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USDJPY

USD/JPY back at neckline as soft US data narrows yield spreadToday's soft US data releases weighed on US yields, which helped to further narrow the US-Japan spreads on the long dated bond yields. In turn, the USD/JPY gave up its entire gains from the day before when it was boosted by the JOLTS data. Next move could be defendant on the nonfarm payrolls report on Friday. From a technical point of view, this is text book stuff. Price is testing a key area of support at the time of writing, between 142.00 to 142.70, as marked in grey on the chart. This zone has provided strong support on multiple occasions, preventing rates from sliding towards 140.00 zone. Now the more a level or an area is tested, the more likely it will break down. Will we see a break here in the next few days? Or will support continue to hold, as improving risk appetite gives US dollar some breathing space? Well, the pair is down quite a lot on the session, so i wouldn't rule out a bounce here heading into US close. But the trend direction is clear: bearish. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
1
Is the 144 level becoming a key battleground for positioning?The USD/JPY exchange rate has staged a mild rebound for the second consecutive day, though it remained capped below the 144.00 level during the European session. Despite short-term signs of stabilization, the pair remains broadly pressured by a dual combination of fundamental expectations and technical resistance. Persistently constrained by selling pressure above 144.00 and failing to achieve a volume-supported breakout, the exchange rate is expected to continue trading within a range-bound consolidation between 142.00 and 144.80. Focus remains on the multi-empty battles in the 143.40 and 142.30 zones. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Long
by Ashbur
USDJPY Tests Channel Support After ADP Shock — Rebound Ahead?In the last hour's candle after the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change Index was released, USDJPY ( FX:USDJPY ) started to fall, but considering the position of this pair, I think we can have a good Risk-To-Reward even if the Stop Loss (SL) is touched. USDJPY is trading near the lower line of the ascending channel and the Support zone(143.870 JPY-143.430 JPY) . From an Elliott Wave perspective , USDJPY appears to be completing a corrective pattern . I expect USDJPY to rise at least to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Note: Stop Loss = 143.220 JPY Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen Analyze (USDJPY), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
27
AUDCHF BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISAUDCHF is currently breaking out of a textbook falling wedge pattern on the 4H chart, signaling a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. Price action has been consolidating within this structure for several weeks, creating lower highs and lower lows, but with clear bullish divergence beginning to show up in recent sessions. The breakout around the 0.53300 zone marks a significant technical confirmation that bulls are taking control, with eyes now on the 0.54400 target. From a fundamental standpoint, the Australian dollar is gaining strength backed by hawkish sentiment from the RBA. Despite global uncertainties, the RBA’s firm stance on managing inflation is keeping the Aussie resilient. On the flip side, the Swiss franc has been showing signs of relative weakness due to softer inflation readings and safe-haven outflows as global risk sentiment improves. This macro backdrop is creating favorable conditions for AUDCHF to rally. Technically, this breakout aligns with strong market structure and volume support, making this a high-conviction bullish setup. The breakout candle is closing above resistance with momentum, and as long as price holds above the 0.53250–0.53000 zone, bulls are likely to maintain control. With the falling wedge breakout and favorable risk-reward setup, the upside move toward 0.54400 looks increasingly probable. This is a clean price action play with fundamental alignment. The breakout not only confirms the end of the previous downtrend, but also opens up space for a bullish wave to unfold. Momentum traders and swing traders will want to watch this closely as AUDCHF transitions from accumulation to a potential bullish expansion phase.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
USDJPY Will Go Higher From Support! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 143.192. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 144.216 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 4, 2025 USDJPYEvents to pay attention today: 17:00 EET. USD - ISM Services Business Activity Index 15:15 EET. USD - ADP Employment Change USDJPY: The Japanese yen (JPY) is attracting some intraday buyers after falling against the US dollar during the Asian session, and, at least for now, it seems that its pullback from the weekly high reached yesterday has paused. An upward revision of Japan's services business activity index, as well as expectations that wage growth will lead to faster inflation, leave open the possibility of another interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) in 2025. In addition, ongoing geopolitical risks and trade uncertainty are key factors supporting the JPY. Meanwhile, cautious statements by BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda on Tuesday sparked speculation that the next interest rate hike will not happen anytime soon. However, this still differs significantly from expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut rates by at least 25 basis points (bps) by the end of this year. This, along with concerns about the US budget, is causing a new wave of selling of the US dollar (USD) after Tuesday's decent rebound from a six-week low and is putting some pressure on the USD/JPY pair during the Asian session. Trading recommendation: SELL 144.20, SL 144.40, TP 143.20
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USDJPY H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is trading near our buy entry level at 143.99, a pullback support Our take profit is set at 145.06, a pullback resistance. The stop loss is placed at 142.49, a swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
1
XAU/USD Weekly Forecast : First LONG, then SHORT! (READ CAPTION)By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after dropping to $3270, the price faced strong buying pressure and opened today’s session with a 100-pip gap at $3298, continuing its rally up to $3370. This bullish move could potentially extend toward $3400, but keep in mind that gold is likely to retrace soon to fill this price gap — so this scenario should definitely be considered!
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
16
UsdJpy could break 142 and fall 500 pipsSince early May, I’ve been highlighting the 142 support zone on USDJPY as a potential reversal area — with a suggested upside target at 146. The market respected this level twice, reversing from 142 and rallying past 146 both times. However, last week’s move into 146 was sharply rejected, forming a strong daily Pin Bar exactly at resistance — a classic sign of exhaustion. Now, price is rolling back toward support, and after multiple tests of the 142 zone, we may be very close to a downside break. 🧩 Add to this the fact that DXY also looks ready to break lower, and the probability of a USDJPY fall increases even more. 📉 Trading Plan: Sell rallies, with invalidation above 146, and a target at 137, aiming for a 1:2 risk-reward setup. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
19
Prices are testing the 142.55 support level.Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated on Tuesday that the central bank would raise interest rates if the economy re-accelerates, adding that wage growth must regain momentum. Currently, Trump's tariff policies have dimmed the economic outlook, making it potentially not the optimal time for a rate hike. However, policymakers stand ready to raise rates if the economy rebounds after a brief pullback. The remarks bolstered the Japanese yen, with prices now testing the 142.55 support level. A decisive break below this level would form a lower low, confirming the continuation of the downtrend and shifting bearish targets toward the 140.01 support level. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term. Trading Strategy: sell@144.50-145.00 TP:143.00-142.50
Short
by Ashbur
Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support, a pullback level. Pivot: 144.37 1st Support: 141.94 1st Resistance: 146.17 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Yen Rises Amid Trump Tariff Threat and China DisputeThe Japanese yen rose to around 143.5 per dollar on Monday, marking its third straight session of gains as rising global trade tensions lifted demand for safe-haven currencies. The move followed President Trump’s threat on Friday to double tariffs on steel and aluminum imports to 50% starting June 4. Japanese steelmakers like JFE Holdings and Kobe Steel fell, while Nippon Steel was less affected after Trump praised its planned merger with U.S. Steel. Meanwhile, U.S.-China tensions grew as China denied Trump’s claim of breaching a recent Geneva trade agreement. On the domestic front, Japan’s Q1 capital spending beat expectations, with investment rising across both manufacturing and services, reflecting solid internal momentum. The key resistance is at $143.50 meanwhile the major support is located at $143.00.
by ChartMage