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Usdjpyforecast

USDJPY: Flash Services PMI!S&P500 futures have recorded significant gains in London, indicating a more relaxed risk-off sentiment. On Wednesday, US equities experienced substantial selling pressure, primarily due to a sharp decline in technology stocks. Investors are being cautious as they anticipate that tech-savvy companies may continue to struggle due to the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates. The rally in USD/JPY is driven by the belief that the gap in policies between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan will widen further. The Fed is expected to continue increasing interest rates, while the Bank of Japan is likely to maintain its ultra-dovish policy stance that has been in place for a decade. As a result, the Japanese Yen has significantly weakened against the US Dollar.
Long
by Sphyn-Trader
MFF REPORT FOR MONDAYHello traders, what do you think about usdjpy on a higher timeframe market is very bullish on weekly timeframe we saW HH & HL is formed in previous week now on a daily timeframe we saw bullish moemtum to go further up but as you all know market is retracing to go further up we saw 141.00 is a strong level of support from where it bounce to upside on a 4h timeframe we will take a entry after more confluences hope you like our idea dont forget to like and comment on my idea remember you get paid to wait.
Long
by Myforexfamily
USDJPYI normally don't trade UJ however for the benefit of those who do, thanks to a friend's request to take a look and share my thoughts, here is what I would normally look for, a break above the 139.134 zone and a retest of same area, will set the pair up for a nice long position. A break below the 137.296 area and its retest, will set the pair up for a short. For now, fingers crossed. I may not give updates on this pair as it is not on my favored trading list ;-) Disclaimer: All trade ideas are given for educational purposes and should not be treated as an investment advice, hence do your due diligence. Past results does not guarantee future results
by Mbjoey
BluetonaFX - USDJPY Yen Under Serious PressureHi Traders! The Japanese yen seems to be under pressure from the US dollar, and it could be under further pressure by the time of the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) press conference at the end of next week. The markets will be looking out for the BoJ's outlook on Yield Curve Control (YCC) in regards to Japan's inflation problems; otherwise, the bearish outlook for the yen is likely to continue. From a technical standpoint, USDJPY is trading with momentum, and we may see a retest of the 145.073 resistance level. Here on the 1W chart, we can see that the market held above the key support level at 137.915. After the price rejection at 137.915, we broke back above 140 and are now trading comfortably in the 141 area. If the Federal Reserve increases interest rates next week, further bullish waves are highly likely. The BoJ's press conference will be at the end of the week, after the Fed's decision, so by then, the yen could be under serious pressure. If 145.073 breaks and the yen's outlook is seriously weak, then we have our long-term Apex level at 151.946 marked on the chart. Please do not forget to like, comment, and follow, as your support greatly helps us. Thank you for your support! BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
USDJPY Forecast: Insights for the New Week & Follow-Up AnalysisIn the previous week, we witnessed a remarkable 4.6% surge in the Japanese yen, propelling it to a two-month high against the greenback. However, as Friday's trading session unfolded, the U.S. dollar began to edge higher, with traders factoring in the potential end of the Federal Reserve's rate hike cycle amid easing inflation. Softer-than-expected U.S. inflation data, reported on Wednesday and Thursday, reinforced the belief that the Federal Reserve is nearing the end of its interest rate-hiking cycle. While markets still anticipate a 25 basis point hike later this month, another hike this year is no longer the base case. As we shift our focus to the upcoming week, all eyes are on the U.S. retail sales data, a vital indicator of consumer spending in the economy. A high reading is seen as positive for the USD, while a low reading is perceived as negative. USDJPY Technical Analysis: In this video, we provide an in-depth USDJPY technical analysis, dissecting the current market structure. Our attention centers around the key level of 138.800, which also serves as the neckline of a "potential" reversal pattern identified in the 1-hour timeframe. As price action remains within this zone, it becomes an area of interest that could lead to choppy consolidation before a clear direction emerges. The market's reaction around the 138.800 area at the beginning of the new week will heavily influence the trajectory of price action throughout the upcoming days. Join me on this journey as we explore potential trading opportunities using trendlines and key levels. Remember, that we place significant emphasis on the importance of the 138.800 level, as a breakout or retest of this zone will validate the potency of the identified reversal pattern. Stay connected to my channel, follow my updates, and actively engage in the comment section as we navigate the dynamic USDJPY market together. Wishing you the best of luck as you chart your course in the USDJPY market this week. Get ready for an exciting ride filled with insights and trading opportunities! Disclaimer: Trading on margin in the foreign exchange market (including commodities, CFDs, stocks, etc.) carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is provided by me for educational and informational purposes only to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not accept any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your situation before making any investment. I do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided and shall not be held liable for any loss or damage that may arise directly or indirectly from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications related to it. Please note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
1
USDJPY: Next hurdle is seen at 140.00The USD/JPY pair is currently holding steady at around 139.20 during the Asian trading session, following a slight pullback from its weekly high near the 140.00 level on Wednesday. However, concerns regarding China's economic slowdown, worsening US-China relations, and geopolitical tensions may provide support for the safe-haven Japanese Yen (JPY), which could limit the upside potential of the USD/JPY pair. In response to the US's consideration of foreign investment and restrictions on AI chips, China's Ambassador, Xie Feng, expressed criticism and warned of retaliation if the US imposes further curbs on Beijing's chip sector.
Long
by Sphyn-Trader
10
BluetonaFX - USDJPY Heading Back To 140Hi Traders! USDJPY has found support at the midpoint of the long-term impulse wave and is targeting a retest of the 140.000 resistance level. On the 1D chart, we have highlighted the long-term impulse wave from March 2023. We then found resistance at the 145.073 level and had a retracement wave to the midpoint of the impulse wave. The RSI reading also supports this, as the value was around the 30 level at the midpoint, which suggests that the market is possibly oversold at this point. 140.000 seems to be the next target. If the market reaches 140.000 and the resistance level holds, then we can expect a pullback to test the midpoint again as support. A break and a close above 140.000, and we are looking at a possible retest of 145.073. Please remember to like, comment, and follow, as your support greatly helps us. Thank you for your support. BluetonaFX 
by BluetonaFX
USDJPY: How does the recession affect?S&P500 futures have experienced some losses in Europe, indicating a cautious market sentiment. The ongoing second-quarter result season is expected to pose challenges for US equities. Investors will be closely monitoring the performance of banking and technology stocks as the Federal Reserve's higher interest rates are causing a slowdown in economic activities. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is making a significant effort to break above the immediate resistance of 100.00. If successful, this move would trigger a short-term recovery and possibly impact the demand for riskier currencies. The yields on 10-year US Treasury bonds have sharply dropped to around 3.78%.
Short
by Sphyn-Trader
8
USD/JPY: The case for a bearish reversal buildsUSD/JPY has delivered a decent trend for bulls so far this year, having risen 14% since the January low. Yet we have been fully aware that net-short exposure to yen futures has approached a historical extreme as USD/JPT prices rose towards 145. Incidentally, 145 was the upper range of the liquidity gap we mentioned in a previous article which has now been filled, and USD/JPY has printed a bearish engulfing week at the 145 handle. With risks of yen intervention very real and traders positioned so strongly to the short side of yen futures, we suspect USD/JPY is at or very near an important inflection point. What could make the difference between a natural pullback against the YTD trend or a sharp reversal could be incoming economic data from the US and Japan. A softer-than-expected CPI report for the US could likely help push USD/JPY lower, but the real bearish catalyst could be if the BOJ finally get serious about abandoning their YCC (yield curve control). Over the near-term, a move to the 140 and 138 handles seem achievable over the coming weeks as part of a much-deserved retracement against a one-sided trend so far this year.
Short
by CityIndex
USDJPY Forecast: Insights for the New Week & Follow-Up AnalysisThe Japanese authorities are facing mounting pressure as the yen continues to weaken due to market expectations of ultra-low interest rates maintained by the Bank of Japan. The yen gained traction in the second half of the previous week. Speculation of government intervention to counter the currency's weakness added further support. Although direct intervention did not occur, we witnessed a pullback from the key 145 level against the dollar, amidst numerous verbal warnings from Japanese officials cautioning against betting against the yen. Despite these developments, the outlook for the yen remains uncertain, especially as the Bank of Japan maintains its commitment to loose monetary policy. Shifting our attention to the U.S. economic landscape, the Labor Department's recent report revealed that June experienced a lower-than-expected increase in new hires, with downward revisions to May's figures. However, the unemployment rate declined to 3.6% in June, and average hourly earnings mirrored the growth seen in May. Amidst the recent market volatility, there is speculation that despite pausing its rate hike cycle last month, the Federal Reserve might resume rate hikes during its upcoming meeting on July 26. USDJPY Technical Analysis (Price Action): This video offers a comprehensive analysis of the current market structure. Our focus centers around the key level of 142.500, which was broken to the downside following a strong bearish move. As price action remains within this zone, it becomes an area of concern, which could potentially lead to choppy consolidation before a clear direction is established. Market participants will closely watch the key economic indicators from the U.S. docket to gauge sentiment. The video examines potential trading opportunities within this area using trendlines and key levels, with particular emphasis on the significance of the 144.000 level as a potential retest for a continuation of the downtrend. The market's reaction to the range around the 142.500 area at the beginning of the new week will heavily influence the direction of price action throughout the upcoming week. Stay connected to my channel, stay informed by following my updates, and actively engage in the comment section. Together, we'll navigate the dynamic USDJPY market. Wishing you the best of luck as you chart your course in the USDJPY market this week. Disclaimer: Trading on margin in the foreign exchange market (including commodities, CFDs, stocks, etc.) carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is provided by me for educational and informational purposes only to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not accept any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your situation before making any investment. I do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided and shall not be held liable for any loss or damage that may arise directly or indirectly from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications related to it. Please note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
1
USDJPY-NEXT MOVE CAN BE 500+ PIPS ONEEveryone, hope you all having a great week, our march setup on USDJPY have been working out perfectly, price on daily timeframe have breakout the previous structure and apparently showing strong bullish sentiment. We need to wait for DXY to show bearish price sign, once we do. UJ will drop significantly. Like and Comment, as always thank you so much for showing support and love, we will keep bringing the high quality charts and do let down any pair that you may want us to analyse.
Long
by Setupsfx_
36
USDJPYUSDJPY, due to strong DXY, as we had explained in our previous USD pairs that we are expecting DXY to be bullish in upcoming days; so current approarch on USDJPY is bullish for another month or so, we will have to wait for price to complete the bullish price momentum. Once the price reach our area of entry we can enter the swing sell position for a nice 1000 pips. Always remember patience pays. If you like our work do like and share and follow for more. Thank you as always, Happy Trading ;)
by Setupsfx_
23
USDJPY: LONG!The USD/JPY pair is showing signs of a cautious market sentiment, with its recovery from the previous day's decline fading around 144.60. This could be attributed to concerns about Japan intervening in the market to protect its currency, as it hovers near its highest levels in eight months. Additionally, fears of a recession signaled by the inversion of US Treasury bond yields are also posing challenges for buyers of USD/JPY. Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki has stated that he is closely communicating with the US on foreign exchange matters, while the nation's top currency diplomat, Masato Kanda, is engaging with various countries including the US on currency issues. Furthermore, the inversion between the US 10-year and two-year Treasury bond yields has reached its highest level since 1981, sparking renewed worries of a recession. This is due to expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise its benchmark borrowing rates to control inflation. The two-year Treasury bond yields have dropped to 4.85%, while the 10-year counterpart fell to 3.78%. It is important to note that both benchmark yields ended Monday's trading at approximately 4.93% and 3.86% respectively.
Short
by Sphyn-Trader
6
USDJPY – What's the intervention threshold? USDJPY – What's the intervention threshold? In September of last year, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) made a move in the market to strengthen its currency when it reached 145 against the USD, marking the first such intervention since 1998. This action was taken following the BOJ's decision to maintain an extremely accommodative policy (a policy that is yet to change still). The BOJ intervened once more in October when the yen further plummeted to its lowest level in 32 years, reaching 151.94 against the dollar. At present, investors hold a substantial short position in the yen, valued at $9.793 billion, representing the largest such position in the USDJPY since May 2022. This value has nearly doubled in just the past three months. Notably, former Japanese Vice Finance Minister Eisuke Sakakibara has suggested that the USDJPY could reach 160 before the BOJ intervenes once again. However, the USDJPY has recently built a bit of a buffer between itself and whatever the intervention threshold is for the BoJ. Over the past two trading days, the US dollar has weakened, largely due to remarks made by Federal Reserve officials. These statements have strengthened the belief that the US central bank is nearing the end of its tightening phase. It is widely anticipated that Fed policymakers will implement a rate increase during their upcoming meeting this month, which would set the policy rate range at 5.25% to 5.50%. However, the timing of any subsequent rate hikes remains uncertain. There are questions whether they will raise rates again in September, delay until November, or maintain the current stance and allow inflation to naturally subside over time. Consequently, the US dollar has experienced a decline against the yen, reaching a low of 141.32 yen, the lowest level observed since June 21. Currently, it is down 0.5% at 141.328. This drop follows a decrease of nearly 1.3% seen last Friday when the US nonfarm payrolls for June fell short of market expectations at 209,000.
by BlackBull_Markets