USDJPY Outlook – Bearish Continuation or Bullish Reversal??In this analysis, I'm breaking down the USDJPY structure starting from the 4H to identify the overall market direction (Bearish/Sells), then zooming into the 1H to fine-tune potential trade setups.
On the 4H timeframe, we’re assessing whether the recent bearish momentum is likely to continue or if price action is showing early signs of a bullish reversal. The LOW created at 141.800 level is our first target IF we continue to sell as its creating that LowerLow.
IF price closes bullish above 142.500, I will switch sides and look for potential buys.
On the 1H timeframe, I’m watching for a bullish liquidity sweep below141.888, followed by a clear break of structure to the upside on the 15m or 1H for more confirmation. That would indicate smart money accumulation and a potential shift in market sentiment—giving me confirmation to start looking for long setups.
🚀 Give me a boost and follow for upcoming $niper entries this week! 🦇🔥
CMCMARKETS:USDJPY
Usdjpyanalysis
USD/JPY Dynamics & Investment StrategiesOn Wednesday, the USD/JPY exchange rate kept falling, trading around 141.950 with a drop of about 0.90%. Weakened by the US dollar's continuous decline, it hit a low of 141.645 and then recovered slightly. The yen's appreciation was due to the dollar's weakness, as new US tariff plans caused selling pressure on the dollar. Trump's call to investigate key mineral import tariffs added to investors' anxiety.
The USD/JPY was consolidating around 143.20. A downward break might lead to 141.70, the third wave of decline, while an upward break could trigger a pullback to 145.00, supported by the MACD indicator. It formed a wider consolidation range between 142.46 and 144.07 with a triangular pattern. Breaking above might cause a rally to 145.00, also supported by the Stochastic Oscillator.
The yen's rapid appreciation reflected the dollar's weakness and Japan's manufacturing optimism. However, trade policy uncertainty and technical patterns suggest the exchange rate will remain volatile, with key levels at 141.70 (downside) and 145.00 (upside).
Investment itself doesn't carry risks; it's only when investment is out of control that risks arise. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
USDJPY:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategiesUSD/JPY has recently witnessed a notable downtrend from the high of 158.8 📉. (👉signals👉)
Considering the market expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut and the potential continued tightening of monetary policy by the Bank of Japan, USD/JPY is likely to fluctuate and consolidate within the range of 140.00 - 145.00. Due to the recent enhancement of short-term buying power and the CCI indicator being in the oversold area 📉, one can attempt to go long with a light position when the exchange rate approaches the range of 141.650 - 142.00 📈. Set the stop-loss below 141.60, target at 143.30, and if broken through, further target at 144.50 🎯.
Trading Strategy:
buy@141.650 - 142.00
TP:143.30-144.50
The signals last week resulted in continuous profits, and accurate signals were shared daily.
👇 signals👇
DeGRAM | USDJPY Reached the Lower Channel Boundary📊 Technical Analysis
Descending channel
USD/JPY is trading within a downward channel, recently bouncing off support near 142.00.
Key resistance
The upper boundary near 146 serves as key resistance; a breakout would indicate a trend reversal.
Predictive scenario
Price may retest resistance with potential for further upside if bullish momentum holds.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
The Fed maintains high rates, while the BoJ remains dovish. The yield gap favors USD strength. Steady US data supports recovery, while global risks may limit JPY demand.
✨ Summary
A bounce from support within the channel aligns with USD-positive fundamentals. Watch 146 for a breakout signal.
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USDCAD and USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USD/JPY) demand and supply analysis ); Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
shows a bearish setup for USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown
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1. Trend Context:
Downtrend: The pair is clearly in a bearish channel, forming lower highs and lower lows.
200 EMA (~146.297) is above price and sloping down — confirms bearish bias.
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2. Key Zones Identified:
Supply Zone (~144.800–145.200): A strong area of resistance where sellers may re-enter. If price returns here, it’s a potential short setup.
Demand Zone (~142.800–143.100): A possible reaction point where short-term buyers may provide a bounce.
Target Point (~141.168): A projected target if the downtrend continues and demand zone fails.
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3. Expected Scenarios:
Primary Bearish Move:
Price may react from current levels or from the demand zone.
A pullback to the supply zone is expected before continuation downward.
Then, sell-off toward the target zone around 141.168.
Alternate Play:
Price could bounce between the demand and supply zones a bit more before breaking down.
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4. Indicators:
RSI (~46.37): Shows room to the downside before oversold, aligning with bearish momentum.
Mild bullish divergence in RSI recently, suggesting potential for a small pullback or bounce.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary of Idea:
This is a sell setup:
Sell entries: Ideal around the supply zone (144.8–145.2).
First target: Demand zone (~143.0)
Final target: 141.168
Invalidation: Break above 146.30 (200 EMA and channel resistance).
pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow,)
USDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D17 Y25USDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D17 Y25
GM GM
SUMMARY
- Weekly low long setup
- Weekly order block Long set up
- 15' break of structure is required
- Lower time frame break of structure required
- Price action turn around in bullish direction required. Higher time frame closure. 1H minimum required.
Trade Well.
FRGNT X
USD/JPY Bullish Reversal Setup – Long Entry at 141.964 Targeting ahemdsaeed25: USD/JPY Long Setup – Eyeing 150.537 Target"
"Potential Bullish Reversal on USD/JPY"
"Swing Trade Alert: USD/JPY Long from 141.964"
"USD/JPY Breakout Play – Buy Zone Identified"
Let me know your tone preference (technical, casual, professional, etc.) and I can tailor the title further.
ahemdsaeed25: This chart is for the USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen) pair on the 1-hour timeframe, and it's displaying a bullish setup with a clear trade idea. Here's a breakdown of the analysis:
Key Components:
Current Price: Around 142.574.
Entry Point: 141.964
Stop Loss: 140.547
Take Profit / Target Point: 150.537
Reward-to-Risk Ratio: Favorable (approximately 5.94% upside, large potential move).
Indicators:
EMA 50 (Red Line): 142.798 — acting as near-term dynamic resistance.
EMA 200 (Blue Line): 144.699 — major resistance and a trend filter (downward trend visible).
Zone Analysis:
Support Zone (Purple Box near 141.964 - 140.547): This is the accumulation/buy zone.
#USDJPY: Huge Risk To Buy Read The Description
Trading JPY pairs is risky due to the market’s volatility.
USDJPY fell below our buying zone due to JPY’s bullishness and USD’s weakness. While USD has yet to recover, JPY is consolidating. The market is undecided, leading to unusual market movements. We have three targets in this chart analysis. Use it as an alternative bias and have your own analysis and trade management.
Thanks for your support. We expect it to increase, helping us post more analysis.
Much Love🧡
Team Setupsfx
Bearish Momentum Eases at 141.70 Support in USD/JPYFenzoFx—The USD/JPY currency pair resumed its bearish trend after breaking below 144.56 but steadied at the 141.70 support level. Indicators show sideways movement, reflecting a lack of momentum.
With the price below the 50-period moving average, the bearish outlook persists. If the pair stabilizes below 141.70, the downtrend may deepen, while surpassing 144.56 could pave the way for a rise toward 148.20.
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USDJPY and USDCAD analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25
Good morning all.
It may look like we are holding onto a bias. I can understand why that assumption is created. However, a short position is invalid for FRGNT whilst in a higher time frame order block long.
As per, that does not mean LONG blindly.
Two set ups illustrated.
1) 15' Break of structure
2) Lower time frame Break of structure without 15' break.
Trading is risky.
Both positions of course come with a side dish of risk and reason to loose. The question is, would you like to see USDJPY explode long without you?
Lets see how price actions plays.
FRGNT X
buy is coming on USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair recently experienced a bearish movement, which is largely influenced by heightened concerns surrounding the ongoing trade and tariff tensions between the U.S. and its global counterparts. This risk-off sentiment triggered a flight to safe-haven assets, weighing on the pair.
However, price action has now approached a key trendline support zone, which has held firmly in previous sessions. Technical indicators like RSI are also beginning to show signs of bullish divergence, suggesting a potential reversal. If this trendline continues to act as strong support, we may see a bullish bounce from the current level, aligning with the overall ascending trend structure but if the trade break these support zones, then the bearish movement might continues
for now we will be watching for confirmation signals such as bullish candlestick patterns or a break above near-term resistance levels to validate the upward movement.
USD/JPY: Yen's Bull Run Amid UncertaintyThis week, the Japanese yen made a remarkable performance in the foreign exchange market. The USD/JPY exchange rate started with a significant decline. Reaching a high on Monday, it then trended downwards and hit a low of 142.050 during the week. By Friday, it closed at 143.486, registering a weekly drop of around 1.35%.
In the context of surging market risk - averse sentiment, the yen became a much - sought - after asset. Although its appreciation against the US dollar was relatively moderate, its volatility increased substantially. This sharp rise in volatility clearly shows that the market's appetite for the yen as a safe - haven currency has grown rapidly.
The ongoing Russia - Ukraine conflict remains a major source of uncertainty in the global financial arena. Coupled with tariff - related discussions and potential trade - policy changes, these factors have further enhanced the yen's attractiveness as a safe - haven. Additionally, the US dollar index has dropped to a two - year low. This decline has relieved the downward pressure on the USD/JPY exchange rate, enabling the yen to gain some ground.
The yen's strength this week mainly stems from the weakness of the US dollar and the influx of risk - averse capital. Looking ahead in the short - term, the USD/JPY exchange rate is expected to test the 143.00 level. The Russia - Ukraine situation and persistent trade uncertainties will likely continue to support the yen. Moreover, the market's close attention to the Bank of Japan's monetary policies may exacerbate the yen's volatility.
The bullish momentum of the yen is steadily accumulating. If the US dollar continues to be under pressure, there is a high probability that the USD/JPY exchange rate could decline towards 142.00. However, it should be noted that currency markets are highly complex and prone to sudden reversals. Even though the current trends indicate continued strengthening of the yen, unforeseen geopolitical events or shifts in central - bank policies could quickly change the market situation.
Investment itself doesn't carry risks; it's only when investment is out of control that risks arise. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
Traders, if this concept fits your style or you have insights, comment! I'm keen to hear.
USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25
We caught a the long play for a similar setup. We need more this time around.
Why? To be sure of the weekly order block rejection. Compared to EURUSD and EURGBP for example... That is the type of weekly order block rejection we prefer. With that said we will not give up on USDJPY. We simply must await more levels of confluences.
15' break of structure, Order block creation as a result of the BOS. Pull back into area, lower time frame break of structure.
Let's see what USDJPY provides us with.
FRGNT X
USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY:Trading Strategy for Next WeekIn view of the fact that the US dollar is currently facing multiple pressures and the Japanese yen is strong, the USD/JPY is likely to remain under pressure in the short term. If the exchange rate stabilizes above 143.00, one can attempt to take a short position in USD/JPY with a light position, targeting the range of 142.00 - 141.00. If the exchange rate breaks below 143.00, one can add to the short position following the trend, with the target set at the lower range of 140.00 - 139.00.
The signals last week resulted in continuous profits, and accurate signals were shared daily.
USD/JPY Bullish Breakout Setup – Entry, Stop Loss & Target AnalyPair: USD/JPY
Timeframe: 15 minutes
Indicators Used:
EMA (30-period) – Red line
EMA (200-period) – Blue line
Chart Features:
Downward channel (declining trendline)
Identified entry point, stop loss, and target
Key support/resistance zones shaded in purple
🟢 Trade Idea Summary:
🔹Entry Point: 143.126
🔹Stop Loss: 142.702
🔹Target (Take Profit): 148.249
🔹Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:5 (Excellent R/R)
🔍 Technical Analysis:
✅ Bullish Breakout Signal
Price has broken above the descending channel and has retested the breakout area (highlighted purple zone) – a classic bullish breakout structure.
The breakout retest near 143.126 is acting as support, with potential to launch a new bullish move.
📈 Moving Average Analysis
EMA 30 is starting to flatten and curve up – indicating potential shift in momentum.
EMA 200 is still above price, but a breakout above it could strengthen the bullish case.
🔁 Support and Resistance
Strong support zone around 143.000 – 143.200 area (highlighted zone).
Major resistance and target zone is between 148.000 – 148.250.
🔔 Trade Plan Suggestion:
Go Long at or near 143.126
Place Stop Loss below support at 142.702
Target 148.249 for profit
Reasoning:
This setup offers a trend reversal potential from a downtrend to uptrend, with a clean breakout-retest-confirmation pattern. The wide take profit range gives room for extended upside as momentum builds.
⚠️ Watch For:
Reaction to the 144.325 (EMA 200) level
Increased buying volume to confirm breakout
Any re-entry into the channel (would invalidate setup)
USDJPY at Major Support Level - Will Buyers Step In?OANDA:USDJPY has reached a major support level, marked by significant buying pressure. This area has historically acted as a strong demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bullish reaction if buyers step in again.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this support level, there is a high probability of an upward move. I anticipate that, if rejection occurs, the market may head higher toward the 147.570 level, which serves as a logical target within the current structure. However, a break below this support would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further downside.
This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
USDJPYCurrent Price: 142.868
Recent Trend: Bearish correction from highs above 146.000
📊 Technical Analysis:
🔻 Bearish Structure
USD/JPY has been in a clear downtrend over the past few sessions, pulling back from the 146.000 level.
Price is currently below the pivot zone (~143.700–144.100) which previously acted as support but now flipped to resistance.
📌 Key Levels:
Type Price Level Notes
Resistance 143.700–144.100 Pivot zone & breakdown area
Support 141.300 Minor horizontal support
Support 140.000 Strong psychological and historical level
🔀 Possible Scenarios:
Bearish Continuation:
If the price fails to reclaim the pivot zone, sellers may gain control again.
Breakdown below 141.300 opens the door to 140.000 next.
Bullish Reversal:
If price holds above current support and climbs back above 143.000, we may see a test of the pivot area.
A breakout above the pivot could push USD/JPY toward 144.500–145.000.
📰 Fundamental Factors to Watch
🟢 1. US Economic Data
Yesterday’s CPI (Inflation) showed slightly hotter-than-expected numbers ➝ Fed may lean hawkish ➝ bullish for USD
PPI data today will add clarity:
If PPI > expected: Fed tightening bias increases ➝ USD stronger ➝ USD/JPY up
If PPI < expected: Dovish shift ➝ USD weakens ➝ USD/JPY down
🔴 2. BOJ (Bank of Japan) Policy Outlook
BoJ remains ultra-dovish, but recent comments hinted at long-term inflation pressures.
If any signal of tightening or less dovish talk comes out, it could strengthen the Yen and pull USD/JPY lower.
📉 3. Bond Yield Watch
US-Japan 10-year yield spread is a major driver:
If US yields rise faster → USD/JPY goes up
If US yields fall or Japan yields rise → USD/JPY goes down
🔍 Sentiment:
“The market is in wait-and-see mode, hovering just above minor support. If PPI surprises higher, USD/JPY could bounce hard. But if sentiment sours, we may retest the 141.300 or even the psychological 140.000 support. Eyes on yields and the Fed narrative.”