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Usdjpyanalysis

USD/JPY Falls from 154.80 – Is 146 the Next Target?In my post last week about USD/JPY, I mentioned that the pair could resume its decline and draw attention to the 154+ sell zone. Indeed, USD/JPY started falling after reaching 154.80 and is now trading at 151.72, which is very close to a key horizontal support level. Looking ahead, I expect this support to break, pushing the pair below 150 and potentially down to the next horizontal support around 146. In conclusion, my strategy remains unchanged: I will continue looking to sell rallies, with invalidation above last week’s high. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
USDJPY selling pressure continues, The Week Ahead 17th Feb 25The USDJPY currency pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The key trading level is at 155.50, which is the current swing high. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 155.50 level could target the downside support at 152.76 followed by 151.50 and 150.90 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 155.50 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 156.00 resistance level followed by 156.74 and 157.70. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
USDJPY downtrend continues capped by resistance at 155.50 The USDJPY currency pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The key trading level is at 155.50, which is the current swing high. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 155.50 level could target the downside support at 152.76 followed by 151.50 and 150.90 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 155.50 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 156.00 resistance level followed by 156.74 and 157.70. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
USDJPY US CPI triggered spikeThe USDJPY currency pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The key trading level is at 155.50, which is the current swing high. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 155.50 level could target the downside support at 152.76 followed by 151.50 and 150.90 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 155.50 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 156.00 resistance level followed by 156.74 and 157.70. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
USDJPY - Demand Ready for Lift-Off (Technical Analysis)As it stands we're currently holding short positions on USDJPY since last week. The current short term still suggests that this pair is bearish - We have seen lower lows and institutional manipulation to the upside as well, so we will continue holding our shorts until we see a reversal on the lower time frames. Previous Analysis: We traded down to the Daily demand levels (which price has now reached). The current price cycle indicates it's still distributing but now is the time to watch for potential bullish reversals - more-so when we combine this with our DXY analysis as well as current Geopolitical moves, we could definitely see a bullish surge in the next few days. Trading Considerations: All signs point to a pending bullish reversal, don't engage without considering the LTF trend, we would ideally like to see it reverse first. Trade what you see, not what you think you might. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. OANDA:USDJPY TVC:DXY
Long
by Apexfx_Alpha
2
USDJPY - Accumulation move - trendline SELL H1News: The price of gold (XAU/USD) is stabilizing after reaching new record highs, seeking a clear direction on Tuesday following China’s response to U.S. tariffs announced over the weekend. In retaliation, Beijing applied a 15% tariff on under $5 billion worth of U.S. energy imports, including coal and liquefied natural gas (LNG), along with a 10% levy on American oil and agricultural machinery. Additionally, China plans to launch an antitrust investigation into Google. The markets remain uncertain about the impact of these countermeasures, leading to volatile price movements on Tuesday. Analysis: Price is mainly moving sideways in the price range of 155,800 - 153,800, waiting for entry SELL TRENDLINE USDJPY today Signal : SELL USDJPY : zone 155.550 - 155.750 SL 156.100 TP: 155.300 - 155.000 - 154.500 Good luck trading everyone
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
USD/JPY Exchange Rate Recovers from Yearly LowUSD/JPY Exchange Rate Recovers from Yearly Low As shown on the USD/JPY chart, today the exchange rate aggressively surged above the 153 yen per US dollar level. This marks a strong recovery from the yearly low of around 151 yen per dollar, set last week. Today's bullish momentum developed following a statement from Japan's Minister of Industry, Yoji Muto, who mentioned that the government had asked the United States to exempt Japan from the tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. Can the USD/JPY rise continue? Technical analysis of the USD/JPY chart reveals that key extremes over the last three months form the contours of an upward channel, with: → From a bullish perspective: The exchange rate is rising towards the median, which tends to "attract" the price as demand and supply balance in this region. → From a bearish perspective: The 154 yen per dollar level, which acted as support in February (shown by arrows), may hinder further growth. The future direction of the USD/JPY pair largely depends on a key upcoming news release, which could have a significant impact on the US dollar’s value against other currencies. At 16:30 GMT+3 today, the CPI report will be published, shedding light on the current inflation situation. Be prepared for potential volatility spikes. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
USD/JPY Trading Plan: Resistance in Focus Before the Next DropSince the beginning of the year, USD/JPY has been in a bearish trend, with the price dropping from 159 to 151. After reaching support around the 151 zone following Friday's NFP, the price started to reverse upward and is currently trading at 153.63. In my view, this is just a correction of the initial leg down, and once resistance is reached, the price is likely to resume its downward trend. The sell zone starts above 154 and extends to 155, where I will be looking for selling opportunities. In the medium term, the price could drop to 146, with the first major support at the recent low of 151. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
0212 USDJPY SETUP new long trade up to 2 targetsHello traders, Trading plans on USDJPY: Follow 4H EMAS, find 1h BUYING SIGNAL to open buying trade on USDJPY , TP1: 156.6 TP2: 157.9 Key Observations: 1. Liquidity-Driven Momentum: Abnormal trading volume suggests speculative flows dominating Asian session 2. Policy Stalemate Persists: Escalating trade friction weighs on JPY through export sector concerns 3. Bond Market Divergence: JGB yield surge not translating to JPY support, highlighting policy dilemma Monitoring Priorities: ① Position squaring before Tokyo fix ② Safe-haven flows post-US CPI release ③ Verbal intervention risks from Japanese authorities GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
Long
by FUNTRADER-Vera
Short opportunity coming in 1H ?$151.850 is a major resistance and support area. USDJPY failed to reclaim the recent ATH and it is currently hovering around that major R/S area. All daily momentum indicators are in the bear zone so my overall bias is bear. When you look at 1H RSI, you can see the RSI lines are travelling inside the ascending parallel channel. I will open a short position IF the RSI lines breaks below the bottom ascending line, and 1H candle closes below EMA 21and the major R/S line, I am going to use a 15 min chart to find an entry. You can see the idea for the trading entry, S/L and, P/T in the 15 min chart.
Short
by EbonyFalcon
2
USD/JPY "The Ninja" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/JPY "The Ninja" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📉 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A Bear trade can be initiated at any price level. however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4h period, the recent / nearest high level Goal 🎯: 153.000 (or) Before escape in the market Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: The USD/JPY "The Ninja" Forex market is currently experiencing a mixed market sentiment. Here's a breakdown of the factors influencing its movement: ⚪Fundamental Analysis: - The Bank of Japan's (BoJ) recent interest rate hike decision has strengthened the Japanese Yen, making it a safe-haven asset. - The US Federal Reserve's dovish stance on interest rates has put downward pressure on the US Dollar. 🟤Macroeconomic Analysis: - The divergent policy expectations between the Fed and BoJ might continue to act as a tailwind for the currency pair. - Trade war fears could limit any downside movement. 🟠Commitment of Traders (COT) Report: - Non-Commercial Traders (Speculators): Net short USD/JPY by 24,444 contracts, indicating a bearish sentiment. - Commercial Traders (Hedgers): Net long USD/JPY by 15,101 contracts, indicating a bullish sentiment. - Small Traders (Retail): Net short USD/JPY by 9,343 contracts, indicating a bearish sentiment. 🟣Sentimental Analysis: - Trader sentiment is mixed, with some investors expecting a bullish movement due to the BoJ's hawkish stance, while others are bearish due to the Fed's dovish stance. - Market sentiment is cautious ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision. 🟢Institutional and Retail Market Analysis: - Institutional investors are watching the currency pair closely, awaiting the Fed's decision before making any significant moves. - Retail investors are also cautious, with some taking long positions on the Yen due to its safe-haven status. 🔵Outlook: - Based on the analysis, the USD/JPY currency pair is expected to move into a bearish direction in the short term, with a target level of 153.00. However, the movement is likely to be volatile, and investors should be cautious ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Short
by Thief_Trader
USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (156.500) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 154.700 (swing Trade) Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many orders you have to take. Goal 🎯: 160.000 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors. 🔰 Fundamental Analysis The USD/JPY pair is currently extending gains above 155.50, driven by resurgent US dollar demand due to global trade war concerns. The Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Summary of Opinions has had little impact on the pair. 🔰 Macroeconomics The US economy is expected to slow down, with the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growing at an annual rate of 2.3% in the fourth quarter, below market expectations. In Japan, consumer prices in Tokyo rose in January, keeping hopes alive for further BoJ policy tightening. 🔰 COT Report The latest CoT report shows that speculative traders are net long on the USD/JPY pair, indicating a bullish sentiment. However, it's essential to note that the CoT report is a lagging indicator and may not reflect current market conditions. 🔰 Market Sentiment Market sentiment is currently bearish, with 55% of traders expecting a decline in the USD/JPY pair. However, this sentiment can change rapidly, and it's essential to monitor market news and events. 🔰 Institutional and Retail Banks Positioning Institutional traders are net long on the USD/JPY pair, while retail traders are net short. This divergence in positioning can lead to a potential bullish move in the pair. 🔰 Overall Outlook Based on the analysis, the USD/JPY pair is expected to move in a bullish trend, with a 60% chance of an uptrend and a 40% chance of a downtrend. However, it's essential to monitor market news and events, as they can impact the pair's direction. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Long
by Thief_Trader
USDJPY - Analysis and Potential Setups (Intraday- 10.02.25) Overall Trend & Context: The OANDA:USDJPY pair is in an overall downtrend on the higher time frames and has reached highly significant support/demand levels. Lower time frame has given bullish indications, we can try to capitalize on this. Technical Findings: Price broke above the 200 EMA - this can act as dynamic support so watch current levels. Demand zone was formed after sweeping internal liquidity (which resulted in an impulsive bullish break). RSI shows overbought conditions - resulting in a pullback which is what we want to see to confirm price action (currently trading below the 50% level of the RSI) Potential Scenarios: Since we have seen a reaction off HTF supply zones we should wait for proper confirmations prior to entry. If the demand fails, short positions should be considered - analysis will need to be adjusted to adapt to changing supply levels.
Long
by Apexfx_Alpha
1