being either a Breakout and Retest of the Pennant pattern going Bullish OR Bearish.
*Breakout will be Validated if followed by an Increase in Volume!
Scenario 1 -If BULLISH BREAKOUT - The Retest will come at the Falling Resistance of the Pattern.
Scenario 2 -If BEARISH BREAKOUT - This could suggest Price is looking to "Fill The Gap" being the FVG
** If Scenario 2 happens, this Price Movement could be looking to fulfill a Fibonacci Retracement of the Swing Low @ 145.041 to the Swing High @ 146.904, where the 38.2% Level lays at the Upper Limit of the FVG and the 50% Level lays at the Lower Limit of the FVG with the Consequent Encroachment right in the middle @ 146.385.
—Both of this ideas suggest USD will need to gain strength which could mean fundamentally:
FOMC Meeting Minutes on Wednesday, April 9th & CPI (Consumer Price Index), the instrument used to measure Inflation, on Thursday, April 10th released results will be heavily relied on to see if there's anymore input on potential effects of Tariffs.
Scenario 3 - Fair Value Gap Inversion could suggest bad news fundamentally is released for USD and gives JPY Bears (Sellers) the ability to pull price down, keeping Price Consolidated further within the HTF Descending Channel.
USD/JPY 4H Chart Analysis:Trend Break & Support-Based Long Setup1. Previous Uptrend Channel
📈
Price moved in a rising channel
Lower trendline acted as support ✅
Then came the trend line break ⚠️ — signal of trend reversal
2. Major Drop
🔻💥
After breaking support, the price fell sharply
Strong bearish momentum took over
Sellers dominated the market
3. Support Zone Identified
🟦 Support Box (146.110 - 145.156)
Buyers stepped in at this level
Possible bounce or consolidation
Price currently at 147.014 — just above support
4. Trade Setup Idea
🛒 Buy Opportunity (if price holds support)
📌 Entry Zone: Around 146.110
🎯 Target: 150.260
🛑 Stop Loss: 145.156
📊 Risk:Reward = ~1:2 — solid R:R setup!
5. Indicators & Confirmations
🟠 DEMA (9): Sitting at 146.110 — aligns with support!
✅ Extra confluence for the bounce!
Summary
If price holds above support:
Buyers might push toward 150.260
If it breaks below 145.156:
Sellers may regain control
USDJPY: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
USDJPY
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long USDJPY
Entry - 146.99
Sl - 146.07
Tp - 149.09
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
USDJPY - 4H more fall expectedFX:USDJPY - 4H Update 🔻
If you've traded USDJPY in recent years, you're no stranger to the significance of the 150.00 zone. This level has historically acted as a critical resistance and psychological barrier.
Now, the pair is trading below this key level and has also broken the ascending channel support on the daily timeframe, signaling that bulls are likely out of the game. The recent drop to 147.00 and bounce toward 151.00 could be setting up the next short opportunity.
📌 What to watch for:
A liquidity grab above the 151.50–152.00 zone could occur before the next fall.
This aligns with institutional behavior, hunting stops before continuing the trend.
We're now in a sell-the-rally phase, watching for confirmations around the red zone.
Remember, I previously signaled a short from the 157 zone, which played out beautifully. We’re now gearing up for the next big short, and this setup might just be it.
📉 Stay cautious, wait for price action signals, and trust the structure.
💸 If you’ve missed previous entries, don’t miss what’s coming next!
🔔 Follow for real-time updates and live trade ideas!
BTC/USD update on the drop!Good day traders, yesterday I posted the same set up on bitcoin and now I’ve decided I’m gonna update this setup till we hit our Daily lowest low.
1H TF yesterday before end of trading day we show price bounce off the the horizontal lines and that is used as my support area, going into the New York session we can expect price to retest the break after it breaks below the support which will than become my resistance.
Hopefully today we can see price run our liquidity resting below(equal lows).
My name is Teboho Matla but you don’t know me yet..#Salute
USD/JPY Bullish Reversal Setup with 2.30% Upside PotentialThis is a USD/JPY 1-hour chart analysis, and it looks like a bullish setup is being anticipated. Here's a breakdown:
Key Observations:
1. Support Zone (Purple Box - Around 146.411 - 146.429):
Multiple bullish rejections (green arrows) indicate a strong support level.
Price bounced off this support recently, forming a potential double bottom.
2. EMA Levels:
50 EMA (Red Line) is currently at 146.411.
200 EMA (Blue Line) is at 148.499, acting as dynamic resistance.
Price has crossed above the 50 EMA, a bullish sign, and might aim for the 200 EMA next.
3. Projected Bullish Path:
The path drawn suggests a pullback to the support zone around 146.429, followed by a bullish continuation.
Target zone is marked around 150.032, showing a projected gain of 2.30% (337.2 pips).
4. Resistance Levels:
Minor resistance at the 200 EMA (~148.5).