USDJPY H4 I Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is approaching our buy entry at 148.01, which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 148.94, which is a pullback resistance
The stop loss will be placed at 147.13, an overlap support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDJPY
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bunce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 148.03
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 149.23
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with he 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 149.23
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDJPY INTRADAY Key Trading LevelsThe USD/JPY price action sentiment appears bearish, aligned with the prevailing long-term downtrend. Recent price movements suggest potential for continued downward pressure, with a key resistance level in focus.
Key Levels and Price Action
The critical trading level to watch is 150.60, which marks the current intraday swing high and the falling resistance trendline. A corrective oversold rally towards this level, followed by a bearish rejection, could indicate continued downside momentum. In this scenario, the next downside targets would be 148.75, followed by 147.25 and 146.30 over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 150.60, supported by a daily close above this level, would invalidate the bearish outlook. Such a breakout could open the door for further rallies higher, with potential resistance levels at 151.46 and 153.00.
Conclusion
The sentiment remains bearish as long as the 150.60 resistance level holds, with potential downside targets at 148.75, 147.25, and 146.30. A breakout above 150.60 would shift the outlook to bullish, suggesting a move towards 151.46 and 153.00. Traders should carefully monitor price action and daily closes around the 150.60 level to assess any sentiment shifts.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
[STRONG BUY SIGNAL] USD/JPY – Inverse Head & Shoulders Setup### 🟢📈 ** USD/JPY – Inverse Head & Shoulders Setup!** 🚀
#### **🔍 Trade Setup Breakdown:**
📌 **Pattern:** Inverse Head & Shoulders (Bullish Reversal)
📍 **Entry Point:** **148.700** ✅ (Breakout Confirmation)
⛔ **Stop-Loss (SL):** **147.000** ❌ (Below Right Shoulder for Protection)
🎯 **Target (TP):** **150.000** 🎯 (Measured Move from Head to Neckline)
📊 **EMA 50 Confirmation:** If price stays **above 50 EMA**, bullish momentum strengthens! 🔼
#### **💰 Risk Management (Trade Smart!)**
⚖️ **Risk per Trade:** **170 pips** (148.700 - 147.000)
💎 **Potential Reward:** **130 pips** (150.000 - 148.700)
📊 **Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):** **1:1.76** – A well-balanced trade setup! ✅
#### **🎯 Trade Execution Tips:**
✔️ **Wait for a Clean Breakout & Retest** at **148.700** before entering! 🚀
✔️ **Monitor EMA 50** for trend confirmation 📈
✔️ **Stick to Proper Position Sizing** – No Overleveraging! 💰
✔️ **Exit if Price Drops Below 147.000** – Control Your Risk! 🚦
🔥 **This setup indicates a strong bullish reversal! Stay disciplined & trade smart!** 💪💵
WHY NZDJPY BULLISH, DETAILED TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALS ANALYSISNZDJPY is currently trading at 84.8, forming a descending channel pattern, a classic technical setup that often signals a bullish reversal upon breakout. If the pair successfully breaks above the upper trendline, we can anticipate strong upward momentum, with a potential target of 88.8, offering a gain of over 300 pips. Traders should closely monitor key resistance levels, as a breakout confirmation could trigger a significant price surge.
From a technical standpoint, the descending channel pattern indicates a series of lower highs and lower lows, reflecting a temporary downtrend. However, once price action breaks above this structure, a sharp bullish rally is often observed. The breakout zone to watch is around 85.5-86.0, with initial resistance at 86.5 before the final target of 88.8. Support remains strong around 83.5, where buyers are expected to step in if any pullback occurs before the breakout.
On the fundamental side, NZDJPY is heavily influenced by risk sentiment, global economic trends, and monetary policy differences between the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ). The yen remains weak due to BOJ’s ultra-loose monetary policy, while NZD could strengthen on improving commodity demand and a stable interest rate outlook. If risk appetite increases, NZDJPY could see further bullish momentum, accelerating the breakout.
With technicals aligning for a breakout and fundamentals supporting further gains, NZDJPY presents a strong trading opportunity. A confirmed breakout above the descending channel could fuel rapid upside movement, making this a high-probability setup for traders looking to capitalize on the next bullish wave.
STBB FX Weekly Analysis - Week 11 2025Tradingview Ideas:
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USDJPY My Opinion! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USDJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 147.21
Bias -Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 148.63
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Yen's Rise and the Risk of Currency VolatilityThe Japanese yen strengthened to 147 per dollar on Tuesday, its highest in five months, as US recession fears drove investors to long-term trusted assets. Trump's reluctance to dismiss recession risks, along with trade policy uncertainty, added to yen demand.
Japan's economic outlook weakened as Q4 GDP growth was revised down to 2.2% from 2.8%, reflecting weak private consumption. Despite this, the BOJ is expected to keep rates steady in March, with potential hikes later. Finance Minister Shunichi Kato cautioned against excessive currency volatility amid the yen’s rapid gains.
Key resistance is at 149.20, with further levels at 152.00 and 154.90. Support stands at 147.00, followed by 145.80 and 143.00.
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 12, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) continued to lose ground against its US counterpart for the second day in a row and moved away from the highest level since October, reached the previous day. Fears that US President Donald Trump may impose new tariffs against Japan have proved to be key factors undermining the safe-haven yen. Nevertheless, a significant Yen depreciation still seems unlikely amid hawkish expectations from the Bank of Japan (BoJ).
Data released today showed that Japan's annual wholesale inflation, the Producer Price Index (PPI), rose by 4.0% in February, indicating that inflationary pressures are intensifying. In addition, hopes that the sharp wage increases seen last year will continue into this year support the market's growing confidence that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates further. This, should serve as a tailwind for the low-yielding yen and help limit losses.
In addition, lingering concerns over the possible economic consequences of Trump's trade policies and a global trade war should support the JPY. The US Dollar (USD), on the other hand, is near multi-month lows amid expectations that a tariff-induced slowdown in the US economy will force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut borrowing costs several times this year. This should help limit the USD/JPY pair's rise.
Trade recommendation: SELL 148.35, SL 148.95, TP 147.35
USD-JPY Swing Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY has made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Of 146.540 and we are already
Seeing a bullish rebound
From where we will be
Expecting further move up
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Japan's GDP revised downwards, yen swingsThe Japanese yen is showing movement in both directions today. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 147.37, down 0.03% on the day.
Japan's GDP expanded 2.2% y/y in the fourth quarter of 2024, lower than the initial estimate of 2.8%. The revision was expected to stay largely unchanged but was pushed lower due to a decrease in inventories and consumption.
The GDP downward revision follows other soft data which points to weakness in Japan's economy. Household spending slumped 4.5% m/m in January. This was a sharp reversal from the 2.3% gain in December and missed the estimate of -1.9%. Annualized, household spending rose 0.8%, below the 2.7% in December and the market estimate of 3.6%. On Monday, the wage growth report indicated that real wages declined by 1.8% in January, after two months of growth.
How will the Bank of Japan react to the string of weak data? The annual wage negotiations are close to the end and the BoJ has urged companies and workers to reach a deal that significantly raises wages. This would boost growth and consumption and help keep inflation sustainable at the BoJ's 2% target.
The unions are asking for an average wage hike of 6%, up from 5.85% last year and the highest in more than 20 years. Last year's wage agreement led to the BoJ raising rates for the first time since 2007 and this year's wage deal could pave the way for another rate hike. The BoJ holds its next meeting on Mar. 19, five days after the wage settlement will be announced. The BoJ isn't expected to make a move next week but investors are circling April or May as potential rate-hike meetings.
There is resistance at 147.30 and 147.97
146.59 and 145.92 are the next support levels
USDJPY Counter Trend Opportunities - Fxdollars - {11/03/2025}Educational Analysis says USDJPY may give countertrend opportunities from this range, according to my technical.
Broker - FXCM
So my analysis is based on a top-down approach from weekly to trend range to internal trend range.
The weekly trend range is long up to 170.000
Trading Range Approach is a long counter trend opportunity or pushback up to 155.000
The internal Trend Range Approach is a Long counter trend opportunity or pushback up to 150.000
or continue going down with an internal trading range or trading range up to 135.000
Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future.
Please check the comment section to see how this turned out.
DISCLAIMER:-
This is not an entry signal. THIS IS ONLY EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ANALYSIS.
I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading, Fx Dollars .
USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent / swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (148.600) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 152.300 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🔰 Fundamental Analysis
- The Bank of Japan's (BOJ) monetary policy decisions significantly impact the yen's value. The BOJ's negative interest rate policy and quantitative easing program have contributed to the yen's depreciation.
- The US Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions also influence the USD/JPY exchange rate. Higher interest rates in the US can attract investors, causing the dollar to appreciate.
- Japan's trade balance and current account deficit can impact the yen's value. A large trade deficit can lead to a depreciation of the yen.
🔰 Macroeconomic Factors
- Inflation: Japan's inflation rate has been relatively low, which can impact the BOJ's monetary policy decisions.
- GDP Growth: Japan's GDP growth rate has been slow, which can impact the yen's value.
- Unemployment Rate: Japan's unemployment rate has been relatively low, which can impact the labor market and inflation.
🔰 COT Data
- Non-Commercial Traders: These traders, including hedge funds and individual investors, hold a significant portion of the USD/JPY futures market.
- Commercial Traders: These traders, including banks and other financial institutions, hold a smaller portion of the USD/JPY futures market.
🔰 Market Sentiment Analysis
- Bullish Sentiment: Some investors are bullish on the USD/JPY due to the interest rate differential between the US and Japan.
- Bearish Sentiment: Others are bearish due to concerns about Japan's economy and the potential for the BOJ to intervene in the currency market.
🔰 Positioning
- Long Positions: Some investors have taken long positions in the USD/JPY, betting on a continuation of the uptrend.
- Short Positions: Others have taken short positions, betting on a reversal of the uptrend.
🔰 Next Trend Move
- The USD/JPY may continue its uptrend if the interest rate differential between the US and Japan remains significant.
- However, if the BOJ intervenes in the currency market or if Japan's economy shows signs of improvement, the uptrend may reverse.
🔰 Overall Summary Outlook
The USD/JPY currency pair is influenced by a combination of fundamental, macroeconomic, and market sentiment factors. While some investors are bullish on the pair due to the interest rate differential, others are bearish due to concerns about Japan's economy. The next trend move will depend on various factors, including the BOJ's monetary policy decisions and Japan's economic performance.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
USDJPY Falling Wedge Breakout: 300 Pips Bullish Move AheadUSDJPY is currently trading at 147.50, having recently broken out of a falling wedge pattern, a strong bullish reversal signal. After the breakout, the pair has completed its retesting phase, confirming support at lower levels. With bullish momentum building, we now expect an upward move toward the 152.50 target, implying a 300 pips gain from current levels.
From a technical analysis perspective, the falling wedge is a well-known bullish continuation pattern, indicating that sellers have weakened and buyers are stepping in. Now that the retest is complete, the next key resistance levels to watch are 149.50 and 151.00, with 152.50 being the final target. Support levels are now formed at 146.50 and 145.80, where buyers could step in if any short-term pullback occurs.
On the fundamental side, USDJPY is influenced by Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan monetary policy differences. The Fed's hawkish stance and rising U.S. Treasury yields continue to support USD strength. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose policy keeps the yen weaker, allowing the bullish USDJPY momentum to continue. Additionally, risk sentiment and global economic trends favor the dollar as a safe-haven asset.
With the falling wedge breakout confirmed and fundamentals supporting further gains, USDJPY looks poised for a strong bullish rally. Traders should monitor volume and price action for confirmation, as a push above 149.50 could accelerate the move toward 152.50. This setup presents a great opportunity to capture a high-probability trade in the coming sessions.
USD/JPY H4 | Heading into an overlap resistanceUSD/JPY is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 148.20 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 23.6% and 38.2% retracements.
Stop loss is at 149.45 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 146.53 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Safe-Haven Yen Gains on Economic Risks, BOJ Policy UncertaintyThe yen rose to 147 per dollar, its strongest in five months, as US recession fears fueled safe-haven demand. Trump acknowledged economic risks, while Japan’s GDP growth was revised down to 2.2% from 2.8% due to weak consumption. The BOJ is expected to hold rates in March but may hike later this year. Finance Minister Kato warned of the real-world impact of FX volatility.
Key resistance is at 149.20, with further levels at 152.00 and 154.90. Support stands at 147.00, followed by 145.80 and 143.00.
USDJPYI don't usually trade using the RSI strategy, but for some reason, I decided to take a look at it. What I found was a very strong divergence on the 4-hour timeframe, which has been developing over 72 candles—a significant number. Based on this, I expect this candle to be the reversal candle signaling an upward move toward the targets mentioned above.
Trade safely
USD/JPY Struggles as Key Fibonacci Support Comes into FocusUSD/JPY has extended its decline, now testing the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level near 146.95, a key support zone. The pair remains under pressure after failing to reclaim 151.50, where the 38.2% retracement and the 200-day EMA converge.
Key Technical Observations:
Fibonacci Support Test: The 61.8% retracement level is being challenged, making this a critical decision point. A confirmed breakdown below 146.95 could open the door toward 143.70 (78.6% retracement).
Bearish EMAs: The 50-day EMA and 200-day EMA are sloping downward, reinforcing the bearish momentum.
Momentum Indicators:
RSI is approaching oversold levels, suggesting a short-term bounce could emerge. However, the broader trend remains weak.
MACD remains in negative territory, signaling continued downside pressure.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 146.95 (61.8% retracement), 143.70 (78.6% retracement).
Resistance: 149.20 (50% retracement) and 151.50 (200-day EMA & 38.2% retracement).
USD/JPY is at a critical juncture. Holding 146.95 could trigger a short-term rebound, but failure to do so would reinforce the bearish case, targeting the mid-143s. Bulls need to reclaim at least 149.20 to shift the structure back toward neutral.
-MW