#USDJPY: Still Bullish, Next Target 163.00| SetupsFX_ |Dear Traders,
Hope you are doing great, right here we have an excellent opportunity of buying USDJPY, JPY plummeted few days ago as BOJ kept the interest rate as the same and decided not to change. Leading a heavy sell off on YEN. However, price did make strong correction right after the sell off, though we think it was temporary correction. Right now price is at perfect buying area from which it can rebound strongly.
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Usdjpybuy
USDJPY → Aiming for 176.500!? Let's Dig In.USD/JPY broke ascending triangle pattern at the 152.00 Resistance level per my last analysis. Since then, we have seen the completion of the measured move to 154.500 followed by a third leg up to 158.350! Is this the moment to long? Or are we in for a hard sell-off?
Previous Analysis:
How do we trade this? 🤔
I would not long the market open. After a strong Friday push, traders are far more likely to take profits, likely pulling the price down to the 156.000-157.000 range with the possibility of a hard wick to the 153.000-154.000 area. That being said, we should remain long-biased and buy these pullbacks, as USD/JPY has been on this bull trend since January 2021.
This trade pertains to the Weekly timeframe. I would drill into the 4HR and Daily to find more precise entries. It's reasonable to assume the pullback at this level, so we should look for a bounce at one of the key areas mentioned and enter a long position. On the Weekly, aim for a first take profit of 169.500 where half the position is taken off the table, then move the stop loss up to the entry price. The second take profit should be taken just before the 1978 key level of 176.900.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: 156.700
🟥 Stop Loss: 150.300
✅ Take Profit #1: 169.500
✅ Take Profit #2: 175.900
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Breakout of key 152.000 price level
2. Strong bullish price action completing the measured move to 154.500
3. Third leg to 158.350 complete, wait for a pullback
4. Enter a 1:3 Risk/Reward trade taking half profits at 1:2 Risk/Reward.
5. RSI at 74.00 and above the Moving Average, supports pullback.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
USDJPY Cup & Handle Pattern Indicates Bullish Breakout PotentialInstrument: USD/JPY
Pattern Formation: Cup and Handle
Current Situation: Near Key Resistance Level
Analysis:
The USD/JPY currency pair has been exhibiting a compelling technical setup, characterized by the formation of a Cup and Handle pattern near a crucial resistance level. This pattern suggests a potential bullish continuation in the prevailing uptrend.
The Cup and Handle pattern typically signifies a period of consolidation followed by a breakout to the upside. As such, we anticipate a bullish breakout in the near term, indicating favorable trading opportunities for market participants.
Trade Recommendation:
- Entry Point: Initiate long positions upon a re-test of the price near 151.900, ideally confirming the bullish momentum.
- Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss order at 150.180 to mitigate potential downside risk and preserve capital in the event of adverse price movements.
- Take Profit Targets:
- TP-1: Set the first take-profit target at 153.650, reflecting a conservative projection of the upward price movement.
- TP-2: Aim for a secondary take-profit level at 155.400 to capitalize on extended bullish momentum, considering the potential for further upside.
Risk Management:
It is crucial to adhere to proper risk management practices, including position sizing and stop-loss placement, to safeguard against unexpected market fluctuations. Traders should also remain vigilant and adjust their positions accordingly based on evolving market conditions.
Conclusion:
In summary, the technical analysis suggests a bullish outlook for the USD/JPY currency pair, with the formation of a Cup and Handle pattern near a key resistance level. Traders may consider implementing long positions, with defined entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels, to capitalize on the anticipated upward breakout.
Note:
This analysis is based solely on technical factors and does not account for fundamental or external market influences. Traders should conduct their own research and exercise discretion before entering any trades.
usdjpyUSD/JPY is the forex ticker that shows the value of the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. It tells traders how many Yen are needed to buy a US Dollar. The Dollar-Yen is one of the most traded forex pairs - second only to EUR/USD - and is a benchmark for Asian economic health and even the global economy. View the live Dollar-Yen rate with the USD/JPY chart and improve your technical and fundamental analysis with the latest USD/JPY forecast, news and analysis.
USDJPY: 1200+ Swing Buy Idea in Making | Share your views?Due to yen bearish dominance and usd strong bullish momentum USDJPY has reached a record high where it is harder to pin point the bearish reversal. Though we can identify the next swing buying opportunity and that what we did, we have identified possible bullish rebound point.
Good luck and trade safe.
USDJPY → At 152.000 Resistance! Will it break to 160.000?USD/JPY has been bullish since January 2021 and is currently in an ascending triangle pattern, indicating a potential push through the 152.000 resistance level. Is this the moment to long?
How do we trade this? 🤔
We need to wait for a confirmed breakout of 152.000. The probability of a breakout is high, but we need the confirmation of support at 152.000 to justify a long entry. Once we see a strong bull candle off of support, a 1:2 Risk/Reward on the Weekly timeframe is a straightforward trade to take. The RSI is around 60.00 and above the Moving Average, providing enough headroom for a move to the upside.
It's also reasonable to take a long trade on the Daily timeframe which will allow you to get an earlier entry and a better Risk/Reward, but the Weekly timeframe provides us with a clearer picture of the situation. When Take Profit #1 is hit, half of the position should be sold, the stop loss should be moved to the entry price, and the second half of the position should go to Take Profit #2. This locks in profits after the first take profit which is at 1:1 Risk/Reward.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: 153.570
🟥 Stop Loss: 150.900
✅ Take Profit #1: $156.400
✅ Take Profit #2: $158.900
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Ascending Triangle at 152.000 Resistance level, a bullish pattern.
2. 30EMA providing key support above the ascending support band.
3. Wait for a breakout of 152.000 resistance and confirmation of support to long
4. Enter a 1:2 Risk/Reward trade taking half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward.
5. RSI at 60.00 and above the Moving Average, supports long bias.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
Usdjpy signal USD/JPY is sitting at multi-decade highs shy of 154.00 in the European session on Monday. The Japanese Yen continues to be undermined by the BoJ’s uncertain outlook about future rate hikes. Intervention fears and persistent geopolitical tensions could help limit losses for the safe-haven JPY.
From a technical perspective, the post-US CPI breakout through a two-week-old trading range resistance near the 152.00 mark favors bullish traders. That said, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart – though it has eased from higher levels – is hovering near overbought territory. This makes it prudent to wait for some near-term consolidation or a modest pullback before positioning for any further appreciating move. In the meantime, the multi-decade high, around the 153.25-153.30 region, now seems to act as an immediate hurdle, above which the USD/JPY pair could aim to reclaim the 154.00 round figure.
On the flip side, any meaningful corrective decline below the overnight swing low, around the 152.75 zone, is more likely to attract fresh buyers and remain limited near the trading range breakout point, now turned support, near the 152.00 mark. The said handle should now act as a strong base for the USD/JPY pair, which, if broken decisively, might prompt some profit-taking and pave the way for a slide towards the 151.40 intermediate support en route to the 151.00 round figure. Some follow-through selling will suggest that spot prices have topped out in the near term and shift the bias in favor of bearish traders.
USD/JPY is the forex ticker that shows the value of the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. It tells traders how many Yen are needed to buy a US Dollar. The Dollar-Yen is one of the most traded forex pairs - second only to EUR/USD - and is a benchmark for Asian economic health and even the global economy. View the live Dollar-Yen rate with the USD/JPY chart and improve your technical and fundamental analysis with the latest USD/JPY forecast, news and analysis.
Confirm Chart
USDJPY: USD/JPY returns to 152 regardless of intervention threat
The Japanese yen weakened barely on Tuesday, with USDJPY now lower back toward 152 - its maximum stage in view that 1990.
The yen`s weak spot comes whilst Japanese officers time and again warn that they'll reply correctly to hypothesis in opposition to the yen. However, promoting momentum piled at the yen, specially withinside the face of better longer-dated US hobby costs, that have been the principle weight at the Japanese foreign money for almost years.
The yen additionally obtained little assist from the Bank of Japan's first hobby fee hike in 17 years, because the valuable financial institution presented dovish alerts on destiny coverage decisions. .
Dollar steadies on CPI information, recognition on Fed assembly minutes
The greenback index and greenback index futures had been little modified in Asian buying and selling after posting a few in a single day losses. But buyers are nevertheless in large part biased toward the dollar given the numerous alerts on US hobby costs this week.
Consumer Price Index inflation information for March is due out on Wednesday and is extensively anticipated to expose inflation final properly above the Fed's 2% annual target, leaving the valuable financial institution with little Motivation to begin reducing hobby costs soon.
Minutes from the Fed's March assembly can also be launched on Wednesday and are available amid developing doubts approximately whether or not the valuable financial institution will begin reducing hobby costs in June.
A string of Fed officers warned that difficult inflation could maintain the Fed from reducing hobby costs early this year.
USDJPY SELL | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY
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Minutes of the Bank of Japan`s January assembly - the opportunit
Minutes of the Bank of Japan's financial coverage assembly on January 22 and 23, 2024, complete textual content here:
Members agreed that they have got now no longer but reached the level in which the inflation goal may be done sustainably
Members proportion the view that the probabilities of attaining 2% inflation are increasing, so if we are able to affirm a tremendous cycle in wages and inflation, we are able to take into account finishing bad hobby charges and Unusual loosening steps
Some individuals stated the hazard of inflation exceeding the 2% goal had emerge as smaller
One member stated if a ruling on finishing bad hobby charges is delayed, it'd prevent efforts to attain the 2% goal and referred to as for a fast tightening.
One member stated now's a once-in-a-lifetime possibility to extrade financial coverage
One member stated the scope for financial coverage flexibility might be decrease for Japan as different nations pass to reduce hobby charges.
Some individuals trust that they have to forestall shopping for ETFs and JREITs if they could attain the inflation goal
Some individuals stated the BOJ isn't below stress to hurry up hobby fee will increase like in Western nations.
Decoding USD/JPY Future in a Changing Economic Landscape
Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis for USD/JPY
1. Monthly Time Frame:
- Key Observation: Noticeable rejection of the USD/JPY price at a significant support level, indicating potential bullish sentiment or a reversal point.
- Additional Note: High liquidity observed at price highs, marked by two equal highs, which could signify resistance zones.
2. Weekly Time Frame:
- Key Observation: Transition in market structure from bearish to bullish, indicating a potential longer-term upward trend for USD/JPY.
3. Daily Time Frame:
- Key Observation: A shift in market sentiment is evident, aligning with the bullish outlook observed in the weekly timeframe.
Fundamental Analysis: Federal Reserve Policies and Economic Indicators
1. Federal Reserve's Stance:
- Policy Outlook: Continuation of a restrictive monetary policy for the foreseeable future, with the possibility of rate peaks being reached.
- Inflation Control: Strong emphasis on reducing inflation sustainably before policy easing.
2. Economic Indicators:
- Optimism on Inflation: Growing confidence in managing inflation, with potential rate cuts envisioned in 2024, though the exact timing remains uncertain.
3. Market Reaction:
- Impact on USD/JPY: The Federal Reserve's stance typically has a direct impact on USD/JPY. A more restrictive policy tends to strengthen the USD against the JPY, while a more dovish stance or rate cuts could weaken it.
4. Future Projections:
- Interest Rate Trajectory: Anticipation of three rate cuts in 2024, suggesting a potential future weakening of the USD against the JPY.
- Economic Growth Forecast: Slow growth expected in 2024, which could influence currency strength dynamics.
5. USD/JPY Specifics:
- Japanese Economic Factors: Apart from U.S. economic indicators, USD/JPY traders should also consider Japan's economic health, monetary policy, and geopolitical factors influencing the yen.
Trading Implications for USD/JPY
- Short-Term Strategy: The bullish technical signals on higher timeframes suggest potential long positions in the short to medium term. However, be mindful of resistance levels highlighted by the liquidity at price highs.
- Long-Term Outlook: Fundamental analysis indicates potential weakening of the USD in 2024 due to anticipated rate cuts. Traders may look for signs of trend reversal or strengthening of the JPY for future positioning.
- Risk Management: Keep an eye on upcoming Federal Reserve meetings and announcements, U.S. economic data releases, and Japanese economic indicators. These can cause significant volatility in the USD/JPY pair.
Conclusion
For USD/JPY, the current technical analysis suggests a bullish trend in the near term, but fundamental factors indicate potential shifts in 2024. You should maintain a balanced approach, staying updated with economic developments and central bank policies in both the U.S. and Japan. As with any currency trading, risk management and continual reassessment of the market conditions are crucial.
USDJPY: USD/JPY stabilizes, market focuses on BOJ interest rate The Japanese yen changed into mildly risky on Monday after a risky week amid hypothesis approximately an cease to the BOJ`s yield curve manage and terrible hobby quotes policies. The BOJ started a two-day assembly on Monday, with a choice to be introduced on Tuesday.
The USD/JPY change fee has fallen to 146 in line with dollar, specifically after reviews that Japanese hard work unions have performed big salary will increase this year. Recent facts additionally suggests that inflation stays stable, with each elements giving the BOJ sufficient self belief to cease its ultra-dovish policies.
However, analysts stay divided on whether or not the financial institution will increase hobby quotes in March or April, with the overall consensus barely leaning in the direction of an April move. BOJ predicted to elevate hobby quotes through 20% foundation factor to 0.1% from terrible 0.1%.
While any fee hike bodes properly for the yen, hypothesis over the timing of a fee hike has visible USD/JPY mark risky actions in latest weeks. The fee hovered round 149 on Monday.
USDJPY is Ready to GO UP by Symmetrical Triangle Pattern🚀🏃♂️ USDJPY is moving near the 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)(147.520 JPY-147.318 JPY) 🟡.
✅It also seems that USDJPY has succeeded in forming a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern .
📚 What is a Symmetrical Triangle❗️❓
🔸 The symmetrical triangle, which can also be referred to as a coil, usually forms during a trend as a continuation pattern. The pattern contains at least two lower highs and two higher lows. When these points are connected, the lines converge as they are extended and the symmetrical triangle takes shape.
🔔I expect USDJPY to rise to at least the 🔴 Resistance zone(148.930 JPY-148.520 JPY) 🔴 after breaking the upper line of the triangle .
U.S.Dollar/Japanese Yen Analyze ( USDJPY ), 1-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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USDJPY Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY H2 / Possible Reversal from OB and Supply Area✅💡Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to USDJPY H2. I expect another retracement in the OB level and after that I will execute a long trade in case of confirmation. I see the price to go up until the level of 149.500.
Wait for confirmation!
Apply Risk Management!
Traders, if my proposal resonates with you or if you hold a divergent viewpoint regarding this trade, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments. I welcome the opportunity to hear your perspectives.
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USDJPY: Asian Foreign Exchange market is quietThe Japanese yen hovered close to a four-month low, whilst statistics confirmed inflation in Tokyo recovered as predicted in February. Stable inflation offers the Bank of Japan extra motivation to elevate hobby costs from extraordinarily low levels.
The greenback index and greenback index futures had been consistent at some point of the session
buying and selling in Asia on Tuesday, after seeing a few volatility in latest sessions.
While latest statistics indicates inflation withinside the US relatively stabilizing, buyers appear like preserving bets that the Fed will reduce hobby costs in June.
But the change is predicted to be in large part examined this week, with a two-day testimony from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell in which analysts anticipate him to preserve tons of his hawkish stance. .
Then key nonfarm payrolls statistics is due out this Friday and is predicted to offer similarly alerts at the hard work market.
USDJPY BUY USING PO3 ? (market cycles)hello guys i hope you are having a good week ,
today i am looking at USDJPY
this weekly candle on usdjpy closes as a hammer looking like candle indicating buy.
for the daily tf the price started consolidating for a while now (accumulation) , since friday candle closed as inverted hammer am guessing monday we are going to see a red candle possible the candlle that will do the manipulation.
my point of interest is the Orderblock/Demand zone on the 1Dtf i will llook for entries in that area it also serves as a rejection block we can see a candle leaving a big whick in that area.
but i have to be careful since the price is on the 150 zone this zone is notorious because of the manipulations caused by bank of japan in that price range it is also a psycological level that the price has been testing for a while now so my tp will not be crazy .
keep in mind very very action packed week ahead trade safe !
USDJPY: Asian foreign exchange weakens, dollar rises, will interMost Asian currencies fell on Monday, while the dollar regained momentum as investors were cautious ahead of a series of signals on interest rates and inflation in the US this weekend.
Anticipation of some regional economic signals - particularly data on Japanese inflation and China's purchasing managers index - also has traders nervous, especially amid anxiety. Concerns are growing about slowing growth in the region's largest economies.
Japanese Yen fluctuates above 150, waiting for CPI data
The yen fluctuated slightly on Monday but remained just above 150 per dollar and remained near a three-month low.
This week focuses mainly on Japan's consumer price index (CPI) data for January, due on Tuesday. The data is expected to show core inflation is within the Bank of Japan's annual target of 2%, giving the central bank even less incentive to start tightening policy. books strongly.
This notion has put pressure on the yen in recent months, especially as US interest rates are likely to stay higher for longer. However, further declines in the yen were limited by the risk of government intervention, as levels above 150 have attracted intervention in the past.
PCE inflation, Fed signals are paying attention
The dollar index and dollar index futures both rose 0.1% in Asian trading on Monday, after posting their first weekly losses of 2024.
However, the greenback remains near a three-month high as many Federal Reserve officials warn that the bank is in no hurry to start cutting interest rates soon, especially as inflation remains subdued. High.
PCE price index data - the Fed's preferred inflation gauge - is expected to provide further inflation signals this week. Several other Fed officials are also expected to speak this week and may reiterate the outlook for higher interest rates for longer.
USDJPY M15 / Potential Long Move, Waiting for Confirmation✅Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to USDJPY M15. I want to see the BOSS from the price of 149.870 to be taken, after that, I will look for a long entry and the target will be above the higher boss.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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USDJPY H1 / Short Trade Entry Alert! ✅💲Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to USDJPY H1. I see a double reaction from the FVG H1 and I expect a continuation of a bearish market until the price of 149.500 where we have the OB level.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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