USDJPY
USD/JPY at a Key Level: Is a New Trend Emerging?USD/JPY is currently in the D1 discount zone and approaching a D1 FVG, where a potential reaction may occur. The price is moving within a downtrend channel for now.
If a reaction happens at this level, we should wait for a channel breakout. A trade opportunity arises either on the breakout retest or immediately after the breakout, confirming bullish momentum and increasing the probability of an upward move.
Risk Management Strategy:
To secure profits and manage risk effectively, consider scaling out at key levels:
• Target 1: Close 25% of the position to secure initial profits.
• Target 2: Close 50% of the position to lock in more gains.
• Target 3: Close 100% of the remaining position for full take profit.
Risk Reward 1.3
Monitoring price action closely at this level is crucial.
Bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 71% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 147.31
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 146.54
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 148.14
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY Is Going Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 147.816.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 146.645 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Usdjpy analysis This chart represents a technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe from TradingView, outlining potential price movements based on key support and resistance levels.
Support Level: Marked around 147.175, this level is expected to act as a strong demand zone where buyers might step in if the price retraces.
Current Price: USD/JPY is trading around 148.262, showing signs of bullish momentum.
Potential Price Movement: The chart suggests a possible pullback toward the support level before resuming an uptrend.
First Target: Positioned at approximately 149.678, this is the next key resistance level where price action might encounter selling pressure.
Second Target: Identified near 151.002, indicating further bullish continuation if the first target is broken.
Outlook:
The analysis suggests a bullish bias, but a retracement to support may occur before a potential breakout. Traders may look for confirmation signals before entering positions. The volume profile on the right shows strong activity around these levels, reinforcing the importance of these key zones.
USDJPY H4 I Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is approaching our buy entry at 148.01, which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 148.94, which is a pullback resistance
The stop loss will be placed at 147.13, an overlap support.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bunce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 148.03
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 149.23
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with he 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 149.23
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDJPY INTRADAY Key Trading LevelsThe USD/JPY price action sentiment appears bearish, aligned with the prevailing long-term downtrend. Recent price movements suggest potential for continued downward pressure, with a key resistance level in focus.
Key Levels and Price Action
The critical trading level to watch is 150.60, which marks the current intraday swing high and the falling resistance trendline. A corrective oversold rally towards this level, followed by a bearish rejection, could indicate continued downside momentum. In this scenario, the next downside targets would be 148.75, followed by 147.25 and 146.30 over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 150.60, supported by a daily close above this level, would invalidate the bearish outlook. Such a breakout could open the door for further rallies higher, with potential resistance levels at 151.46 and 153.00.
Conclusion
The sentiment remains bearish as long as the 150.60 resistance level holds, with potential downside targets at 148.75, 147.25, and 146.30. A breakout above 150.60 would shift the outlook to bullish, suggesting a move towards 151.46 and 153.00. Traders should carefully monitor price action and daily closes around the 150.60 level to assess any sentiment shifts.
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[STRONG BUY SIGNAL] USD/JPY – Inverse Head & Shoulders Setup### 🟢📈 ** USD/JPY – Inverse Head & Shoulders Setup!** 🚀
#### **🔍 Trade Setup Breakdown:**
📌 **Pattern:** Inverse Head & Shoulders (Bullish Reversal)
📍 **Entry Point:** **148.700** ✅ (Breakout Confirmation)
⛔ **Stop-Loss (SL):** **147.000** ❌ (Below Right Shoulder for Protection)
🎯 **Target (TP):** **150.000** 🎯 (Measured Move from Head to Neckline)
📊 **EMA 50 Confirmation:** If price stays **above 50 EMA**, bullish momentum strengthens! 🔼
#### **💰 Risk Management (Trade Smart!)**
⚖️ **Risk per Trade:** **170 pips** (148.700 - 147.000)
💎 **Potential Reward:** **130 pips** (150.000 - 148.700)
📊 **Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):** **1:1.76** – A well-balanced trade setup! ✅
#### **🎯 Trade Execution Tips:**
✔️ **Wait for a Clean Breakout & Retest** at **148.700** before entering! 🚀
✔️ **Monitor EMA 50** for trend confirmation 📈
✔️ **Stick to Proper Position Sizing** – No Overleveraging! 💰
✔️ **Exit if Price Drops Below 147.000** – Control Your Risk! 🚦
🔥 **This setup indicates a strong bullish reversal! Stay disciplined & trade smart!** 💪💵
WHY NZDJPY BULLISH, DETAILED TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALS ANALYSISNZDJPY is currently trading at 84.8, forming a descending channel pattern, a classic technical setup that often signals a bullish reversal upon breakout. If the pair successfully breaks above the upper trendline, we can anticipate strong upward momentum, with a potential target of 88.8, offering a gain of over 300 pips. Traders should closely monitor key resistance levels, as a breakout confirmation could trigger a significant price surge.
From a technical standpoint, the descending channel pattern indicates a series of lower highs and lower lows, reflecting a temporary downtrend. However, once price action breaks above this structure, a sharp bullish rally is often observed. The breakout zone to watch is around 85.5-86.0, with initial resistance at 86.5 before the final target of 88.8. Support remains strong around 83.5, where buyers are expected to step in if any pullback occurs before the breakout.
On the fundamental side, NZDJPY is heavily influenced by risk sentiment, global economic trends, and monetary policy differences between the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ). The yen remains weak due to BOJ’s ultra-loose monetary policy, while NZD could strengthen on improving commodity demand and a stable interest rate outlook. If risk appetite increases, NZDJPY could see further bullish momentum, accelerating the breakout.
With technicals aligning for a breakout and fundamentals supporting further gains, NZDJPY presents a strong trading opportunity. A confirmed breakout above the descending channel could fuel rapid upside movement, making this a high-probability setup for traders looking to capitalize on the next bullish wave.
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USDJPY My Opinion! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USDJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 147.21
Bias -Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 148.63
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Yen's Rise and the Risk of Currency VolatilityThe Japanese yen strengthened to 147 per dollar on Tuesday, its highest in five months, as US recession fears drove investors to long-term trusted assets. Trump's reluctance to dismiss recession risks, along with trade policy uncertainty, added to yen demand.
Japan's economic outlook weakened as Q4 GDP growth was revised down to 2.2% from 2.8%, reflecting weak private consumption. Despite this, the BOJ is expected to keep rates steady in March, with potential hikes later. Finance Minister Shunichi Kato cautioned against excessive currency volatility amid the yen’s rapid gains.
Key resistance is at 149.20, with further levels at 152.00 and 154.90. Support stands at 147.00, followed by 145.80 and 143.00.
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 12, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) continued to lose ground against its US counterpart for the second day in a row and moved away from the highest level since October, reached the previous day. Fears that US President Donald Trump may impose new tariffs against Japan have proved to be key factors undermining the safe-haven yen. Nevertheless, a significant Yen depreciation still seems unlikely amid hawkish expectations from the Bank of Japan (BoJ).
Data released today showed that Japan's annual wholesale inflation, the Producer Price Index (PPI), rose by 4.0% in February, indicating that inflationary pressures are intensifying. In addition, hopes that the sharp wage increases seen last year will continue into this year support the market's growing confidence that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates further. This, should serve as a tailwind for the low-yielding yen and help limit losses.
In addition, lingering concerns over the possible economic consequences of Trump's trade policies and a global trade war should support the JPY. The US Dollar (USD), on the other hand, is near multi-month lows amid expectations that a tariff-induced slowdown in the US economy will force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut borrowing costs several times this year. This should help limit the USD/JPY pair's rise.
Trade recommendation: SELL 148.35, SL 148.95, TP 147.35