USDJPY Shorts from 145.500 back down towards 142.000This week's strategy involves following the ongoing bearish trend in USDJPY. I plan to initiate sell positions around the newly formed 4-hour supply zone. To execute this, I'll wait for a redistribution pattern to unfold and a clear CHOCH signal before considering a sell. It's important to note that there's a possibility of price pushing higher to test the 14-hour or daily supply above.
Considering that price has already reacted to a supply zone, it wouldn't be surprising if it continues lower towards the 15-hour demand zone. In such a scenario, I'll be on the lookout for a buying opportunity, but I'll wait for the Asian low to be breached within that zone, potentially in the form of a spring, before considering a buy.
Confluences for USDJPY Sells are as follows:
- 4hr or 14hr supply zone that has caused a break of structure to the downside.
- Price is completed a retracement so we can expect a wyckoff distribution to play out.
- Lots of major trend lines still left below on the high time frame that needs to get swept.
- Price has been in a very bearish trend ever since it failed to take the all time highs.
- The dollar is also looking bearish so I can expect more downside for this pair too.
P.S. As I currently hold a strong bearish stance on USDJPY, I won't be surprised if the demand zone fails due to significant liquidity below it. However, at the moment, my primary focus is on potential sell opportunities, considering that price has recently completed a retracement. My strategy aligns with the prevailing bearish trend.
