#USDJPY: Possible Second Buy Entry Worth up to +800 pips! Dear Traders,
Our first entry turn out to be in our favour and we expect price to rise even higher and higher. USD dominance over JPY is significant and in no soon time, we can expect BOJ to change any policies or intervene in the market. We may see some correction in the market but it is very unlikely that it will be reversal.
Good luck and trade safe!
Team Setupsfx
Usdjpybuy
Japan's efforts to protect the yen exchange rate fell into vain"ALL THE PROBLEM IS WITH THE FED"
On Wednesday`s buying and selling consultation, the yen fell to 160.88 yen for 1 USD, the bottom degree due to the fact that 1986. Early this morning (June 27) withinside the Asian marketplace, the yen rebounded slightly. 160.sixty three yen to at least one USD.
The yen has depreciated approximately 2% this June and fallen 12% due to the fact that the start of the yr as compared to the USD, withinside the context of a regular growth withinside the USD alternate price due to the fact expectancies approximately whilst the Fed will begin decreasing hobby prices are constantly driven back. .
The Dollar Index, which measures the power of the USD in opposition to a basket of six different predominant currencies, has accelerated 1.25% this month and is up 4.sixty three% due to the fact that the start of the yr - consistent with facts from MarketWatch. On Wednesday consultation, Dollar Index handed 106 points, the very best in 2 months.
The predominant motive of the yen devaluation as compared to the USD is the hobby price distinction among americaA and Japan. The Fed's short-time period hobby price is five.25-five.five% and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is 0-0.1%, making the yen an appealing investment foreign money. in hobby price differential transactions (bring trade).
According to Bloomberg, international traders recognize that the yen will face downward stress so long as USD hobby prices stay high. In the worldwide foreign money marketplace with a transaction fee of 7.five trillion USD according to day, the non-stop devaluation of the yen is a clearer proof of US affect withinside the economic sector.
“The hassle is all with the Fed. Higher and longer hobby prices withinside the US are attracting cash to americaA and making the USD robust," stated leader bond funding strategist of NatAlliance Securities LLC, Mr. Andrew Brenner. Mr. Brenner stated that for Japan, that is a challenge.
Wednesday's buying and selling consultation completely contemplated America's dominant function in international economic markets. The Dollar Index's 0.4% growth this consultation positioned downward stress on nearly all different currencies withinside the world. The US inventory marketplace is on course to finish some other area of robust gains, whilst the Ministry of Finance without difficulty bought all 70 billion USD of Treasury bonds withinside the public sale at the equal day.
For the yen, the tale is absolutely different. At an alternate price of almost 161 yen to at least one USD, the foreign money has depreciated past the factor in which Japanese government intervened withinside the forex marketplace in past due April and early May. This manner efforts Spending greater than 60 billion USD to defend Tokyo's yen alternate price has "failed", however happily it handiest bogged down the price of devaluation of the yen.
USDJPY: 800+ Pips Buying Opportunity! Swing Trading Dear Traders,
Hope you are doing great, price of USDJPY remain tricky. Previously, we had anticipated that price will drop heavily, however, due to weak Japanese yen price remain bullish as it was before. We still currently in a correction zone, where we can expect price to drop slightly lower to our area of entry and then we can see a strong buyers liquidity kicking in the market.
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Team Setupsfx_
USDJPY Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaAnalyzing the USDJPY on the daily chart reveals a clear bullish trend. The pair is currently testing a significant resistance level. Although I'm considering a long position, I won't enter at this point. Instead, I’m looking for a pullback. On the 30-minute chart, there’s a noticeable bullish imbalance and an order block just below the current price. My ideal entry would be a retracement to the 50-61.8% Fibonacci level, which aligns with these areas. In the accompanying video, we delve into the trend, market structure, price action, and other crucial technical analysis elements. Remember, this video is purely educational and not financial advice.
USDJPY keeps breaking recordsThe USD/JPY pair traded near a seven-week high above 158.00 during today's European session. The rally appears to have paused amid uncertainty over the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate path and the release of Japan's national Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for May , will be announced on Friday.
Market expectations for the Fed to start cutting interest rates from its September meeting intensified after US Retail Sales data for May missed estimates. Monthly retail sales increased 0.1%, slower than expectations of 0.2%. The Retail Sales report also showed households cutting back on discretionary spending, suggesting weak purchasing power due to high inflationary interest rates.
At the Tokyo front, the Japanese Yen weakened despite the minutes of the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) June meeting showing that Governor Kazuo Ueda advocated raising interest rates earlier than expected. BoJ Ueda advocates further policy tightening due to rising inflation risks due to the weak Yen. Japan's exports have become competitive in global markets and import costs have increased, which could push price pressure higher.
This week, the main factor affecting the Japanese Yen will be the national CPI data. Annual national CPI excluding Fresh Food is expected to increase to 2.6% from 2.2% previously.
The pair will likely continue to increase by more than half with the expectation of the upper border at 159,600-160,200. At this point, it is necessary to have adjustment policies of the Japanese economy as the currency and economy become increasingly weaker.
USDJPY TO 160+ 12H CHARTI have USDJPY going to 160 and beyond..... price may be a little choppy until then but I am Long on this pair and I've been using every dip (when price takes bearish dive) as a buying opportunity. I can see price testing the previous highs of 157.844 (yellow level) and eventually breaking and closing above it, once this level of previous resistance (157.844) is then used as support; that will act as yet another form of confirmation that price in en'route the 160 level.
USDJPY Bullish Side Money heist Plan to Become RichMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist USDJPY Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous Level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
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💡 USDJPY: Analysis May 23USDJPY has invalidated the doji signal and continued to increase in the past session. It has now approached the previous peak at 156.7, but has not yet shown a breakout signal. This price behavior is detrimental to our current selling strategy, but we still do not encourage you to change tactics because the risk of exchange rate intervention from the BoJ is still present and the price has not yet reached its peak. than. Brothers continue to hold existing short positions, SL placed above level 156.7. In case the price continues to go up and breaks this barrier, you should temporarily stop trading and wait for new signals.
💡 H1 trend: Sideway
Today trading idea: Sell.
USDJPY: Can Japan use bond tools to support the Yen?Japanese authorities may have intervened twice in recent weeks to support the yen as it hit its lowest level in decades against the dollar, and they may have used reserves cash to do it.
BofA said a drop in demand for U.S. Treasury bonds could push up interest rates slightly and narrow spreads on the secured overnight lending rate (SOFR), a reference rate tied to mortgage agreements. Convenient to buy overnight.
USDJPY: USDJPY analysis todayDespite the dollar's general weakness against most of its counterparts, it continues to rise against the Japanese yen. The dollar rose 0.12% to 156.245 yen today, after previously reaching 156.80 yen. Japan's long-term yield remains low at 0.955%, even as the Bank of Japan's stance becomes more hawkish and the likelihood of a rate hike in June increases.
The dollar's recent peak against the yen on April 29, a 34-year high, prompted suspected interventions from the Bank of Japan and the Japanese Ministry of Finance. . Analysts, including IG's Tony Sycamore, speculate on the possibility of further intervention depending on the outcome of the US CPI report.
USDJPY Friday planUSDJPY is on the way to perform a massive drop on the long term, but actually i am looking to scalp it on this boring friday. I am waiting a possible long setup, that could start with a little drop till the support zone 154.75, and here i expect a bounce. Only if the price will start to bounce there, i will look for a long tomorrow, at the beginning of the NY session
Timing the BOJ's next intervention? We have seen 2 interventions from the BOJ over the past 2 weeks.
The first came when the USDJPY hit between 158.000 and 160.000 and the second when it hit almost 158.000.
With the BOJ warning that it is ready and willing to step in again, how smart is it to try to catch the ride down if or when the BOJ steps in again?
Finance Minister Shunich Suzuki reiterated the authorities' readiness to counter excessive foreign exchange fluctuations.
At the same time, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda expressed intent to assess yen movements' impact on inflation for guiding policy decisions. "Foreign exchange rates make a significant impact on the economy and inflation,” Ueda underscored in response to questions in parliament yesterday. But this is perhaps a slightly different story, but still, something for traders to consider.
Last week, BOJ data suggested it had spent $60 billion to defend the yen.
But all this has done, according to some analysts, is buy the Japanese authorities time, with the USDJPY steadily climbing back to intervention levels (given the substantial interest rate difference between Japan and the US).
But can we expect the BOJ to intervene again and again?
US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen emphasized interventions should be infrequent and ideally coordinated with the broader central banking community, or at least signaled in advance. So, the BOJ will be wary of its international reputation too.
USDJPY: Japanese Yen reverses some gains, USDJPY risesThe Japanese yen USDJPY rose 0.6% on Monday, although trading volumes in the currency were limited due to a market holiday in Japan.
The rate is inversely linked to the strength of the yen, which has fallen sharply from a 34-year high of more than 160 yen last week amid signs of repeated government intervention in currency markets.
But given that the fundamentals behind the yen's weakness - primarily the wide gap between US and domestic interest rates - remain, the yen's decline continues.
USDJPY: The Japanese yen rose suddenly amid intervention speculaThe Japanese yen experienced a notable rise on Monday, which analysts interpreted as a potential sign of intervention by Japanese authorities in the foreign exchange market. The move comes after a significant depreciation of the yen, which has fallen nearly 11% against the dollar this year and 35% over the past three decades, recently hitting a 34-year low.
Monday's operation follows months of warnings from Japan that it may intervene in foreign exchange markets. The Japanese government's most recent intervention took place in September and October 2022, with an estimated 9.2 trillion yen ($60.78 billion) spent to support the currency. This is not the first case of intervention; During the 1998 Asian financial crisis, the yen fell nearly 25% in 14 months, prompting the United States to join Japan in a successful intervention effort.
#USDJPY: Still Bullish, Next Target 163.00| SetupsFX_ |Dear Traders,
Hope you are doing great, right here we have an excellent opportunity of buying USDJPY, JPY plummeted few days ago as BOJ kept the interest rate as the same and decided not to change. Leading a heavy sell off on YEN. However, price did make strong correction right after the sell off, though we think it was temporary correction. Right now price is at perfect buying area from which it can rebound strongly.
Like and Comment if you like or agree with our idea! :)
USDJPY → Aiming for 176.500!? Let's Dig In.USD/JPY broke ascending triangle pattern at the 152.00 Resistance level per my last analysis. Since then, we have seen the completion of the measured move to 154.500 followed by a third leg up to 158.350! Is this the moment to long? Or are we in for a hard sell-off?
Previous Analysis:
How do we trade this? 🤔
I would not long the market open. After a strong Friday push, traders are far more likely to take profits, likely pulling the price down to the 156.000-157.000 range with the possibility of a hard wick to the 153.000-154.000 area. That being said, we should remain long-biased and buy these pullbacks, as USD/JPY has been on this bull trend since January 2021.
This trade pertains to the Weekly timeframe. I would drill into the 4HR and Daily to find more precise entries. It's reasonable to assume the pullback at this level, so we should look for a bounce at one of the key areas mentioned and enter a long position. On the Weekly, aim for a first take profit of 169.500 where half the position is taken off the table, then move the stop loss up to the entry price. The second take profit should be taken just before the 1978 key level of 176.900.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: 156.700
🟥 Stop Loss: 150.300
✅ Take Profit #1: 169.500
✅ Take Profit #2: 175.900
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Breakout of key 152.000 price level
2. Strong bullish price action completing the measured move to 154.500
3. Third leg to 158.350 complete, wait for a pullback
4. Enter a 1:3 Risk/Reward trade taking half profits at 1:2 Risk/Reward.
5. RSI at 74.00 and above the Moving Average, supports pullback.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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USDJPY Cup & Handle Pattern Indicates Bullish Breakout PotentialInstrument: USD/JPY
Pattern Formation: Cup and Handle
Current Situation: Near Key Resistance Level
Analysis:
The USD/JPY currency pair has been exhibiting a compelling technical setup, characterized by the formation of a Cup and Handle pattern near a crucial resistance level. This pattern suggests a potential bullish continuation in the prevailing uptrend.
The Cup and Handle pattern typically signifies a period of consolidation followed by a breakout to the upside. As such, we anticipate a bullish breakout in the near term, indicating favorable trading opportunities for market participants.
Trade Recommendation:
- Entry Point: Initiate long positions upon a re-test of the price near 151.900, ideally confirming the bullish momentum.
- Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss order at 150.180 to mitigate potential downside risk and preserve capital in the event of adverse price movements.
- Take Profit Targets:
- TP-1: Set the first take-profit target at 153.650, reflecting a conservative projection of the upward price movement.
- TP-2: Aim for a secondary take-profit level at 155.400 to capitalize on extended bullish momentum, considering the potential for further upside.
Risk Management:
It is crucial to adhere to proper risk management practices, including position sizing and stop-loss placement, to safeguard against unexpected market fluctuations. Traders should also remain vigilant and adjust their positions accordingly based on evolving market conditions.
Conclusion:
In summary, the technical analysis suggests a bullish outlook for the USD/JPY currency pair, with the formation of a Cup and Handle pattern near a key resistance level. Traders may consider implementing long positions, with defined entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels, to capitalize on the anticipated upward breakout.
Note:
This analysis is based solely on technical factors and does not account for fundamental or external market influences. Traders should conduct their own research and exercise discretion before entering any trades.
usdjpyUSD/JPY is the forex ticker that shows the value of the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. It tells traders how many Yen are needed to buy a US Dollar. The Dollar-Yen is one of the most traded forex pairs - second only to EUR/USD - and is a benchmark for Asian economic health and even the global economy. View the live Dollar-Yen rate with the USD/JPY chart and improve your technical and fundamental analysis with the latest USD/JPY forecast, news and analysis.
USDJPY: 1200+ Swing Buy Idea in Making | Share your views?Due to yen bearish dominance and usd strong bullish momentum USDJPY has reached a record high where it is harder to pin point the bearish reversal. Though we can identify the next swing buying opportunity and that what we did, we have identified possible bullish rebound point.
Good luck and trade safe.