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Usdjpyforecast

USDJPY I Fed expectations soft thus more potential downsideWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Short
by BKTradingAcademy
USDJPY Longs from 145.000 up to 148.300This week, the current position of USDJPY appears favorable, positioned near two promising Points of Interest (POIs). We are inclined towards buying opportunities as the price has recently responded to a supply zone, and we anticipate a slowdown and accumulation. Upon the completion of Wyckoff accumulation within our designated zone, we will seek buy positions for a short-term trade, aiming to reach the nearest significant supply. This counter-trend trade will serve as a retracement, acknowledging the temporary bearish trend. Confluences for USDJPY Longs are as follows: - To sustain its bearish trend, the price must respond to a demand level, prompting a retracement. - The price is nearing a crucial demand level on the 13-hour chart that has broken the structure to the upside. - There are remaining equal highs and imbalances above, which needs to get mitigated. The Dollar Index (DXY) is poised for an upward retracement, aligning with this bias. - The overall market trend on higher time frames, such as the monthly chart, remains generally bullish. - Price has taken some significant liquidity like asian lows so price might be due for a correction. P.S. Upon the price reaching our 4-hour supply zone, we will patiently await a form of redistribution to align ourselves with the bearish trend. Currently, our focus is on the anticipation of a slowdown and pullback, which we expect to occur in response to the 13-hour demand.
Long
by Hassan_fx
1
USDJPY I Wait for pullback to structure high Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Short
by BKTradingAcademy
USDJPY: Asian foreign exchange increased, USD hit 3-month lowMost Asian currencies rose on Tuesday, pushing the dollar to a three-month low as confidence grew that the U.S. Federal Reserve is done raising interest rates. However, gains for most regional currencies were limited this week as traders remained cautious on a number of key economic indicators. This week, all eyes will be on the PCE price index, the Fed's preferred inflation measure. The Japanese yen had a particularly strong day, rising 0.3% on the day, as traders said they expect the Bank of Japan to exit its ultra-easy stance in 2024. Japan's stable inflation figures released last week further support this assumption. Thanks to the Fed's reassurance, the yen continued to recover from the 150 yen level. The immediate focus will be on Japan's industrial production and retail sales figures, which will be released later in the day. week.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
USDJPY Shorts from 149.500 down towards 147.500My bias for USDJPY is bearish due to the fact that price has reacted off the last supply from the whole chart, and has now given a CHOCH and BOS's on the higher time frame. Price has also took all the liquidity that was left above leaving price to now melt downwards and target all the asian lows, trend lines, equal lows, and imbalances that was left previously. Currently, price has reacted nicely off an 8hr supply which we can enter imminent sells to target the (8hr) demand below at 147.500. I am expecting the 8hr demand to cause a retracement back up but from there we can take short term buys up to a premium supply around 150.500. As Wyckoff distribution has been completed we can look for the asian high to get swept in order to enter our sell positions because a CHOCH has already been presented to us on the 15min. My confluences for USDJPY Shorts are as follows: - Price has taken all the magnets that lies above and reacted off the last supply of the chart. - Price has CHOCH'd and BOS on the higher time frame confirming a bearish trend. - Lots of liquidity to the downside in the form of trend line liquidity, asian lows, EQLs and IMB's - Wyckoff distribution has been completed on the Higher time frame and now melting. - A re accumulation has been presented inside our current 8hr supply in which we have got a clean reaction from. - Dollar (DXY) is also temporarily bearish for me so it matches with my sell bias for this market. P.S. even though we are bearish I would also be interested in buying from 147.500 up towards 150.500 or higher to then eventually sell again. For now, we will see if price reaches that demand below as short term buys will be interesting there. Remember being adaptive is very crucial and because I am a day trader, I can counter trend trade up to better POI's to then enter pro trend trades.
Short
by Hassan_fx
3
USDJPY Navigating Retracement&Identifying Short Opportunities!Introduction: The USD/JPY pair has experienced a dynamic week marked by a double top pattern, providing insightful clues for traders. While recent days showcased a retracement and an apparent uptrend tendency, the most recent price action is signaling a potential shift. Retracement Dynamics: The past week witnessed a retracement in the intense and continuous bearish flow of USD/JPY. The retracement is characterized by an uptrend tendency line, suggesting a temporary shift in market sentiment. However, recent hours are indicating a potential reversal, prompting a closer examination of key technical levels. Fibonacci Retracement: Zooming into the 4-hour timeframe, the current movement aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, centered around the price of 0.750.700. This level serves as a critical reference point, providing insights into potential reversal zones. Bearish Order Block on Lower Timeframes: Detailed analysis on smaller timeframes, specifically the 1-hour and 30-minute charts, reveals the formation of a Bearish Order Block. This is a crucial technical pattern signaling a Short Position opportunity. The identified price range of 0.750.600 becomes significant for traders considering a short entry. Break of Uptrend Tendency Line: A pivotal moment in this analysis is the recent break of the uptrend tendency line. The breach of this trendline, coupled with a reaction around the strong high of 0.750, suggests a potential re-establishment of the bearish sentiment. Conclusion: In conclusion, the USD/JPY pair has undergone a retracement in the past week, challenging the prevailing bearish flow. However, with the recent break of the uptrend tendency line and the formation of a Bearish Order Block on lower timeframes, there is a compelling case for a short position opportunity. Traders are encouraged to closely monitor the price action around the 0.750.600 range, as it may serve as a key entry point for those anticipating a continuation of the bearish trend. As always, risk management and vigilant monitoring of price dynamics are essential for traders navigating these evolving market conditions.
Short
by e11p
1
USDJPY → Falling to 1.46? Or Rocket to 1.52? Lets Answer That.USDJPY fell below the 30EMA to my previously predicted area of 147.100 then immediately bounced back to 150.000 only to stall and leave us wondering what the next move will be. How do we trade this? We're in a bull channel which should put us in a bias to long. But we have a double top reversal signal at a key level of resistance (the previous Weekly high of 152.000 staring us in the face. We need to see what happens here at the 30EMA. If we get a strong bear bar closing on or near its low, shorting to the bull channel bottom around 146.300 or even the previous high of 145.000 is reasonable. The protective stop should be just above the 30EMA. You can also wait for a long at the bull channel support or previous high support, looking for a bull channel signal bar and confirmation closing on or near its high. Protective stop just below those levels with a take profit at the 30EMA and then the previous high of 152.000. Key Takeaways 1. Bull Channel, Bias to Long. 2. Double Top Reversal Signal. Close the Gap to Bull Channel Support. 3. Fell below 30EMA, Gap to Bull Channel Support 4. Previous Channel High of 145.000 Final Target. 5. Wait for Bear Signal Bar for Confirmation to Short. 6. RSI at 47.00, below Moving Average. Supports Short. You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk! If you found this analysis helpful, click the Boost button and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
Short
by TraderEngineering
7 Dimension Analysis For USDJPY 🕛 TOPDOWN - Navigating Breakouts and Corrections Overview: This currency pair broke a 25-year resistance level last year, displaying a fakeout. This year, a robust flow confirms the breakout, with potential for a yearly closing above this level. There's also proximity to breaking a multi-year head and shoulders pattern, accompanied by substantial multi-year buy volume. On the monthly chart, a cup and handle formation is observed, potentially forming a twizzer top for a last pullback. The weekly chart indicates a pre-breakout buildup, with the last week's liquidity sweep candle hinting at further upward movement, especially given its location above the yearly CIP levels. 😇 7 Dimension Analysis Time Frame: Daily 1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bullish 🟢 Structure Behavior/BoS: Break of Structure 🟢 Swing Move: Corrective, but a classic bullish pinbar signals the end of correction and a valid high. The upcoming FVG area may guide the final decision based on potential rejection. 🟢 Inducement: Done; the next unmitigated order block is crucial if prices decline further. 🟢 1st Pullback: Possibly deep; internal structure is bearish corrective. Noteworthy is the liquidity sweep indicating potential fakeouts or continuations on the buy side. 🟢 Resistance/Support Areas: Resistance, supply, and trendline broken, yet resistance is yet to be broken. Buildup and pre-breakout QC suggest cautious optimism. 2️⃣ Pattern 🟢 CHART PATTERNS Reversal Rounding Patterns, Double Top. Consolidation Rectangle signaling a bearish breakout. Raising Wedge with bearish breakout. Shakeout Continuation, favorable for bulls. 🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS Key Observations: Long wicks: Hammer at yearly CIP. Momentum candles: Engulfing/Fakeout/FOMO favor bulls. Inside: Narrow Range 4, anticipating breakout direction. Tower top/bottom signals climax players favoring bullish FOMO. 3️⃣ Volume: Average volume observed, necessitating observation during corrections and cycles. 4️⃣ Momentum RSI: 🟢 Momentum State: Sideways yet. 🟢 Range Shift: From super bullish to sideways. 🟢 Divergence: Back-to-back bearish divergence suggests a potential correction. 🟢 Grandfather-Father-Son Entries: Strongest buy area post-correction. 5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands: 🟢 Middle Band Trend: Bullish; crossing for buy signals. 🟢 Headfake: Lower line head fake signifies a strong buy signal. 6️⃣ Strength - ROC Values: JPY is the weakest against all currencies currently. ✔️ Entry Time Frame: Two areas for buy consideration - Daily (144.555) and Hourly (149.49). ✅ Entry TF Structure: ☑️ Current Move: ✔ Support/Resistance Base: ☑️ Candles Behavior: RSC, Longwicks, Doji, Inside, Momentum. ☑️ FIB Trigger Event ☑️ Trend Line Breakout ☑️ Final Comments: 💡 Decision: 🚀 Entry: ✋ Stop Loss: 🎯 Take Profit: 2nd Exit if Internal Structure Changes, 3rd Trendline Breakout, FOMO. 😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 🕛 Expected Duration: SUMMARY: The analysis showcases a bullish scenario with a breakout from a significant resistance level. While corrections are anticipated, the structure remains bullish, with potential buy entries on both daily and hourly time frames. Divergence signals caution, and key candle patterns, volume analysis, and strength indicators contribute to a comprehensive strategy for navigating this intricate market situation. I will update this idea further with coming market condition and also update all tp and stop level
Long
by Optimum369
USDJPY I Rejecting support and potential riseWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Long
by BKTradingAcademy
8
USD/JPY 💱 Moving in the Path of Least Resistance UsdJpy heading into Q4 23' . Interesting time because the USD may be over-extended but is it? What is the call for Q4 here Kingpin USD. Little weary to Sell UJ just because it is nearing the highs of structure.. Very likely we could continue highertimeframe momentum because wicks get filled in momentum. Taking a moment to look to the left, we may observe 152 is a range that we can go fill as the market moves to the upside with momentum. The Monthly timeframe is pushing up into the close of the Yearly candle. Next target that may occur for Q1 2024 is 155. What're your thoughts about medium term UsdJpy?
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
1
UDS/JPY Falling to 146.000!? Double Top Reversal Signal CompleteUDS/JPY has a double top reversal signal on the Daily candles and a triple top on the 4HR candles with a massive gap to fill. This reversal signal happened at a key level, 152.00 which is the previous high from October 2022. As shown in my previous prediction, a short position is reasonable at this level. The double/triple top is the confirmation of that short, which increases the probability of profit significantly. If there was a time to short in this bull channel, it would be now . Key Points 1. Double Top Reversal Signal on the Daily Chart 2. Triple Top Reversal Signal on the 4HR Chart 3. Gap to bottom of the channel at 146.000 4. The lowest target price is the Previous Channel High of 145.000 5. RSI at 52.00, Plenty of room to fall and supports #1-4 You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk! Let us know what you think in the comment section below!
Short
by TraderEngineering
UsdJpy off to the Races or 1 more Retest 🏎 UsdJpy increases this week despite significant retail imbalances from last week failing to take price lower with notable inlfation data. We may observe a move to go down now after jumping up with news release volatility from last week. Otherwise, UsdJpy is currently testing a Daily Resistance level for the first time. We may anticpate a move down early in the week but consequential upside movement laster in the week. The Monthly candle has confirmed an upside breakout to our next monthly zone at 158. We may observe initial retest of 148.71 once more before seeing more upisde movement.
by ShrewdCatfx
1
USDJPY: The USD weakened without the catalyst of important econoIn the foreign exchange market, the U.S. dollar weakened, closing at the day's low, extending Tuesday's losses. Data: October building permit applications were higher than expected, but did not provide much support for the dollar. Sterling fell by nearly 40 pips following October's retail sales data, but then rebounded sharply as the US dollar weakened. The yen led the rise among major currencies at the close of trading.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
USDJPY 4H: Support further decline USDJPY New forecast The price of the dollar pair against the yen fell to exceed the level of 149.41, and now it is trying to stabilize below it, the support level of 148.35, and stability below this level will confirm the continuation of the dominance of the downward trend in the immediate term, and the way is open to heading towards our next target at 147.87 and 146.98. Therefore the downward scenario will be remain valid once stabilized under 148.35 level , taking into account that failure to stabilized under 148.35 level and reversed above 148.89 will support the price to rise up again and do a positive correction . The expect range trading for today it will between resistance line 149.41 and support line 146.98. support line : 147.87 , 146.98 resistance line : 148.89 , 149.41 Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective and If this post was useful to you , don't forget to subscribe and like ❤️
Short
by Arazmajeed
10
Bearish Outlook [USD/JPY] Unveiling Double Top PatternThe USD/JPY currency pair is currently presenting a compelling technical setup on the daily timeframe, marked by a double top pattern. This pattern is characterized by two distinct peaks in bullish momentum, both displaying notable similarities in terms of pips gained. The initial bullish move saw an approximate rise of 300 pips, followed by a second surge of around 270 pips. Divergence Analysis: Adding a layer of complexity to this analysis is the examination of the Dollar Index (DXY), where a potential divergence is observed when comparing the tops of the bullish momentums. This divergence in the DXY could provide additional confirmation for a reversal in the USD/JPY pair. Key Institutional Level: The institutional level of 149.000 emerges as a critical point in this analysis. If the price breaks below this level, a scenario unfolds where a retest of the 149.500 area becomes likely. This retest could serve as a key turning point, signifying a potential shift in market sentiment and the beginning of a downward trend. 4-Hour EMA200 as a Confirmatory Signal: Zooming in on the 4-hour timeframe, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) with a period of 200 is notably positioned above the price chart. This configuration often acts as a technical signal, indicating a potential reversal in the prevailing trend. In this case, the EMA200 above the price chart adds weight to the bearish outlook for USD/JPY. Timing Entry on Lower Timeframes: For traders looking to capitalize on this potential bearish move, attention to lower timeframes such as 1-hour or 30-minute charts becomes crucial. The ideal entry point, in this analysis, is anticipated in the vicinity of the 149.500 area. Monitoring these lower timeframes will allow for a more precise timing of the entry as the price approaches the identified level. Conclusion: In conclusion, the technical analysis of USD/JPY reveals a confluence of signals pointing towards a bearish trend. The double top pattern, coupled with similarities in bullish momentums, a potential divergence in the DXY, and the significance of the 149.000 institutional level, all contribute to a comprehensive bearish argument. Traders are advised to stay vigilant, especially on lower timeframes, for a confirmed entry opportunity around the 149.500 area, with the 4-hour EMA200 serving as an additional confirmation signal for the anticipated reversal.
Short
by e11p
USDJPY: It cannot be said with certainty that a weak JPY has a nBank of Japan Governor Ueda said: It cannot be said that the weak yen will have a negative impact on the Japanese economy. A weaker yen promotes domestic inflation due to higher import costs. Weak yen has a positive impact on exports and profits of Japanese companies globally We do not comment on exchange rate fluctuations As we get closer to our inflation target, we will be discussing exit strategies and outlooks, including ETF purchases. The Bank of Japan has no concrete plans to sell ETFs. When we sell ETFs, we do so in a manner that minimizes market disruption and significant losses to the Bank of Japan's balance sheet.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
1
USDJPY: Comments on USDJPY on November 14Yomiru: Japan plans to reduce taxes for businesses that increase wages A source from the Yomiuri website said that the Japanese Government is considering tax reductions for companies that increase wages by 8%. The Japanese government wants to encourage wage increases as part of its fight to promote sustained and stable inflation. If the wage increase is widely applied, it will create a premise for the BoJ's arguments around gradually reducing the level of monetary policy easing, thereby supporting JPY.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro