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Usdjpyanalysis

USDJPY - Longterm viewHere is our in-depth view and update on USDJPY . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels . Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at USDJPY from a bigger perspective. For this we will be looking at the H4 time-frame . USDJPY is currently trading at around 149.000s . We are still extremely bearish on FX:USDJPY since our last longterm analysis was completed: Scenario 1: SELLS from 148.200 -We broke below the downtrend channel. With the break of the downtrend channel we can expect more sells to come and we should continue the bearish trend on USDJPY slowly digging into lower levels potentially reaching our target of 145.000. Scenario 2: SELLS from 151.250 -We above the downtrend channel - 149.900. If we above our downtrend channel we can expect some short-term buys up to our main Key Level or PBA (Pullback Area) from where we can look to enter into the long-term sells. IMPORTANT KEY LEVELS: - 151.250; possible pullback area - 148.200; breaks below confirming lower levels - 145.000; longterm target (prices from Aug-Sep 2024) Personal opinion: We are currently trading in a downtrend channel and we are expecting more sells to come throughout the next weeks. We do have to be careful as TVC:DXY and TVC:JXY might experience some volatility tomorrow due to the following news: JXY: Tokyo Core CPI y/y DXY: Core PCE Price Index m/m KEY NOTES - USDJPY breaking above 149.900 would result in higher pullbacks. - USDJPY breaking below 148.200 (below the downtrend channel) would confirm sells. - USDJPY is overall extremely bearish. Happy trading! FxPocket
Short
by FxPocket
1
#USDJPY 4HUSDJPY (4H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price is currently respecting a trendline support, indicating that buyers are maintaining control. Additionally, the presence of a buy engulfing area suggests strong bullish momentum, signaling a potential continuation of the uptrend. Forecast: A buy opportunity may arise if the price continues to hold above the trendline support, confirming bullish pressure. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered near the trendline support after confirmation of bullish price action. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed below the trendline support to manage risk. - Take Profit: Target key resistance levels based on previous price action. Market Sentiment: The combination of trendline support and a buy engulfing area indicates strong buying interest. A confirmed bullish move from this level can provide better validation for a buy setup.
Long
by PIPSFIGHTER
USD/JPY Market Analysis – Potential Reversal or Continuation?This 15-minute chart of USD/JPY displays a clear bullish impulse following a Change of Character (ChoCh) and a Break of Structure (BoS) . Price action has reached a key resistance zone, and traders are now anticipating the next move based on market reactions. Key Observations : 1. Change of Character (ChoCh) : - This indicates a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. - The market rejected lower prices and started forming higher highs and higher lows. 2. b]Break of Structure (BoS) : - This confirms bullish momentum as previous resistance levels are broken. - A strong bullish move suggests demand is dominating. 3. Current Price Action : - The price has approached a liquidity zone (previous high). - Potential rejection at this level suggests profit-taking or a shift in order flow. Possible Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Continuation : - If price retraces into the M15 demand zone (marked on the chart) and finds support, a continuation to the upside is likely. - A break above the current high could push price towards 149.950 or even 150.000. ❌ Bearish Reversal : - If price aggressively rejects the current high and breaks the M15 demand zone , we could see a bearish move towards **149.100 - 148.900**. - This would indicate a deeper correction or potential trend reversal. Trading Plan: - **Wait for confirmation at the M15 demand zone.** - **Look for bullish price action signals for continuation trades.** - **If demand fails, shift bias to bearish setups.** 📌 Conclusion : USD/JPY is at a critical decision point. The next move will depend on whether buyers defend the demand zone or if sellers step in to drive price lower. Stay patient and react to market structure shifts accordingly. 🚀📉
by BeaucoupPips
Short opportunity ?There is a strong line of support and resistance at 148.65 area,    I have a short position I opened a few weeks ago.  I am still patiently waiting for the price to break below this level.   In October 2024, the price tried to break above the same support and resistance area and it took three weeks to properly break above and start the bull trend.  (see blue box in the chart) At the time, the price consolidated in the ascending parallel channel and the momentum indicators were showing clear hidden divergence which is the continuation of the trend. I think the same scenario is unfolding right now.  The price is moving inside the descending parallel channel and RSI is starting to show the hidden divergence.   My overall bias for USDJPY is bearish so I am looking for an entry to short. When the price hit the upper parallel channel and rolle over to the downside, it might be a good place to open a short position.
Short
by EbonyFalcon
4
USD/JPY Bullish Reversal Setup: Key Levels and TargetsThe USD/JPY chart on the 4-hour timeframe indicates a potential bullish setup. Here's a breakdown of the analysis: 1. Support Zone & Trendline Confluence** - Price is currently reacting to a strong demand zone** around 149.000–149.500, marked in green. - There's also a visible ascending trendline acting as dynamic support, reinforcing the bullish outlook. 2. Change of Character (ChoCH) & Break of Structure (BOS) - A series of **bearish BOS and ChoCH confirm the prior downtrend. - However, the most recent ChoCH to the upside signals a potential shift in market direction. 3. Target Zone & Resistance Area - The next resistance zone** is marked around 152.000, aligning with a supply area. - This is also the short-term bullish target, as indicated on the chart. 4. Potential Trade Setup - If the price holds above the demand zone and breaks the minor resistance at 150.000, bullish momentum could push it toward 152.000. - A higher low formation** would further confirm bullish continuation. 5. Risk Factors - A break below the **strong low (148.800–149.000) could invalidate the bullish setup and signal further downside. Conclusion USD/JPY is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal. If price respects the support and trendline, it could rally toward 152.000. However, a breakdown below 149.000 would invalidate the bullish bias.
Long
by TRADE_CENTER_1
USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (148.600) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 152.300 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors. 🔰 Fundamental Analysis - The Bank of Japan's (BOJ) monetary policy decisions significantly impact the yen's value. The BOJ's negative interest rate policy and quantitative easing program have contributed to the yen's depreciation. - The US Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions also influence the USD/JPY exchange rate. Higher interest rates in the US can attract investors, causing the dollar to appreciate. - Japan's trade balance and current account deficit can impact the yen's value. A large trade deficit can lead to a depreciation of the yen. 🔰 Macroeconomic Factors - Inflation: Japan's inflation rate has been relatively low, which can impact the BOJ's monetary policy decisions. - GDP Growth: Japan's GDP growth rate has been slow, which can impact the yen's value. - Unemployment Rate: Japan's unemployment rate has been relatively low, which can impact the labor market and inflation. 🔰 COT Data - Non-Commercial Traders: These traders, including hedge funds and individual investors, hold a significant portion of the USD/JPY futures market. - Commercial Traders: These traders, including banks and other financial institutions, hold a smaller portion of the USD/JPY futures market. 🔰 Market Sentiment Analysis - Bullish Sentiment: Some investors are bullish on the USD/JPY due to the interest rate differential between the US and Japan. - Bearish Sentiment: Others are bearish due to concerns about Japan's economy and the potential for the BOJ to intervene in the currency market. 🔰 Positioning - Long Positions: Some investors have taken long positions in the USD/JPY, betting on a continuation of the uptrend. - Short Positions: Others have taken short positions, betting on a reversal of the uptrend. 🔰 Next Trend Move - The USD/JPY may continue its uptrend if the interest rate differential between the US and Japan remains significant. - However, if the BOJ intervenes in the currency market or if Japan's economy shows signs of improvement, the uptrend may reverse. 🔰 Overall Summary Outlook The USD/JPY currency pair is influenced by a combination of fundamental, macroeconomic, and market sentiment factors. While some investors are bullish on the pair due to the interest rate differential, others are bearish due to concerns about Japan's economy. The next trend move will depend on various factors, including the BOJ's monetary policy decisions and Japan's economic performance. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
2
USDJPY: remains below 150.00Furthermore, any significant retracement could find immediate support near the 149.50 level, which is followed closely by the 149.00 round number. A break below the latter might expose the USD/JPY pair to a retest of the 148.50 region, a level seen as the next strong support. Sustained weakness below this area could pave the way for a deeper corrective decline, with the next target around the 148.00 level. Traders will likely keep a close eye on these levels, as they could provide fresh directional impetus for the pair.
Long
by xauusd_rr
USD/JPY Recovers After Dropping Below 150 Yen per DollarUSD/JPY Recovers After Dropping Below 150 Yen per Dollar As the USD/JPY chart shows: → Yesterday, the pair fell below the psychological level of 150 yen per dollar. → However, today it staged a strong recovery, rising back above this level. The yen weakened following the release of Japan's inflation data. According to Forex Factory, the National Core CPI increased by 3.2% year-over-year (forecast: 3.1%, previous: 3.0%). According to Reuters: → The 19-month high in CPI strengthens expectations of further interest rate hikes in Japan. → The yen is weakening as Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda stated that the central bank may step up government bond purchases if long-term interest rates rise. Can USD/JPY Continue to Rise? USD/JPY Technical Analysis On 12th February, we noted that key highs and lows over the past three months formed an ascending channel, with the 154 yen per dollar level acting as a resistance barrier. Indeed, since then, bulls have failed to sustain levels above 154 yen per dollar (as indicated by the arrow), leading to a decline below the lower boundary of the blue channel after a brief rebound on 18th February. As a result, the former support at the lower boundary of the blue channel may now act as resistance around 151.3 yen per dollar, reinforcing the relevance of the descending channel (marked in red). The trajectory of USD/JPY today could be significantly influenced by the release of the US Flash Manufacturing PMI and Flash Services PMI indices at 16:45 GMT+2. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Short All weekly momentum indicators IMACD, RSI and Stochastic) are all bearish, so I have been looking for a short opportunity in 4H and daily charts. $151.85 is the major resistance and support zone (black horizontal line in the chart).  On Feb 6, USD/JPY broke and closed below the area, but it failed to continue to the downside. In the following few days, it retraced to Fib 0.5 area but started to move down. Today the price broke below Fib 0.236.   I like the yesterday's strong red candle, cancelling all the buy pressure from the previous day.  I opened a short position this morning.   Entry at $152.83. Stop Loss: $155.145 Target 1: $149.52  (move stop loss to the entry level once it hits this level) Target 2: $147.395
Short
by EbonyFalcon
3
USDJPY - Tuesday Recovery , BUY zone FiboPLAN : 18 Feb, 2025 USDJPY News: 🔆The Japanese Yen (JPY) remains under pressure during the early European session on Tuesday, though downside momentum is limited as markets increasingly expect the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to continue raising interest rates. Additionally, the recent decline in the US-Japan yield gap, driven by growing speculation of further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), helps cushion losses for the lower-yielding JPY. Personal opinion: 🔆Short-term buying pressure at support zone helps USDJPY price recover Analysis: 🔆support fibonaccy H1 frame Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉BUY USDJPY 151.600 – 151.400 ❌SL: 151.100 | ✅TP: 151.900 – 152.300 – 152.600 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
2