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Usdjpyanalysis

Implied volatility for USD/JPY spikes ahead of BOJ, FOMCThis time tomorrow we will finally know the outcome of the BOJ and FOMC meetings. Options traders clearly have it on their radar, as the 1-day implied volatility band has expanded to nearly 4x its usual range (defined with a 20-day average). But with bets of a hike already accompanied with a much weaker yen, traders may also want to be on guard for the potential the hike is already priced in. Or that the BOJ don't hike at all. The latter scenario could also help USD/JPY bounce quite hard heading into the FOMC meeting, where a loss-dovish-than-expected Fed could send it higher still. There is a support zone between 151.30 - 152 made up of several technical levels including a high-volume node, previous MOF intervention level and the 152 handle itself. Bulls could seek cheeky longs around such levels heading into the BOJ meeting and look to exit prior. Or hold on if they think the BOJ will disappoint (which they tend to do these days at their meetings). and that could see 152 act as a springboard. However, the 151.30 - 152 zone could quickly turn into an opened trap door should the BOJ deliver the hawkish meeting alongside a dovish tone from the Fed that markets are so desperately seeking.
by CityIndex
USDJPY Analysis==>>Falling Wedge PatternUSDJPY is moving in an Ascending Channel and Falling Wedge Pattern . According to the theory of Elliott waves , USDJPY seems to have succeeded in completing corrective waves in the Falling Wedge Pattern . I expect USDJPY to rise to at least the first target after breaking the upper line of the Falling Wedge Pattern . U.S.Dollar/Japanese Yen Analyze ( USDJPY ), 1-hour time frame⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
24
USDJPY ( INSIDE OLD DEMAND ZONE ) (4H)USDJPY HELLO TRADERS Tendency , the price inside two turning level at 154.786 & 153.625 . TURNING LEVEL (1) : the price of this level at 154.786 , so if the price breaking this level reach a resistance level (1) . TURNING LEVEL (2) : the price of this level at 153.625 , so if the price breaking this level reach a support level (1) . RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 157.687 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level (1) . RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 159.893 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1) . SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 151.996 , for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level (2) . SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 150.180, for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) . CORRECTIVE LEVEL : currently price 153.931 , have two scenario , first corrective 154.786 , before dropping to touch a 153.625 , then 151.996 , second corrective 153.625 to reach a 154.786, then breaking this level reach a resistance level (1). TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 157.687 , 159.893 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 151.996 , 150.180.
by ArinaKarayi
2
USDJPY Up zoneUSD/JPY is extending recovery above 155.00 in the European session on Tuesday. The pair stretches higher, as the US Dollar capitalizes on a cautious mood while Japanese Yen traders adjust their positions ahead of Wednesday's BoJ policy decision. The USD/JPY pair trades back and forth in a tight range above the crucial support of 156.00 on Monday’s European session. The asset shifts to the sidelines with investors focusing on the interest rate announcements by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Federal Reserve (Fed), which are scheduled for Wednesday. USD/JPY is the forex ticker that shows the value of the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. It tells traders how many Yen are needed to buy a US Dollar. The Dollar-Yen is one of the most traded forex pairs - second only to EUR/USD - and is a benchmark for Asian economic health and even the global economy. View the live Dollar-Yen rate with the USD/JPY chart and improve your technical and fundamental analysis with the latest USD/JPY forecast, news and analysis.
Short
by JohnHarry_7
UsdJpy could test 157,50 zone (250 pips rise)After an impressive 1000-pip drop in two weeks, USD/JPY reversed precisely from an old resistance level, now support at 152. At this point, we also see a higher low in place, and bulls seem determined to recover lost ground. In the overall trend, the 1000-pip drop is merely a correction and even if there will be a new leg down toward the important 150 level, a test of the 157.50 zone is probable. I remain bullish as long as the 152.80-153.00 zone holds intact. Buying dips below 154 could be a good strategy with a risk-reward ratio of more than 1:3.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
2
USDJPY → Trade Analysis | SELL SetupThe price has fallen under the dynamic support, which now acts as resistance. We expect the decline to continue after testing the lower boundary of the channel. Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Short
by TheGrove
6
USDJPY ( UNDER BEARISH PRESSURE ) (4H)USDJPY HELLO TRADERS Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , as long as trading below turning level . TURNING LEVEL : the price of turning level around 154.740, so if the price breaking this level reach a first resistance level , as long as price trading below this level reach a first support level RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 157.875, for reach this resistance the price it will be breaking turning level . RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 159.868 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h candle above resistance level (1) SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 152.243 , for reach this support level the price need stabilizing below a turning level . SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 150.193, for reach this level the price will be breaking by open 1h or 4h candle below support level (1) . CORRECTIVE : the price may be corrective turning level at 154.740, before drooping . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL :157.875 , 159.868 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 152.243 , 150.193 .
Short
by ArinaKarayi
1-Hour Chart Analysis USDJPYVISIT FOURTRADES WEBSITE FOR MORE INSIGHT The 1-hour chart reveals more granular details of the recent price action. The pair has formed a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern at the resistance zone around 157.00, which is a strong bearish signal. This pattern indicates a potential reversal to the downside. Furthermore, the pair is approaching a support level around 155.50, which could provide a short-term bounce. However, if this level is breached, the next target would be the 154.00 support level. Daily Chart Analysis The USD/JPY pair has been trading within an ascending channel for the past few months. Recently, the pair... Visit fourtrades website Link in the bio 4-Hour Chart Analysis On the 4-hour chart, the USD/JPY pair has shown a clear break below a previous low, which adds to the bearish outlook seen on the daily chart. The price action is ... Visit fourtrades website for more insights Link in the bio
Short
by FourtradesTV
2
The yen exchange rate jumped because speculators feared interven An ascending flag pattern appears, showing the recovery of USDJPY when news about the stock market or the recent presidential appointment continues to be good for the US market. The USD fell to its lowest stage in approximately 2 months, a improvement amplified via way of means of the pointy boom withinside the fee of the yen that triggered turmoil in worldwide foreign money markets withinside the buying and selling consultation on Wednesday and this morning (18 /7). Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, an index of Bloomberg information organization that measures the USD alternate charge instantaneous marketplace, fell via way of means of 0.4% on Wednesday, to its lowest stage when you consider that past due May. This morning, the index persevered persevered to fall further, whilst the yen/USD alternate charge from time to time accelerated to 155.7 yen for 1 USD. In addition to the downward strain at the USD from the opportunity that americaA Federal Reserve (Fed) can also additionally decrease hobby costs in September, the yen additionally accelerated sharply because of hypothesis withinside the marketplace that Japanese government can preserve to interfere withinside the forex marketplace to assist the home foreign exchange charge. The yen has accelerated in fee via way of means of approximately 4% when you consider that closing Thursday - the time while Japanese government are stated to have intervened via way of means of promoting overseas foreign money into the marketplace. Japan`s Ministry of Finance and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) can also additionally have persevered to interfere on Friday. In addition, the yen additionally accelerated in fee due to the fact an influential Japanese flesh presser referred to as at the BOJ to elevate hobby costs to assist the yen alternate charge, and previous US President Donald Trump issued a caution approximately the devaluation fashion of the yen. yen - a component that allows Japan advantage a higher aggressive role in exports. Before this recovery, the yen closing week fell to almost 162 yen in line with USD, its lowest stage in 38 years. Fluctuations withinside the USD/Japanese yen alternate charge appear to have had a robust effect on different USD foreign money pairs - in step with leader strategist Valentin Marinov of Credit Agricole bank.
Long
by TheLeader_WOLF
Yen Bulls Hedge Funds Reduce Short Bets with BOJ Intervention The Japanese Yen (JPY) has been a story of woe in 2024, weakening considerably against the US Dollar (USD) due to a widening interest rate gap between the two countries. However, a recent shift in sentiment is brewing, with hedge funds reducing their bearish bets on the Yen in a significant move. Hedge Funds Cut Short Bets on Yen in Historic Move According to data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), leveraged funds reduced their net short positions on the Yen by a staggering 38,025 contracts during the week ending July 16th. This marks the largest single-week reduction in short positions since March 2011, highlighting a potential turning point in the Yen's fortunes. Despite this significant cutback, it's important to note that hedge funds remain net short on the Yen, holding a total of 76,588 short contracts. This indicates a cautious optimism, with some investors still hesitant to fully embrace a Yen rebound. Intervention and Policy Shifts Fuel Yen's Rise The retreat from short positions by hedge funds coincides with several developments that have bolstered the Yen. Most notably, the Japanese government is suspected of intervening in the currency market to support the Yen. Reports suggest that Japanese authorities spent a substantial JPY 5.64 trillion (approximately USD 35.8 billion) over two trading sessions to prop up the currency from near its weakest levels since the 1980s. This intervention likely played a significant role in halting the Yen's decline and triggering a rebound against the USD. Beyond intervention, the Yen has also benefited from shifting expectations regarding US monetary policy. The Federal Reserve, which has been raising interest rates aggressively to combat inflation, may be nearing the peak of its tightening cycle. Increased expectations of a potential Fed rate cut in September have narrowed the interest rate gap between the US and Japan, making the Yen a more attractive proposition for some investors. Trump's Comments Add Fuel to the Fire Adding another layer of intrigue to the Yen's recent strengthening are comments from former US President Donald Trump. Trump, known for his unorthodox views on currency valuations, has reportedly criticized the weakness of the Yen. While his influence on markets is less pronounced than when he held office, his comments may have added a touch of uncertainty for USD bulls, potentially encouraging some to reduce their long positions. A Tentative Rebound or a Long-Term Shift? The recent developments surrounding the Yen paint a complex picture. While the reduction in short positions and the Yen's rebound are positive signs, it's too early to declare a definitive reversal. The overall direction of the Yen will likely hinge on several factors, including: • Future Actions by the Bank of Japan (BOJ): The BOJ, unlike many central banks, has maintained its ultra-loose monetary policy. Any indication of a potential shift towards tighter monetary policy could further bolster the Yen. • The Trajectory of US Interest Rates: If the Fed continues with its aggressive rate hikes, the interest rate gap between the US and Japan will widen, putting downward pressure on the Yen. • Global Risk Sentiment: The Yen is often seen as a safe-haven currency. If global economic uncertainty increases, investors may flock to the Yen, driving its value up. Conclusion: A Yen in Flux The Yen's recent strengthening and the reduction in short positions by hedge funds represent a potential turning point. However, the future trajectory of the Yen remains uncertain, dependent on a confluence of factors. Investors should closely monitor developments in both the Japanese and US economies, as well as broader market sentiment, to gauge the Yen's long-term prospects.
by bryandowningqln
USDJPY - UniverseMetta - Analysis#USDJPY - UniverseMetta - Analysis D1 - We are in the oversold zone, the price has also adjusted by 4% from the maximum. H4 - A 3 wave structure may form. The entry can be considered from these levels or wait until the structure is formed. The most likely scenario is to consolidate behind the trend line and continue to consider purchases. Stop for the formed fractal/2nd wave. Local targets 158.350. Next, a correction may form, and volumes can be increased for further upward movement if there is a retest of the level. The reverse side is the formation of an ABC structure and a further downward fall. Target 158.350. - 161.930
Long
by Trade-U-Metta
1
7 Dimension Buy Trade For USDJPY Core Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts 😇7 Dimension Analysis Time Frame: 15M 1: Swing Structure: Bullish with BOS after taking the inducement. Bullish impulsive swing move starts making a pullback in the internal structure POI liquidity zone. External POI OB FVG already taken from the discounted area. 🟢 Entry Model: Whale scoop Support liquidity demand area might act as a reversal zone. 2: Pattern 🟢 CHART PATTERNS: No chart pattern is formed. Shakeout continuation. 🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS: No significant candle pattern here. 3: Volume: Volume is almost dry during the whole corrective move, but we observed huge volume when the price takes liquidity or forms a false breakout. 4: Momentum RSI 🟢 RSI is still in the bullish zone, taking support on the extreme bullish support 40 level. No range shift yet and not any bullish support divergence. A bearish loud move makes some doubt, but it will confirm when the price gives a proper breakout on any side in this momentum range. 5: Volatility Bollinger Bands 🟢 A strong contraction is forming. This contraction breakout will confirm the proper move. 6: Strength: USD is still weaker. 7: Sentiment: Buy for the short term. ✔️ Entry Time Frame: 15M ✅ Entry TF Structure: Bullish ✔ Entry time liquidity take waiting 💡 Decision: Buy 🚀 Entry: 157.170 ✋ Stop Loss: 156.890 🎯 Take Profit: 158.275 😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 4RR 🕛 Expected Duration: 1 Day Short SUMMARY: Analysis supports a strong buy position based on the Smart Money Concepts methodology, with expected bullish momentum and high potential reward.
Long
by Optimum369
Yen's Sudden Strength: Is the Bank of Japan Back in Action?The recent dramatic rise of the Japanese yen has sent ripples through the financial world. Three sharp surges – on July 11th, 12th, and 17th – have fueled speculation that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is once again intervening in currency markets. These interventions have resulted in a 4% appreciation of the yen against the US dollar, bringing it to ¥156 per dollar. This is a significant rise, especially considering the yen's plunge to 37-year lows earlier in July. While the BoJ hasn't explicitly confirmed its involvement, the timing and nature of the surges strongly suggest its influence. Central banks typically intervene in currency markets to achieve specific economic goals. In the case of Japan, the recent depreciation of the yen has become a cause for concern. A weaker yen makes imports more expensive, contributing to inflation. Additionally, it can destabilize financial markets and harm Japanese exporters who rely on a competitive exchange rate. Possible Reasons for Intervention: • Curbing Inflation: Japan has recently experienced a rise in inflation, exceeding the BoJ's target of 2%. A stronger yen makes imported goods cheaper, helping to ease inflationary pressures. • Supporting Exporters: A weaker yen can initially benefit exporters by making their products cheaper overseas. However, a persistently weak currency can erode profitability in the long run. By stabilizing the yen, the BoJ might be aiming to create a more predictable environment for Japanese exporters. • Signaling Resolve: The BoJ has maintained an ultra-loose monetary policy for years, keeping interest rates near zero. This policy has contributed to the yen's weakness. By intervening in the market, the BoJ might be sending a signal of its commitment to preventing further depreciation. Potential Challenges and Implications: • Market Backlash: Excessive intervention by the BoJ could be seen as manipulating the market. This could lead to a loss of confidence in the yen and potentially trigger counter-interventions by other central banks. • Limited Effectiveness: The effectiveness of currency intervention is often debated. While it can achieve short-term results, it's difficult to sustain a stronger yen in the long run if underlying economic fundamentals don't support it. • Impact on Global Markets: A stronger yen can have a ripple effect on global markets. It can make Japanese investments less attractive to foreign investors and potentially trigger capital outflows. Looking Ahead: The BoJ's recent actions have certainly bolstered the yen. However, it remains to be seen whether this can be sustained. The long-term trajectory of the yen will depend on various factors, including global economic conditions, interest rate policies, and investor sentiment. The BoJ might need to continue intervening if it wants to maintain a more stable exchange rate. However, it will have to tread carefully to avoid unintended consequences and potential market backlash. In conclusion, the recent surge in the yen's value has reignited the debate about currency intervention. While the BoJ's actions might provide some temporary relief, the long-term outlook for the yen remains uncertain. The future path of the Japanese economy and global financial conditions will ultimately determine the fate of the yen.
by bryandowningqln
1
USDJPY I Yen jumps on suspected intervention - more downsideWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Short
by BKTradingAcademy
2