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Usdjpyanalysis

1-Hour Chart Analysis USDJPYVISIT FOURTRADES WEBSITE FOR MORE INSIGHT The 1-hour chart reveals more granular details of the recent price action. The pair has formed a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern at the resistance zone around 157.00, which is a strong bearish signal. This pattern indicates a potential reversal to the downside. Furthermore, the pair is approaching a support level around 155.50, which could provide a short-term bounce. However, if this level is breached, the next target would be the 154.00 support level. Daily Chart Analysis The USD/JPY pair has been trading within an ascending channel for the past few months. Recently, the pair... Visit fourtrades website Link in the bio 4-Hour Chart Analysis On the 4-hour chart, the USD/JPY pair has shown a clear break below a previous low, which adds to the bearish outlook seen on the daily chart. The price action is ... Visit fourtrades website for more insights Link in the bio
Short
by FourtradesTV
2
The yen exchange rate jumped because speculators feared interven An ascending flag pattern appears, showing the recovery of USDJPY when news about the stock market or the recent presidential appointment continues to be good for the US market. The USD fell to its lowest stage in approximately 2 months, a improvement amplified via way of means of the pointy boom withinside the fee of the yen that triggered turmoil in worldwide foreign money markets withinside the buying and selling consultation on Wednesday and this morning (18 /7). Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, an index of Bloomberg information organization that measures the USD alternate charge instantaneous marketplace, fell via way of means of 0.4% on Wednesday, to its lowest stage when you consider that past due May. This morning, the index persevered persevered to fall further, whilst the yen/USD alternate charge from time to time accelerated to 155.7 yen for 1 USD. In addition to the downward strain at the USD from the opportunity that americaA Federal Reserve (Fed) can also additionally decrease hobby costs in September, the yen additionally accelerated sharply because of hypothesis withinside the marketplace that Japanese government can preserve to interfere withinside the forex marketplace to assist the home foreign exchange charge. The yen has accelerated in fee via way of means of approximately 4% when you consider that closing Thursday - the time while Japanese government are stated to have intervened via way of means of promoting overseas foreign money into the marketplace. Japan`s Ministry of Finance and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) can also additionally have persevered to interfere on Friday. In addition, the yen additionally accelerated in fee due to the fact an influential Japanese flesh presser referred to as at the BOJ to elevate hobby costs to assist the yen alternate charge, and previous US President Donald Trump issued a caution approximately the devaluation fashion of the yen. yen - a component that allows Japan advantage a higher aggressive role in exports. Before this recovery, the yen closing week fell to almost 162 yen in line with USD, its lowest stage in 38 years. Fluctuations withinside the USD/Japanese yen alternate charge appear to have had a robust effect on different USD foreign money pairs - in step with leader strategist Valentin Marinov of Credit Agricole bank.
Long
by TheLeader_WOLF
Yen Bulls Hedge Funds Reduce Short Bets with BOJ Intervention The Japanese Yen (JPY) has been a story of woe in 2024, weakening considerably against the US Dollar (USD) due to a widening interest rate gap between the two countries. However, a recent shift in sentiment is brewing, with hedge funds reducing their bearish bets on the Yen in a significant move. Hedge Funds Cut Short Bets on Yen in Historic Move According to data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), leveraged funds reduced their net short positions on the Yen by a staggering 38,025 contracts during the week ending July 16th. This marks the largest single-week reduction in short positions since March 2011, highlighting a potential turning point in the Yen's fortunes. Despite this significant cutback, it's important to note that hedge funds remain net short on the Yen, holding a total of 76,588 short contracts. This indicates a cautious optimism, with some investors still hesitant to fully embrace a Yen rebound. Intervention and Policy Shifts Fuel Yen's Rise The retreat from short positions by hedge funds coincides with several developments that have bolstered the Yen. Most notably, the Japanese government is suspected of intervening in the currency market to support the Yen. Reports suggest that Japanese authorities spent a substantial JPY 5.64 trillion (approximately USD 35.8 billion) over two trading sessions to prop up the currency from near its weakest levels since the 1980s. This intervention likely played a significant role in halting the Yen's decline and triggering a rebound against the USD. Beyond intervention, the Yen has also benefited from shifting expectations regarding US monetary policy. The Federal Reserve, which has been raising interest rates aggressively to combat inflation, may be nearing the peak of its tightening cycle. Increased expectations of a potential Fed rate cut in September have narrowed the interest rate gap between the US and Japan, making the Yen a more attractive proposition for some investors. Trump's Comments Add Fuel to the Fire Adding another layer of intrigue to the Yen's recent strengthening are comments from former US President Donald Trump. Trump, known for his unorthodox views on currency valuations, has reportedly criticized the weakness of the Yen. While his influence on markets is less pronounced than when he held office, his comments may have added a touch of uncertainty for USD bulls, potentially encouraging some to reduce their long positions. A Tentative Rebound or a Long-Term Shift? The recent developments surrounding the Yen paint a complex picture. While the reduction in short positions and the Yen's rebound are positive signs, it's too early to declare a definitive reversal. The overall direction of the Yen will likely hinge on several factors, including: • Future Actions by the Bank of Japan (BOJ): The BOJ, unlike many central banks, has maintained its ultra-loose monetary policy. Any indication of a potential shift towards tighter monetary policy could further bolster the Yen. • The Trajectory of US Interest Rates: If the Fed continues with its aggressive rate hikes, the interest rate gap between the US and Japan will widen, putting downward pressure on the Yen. • Global Risk Sentiment: The Yen is often seen as a safe-haven currency. If global economic uncertainty increases, investors may flock to the Yen, driving its value up. Conclusion: A Yen in Flux The Yen's recent strengthening and the reduction in short positions by hedge funds represent a potential turning point. However, the future trajectory of the Yen remains uncertain, dependent on a confluence of factors. Investors should closely monitor developments in both the Japanese and US economies, as well as broader market sentiment, to gauge the Yen's long-term prospects.
by bryandowningqln
USDJPY - UniverseMetta - Analysis#USDJPY - UniverseMetta - Analysis D1 - We are in the oversold zone, the price has also adjusted by 4% from the maximum. H4 - A 3 wave structure may form. The entry can be considered from these levels or wait until the structure is formed. The most likely scenario is to consolidate behind the trend line and continue to consider purchases. Stop for the formed fractal/2nd wave. Local targets 158.350. Next, a correction may form, and volumes can be increased for further upward movement if there is a retest of the level. The reverse side is the formation of an ABC structure and a further downward fall. Target 158.350. - 161.930
Long
by Trade-U-Metta
1
7 Dimension Buy Trade For USDJPY Core Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts 😇7 Dimension Analysis Time Frame: 15M 1: Swing Structure: Bullish with BOS after taking the inducement. Bullish impulsive swing move starts making a pullback in the internal structure POI liquidity zone. External POI OB FVG already taken from the discounted area. 🟢 Entry Model: Whale scoop Support liquidity demand area might act as a reversal zone. 2: Pattern 🟢 CHART PATTERNS: No chart pattern is formed. Shakeout continuation. 🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS: No significant candle pattern here. 3: Volume: Volume is almost dry during the whole corrective move, but we observed huge volume when the price takes liquidity or forms a false breakout. 4: Momentum RSI 🟢 RSI is still in the bullish zone, taking support on the extreme bullish support 40 level. No range shift yet and not any bullish support divergence. A bearish loud move makes some doubt, but it will confirm when the price gives a proper breakout on any side in this momentum range. 5: Volatility Bollinger Bands 🟢 A strong contraction is forming. This contraction breakout will confirm the proper move. 6: Strength: USD is still weaker. 7: Sentiment: Buy for the short term. ✔️ Entry Time Frame: 15M ✅ Entry TF Structure: Bullish ✔ Entry time liquidity take waiting 💡 Decision: Buy 🚀 Entry: 157.170 ✋ Stop Loss: 156.890 🎯 Take Profit: 158.275 😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 4RR 🕛 Expected Duration: 1 Day Short SUMMARY: Analysis supports a strong buy position based on the Smart Money Concepts methodology, with expected bullish momentum and high potential reward.
Long
by Optimum369
Yen's Sudden Strength: Is the Bank of Japan Back in Action?The recent dramatic rise of the Japanese yen has sent ripples through the financial world. Three sharp surges – on July 11th, 12th, and 17th – have fueled speculation that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is once again intervening in currency markets. These interventions have resulted in a 4% appreciation of the yen against the US dollar, bringing it to ¥156 per dollar. This is a significant rise, especially considering the yen's plunge to 37-year lows earlier in July. While the BoJ hasn't explicitly confirmed its involvement, the timing and nature of the surges strongly suggest its influence. Central banks typically intervene in currency markets to achieve specific economic goals. In the case of Japan, the recent depreciation of the yen has become a cause for concern. A weaker yen makes imports more expensive, contributing to inflation. Additionally, it can destabilize financial markets and harm Japanese exporters who rely on a competitive exchange rate. Possible Reasons for Intervention: • Curbing Inflation: Japan has recently experienced a rise in inflation, exceeding the BoJ's target of 2%. A stronger yen makes imported goods cheaper, helping to ease inflationary pressures. • Supporting Exporters: A weaker yen can initially benefit exporters by making their products cheaper overseas. However, a persistently weak currency can erode profitability in the long run. By stabilizing the yen, the BoJ might be aiming to create a more predictable environment for Japanese exporters. • Signaling Resolve: The BoJ has maintained an ultra-loose monetary policy for years, keeping interest rates near zero. This policy has contributed to the yen's weakness. By intervening in the market, the BoJ might be sending a signal of its commitment to preventing further depreciation. Potential Challenges and Implications: • Market Backlash: Excessive intervention by the BoJ could be seen as manipulating the market. This could lead to a loss of confidence in the yen and potentially trigger counter-interventions by other central banks. • Limited Effectiveness: The effectiveness of currency intervention is often debated. While it can achieve short-term results, it's difficult to sustain a stronger yen in the long run if underlying economic fundamentals don't support it. • Impact on Global Markets: A stronger yen can have a ripple effect on global markets. It can make Japanese investments less attractive to foreign investors and potentially trigger capital outflows. Looking Ahead: The BoJ's recent actions have certainly bolstered the yen. However, it remains to be seen whether this can be sustained. The long-term trajectory of the yen will depend on various factors, including global economic conditions, interest rate policies, and investor sentiment. The BoJ might need to continue intervening if it wants to maintain a more stable exchange rate. However, it will have to tread carefully to avoid unintended consequences and potential market backlash. In conclusion, the recent surge in the yen's value has reignited the debate about currency intervention. While the BoJ's actions might provide some temporary relief, the long-term outlook for the yen remains uncertain. The future path of the Japanese economy and global financial conditions will ultimately determine the fate of the yen.
by bryandowningqln
1
USDJPY I Yen jumps on suspected intervention - more downsideWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Short
by BKTradingAcademy
2
#USDJPY: +1000 PIPS Trading Setup | Do Not Miss Out|Recently we witnessed a sharp dropped on USDJPY due to BOJ hints of intervene in currency market. However, in fact they just gave hint of intervention and did not specify the plan. In some scenario, many says, it was a move to alter the direction of JPY pairs for sometime. In our view price is likely to move upside strongly after touching our area. We therefore advise you, if you are taking sell entry be extra cautious. Good luck and trade safe.
Long
by Setupsfx_
32
USDJPY Bank Bearish Robbery PlanMy Dear Robbers / Traders, This is our master plan to Heist USDJPY Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money. Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 4h timeframe Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. support our robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Join your hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Short
by Thief_Trader
USD/JPY Bullish Divergence and Key Support AnalysisThe USD/JPY pair has recently exhibited a Bullish Divergence on the 1-hour chart. This technical pattern is a significant indicator suggesting potential upward price movement. The price action has also received a strong rejection at a key support level, which coincides with a 4-hour trendline and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. These factors collectively reinforce our bullish outlook. Technical Confluences: Bullish Divergence: A bullish divergence on the 1-hour chart indicates potential reversal and strength in the upward momentum. Key Support Level: The price rejection at the key support level confirms the market's recognition of this zone as a significant barrier to downward movement. 4-Hour Trendline: Alignment with a long-term trendline adds to the credibility of the support level, indicating sustained bullish sentiment. 61.8% Fibonacci Level: The confluence with the Fibonacci retracement level further solidifies the support area, often seen as a critical point for trend reversals. Entry and Risk Management: Entry Point: 158.520 Stop Loss: 157.300 The chosen entry point at 158.520 is strategically placed just above the key support level, ensuring minimal risk while maximizing potential gains. The stop loss at 157.300 is set conservatively below the support level to protect against unexpected volatility. Take Profit Levels: To effectively manage profits, the following take profit levels have been identified based on technical analysis and historical price action: TP-1: 159.740 TP-2: 160.960 TP-3: 162.180 These levels are determined to capture gains at various stages of the anticipated upward movement, allowing for flexible exit strategies based on market conditions. Conclusion: The USD/JPY pair demonstrates a strong bullish potential supported by multiple technical indicators and confluences. Traders are advised to enter at 158.520 with a stop loss at 157.300 to manage risk effectively. The outlined take-profit levels offer strategic exit points to maximize gains while adapting to market movements. Recommendation: Monitor the price action closely and adjust positions to align with evolving market conditions and protect against potential reversals.
Long
by trading_jupiter
2
USDJPY → Huge Fall from 162.000! Heading for 155.000?USD/JPY trickled it's way just shy of 162.000 where it formed a double top reversal pattern on the Daily chart and fell hard to 157.500. Should we still be long? Or is it time to get short? How do we trade this? 🤔 As mentioned in my previous analysis from May 7th after the massive sell-off from 160.200 back down to 152.000, we should be looking for confirmation of a short before entering one. We now have a nice sell signal, the double top reversal, right after three strong pushes up in a trend. USD/JPY has been in a bull run since 2021 on the higher timeframes such as the weekly and monthly, getting short needs to be taken with extreme caution and careful planning. It is reasonable to expect the USD/JPY price to retest the 160.000 area after such a fall. The bears are going to be skittish in a bull market, the bulls are going to try and long again to get that 50% pullback to the high side. But once the price goes 200 pips to the upside after the 400 pip drop, will we see another sell-off? Or a run back to 162.000 and beyond? That's what we need to wait for, the confirmation sell candle closing on or near it's low to confirm more downside movement. It is reasonable to short this, but I would do it on the 4HR timeframe and wait for a long entry on the Daily timeframe. We should expect some support at 155.000, this trade waits for that second leg in the pullback from 162.000 to hit 155.000, give us a strong bull signal and confirmation candle to confirm a long entry around 156.000. Place the stop loss below 155.000 at 154.050, take profit #1 at 157.950 then move stop loss up to entry price, take profit #2 at 159.900, just before the key resistance of 160.000 which is also a psychological resistance. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Long Entry: 156.000 🟥 Stop Loss: 154.050 ✅ Take Profit #1: 157.950 ✅ Take Profit #2: 159.900 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Three pushes up after the 152.000 support confirmation to the key level of 162.000 2. Double top reversal at 162.000 followed by a 400 pip drop; sell signal 3. Look for 50% pullback toward 160.000 and a rejection at that key level to manifest the second leg down to the 155.000 area. 4. Enter a 1:2 Risk/Reward long trade up to 159.900. 5. RSI near 41.00 and far below the Moving Average, supports pullback to the upside before another fall. 💰 Trading Tip 💰 The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades and start looking for reversals. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about: 1. Reading Price Action 2. Chart Analysis 3. Trade Management 4. Trading Psychology
Long
by TraderEngineering
1
USDJPY! PPI not as friendly The Dow Industrial Average average can't close at a record but closes just above 40,000 The 2-10 year yield rises to -27.3 basis points. A close here will be highest since Jan 29 Crude oil futures settle at $82.21 Stock earnings for the quarter were kicked off. What's on tap for next week? What happens after the first rate cut. Recession? Stocks move lower? A number of currency pairs stretched to key target levels including the NZDUSD. What next? Keep an eye on China's Third Plenum meeting next week Japan's Kanda: Won't say whether intervention was conducted or not House Democratic leader Jeffries met with Biden yesterday. The read-out isn't glowing UMich July consumer sentiment 66.0 vs 68.5 expected Kickstart the FX trading day for July 12 w/a technical look at the EURUSD, USDJPY & GBPUSD
Short
by FXBANkthe8055
USDJPY → Trade Analysis | SELL SetupYou can expect a reaction in the direction of selling from the specified resistance zone USDJPY moving higher as it tests the strong resistance level.. We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone. Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Short
by TheGrove
1
Japanese Yen dropped to its lowest level in nearly 4 decadesAll data supports LONG usdjpy ---- According to Nikkei, till now, Japanese institutional traders have now no longer poured capital into overseas markets on any such big scale. Banks offered simplest a internet 220.7 billion yen of overseas property withinside the first 1/2 of of this 12 months. Meanwhile, pension price range bought a internet of 9.forty three trillion yen withinside the identical period. The using pressure using the float of cash into foreign places property is the organization of retail traders who're changing their financial savings into investments to deal with inflation. Core CPI in Japan has always multiplied extra than 2% every month given that fall 2022. May CPI multiplied 2.1%, better than the BOJ`s goal of 2%. Currently, only a few monetary merchandise in Japan generate returns better than 2%. One-12 months deposits of as a minimum three million yen had hobby costs of simply beneathneath 0.1% in June. Japanese authorities bonds bought to retail traders had hobby costs of much less than 1% this month. The predicted dividend yield of Japanese shares in keeping with the Nikkei Stock Average is simplest 1.75%, nevertheless decrease than inflation. “Investment cash has a tendency to float to Western nations and elsewhere, in which monetary and company boom expectancies are high,” stated Soichiro Tateishi, an economist on the Japan Research Institute. When Japanese traders purchase shares or bonds denominated in USD via mutual price range with out a foreign money hedging strategy, they'll ought to promote yen to shop for USD. Accordingly, multiplied funding sports via NISA positioned even extra strain at the yen. Investors chickening out capital will assist the yen appreciate. However, NISA is a software primarily based totally on lengthy-time period investments, so the yen will now no longer be capable of get hold of momentum from here. Meanwhile, Japan's change deficit has lengthy been taken into consideration a structural issue inflicting the yen to fall. As an electricity importer, Japan has visible a change deficit for the reason that 2011 earthquake and tsunami, which pressured the u . s . to import extra electricity because of the closure of nuclear strength plants. From January to May 2024, Japan's change deficit stood at three.forty five trillion yen. This discern will boom to three.eighty three trillion yen while facts via mid-June are included. Some professionals have warned approximately the capital flight of retail traders. Meanwhile, the yen is buying and selling at a hundred and sixty for 1 USD, whilst at the start of the 12 months it became 140. One manner to show the scenario round is to boom the splendor of the Japanese inventory marketplace and different monetary merchandise. According to Shingo Ide, leader monetary engineer at NLI Research Institute, Japanese businesses “are beginning to make efforts to enhance profitability and capital efficiency.” However, Nikkei stated, any essential exalternate to the contemporary fashion will take a protracted time.
Long
by TheLeader_WOLF
UsdJpy- Don't p..s against the wind!If there has been a clear trend in the past two years, it has been the devaluation of the JPY. Despite some corrections, even very deep ones, the trend has always resumed, leading to new lows for the JPY. One of these deeper corrections occurred at the end of last year, triggered, as always, by JPY repatriation. However, as shown on the chart, the beginning of 2024 saw the resumption of the upward move. Only the BoJ intervention at the end of April and beginning of May at the 160 level stopped the ascent. The chart shows that the pair has been acting very technically since then, with the drop stopping and reversing precisely at the horizontal support that was previously resistance. Since then, USD/JPY has started making higher lows again and is now trading around 160. Only time will tell if the BoJ will be determined to defend this level but, in my personal opinion, it is better to look to buy on dips (around 158) rather than sell at this resistance, hoping for another intervention.
by Mihai_Iacob
USDJPY on 4-hr Timeframe (downtrend channel) (short for now)I have plotted out the key levels for resistance and support. Nearest Resistance: 160.82-160.87 Nearest Support: 160.26-160.30 Resistance Turned Support: 159.83-159.91 Major Support: 157.70-157.98 Scenario 1 ======== If Bullish Candlestick formed above 161.20 (Bull Flag Breakout), a continuation of Higher High will be around 162.70. Scenario 2 ======== If Bearish Candlestick Formed below 160.26, price will continue to correct to 159.83-159.91. Scenario 3 ======== Major Correction towards to 157.70-157.98 (probably takes 2-3 weeks to reach there).
Short
by PeterGHL