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Usdjpyanalysis

USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25 Good morning all. It may look like we are holding onto a bias. I can understand why that assumption is created. However, a short position is invalid for FRGNT whilst in a higher time frame order block long. As per, that does not mean LONG blindly. Two set ups illustrated. 1) 15' Break of structure 2) Lower time frame Break of structure without 15' break. Trading is risky. Both positions of course come with a side dish of risk and reason to loose. The question is, would you like to see USDJPY explode long without you? Lets see how price actions plays. FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
USD/JPY: Yen's Bull Run Amid UncertaintyThis week, the Japanese yen made a remarkable performance in the foreign exchange market. The USD/JPY exchange rate started with a significant decline. Reaching a high on Monday, it then trended downwards and hit a low of 142.050 during the week. By Friday, it closed at 143.486, registering a weekly drop of around 1.35%. In the context of surging market risk - averse sentiment, the yen became a much - sought - after asset. Although its appreciation against the US dollar was relatively moderate, its volatility increased substantially. This sharp rise in volatility clearly shows that the market's appetite for the yen as a safe - haven currency has grown rapidly. The ongoing Russia - Ukraine conflict remains a major source of uncertainty in the global financial arena. Coupled with tariff - related discussions and potential trade - policy changes, these factors have further enhanced the yen's attractiveness as a safe - haven. Additionally, the US dollar index has dropped to a two - year low. This decline has relieved the downward pressure on the USD/JPY exchange rate, enabling the yen to gain some ground. The yen's strength this week mainly stems from the weakness of the US dollar and the influx of risk - averse capital. Looking ahead in the short - term, the USD/JPY exchange rate is expected to test the 143.00 level. The Russia - Ukraine situation and persistent trade uncertainties will likely continue to support the yen. Moreover, the market's close attention to the Bank of Japan's monetary policies may exacerbate the yen's volatility. The bullish momentum of the yen is steadily accumulating. If the US dollar continues to be under pressure, there is a high probability that the USD/JPY exchange rate could decline towards 142.00. However, it should be noted that currency markets are highly complex and prone to sudden reversals. Even though the current trends indicate continued strengthening of the yen, unforeseen geopolitical events or shifts in central - bank policies could quickly change the market situation. Investment itself doesn't carry risks; it's only when investment is out of control that risks arise. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment. Traders, if this concept fits your style or you have insights, comment! I'm keen to hear.
Short
by SterlingOracle
1
USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25 We caught a the long play for a similar setup. We need more this time around. Why? To be sure of the weekly order block rejection. Compared to EURUSD and EURGBP for example... That is the type of weekly order block rejection we prefer. With that said we will not give up on USDJPY. We simply must await more levels of confluences. 15' break of structure, Order block creation as a result of the BOS. Pull back into area, lower time frame break of structure. Let's see what USDJPY provides us with. FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
2
USDJPY:Trading Strategy for Next WeekIn view of the fact that the US dollar is currently facing multiple pressures and the Japanese yen is strong, the USD/JPY is likely to remain under pressure in the short term. If the exchange rate stabilizes above 143.00, one can attempt to take a short position in USD/JPY with a light position, targeting the range of 142.00 - 141.00. If the exchange rate breaks below 143.00, one can add to the short position following the trend, with the target set at the lower range of 140.00 - 139.00. The signals last week resulted in continuous profits, and accurate signals were shared daily.
Short
by Leo_TraderO
USD/JPY Bullish Breakout Setup – Entry, Stop Loss & Target AnalyPair: USD/JPY Timeframe: 15 minutes Indicators Used: EMA (30-period) – Red line EMA (200-period) – Blue line Chart Features: Downward channel (declining trendline) Identified entry point, stop loss, and target Key support/resistance zones shaded in purple 🟢 Trade Idea Summary: 🔹Entry Point: 143.126 🔹Stop Loss: 142.702 🔹Target (Take Profit): 148.249 🔹Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:5 (Excellent R/R) 🔍 Technical Analysis: ✅ Bullish Breakout Signal Price has broken above the descending channel and has retested the breakout area (highlighted purple zone) – a classic bullish breakout structure. The breakout retest near 143.126 is acting as support, with potential to launch a new bullish move. 📈 Moving Average Analysis EMA 30 is starting to flatten and curve up – indicating potential shift in momentum. EMA 200 is still above price, but a breakout above it could strengthen the bullish case. 🔁 Support and Resistance Strong support zone around 143.000 – 143.200 area (highlighted zone). Major resistance and target zone is between 148.000 – 148.250. 🔔 Trade Plan Suggestion: Go Long at or near 143.126 Place Stop Loss below support at 142.702 Target 148.249 for profit Reasoning: This setup offers a trend reversal potential from a downtrend to uptrend, with a clean breakout-retest-confirmation pattern. The wide take profit range gives room for extended upside as momentum builds. ⚠️ Watch For: Reaction to the 144.325 (EMA 200) level Increased buying volume to confirm breakout Any re-entry into the channel (would invalidate setup)
Long
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
USDJPY at Major Support Level - Will Buyers Step In?OANDA:USDJPY has reached a major support level, marked by significant buying pressure. This area has historically acted as a strong demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bullish reaction if buyers step in again. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this support level, there is a high probability of an upward move. I anticipate that, if rejection occurs, the market may head higher toward the 147.570 level, which serves as a logical target within the current structure. However, a break below this support would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further downside. This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Long
by DanieIM
47
USDJPYCurrent Price: 142.868 Recent Trend: Bearish correction from highs above 146.000 📊 Technical Analysis: 🔻 Bearish Structure USD/JPY has been in a clear downtrend over the past few sessions, pulling back from the 146.000 level. Price is currently below the pivot zone (~143.700–144.100) which previously acted as support but now flipped to resistance. 📌 Key Levels: Type Price Level Notes Resistance 143.700–144.100 Pivot zone & breakdown area Support 141.300 Minor horizontal support Support 140.000 Strong psychological and historical level 🔀 Possible Scenarios: Bearish Continuation: If the price fails to reclaim the pivot zone, sellers may gain control again. Breakdown below 141.300 opens the door to 140.000 next. Bullish Reversal: If price holds above current support and climbs back above 143.000, we may see a test of the pivot area. A breakout above the pivot could push USD/JPY toward 144.500–145.000. 📰 Fundamental Factors to Watch 🟢 1. US Economic Data Yesterday’s CPI (Inflation) showed slightly hotter-than-expected numbers ➝ Fed may lean hawkish ➝ bullish for USD PPI data today will add clarity: If PPI > expected: Fed tightening bias increases ➝ USD stronger ➝ USD/JPY up If PPI < expected: Dovish shift ➝ USD weakens ➝ USD/JPY down 🔴 2. BOJ (Bank of Japan) Policy Outlook BoJ remains ultra-dovish, but recent comments hinted at long-term inflation pressures. If any signal of tightening or less dovish talk comes out, it could strengthen the Yen and pull USD/JPY lower. 📉 3. Bond Yield Watch US-Japan 10-year yield spread is a major driver: If US yields rise faster → USD/JPY goes up If US yields fall or Japan yields rise → USD/JPY goes down 🔍 Sentiment: “The market is in wait-and-see mode, hovering just above minor support. If PPI surprises higher, USD/JPY could bounce hard. But if sentiment sours, we may retest the 141.300 or even the psychological 140.000 support. Eyes on yields and the Fed narrative.”
Short
by xxChartWhizxx
USD/JPY Bearish Trade Setup – SBR + DBD Zone Rejection📉 Trend Analysis: 🔴 Downtrend confirmed by lower highs and lower lows. 📉 Descending trendline indicates continuous bearish pressure. 🔹 Key Levels & Zones: 🔵 Resistance Zone (SBR + DBD) – 144.123 📍 (Sell Entry Point) 🟠 Stop Loss – 145.209 🚫 (Above resistance to avoid fake breakouts) 🟢 Target Point – 139.694 🎯 (Strong support area) 🏹 Expected Price Action: 🔸 Scenario: 🔺 Price moves up toward the resistance zone (🔵 SBR + DBD Zone) 🔻 Bears take control (Rejection expected) ⚡ Drop towards target at 139.694 📊 Trade Plan: ✅ Entry – Wait for rejection at 144.123 (🔵) ✅ Stop Loss – Keep at 145.209 (🛑🔺) ✅ Take Profit – Aim for 139.694 (✅🎯) 💡 Risk-Reward Ratio: Good (More reward than risk)
Short
by Jameshead007
2
USDJPY Bearish Flag Breakdown – Eyes on 140.11 Support ZoneUSDJPY is showing signs of a bearish continuation, following a breakdown from a rising wedge pattern. The recent strong drop confirms a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish, with price now forming a bear flag just below a key structure. Key Technical Zones: Current Price: 147.78 Resistance Area (Invalidation Zone): 148.11 – 151.44 Support Targets: TP1: 142.87 TP2: 140.11 Technical Confluence & Patterns: ✅ Series of Rising Wedges followed by sharp breakdowns ✅ Bear Flag Pattern forming after recent drop ✅ Lower highs & lower lows confirming downtrend ✅ Volume spike during breakdown, low volume on pullback Trade Outlook: 📉 Bias: Bearish below 148.11 📌 Entry Zone: On confirmation of flag breakdown 🎯 Target 1: 142.87 – Previous horizontal support 🎯 Target 2: 140.11 – Major swing support / demand zone 🛑 Invalidation: Break above 151.44 (major resistance zone) Conclusion: USDJPY is set up for a potential bearish continuation as it respects a textbook flag breakdown setup. A close below 147.50 would reinforce bearish pressure with further downside toward 142.87 and 140.11. Traders should monitor momentum and structure confirmation before entering positions. Let me know if you want a short caption or video script version! 📉
Short
by ultreosforex
7
Short! I opened two short positions yesterday.   I have a few short positions that I opened last week, but I feel comfortable adding more now. Entry - blue horizonal line in the chart. Stop loss - red horizontal line in the chart. Target 1, 2, 3 - black horizontal lines in the chart. If it hit target one, I will move a stop loss to the entry position.Target 1 is the previous month low so I anticipate some correction.  Once it resumes the downward movement, I plan to add position.   4H RSI provides reliable indication for pull back or trend reversal.  So I will keep an eye on it.   If you are interested in knowing my reasoning for my bearish bias, please check out the linked articles I published last week.
Short
by EbonyFalcon
USD/JPY Bearish Reversal Setup – Short from Resistance ZoneCurrent Price: ~146.252 EMA 30 (Red): ~146.573 EMA 200 (Blue): ~146.662 The price is below both EMAs, suggesting short-term bearish momentum. 📉 Trade Setup: Entry Point: 146.551 (marked on the chart) Stop Loss (SL): 148.514 (above resistance zone) Take Profit (TP): 142.374 (marked as “EA TARGET POINT”) Risk/Reward Ratio (RR): Approx. 1:2.5+ 📌 Zone Analysis: Resistance Zone: 147.6 – 148.5 (highlighted in purple) Previous highs rejected from this level multiple times. Sellers appear to be defending this zone strongly. Support Zone: 142.3 – 143.0 Previous accumulation zone marked for the TP. 🧠 Bias & Interpretation: Bearish Bias: Confirmed by: Price rejection from resistance. Below both EMA 30 & EMA 200. Bearish engulfing patterns near the resistance zone. Potential Strategy: Short from 146.551 targeting 142.374 with tight SL at 148.514. ⚠️ Watch for: Any bullish crossover between EMA 30 and EMA 200 could shift momentum. False breakouts above the resistance zone before actual reversal. Key U.S. or Japan news that may cause volatility.
Short
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
10
Explosive Rebound on USD/JPY? This Zone Has It ALL...Hi traders! Analyzing USD/JPY on the 1H timeframe, spotting a potential rebound within a descending channel: 🔹 Entry: 144.35 🔹 TP1: 145.59 🔹 TP2: 147.29 🔹 SL: 142.993 Price is currently testing the lower boundary of a well-structured descending channel — a zone that has held as dynamic support multiple times. The RSI is in oversold territory, suggesting the potential for a bullish correction. If buyers defend this area again, we could see a strong bounce toward the midline and possibly the upper boundary of the channel. Wait for bullish confirmation (e.g., strong candle or volume spike) before entering. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Every trader must evaluate their own risk and strategy.
Long
by FXOnTop
USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most nearest or swing, low or high level for Pullback Entries. Stop Loss 🛑: 📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 1D timeframe (148.800) Day/Scalping trade basis. 📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 140.000 (or) Escape Before the Target 💰💵💸USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Bearish trend.., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗 Detailed Explanation Recap ✨ Fundamentals: Policy divergence + trade risks ⚖️ favor JPY 💪. Macro: US slowdown 📉 + Japan resilience 🌱 lift JPY. Global Markets: Risk-off flows 🛡️ + yield dynamics 📜 boost JPY. COT: Speculative unwinding 📉 aligns with bearish pressure. Seasonality: Mild JPY edge in April 🌸. Intermarket: USD weakness 💸 across assets aids JPY. Quantitative: Technicals confirm bearish 📉. Sentiment: Broad bearish tilt 😟, retail as contrarian 🚨. Trend Prediction: Downward bias 📉 across timeframes. Outlook: Strong bearish case 🐻 with clear targets. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Short
by Thief_Trader
USDJPY UPDATESHello folks, this might be trend for next week. see chart above, might make a new low? This is only my view, we still have PPI tomorrow friday. The idea is LONGS. This is not a financial advice or trade signals. Trade wisely base on your own understanding. Good luck. SEE you next week for new charts on new pair of shoes, joke. new pair of forex market or indices or crypto. pewwpeww. SEE the description not the chart, I totally base on my idea on weekly to this USDJPY. are we going down?
Long
by D1GITALTRADES
#USDJPY:1351+ Bullish Move One Not To Miss| Three TPs| JPY has been bullish since the dollar strengthened, potentially leading to a trade war that would make the Japanese yen more valuable to global investors. However, we may see a strong correction on all XXXJPY pairs, potentially returning stronger with a major bullish correction. We’re not sure if the price will hit all three take profit zones, but we’re interested in how far it goes. Use accurate risk management. This analysis is purely for educational purposes only. Use your own knowledge and analysis before taking any entries. Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
25
USD/JPY(20250409)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The U.S. Customs and Border Protection Agency reiterated that the specific tax rates for each country will be announced at 12:01 a.m. on April 9. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 146.77 Support and resistance levels 148.90 148.10 147.59 145.95 145.43 144.63 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 145.95, consider buying, the first target price is 146.77 If the price breaks through 145.43, consider selling, the first target price is 144.63
Short
by BraveTigercat
USD/JPY) Bullish reversal analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update This chart is for USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe, and it presents a bullish trade setup. Let’s break down the idea --- Key Observations: 1. Current Price: USD/JPY is trading around 146.281. 2. Overall Bias: Bullish setup expecting a bounce from demand into a higher target zone. 3. EMA 200: Price is currently below the 200 EMA (147.942), which usually suggests a bearish trend — but this setup is aiming for a short-term bullish retracement. 4. Demand Zone (Buy Area): Marked in yellow between 145.822 and slightly above. Labeled as "FVG orders" (Fair Value Gap), suggesting institutional interest or imbalance fill. 5. Trendline Support: The price is approaching a rising trendline, adding confluence for a potential bounce. 6. Expected Move: Price is expected to bounce from the demand zone, form a higher low, and then move up toward the target zone at 148.221. Two upside targets are drawn: First Move: ~1.12% (30.6 pips) Full Target: ~1.76% (256.1 pips) Mr SMC Trading point 7. RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI is around 37.66, nearing oversold territory, supporting a bullish reversal idea. --- Trade Idea Summary: Bias: Bullish Entry Zone: Around 145.822 (fair value gap & trendline support) Target Zone: 148.221 Stop Loss: Likely just below the demand zone or trendline Confluence Factors: Trendline support RSI nearing oversold Fair value gap zone EMA 200 overhead (target acts as resistance) --- Pelas support boost 🚀 analysis follow
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
13