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USDJPY

Tariffs, Stagflation, and Yen Strength Set the Stage for a CleanAlright degenerates, here’s your clean macro breakdown. Pair with strongest directional bias right now: USD/JPY Bias: SHORT USD/JPY (Bearish USD / Bullish JPY) WHY? Because the U.S. just tripped over its own tariffs and dragged the dollar with it. 1. U.S. melting down: • Trump went full trade-war goblin: 10% base tariffs on everything, up to 100% on certain countries. • Fed now cornered — inflation UP, growth DOWN = stagflation vibes. • Powell already out here looking like he wants to cut rates yesterday. • S&P nuked -4.9%, $2.5 trillion gone in a day. This is not a drill. 2. Japan not looking great, but better than the U.S.: • BOJ possibly delaying hikes, but inflation’s been above 2% for 3 years. • Tokyo CPI still hot. • Plus: classic safe-haven flow kicking in thanks to all the macro chaos. • Yen doing what yen does—acting like gold in a suit. 3. Geopolitical backdrop: • EU & Japan both throwing shade at U.S. tariffs. • Retaliation incoming? Risk-off vibes continue. • Markets shifting to JPY like it’s 2020 all over again. 4. Central Bank energy: • Fed: Shaky, reactive, duck-and-cover mode. • BOJ: Holding back, but not out. Inflation gives them ammo. ⸻ TL;DR: • USD is getting wrecked by its own government. • JPY benefiting from safe-haven flows + stable inflation. • Every major factor (macro, policy, geopolitics, sentiment) leans one way. • USD/JPY short looks clean AF from a fundamental standpoint. Not financial advice. I don’t care what you do. Just don’t long this trash. Now go slap some fibs and RSI on this thing and pretend you knew it all along.
Short
by GreenhillFin
USD/JPY "The Ninja" Forex Bank Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/JPY "The Ninja" Forex Bank. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 1H timeframe (148.250) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 152.300 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. USD/JPY "The Ninja" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental analysis, Macro Economics, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Positioning and future trend... Before start the heist plan read it.👉👉👉 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
USD/JPY Ready for Liftoff? Catch This Potential Rebound! Hi traders! , Analyzing USD/JPY on the 1H timeframe, spotting a potential long entry: 🔹 Entry: 145.44 🔹 TP: 146.78 🔹 SL: 144.115 USD/JPY has formed a consolidation zone after a sharp downtrend, indicating a potential bullish reversal. If buyers step in, we could see a move towards 146.78. RSI is recovering from oversold levels, supporting the upside scenario. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Every trader makes their own decision.
Long
by FXOnTop
USD/JPY - Bearish breakdown signals further downside potential!The USD/JPY pair has been experiencing a clear daily downtrend, characterized by a bearish market structure and strong downward momentum. Sellers have remained in control, pushing prices lower as the pair continues to respect the prevailing bearish trend. With each failed attempt at recovery, the market structure reinforces the dominance of sellers, signaling that the path of least resistance remains to the downside. Despite this overall downtrend, the 4-hour timeframe recently exhibited a rising channel, where price action formed higher highs and higher lows, suggesting a temporary bullish retracement within the larger bearish structure. However, this channel has now been broken, signaling a potential shift back toward the primary trend. A break of this nature often suggests that the bullish correction has exhausted its strength, and sellers are regaining control to push the price lower once again. Following the breakdown of this rising channel, the price has failed to reclaim previous highs, instead forming a lower high—a strong indication that bearish pressure is resuming. Given this development, there is a significant possibility that USD/JPY could retrace toward key technical levels, such as the Golden Pocket (between the 0.618 and 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels) or even the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 145.00. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Short
by Youriverse
33
USDJPY POTENTIAL LONG UPON Q2 W14 Y25 FRIDAY 4TH APRIL 2025USDJPY POTENTIAL LONG UPON Q2 W14 Y25 Weekly Orderblock long Higher time frame Exponential moving averages pulling price action We do however need to see clear breaks of structure on the 15' to really prove that price is ready to turn around this early into the weekly order block. With larger higher time frame order blocks, there will always be the concern that so many voids within are below. why does my speculation favour a pull back deeper before then looking long. For those reason, we await breaks of internal structure below looking to risk capital. More to come on this. FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
Falling towards Fibo confluence?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce tot he 1st resistance. Pivot: 143.94 1st Support: 142.19 1st Resistance: 147.13 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Short All weekly momentum indicators IMACD, RSI and Stochastic) are all bearish, so I have been looking for a short opportunity in 4H and daily charts. $151.85 is the major resistance and support zone (black horizontal line in the chart).  On Feb 6, USD/JPY broke and closed below the area, but it failed to continue to the downside. In the following few days, it retraced to Fib 0.5 area but started to move down. Today the price broke below Fib 0.236.   I like the yesterday's strong red candle, cancelling all the buy pressure from the previous day.  I opened a short position this morning.   Entry at $152.83. Stop Loss: $155.145 Target 1: $149.52  (move stop loss to the entry level once it hits this level) Target 2: $147.395
Short
by EbonyFalcon
4
USDJPY Reversal: Bearish Momentum Builds Below Key ResistanceUSDJPY pair is showing signs of a bearish reversal after rejecting a key resistance zone near 151.241. The price has failed to sustain bullish momentum and has formed a potential double-top/wedge structure, indicating a shift in trend. Key Resistance: 151.241 - 152.097 (Strong supply zone) Bearish Confirmation: Break below 149.592 confirms downside continuation. Key Downside Targets: 148.195, 146.990, and 145.855 as major support zones. If sellers maintain pressure, a deeper pullback toward the 145.855 - 145.824 region could be expected. However, a break above 152.097 would invalidate the bearish setup and could push the price toward 154.090.
Short
by ultreosforex
DXY to 80? ...Tariffs the First Domino in a Multi-Year Collapse?This is a pure technical walkthrough of the U.S. Dollar Index—no fluff, no indicators, no fundamentals. Just market structure, smart money, and liquidity concepts. Back on January 14th , I posted about a potential 20%+ drop in the DXY — you can view it here . This video builds on that thesis and walks you through the full technical story from 1986 to today , including accumulation cycles, yearly trap zones, and my long-term target of 80. Am I crazy? Maybe. Let's see if I can convince you to be crazy too 😜 There is a video breakdown above, and a written breakdown below. Here are timestamps if you want to jump around the video: 00:00 – The Case for $80: Not as Crazy as It Sounds 02:30 – The 0.786 Curse: Why the Dollar Keeps Faking Out 06:15 – How Smart Money Really Moves: The 4-Phase Playbook 12:30 – The Trap Is Set: Yearly Highs as Liquidity Bait 20:00 – Inside the Mind of the Market: 2010–2025 Unpacked 25:00 – The Bear Channel No One’s Talking About 36:00 – The First Domino: Is the Dollar’s Slide Just Beginning? 👇 If you're a visual learner, scroll down—each chart tells part of the story. Chart: Monthly View – Three Highs, .786 Retraces, and Trendline Breaks History doesn’t repeat, but it sure rhymes. Each major DXY rally has formed a sequence of three swing highs right after a break of trendline structure. In both instances, price retraced to the .786 level on the yearly closes—an often overlooked fib level that institutional players respect. We’re now sitting at a high again. You’ll notice price has already reversed from that zone. That doesn’t guarantee a collapse, but when we line it up with other confluences (next charts), the probability of a deeper markdown becomes hard to ignore. I'd also like to note that all of the highlighted moves, are 2-3 year trend runs. Which means if we are bearish, this could be the exact start of a 2-3 bear market. Market Phases Since 1986 This chart illustrates how DXY has moved through repeating cycles of: 🟡 Accumulation: Smart money building positions quietly. 🔵 Markup: Price accelerates with buy orders + media hype. 🟣 Distribution: Smart money sells to latecomers. 🔴 Markdown: Public panic → smart money reloads. If we are indeed entering another markdown phase, this would align perfectly with the pattern seen over the past 40 years. You’ll also notice the "Point of Control" (POC) zones—volume-based magnets that price often returns to. These spots often act as the origin of the move, and as such, they make for strong targets and areas of interest. Liquidity Zones and Stop Loss Traps This is where it gets juicy. The majority of breakout traders placed long entries at the blue lines—above swing highs, thinking resistance was broken. But what’s under those highs? Stop loss clusters. Institutions use these areas as liquidity harvests. Several key levels are marked as “OPEN” in this chart, meaning price has yet to return to sweep those orders. That’s why I’m expecting price to begin seeking out that liquidity over the coming months. There's also an imbalance gap (thin price action) around the 85–86 zone. If price falls into that trap door, there’s nothing to stop it until the 80s. The 2025 Outlook Here’s how I’m approaching this year: ✅ Bearish bias under 105 🎯 Targets at 100, 95, and 90 🚪 Trap door under 86 if volume is thin Price is currently stuck under the recent point of control and showing signs of distribution. If that level continues to hold as resistance, we could see a multi-leg push downward, with the 100 and 95 zones acting as check-in points. If we break under the 90s and enter the imbalance zone, 80 becomes more than just possible—it becomes probable. 🗣️ Let’s Sharpen Together Do you see this unfolding the same way? Do you disagree with the 80 target? Drop a comment with your view or share your own markup—this is why we trade! Stay safe, ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer This post is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal analysis and opinions. It is not financial advice. Trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always do your own research, manage your risk appropriately, and never trade money you can’t afford to lose.
ICEUS:DXY
by elevatedinvestor
USD/JPY - ShortWeekly (Bias Validation) - Price between EMAs → ❌ Ranging - Major Swing Point High: 158.880 Low: 146.543 D1 (Daily): Trend Bias - Price below 200EMA & 50EMA on D1 → ✅ Bearish Bias - Major Swing Point High: 154.804 Low: 146.543 - ✅ Break of Structure (BoS) + Volume Imbalance - Price below Weekly VWAP → ✅ Bearish Bias
 H4 (4-Hour): Trend Bias - Price below 200EMA & 50EMA on D1 → ✅ Bearish Bias - Major Swing Point High: 151.214 Low: 149.684 - ✅ Break of Structure (BoS) + Volume Imbalance - Price below Weekly VWAP → ✅ Bearish Bias - High-Probability Entry Zones (H4 OTE) - H4 OB (OTE) H1 (1-Hour): Trend Bias - Swing Point High: 150.953 Low: 149.684 - ✅ Break of Structure (BoS) + Volume Imbalance - H4 OB → (OTE) - H1 OB → (OTE) 🔲 Validate with VWAP:
✔ ✅ H1 VWAP must align with H4 OTE before entry
✔ ✅ If price rejects H1 VWAP + OB midpoint, strong trade setup 🔲 Entry Options:
✔ Option 1 (Limit Order Entry): * Place a limit order at the OB midpoint inside OTE * Set stop-loss below OB (for longs) / above OB (for shorts) ✔ Option 2 (EMA Confirmation Entry): * ✅ Enter when 9EMA crosses 21EMA near OTE * ✅ Must have Volume Imbalance Confirmation 🔲 Final Confirmation:
✔ ✅ High Volume on Structure Break → Confirms strong move
✔ ✅ Low Volume on Pullback → Smart money accumulation
Short
by warsam
USD/JPY (Short)Daily:
 Price < 200EMA Swing Period 10

 Swing High: 158.880
Swing Low: 146.543 
Volume Imbalance: 5 Candles

 Daily Order Block: 155.223 / 153.916 H4: Price < 200EMA Swing Period: 7 Swing High: 152.315
Swing Low: 146.597 Volume Imbalance: 3 Candles H4 Order Block: 152.762 / 151.242 H1: Swing Period: 5 Swing High: 152.315
Swing Low: 146.597 Volume Imbalance: 3 Candles H1 Order Block: 151.762 / 151.628 Model 1:
 Entry Price: 151.692 
Stop Loss: 152.447

TP1: 150.115 @ 1:2 / 50% TP2: 149.363 @ 1:3 / 25% SL: Breakeven TP3: 146.552 @ 1:5 / 25% Model 2: 
 Entry Price: 151.108 - 150.141
 Entry Trigger: 9EMA X 21EMA

 SL: Above recent swing high

TP1: 1:2
 SL: Trailing 9EMA
Short
by warsam
2
"Goooo...!!! Get to the safe-haven choppa!"And there we go... Market participants are in panic mode as tariff show kicks off. Everyone is trying to find a safe-haven like CHF and JPY. However, gold and silver are not the ones, where you need to be now. Let's dig in! TVC:GOLD MARKETSCOM:USDCHF MARKETSCOM:USDJPY MARKETSCOM:JAPAN225 Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
by Marketscom
USDJPY Is Going Up! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 146.824. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 149.538. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
USDJPYHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on USDJPY? USDJPY is moving within a descending channel and has currently reached the top of the channel, just below a resistance zone. We anticipate some consolidation in this area, followed by a potential drop toward the bottom of the channel. For a safer sell entry, it’s better to wait for a break below the specified support level. After the breakout, a pullback to the broken support could offer a good sell opportunity. 💡Will USD/JPY respect the channel and head lower, or break out to the upside? Share your view below! 👇 Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Short
by HAMED_AZ
17
USD/JPY Stands Firm, But Volatility ExpectedVolatility has receded with less than 20-hours to go until Trump's tariffs are officially implemented, with traders now clearly in watch-and-wait mode. So while headline risks around tariffs remain in place, moves could remain limited unless traders are treated to any last-minute negotiations. Typically, risk has benefitted when it has been expected that tariffs have been watered down. If that turns out to be the case by Trump's speech at 4pm ET Wednesday, indices could rise alongside the US dollar and the yen weaken. Bit of course, the opposite is true. And that could weigh on USD/JPY. Rightly or wrongly, I'm feeling optimistic and now seeing a bounce on USD/JPY. Two bullish pinbars found support and close above the 20-day SMA and monthly pivot point. The bias remains bullish while prices remain above Monday's low, and a break above 150 brings the 200-day SMA, February VPOPC and 152 handle into focus. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Long
by CityIndex
USD/JPY Ready to Take Off: Golden Opportunity on 1H!Hi traders! Analyzing USD/JPY on the 1H timeframe, spotting a potential entry: 🔹 Entry: 150.08 🔹 TP: 150.589 🔹 SL: 149.547 USD/JPY is breaking out of a bullish pennant pattern, suggesting a potential upward move. The RSI is holding above 50, indicating bullish momentum building up. If the price sustains above 150.08, we could see a push toward 150.589. Keep your eyes on price action and manage your risk! ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
Long
by FXOnTop