Usdjpyforecast
USDJPY - SHORT - 65 Pips!Price previously had a difficult time closing above resistance leaving huge wicks near resistance, shortly after price made a swing low and came back up today at the NY session. Creating a wick on the 4-hour chart and rejecting the resistance and the 61.8% Fibonacci level which was followed by a bearish engulfing candle.
Our goal is to ride the way down towards support during the Asian session.
USD JPY MAY GO LONG. (23rd November 2020).Disclaimer:- Educational Analysis says USDJPY may go long According to my technicals.
This is not an entry signal. I have no concern with your profit and loss from this analysis.
Why Long?
Because the 4 hr trendline(backline) is been respected twice and may test third time before going long or 15 min Consolidation of (Red Line) will break and go long. There are buyers waiting at that buy stop order value which may skyrocket this pair.
For Additional Confirmation on this trade, You can wait for consolidation to break and wait for price action pattern may be morning star or two green candles or at least bullish engulfing for the price to go long.
Clear downside for USDJPYThe dollar yen has confirmed the down move giving a us a bearish candle on the weekly chart. We think this week should end up red too before we enter a consolidation in November as the market awaits the next news trigger to form a direction.
BEAR CASE
We wait for a correction and enter a short. Our exit is near the top of the channel at 112.5
USD/JPY Analysis: Market could fall because of overbought zone. The USD/JPY continued its strong run last week, recording new daily gains on Friday in the US season. The pair remains poised for weekly advances of more than 1%. However, RSI is showing that the market holds onto an overbought zone that suggests caution to investors. So, we may see some profit-taking from this territory.
USD?JPY may reward if prices correct lower due to increased risk appetite from traders following recent Fed statements and ECB meetings earlier this month. The FED and ECB were optimistic about future asset purchases by both central banks despite some uncertainty at present. It is one of the big reasons that the JPY is getting weaker against most major currencies.
So, there is still the chance that USD/JPY may rise more based on fundamental analysis. But no one can ignore technical analysis. Based on price action, USD/JPY holds an overbought zone. So, it is expected that USD/JPY may sell-off because of profit-taking, but the overall fundamental trend may not change till the next FOMC meeting minutes.
From the present rate of 114.20, the immediate resistance and reversal zone is 114.70 /115.00. Therefore, I think USD/JPY may reverse from this level to the 112.50 price zone before it rises again.
To the upside, breaking above 115.00 will open the door for 116.00 (Fibonacci 61.8% Retracement Zone).
USD/JPY may take some time to break above 116.00 because investors will wait for the next FED and ECB speech about asset purchase. In case the FED refuses to purchase assets this year, USD/JPY will drop massively. But if the FED starts the asset purchase program, there is more chance that the USD/JPY may revisit the 118.50/118.70 Price zone.
On the other hand, from the present rate, immediate support is identifying at 112.50 price zone. Therefore, I expect the market to go for correction because of profit-taking from the current price of 114.20. Breaking below 112.50 will open the door for the 110.70/110.50 price zone.
110.50 hold as ascending trendline support and breaking below 110.50, next target 109.00. and finally 105.10.
UsdJpy- New high in sight?After breaking above range's resistance and marking a new local high above 112, UsdJpy corrected and has confirmed the old resistance zone as support.
A new leg up followed and a new correction, just to mark a higher low and make 111.20 support.
At this moment the pair is trading just in short-term resistance given by last high and a break here can lead to continuation and a new high around 112.50
I'm bullish as long as the price is above 111
USDJPY idea 70% sure of green trend line and red trend line 70% possible. coming friday we have NFP which is very important but from the last meeting they r saying they will bring back economy and make the dollar stronger, fed is crazy nowadays people are suffering from interest rate. so its u all traders exit ur posistion before friday nfp.
USDJPY top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USD/JPY SELL NOW...
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